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Now for the latest financial news, with Sally Bundock | :00:00. | :00:00. | |
A European car colossus in the making. | :00:00. | :00:18. | |
France's Peugeot Citroen is poised to buy General Motors' European | :00:19. | :00:21. | |
business, including the Opel and Vauxhall brands. | :00:22. | :00:27. | |
China's Premier cuts the economic growth target for this year. | :00:28. | :00:30. | |
We look at the risks to the world's second-largest economy. | :00:31. | :00:38. | |
Welcome to World Business Report, I'm Sally Bundock. | :00:39. | :00:41. | |
Also in the programme: Deutsche Bank plans to raise billions of euros | :00:42. | :00:45. | |
General Motors is set to announce a deal to sell Opel and Vauxhall | :00:46. | :00:56. | |
to PSA Group, the French company that owns Peugeot and Citroen. | :00:57. | :00:59. | |
Both companies are hosting a press conference in Paris | :01:00. | :01:01. | |
Buying GM's loss-making European operations will make PSA | :01:02. | :01:04. | |
the continent's second-biggest car maker, after Volkswagen and ahead | :01:05. | :01:07. | |
of French rival Renault, and it will be a giant. | :01:08. | :01:10. | |
Last year PSA and GM Europe sold a combined 4.3 million vehicles, | :01:11. | :01:13. | |
and posted revenues of 71.6 billion euro. | :01:14. | :01:15. | |
But the deal has already raised fears in the UK the jobs of 4,500 | :01:16. | :01:19. | |
workers at Vauxhall's plants could be under threat. | :01:20. | :01:27. | |
In Germany, where two thirds of Opel's 38,000 staff are based, | :01:28. | :01:32. | |
the government has been seeking reassurances the jobs are safe. | :01:33. | :01:34. | |
Opel had hoped to return to profitability by 2016, | :01:35. | :01:37. | |
but the slide in the value of sterling following the EU | :01:38. | :01:40. | |
referendum last June contributed to its 257 million euro annual loss. | :01:41. | :01:43. | |
With me is Jom Holder, editorial director of Autocar. | :01:44. | :02:04. | |
Nice to see you. It is a very anticipated press conference. What | :02:05. | :02:10. | |
do you think they will tell us? I think we won't learn a great deal | :02:11. | :02:14. | |
this morning other than that the deal is going through. There is due | :02:15. | :02:20. | |
diligence to go through afterwards and the car industry is slow-moving | :02:21. | :02:24. | |
and making changes. There is no rush to change so they will play their | :02:25. | :02:28. | |
cards close to their chest. And they will probably have to for political | :02:29. | :02:31. | |
reasons. Where there will be job losses, in Germany, in an election | :02:32. | :02:35. | |
year, in the UK is extremely sensitive with Ford's news about | :02:36. | :02:39. | |
Bridgend last week emerging. What may happen to the various plants | :02:40. | :02:44. | |
around Europe? At around 20 plants potentially affected from the Opel | :02:45. | :02:50. | |
side, and even more from the PSA side. They are in a competitive | :02:51. | :02:54. | |
situation and both companies are underperforming. The factories are | :02:55. | :02:57. | |
not producing enough cars to be profitable on average so the obvious | :02:58. | :03:01. | |
way to start making profits is to start imposing cuts but these | :03:02. | :03:05. | |
factories work on seven to ten year cycles so the bosses of PSA can sit | :03:06. | :03:09. | |
back and see what assurances they are offered by various government | :03:10. | :03:13. | |
and what incentives they are offered in order to keep various factories | :03:14. | :03:18. | |
open. To what extent does Brexit play a part in this story? The fall | :03:19. | :03:23. | |
in the value of sterling has been a problem for European car makers. | :03:24. | :03:28. | |
Absolutely, PSA blamed it for the reason they fell into loss last year | :03:29. | :03:32. | |
and it is a problem because it brings uncertainty to the UK plants | :03:33. | :03:38. | |
that Vauxhall has. It could hinder freedom of movement and ring | :03:39. | :03:42. | |
fluctuations in currency, it could really undermine the certainty PSA | :03:43. | :03:45. | |
is looking for when it wants to commit to these factories. On the | :03:46. | :03:49. | |
plus side, from the point of view of PSA group and what it is doing, it | :03:50. | :03:54. | |
has seen an incredible turnaround in the last couple of years. | :03:55. | :03:57. | |
Absolutely, three years ago it was experiencing multibillion euro | :03:58. | :04:01. | |
losses. It had a new leader who was famed for being able to turn | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
companies around and he has done just that with PSA. He has made them | :04:07. | :04:11. | |
incredibly profitable, higher profit margins than even VW at the moment. | :04:12. | :04:19. | |
Also, GM prevented Vauxhall and Opel from selling in the United States. | :04:20. | :04:24. | |
That could be more in the future. It could unleash Opel in a way it has | :04:25. | :04:28. | |
never been unleashed. We have seen that before with great car | :04:29. | :04:33. | |
companies, big groups like Ford, when it controlled Jaguar, Land | :04:34. | :04:37. | |
Rover, Aston Martin, when it let them go, they all thrived. It could | :04:38. | :04:42. | |
be good on a global scale for Opel. Thank you very much for your time. | :04:43. | :04:47. | |
We expect a press release from PSA group in about 55 minutes time and | :04:48. | :04:51. | |
the press conference is later. We will keep you up-to-date with the | :04:52. | :04:52. | |
announcements come through. China's National People's Congress | :04:53. | :04:54. | |
convened this weekend in Beijing's Great | :04:55. | :04:56. | |
Hall of the People. The 3,000-strong event is staged | :04:57. | :04:58. | |
each year by the party, and is usually a forum | :04:59. | :05:03. | |
to rubber-stamp legislature But China's economy is in trouble, | :05:04. | :05:06. | |
