24/11/2016 World Business Report


24/11/2016

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Britain's national debt set to hit almost ?2 trillion in the biggest

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jump in borrowing since the financial crisis.

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We look at Europe's deteriorating public finances.

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Plus, billionaire and Commander in Chief.

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Can Donald Trump juggle the presidency and his

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Also, flying high. A 1.75 billion dollar takeover for the flight

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booking websites Skyscanner. We are talking debt this Thursday,

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because across Europe, governments are getting

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deeper and deeper in it. On Wednesday Britain's

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finance minister, Chancellor of the Exchequer

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Philip Hammond, gave his

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Autumn budget statement. He warned that following the Brexit

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vote, the UK's on track for the biggest deterioration

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in public finances in years and will ramp up borrowing

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by the most since the 2008 financial Mr Hammond said that government debt

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will hit 90% of GDP next year. In other words Britain will owe

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almost as much as the whole Britain's not alone in facing

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a growing debt burden We all know about Greece -

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its national debt is approaching twice the size

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of its annual economy. But Italy and Portugal now also have

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debts far bigger than their GDP - And France is also more indebted

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than the UK at 97.5%. Put simply - it leaves governments

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very vulnerable if borrowing costs start to rise on the bond markets -

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as has been happening recently. The club of developed nations -

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the OECD - says governments should As far as the UK is concerned -

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the Chancellor vowed the situation The forecast is that debt will rise

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to 87.3% this year, peaking at 90 .2% in 2017, 2018 as the monetary

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policy interventions approach their full effect. In 2018, 2019, debt is

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projected to fall, the first fall in the national debt as a sharer of GDP

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since 2001 and it is forecast to continue falling thereafter.

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Lorenzo Codogno is Visiting Professor at the London School

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of Economics - and former Chief Economist of the Italian

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Good to see you again. I would imagine you are listening to that

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budget statement yesterday. He described the situation with regard

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to the debt as eye watering. How worrying is it? The statement was

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balanced, to be honest. The United Kingdom is facing an unprecedented

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uncertainty due to Brexit. It is reasonable to have some kind of

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leeway. The office revised downwards all economic projections which is

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reasonable in my view. I think there is a risk that economic growth could

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be even weaker. In that situation I think you need to have some

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flexibility. I think it is good to have the potential to extend a

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little bit of a win, at least in the near term. I think it is a balanced

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statement. It gives the right signals on public investment it

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provides some support to the economy in the near term and at the same

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term, yes, the debt is growing but is still within, you know, an area

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that is comfortable for financial markets. OK. Comfortable now, but

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how about in the coming year? Thinking more generally about

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Europe, there is a lot of political risk hanging over Europe and the

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next few months. An Italian referendum next month, no election

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in France, Germany and Holland and then Article 50, the button will be

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fired possibly in March next year which will begin Brexit

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negotiations. There is a lot of uncertainty ahead. Absolutely. There

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is plenty of uncertainty ahead. Interest rates will start moving

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higher. Because of that? Yes. That will not happen tomorrow and, again,

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it is an unprecedented period for the UK economy. It deserves

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flexibility. My take is that it was the right decision. Clearly the

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higher the debt the riskier the situation. How about other European

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economies. Greece needs to brokerage next tranche of financial help in

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December. It is being asked for more difficult austerity measures which

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it does not want to do. And the other economies with exposure to

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debt, if their interest rates go up how will that play out? There is a

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big debate amongst economists these days because we are living in

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unprecedented times with unconstrained monetary policy. All

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about interest rates in some countries in some areas, those

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interest rates are below zero. There is a need for some support coming

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from fiscal policy. I think in the situation of the United Kingdom it

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is good that there is some flexibility. In other countries,

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there is no such workability, unfortunately, and therefore these

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countries have no choice but to have a more disciplined approach. It is

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always good to get your take on this. Thank you very much for coming

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in. What is more analysis on that on our website. -- plenty more analysis

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on that on our website. We are also looking

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at President-elect Donald Trump. He is being urged to separate

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himself from the Trump organisation There is no law forcing him to do

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so - but it has been the past practise of other Presidents

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for the last 40 years. But if this election campaign has

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shown us anything, it's that the soon-to-be leader

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of the United States - These are the most visible parts

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of the President-elect's empire. Mr Trump says he can

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be both businessman There is nothing in

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the Constitution that There are implicit concerns

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in the Constitution about the corruption

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possibility but there's nothing that at this

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level of specificity. This is a practice that has emerged

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in the United States This weekend meeting

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with Indian real estate developers already raises

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questions about Mr Trump's ability to separate his business

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from the presidency. Donald Trump the businessman

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has seen conflicts. Casino bankruptcies,

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fraud at Trump University and even tussles over hiring practices

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at one of his hotel. If he does nothing

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come January 20, these entanglements will be with

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the President of the United States. The challenge of course

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is Mr Trump is his business. And so is his family which makes

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claims that his children will now control the Trump organisation

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ludicrous to many. There's no need to

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dismantle his business empire but certainly to simply say,

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"I'm going to let my children You know, if we in the States

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would hear something like this, we would associate this

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kind of intermingling of government and business as something a feature

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of a banana republic. The Constitution does say

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that the President cannot accept any foreign money or gifts

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without the consent of Congress. Which makes Mr Trump's

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International business dealings We should expect there

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to be continual concerns, maybe scandals, maybe

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hearings in Congress, about the President's

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business interests, America's foreign policy

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and even domestic policy. It's all going to be in one big knot

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and it's going to be difficult For now, Mr Trump seems intent

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on mixing his business with his presidency

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but it's hard to see how that approach will keep

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in compliance with US And it also seems long way away

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from his campaign promise to drain If you fly frequently you may have

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used the flight booking website It's based in Scotland -

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but now has a new Asian owner. Sharanjit Leyl has

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the story in Singapore. Nice to see you. Who is purchasing?

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It is none either than the biggest online travel company in China,

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ctrip.comp which does the same thing for the Chinese market. We saw

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shares rising as much as 9.2% in extended trading. We said that

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Skyscanner helps users compare prices across travel sites as well

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as for flights, hotels and rental cars. The CEO is frustrated with

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finding cheap flights online and that is why he started this up. It

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is available in over 30 different languages and we know that this is

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among the many Chinese overseas purchasers this year in the first

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nine months of this year. In fact $191 billion and all were announced

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and a lot of those deals are taking place in the travel and

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entertainment industries. And very quickly, the markets are

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still going up in anticipation that rates will be rising in December in

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December. I will see you shortly.

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