25/11/2016 World Business Report


25/11/2016

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But with the unstoppable rise of online shopping -

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is the annual retail rush - still such a big deal?

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Plus - battle of the ex-Prime Ministers.

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High unemployment - stagnant growth and creaking public

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finances - the challenges mount up for France's next President -

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despite their efforts, Japan can't beat deflation.

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We are talking retail - because depending on where you live

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in the world you have probably been bombarded with adverts and e-mails

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offering "massive discounts" and "unmissable deals".

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There's no escaping that today is not just Friday -

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In the US - it's the day after the Thanksgiving holiday -

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and it traditionally marked the beginning of the Christmas

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It was the time stores went 'into the black' for the year -

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And it's still a huge day for retailers.

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Over 137 million Americans are expected to go in search

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That would be a million and a half more than last year.

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The big change though is the internet.

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As many Americans shopped online as actually went to stores last year

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and online sales were up 40% in 2015.

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Expect that trend to continue this year.

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Here in the UK some 14 million people are expected to shop.

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But again many will be doing it in their pyjamas.

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According to one prediction - British shoppers are expected

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to spend over ?2 billion but over a billion of that -

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Actual traffic on the high street may even be down.

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Walmart's UK unit Asda has not taken part since chaos in stores in 2014.

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But big names like Next, Primark and Ikea are also sitting it

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Other retailers are offering discounts over longer periods.

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And consumer groups have warned that many deals online are not

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all they seem to be - last year prices were actually

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cheaper before and after Black Friday.

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So is Black Friday literally less of a big deal these days?

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Here's a look back at some of the crazy scenes of the past.

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The boss of fashion chain Jigsaw - Peter Ruis - is among those

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He says it's a bad deal for shoppers and retailers.

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We believe that Black Friday is a deception. We hate the idea that all

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of these retailers create these discounts that are not really

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discounts. In my industry it is often something that is a cheap

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fabric that has been discounted 20% but it was never will worse 20% more

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in the first place. Or it is previous season stock. It makes us

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look like we are peddling cheap objects in a market rather than

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something we spend years creating. In fashion, most Black Friday

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purchases are returned. It is a double whammy. A loss of profit, a

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loss of margin and that product sits around in supply chains. Many of you

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have been in touch with me already with your thoughts. The conversation

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on Twitter. One woman tells us that she is working today in retail

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starting at seven o'clock. She is not looking forward to it, hoping

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for calm. Lee says that in a few years we will look back at this and

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be embarrassed that we got sucked into this. Ian says that working in

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retail for Black Friday that the company he works for is not

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participating so he will have a normal day. Let's turn to France

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now. The race to be the

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conservative candidate for President will be

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decided on Sunday. It's between Francois Fillon -

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on the right - and Alain Juppe- on the left - both

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former prime ministers - after ex-president Nicholas Sarkozy

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was knocked out last weekend. The two faced off last night in a TV

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debate where polls indicate Monsieur Fillon came

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out slightly ahead. France is facing high unemployment -

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around 10% - weak economic growth They will all be key issues

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in an election where far right leader Marine Le Pen is expected

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to mount a serious challenge. Professor Douglas Webber

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is Professor of Political Science Thank you for joining us on the

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programme. I don't know if you are able to watch the television debate

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last night that give us your thoughts on the economic ideas of

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both candidates. There is a difference of emphasis at least

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between the two candidates and their economic policy proposals. They go

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roughly in the same direction, they both want to cut the French deficit,

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they want to cut the number of civil servants, they want to make it

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easier for employers to fire employees. And they also want to...

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Too, um, sorry. Mr Fillon wants to go further and faster than Mr Juppe.

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It is correct to say that he wants to prescribe shock therapy for

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France. We have seen that it is difficult to initiate reform in

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France. The current president had a struggle pushing through labour

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reform for example. The problem is that whoever gets the job, will they

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be able to push through such shock reforms if that is the mandate they

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get in on? That is the big question. 20 years ago when he was Prime

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Minister, Juppe tried to introduce a lot of major reforms in France and

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failed because of opposition. The same happened to one of his

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successes in 2005. In the past, or at least, the only reforms that have

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been in France have been piecemeal gradual limited reforms that have

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been discussed with trained unions rather than imposed unilaterally by

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the government. Mr Fillon was the Prime Minister under Nicolas Sarkozy

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in 2007 to 2004. He was by parcel of the reform process. We might find

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that after the second round in the primary on Sunday when he starts his

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campaign for the presidency himself he may strike a more moderate tone.

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But the idea of prescribing a shock therapy affects labour law right now

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but it is popular among right-wing voters. At the moment it is a useful

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sort of thing for Mr Fillon to emphasise. Thank you very much for

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your time. Let's go to Asia now -

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and there's no relief for Japan in its failing battle

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against deflation. Sharanjit Leyl is following

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the story for us in Singapore. Nice to see you. A little bit more

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about the latest inflation numbers out of Japan. Consumer prices are

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falling in October. No big surprise there for a nation that we know has

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been battling deflation for more than a decade. What is interesting

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about the numbers is that this is the eighth straight month of decline

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making it the longest string of falls in five years. Essentially it

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showed that call prices it excluding fresh food fell from last year and

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this data comes several weeks after the central bank push back the

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timeline for heeding its 2% inflation target. We know that the

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central bank's target is a key part of the Prime Minister's did to pump

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up the world's number three economy. He is doing this through stimulus

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measures, like printing money, what he calls his own version of

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economics. It has set off something of a stock market rally that has

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spurred some hopes for the once soaring economy but it does not

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appear to be enough growth still fragile and inflation is still well

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below the central bank's target. Thank you very much. I will see when

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a couple of minutes when we review the papers. Goodbye for now.

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