and yesterday Premier Li Keqiang's annual report gave some clues | :05:07. | :05:10. | |
about the state of the economy in the year ahead, and there | :05:11. | :05:13. | |
are a lot of problems ahead. Economic growth is expected | :05:14. | :05:16. | |
to be unchanged from last That is one of the slowest growth | :05:17. | :05:20. | |
rates for more than a quarter This growth rate has complicated | :05:21. | :05:24. | |
Chinese government efforts to shift from an economic model based | :05:25. | :05:28. | |
on debt-fuelled investment and exports, towards | :05:29. | :05:30. | |
a consumer-driven one. The government also wants to trim | :05:31. | :05:31. | |
bloated state-owned government industries, while tackling | :05:32. | :05:37. | |
the slumping currency. And at the same time it needs | :05:38. | :05:40. | |
to halt the massive capital flight from Chinese enterprises seeking | :05:41. | :05:44. | |
better returns abroad, and also deal with fears | :05:45. | :05:46. | |
about a housing bubble Joining me now from Beijing | :05:47. | :05:49. | |
is Stephen McDonell. So the outlook for the economy has | :05:50. | :06:07. | |
been cut, but it is not a significant cut any means. 6.5%, | :06:08. | :06:11. | |
give us a sense of what people are saying about that. Well, therefore I | :06:12. | :06:16. | |
talk about the figures I suppose I should put a brief caveat on it that | :06:17. | :06:20. | |
some analysts think that you can't trust China's GDP figures at all | :06:21. | :06:25. | |
because in recent times we have seen provinces lying about their GDP | :06:26. | :06:28. | |
figures to either inflate the performance, they are supposedly | :06:29. | :06:33. | |
having, or to attract support from the Central government. But for the | :06:34. | :06:38. | |
purposes of this discussion let's just say that the figures are | :06:39. | :06:44. | |
ridgy-didge, as you might say in Australia, so 6.5% of GDP is down | :06:45. | :06:49. | |
from 6.7% achieved last year. But the Chinese government and Premier | :06:50. | :06:55. | |
Li Keqiang would say this is part of the plan, that we have to wean China | :06:56. | :06:59. | |
of this breakneck growth to achieve more sustainable, better growth into | :07:00. | :07:05. | |
the future. And you mentioned what they are trying to do. It is not to | :07:06. | :07:11. | |
rely so much on exports, in favour of domestic led consumption. Do not | :07:12. | :07:15. | |
rely so much on making shoes and things like that, and to get more | :07:16. | :07:19. | |
into hi-tech goods. What they would really like to do is to thrust China | :07:20. | :07:24. | |
into a world along the lines of the way South Korea did, or Taiwan did | :07:25. | :07:30. | |
in the past, to make this the next generator of... The new computers, | :07:31. | :07:35. | |
the new apps, the new hi-tech goods that the world is going to need. And | :07:36. | :07:41. | |
to do that, big changes are needed here. And is there any other key | :07:42. | :07:45. | |
elements that they have said so far, or revealed so far, that could | :07:46. | :07:49. | |
affect the Chinese economy in the coming year? Well, you also | :07:50. | :07:58. | |
mentioned the need to change SOEs and the role they are playing. It | :07:59. | :08:03. | |
has been a slow change there, because people who watch China will | :08:04. | :08:06. | |
know that steel, televisions, all these big industries, they are all | :08:07. | :08:12. | |
still controlled by state owned enterprises and some would say that | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
that is fine. It just depends what you want to achieve in your economy. | :08:17. | :08:20. | |
But there have been problems with, for example, they are trying to | :08:21. | :08:24. | |
crack down on what is called shadow banking because there is a big | :08:25. | :08:30. | |
problem with debt. Now, these SOEs that I mentioned get preferential | :08:31. | :08:33. | |
treatment in terms of loans from banks so smaller enterprises have | :08:34. | :08:37. | |
found it hard to get a loan so now they are trying to free up some of | :08:38. | :08:41. | |
the money needed for those businesses to get a loan, I guess to | :08:42. | :08:46. | |
take that money away from those SOEs. Thank you very much indeed. | :08:47. | :08:52. | |
In other news: Deutsche Bank will be offering new shares to raise | :08:53. | :08:55. | |
Germany's biggest bank plans to float part of its asset | :08:56. | :08:59. | |
management business, but will keep Postbank, | :09:00. | :09:00. | |
the retail banking business it had been expected to sell. | :09:01. | :09:03. | |
The shake-up follows huge losses and a $16 billion legal bill imposed | :09:04. | :09:06. | |
The US is suspending a fast-track service often used by technology | :09:07. | :09:12. | |
companies to recruit foreign skilled workers. | :09:13. | :09:14. | |
The H-1B visa is issued to tens of thousands of highly skilled | :09:15. | :09:17. | |
Currently, companies can pay extra to get the visas approved within 15 | :09:18. | :09:21. | |
days, but starting in April, this process will be stopped | :09:22. | :09:24. | |
Looking briefly at markets, let's show you how things are faring in | :09:25. | :09:42. | |
Asia. The news coming from North Korea did hit sentiment, certainly | :09:43. | :09:46. | |
in Japan. We see the yen strengthening in response to North | :09:47. | :09:51. | |
Korea's launch of four ballistic missile this morning. Obviously any | :09:52. | :09:54. | |
sort of geopolitical risk causes people to pull out of anything they | :09:55. | :09:59. | |
feel is of risk so the yen is strengthening as a safe haven and | :10:00. | :10:03. | |
some stocks like financials and exporters losing ground in Tokyo. | :10:04. | :10:09. | |
That's it for me for the moment, I will see you soon for the News | :10:10. | :10:11. | |
review. | :10:12. | :10:13. |