06/03/2017 World Business Report


06/03/2017

Similar Content

Browse content similar to 06/03/2017. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!

Transcript


LineFromTo

Now for the latest financial news, with Sally Bundock

:00:00.:00:00.

A European car colossus in the making.

:00:00.:00:18.

France's Peugeot Citroen is poised to buy General Motors' European

:00:19.:00:21.

business, including the Opel and Vauxhall brands.

:00:22.:00:27.

China's Premier cuts the economic growth target for this year.

:00:28.:00:30.

We look at the risks to the world's second-largest economy.

:00:31.:00:38.

Welcome to World Business Report, I'm Sally Bundock.

:00:39.:00:41.

Also in the programme: Deutsche Bank plans to raise billions of euros

:00:42.:00:45.

General Motors is set to announce a deal to sell Opel and Vauxhall

:00:46.:00:56.

to PSA Group, the French company that owns Peugeot and Citroen.

:00:57.:00:59.

Both companies are hosting a press conference in Paris

:01:00.:01:01.

Buying GM's loss-making European operations will make PSA

:01:02.:01:04.

the continent's second-biggest car maker, after Volkswagen and ahead

:01:05.:01:07.

of French rival Renault, and it will be a giant.

:01:08.:01:10.

Last year PSA and GM Europe sold a combined 4.3 million vehicles,

:01:11.:01:13.

and posted revenues of 71.6 billion euro.

:01:14.:01:15.

But the deal has already raised fears in the UK the jobs of 4,500

:01:16.:01:19.

workers at Vauxhall's plants could be under threat.

:01:20.:01:27.

In Germany, where two thirds of Opel's 38,000 staff are based,

:01:28.:01:32.

the government has been seeking reassurances the jobs are safe.

:01:33.:01:34.

Opel had hoped to return to profitability by 2016,

:01:35.:01:37.

but the slide in the value of sterling following the EU

:01:38.:01:40.

referendum last June contributed to its 257 million euro annual loss.

:01:41.:01:43.

With me is Jom Holder, editorial director of Autocar.

:01:44.:02:04.

Nice to see you. It is a very anticipated press conference. What

:02:05.:02:10.

do you think they will tell us? I think we won't learn a great deal

:02:11.:02:14.

this morning other than that the deal is going through. There is due

:02:15.:02:20.

diligence to go through afterwards and the car industry is slow-moving

:02:21.:02:24.

and making changes. There is no rush to change so they will play their

:02:25.:02:28.

cards close to their chest. And they will probably have to for political

:02:29.:02:31.

reasons. Where there will be job losses, in Germany, in an election

:02:32.:02:35.

year, in the UK is extremely sensitive with Ford's news about

:02:36.:02:39.

Bridgend last week emerging. What may happen to the various plants

:02:40.:02:44.

around Europe? At around 20 plants potentially affected from the Opel

:02:45.:02:50.

side, and even more from the PSA side. They are in a competitive

:02:51.:02:54.

situation and both companies are underperforming. The factories are

:02:55.:02:57.

not producing enough cars to be profitable on average so the obvious

:02:58.:03:01.

way to start making profits is to start imposing cuts but these

:03:02.:03:05.

factories work on seven to ten year cycles so the bosses of PSA can sit

:03:06.:03:09.

back and see what assurances they are offered by various government

:03:10.:03:13.

and what incentives they are offered in order to keep various factories

:03:14.:03:18.

open. To what extent does Brexit play a part in this story? The fall

:03:19.:03:23.

in the value of sterling has been a problem for European car makers.

:03:24.:03:28.

Absolutely, PSA blamed it for the reason they fell into loss last year

:03:29.:03:32.

and it is a problem because it brings uncertainty to the UK plants

:03:33.:03:38.

that Vauxhall has. It could hinder freedom of movement and ring

:03:39.:03:42.

fluctuations in currency, it could really undermine the certainty PSA

:03:43.:03:45.

is looking for when it wants to commit to these factories. On the

:03:46.:03:49.

plus side, from the point of view of PSA group and what it is doing, it

:03:50.:03:54.

has seen an incredible turnaround in the last couple of years.

:03:55.:03:57.

Absolutely, three years ago it was experiencing multibillion euro

:03:58.:04:01.

losses. It had a new leader who was famed for being able to turn

:04:02.:04:06.

companies around and he has done just that with PSA. He has made them

:04:07.:04:11.

incredibly profitable, higher profit margins than even VW at the moment.

:04:12.:04:19.

Also, GM prevented Vauxhall and Opel from selling in the United States.

:04:20.:04:24.

That could be more in the future. It could unleash Opel in a way it has

:04:25.:04:28.

never been unleashed. We have seen that before with great car

:04:29.:04:33.

companies, big groups like Ford, when it controlled Jaguar, Land

:04:34.:04:37.

Rover, Aston Martin, when it let them go, they all thrived. It could

:04:38.:04:42.

be good on a global scale for Opel. Thank you very much for your time.

:04:43.:04:47.

We expect a press release from PSA group in about 55 minutes time and

:04:48.:04:51.

the press conference is later. We will keep you up-to-date with the

:04:52.:04:52.

announcements come through. China's National People's Congress

:04:53.:04:54.

convened this weekend in Beijing's Great

:04:55.:04:56.

Hall of the People. The 3,000-strong event is staged

:04:57.:04:58.

each year by the party, and is usually a forum

:04:59.:05:03.

to rubber-stamp legislature But China's economy is in trouble,

:05:04.:05:06.

and yesterday Premier Li Keqiang's annual report gave some clues

:05:07.:05:10.

about the state of the economy in the year ahead, and there

:05:11.:05:13.

are a lot of problems ahead. Economic growth is expected

:05:14.:05:16.

to be unchanged from last That is one of the slowest growth

:05:17.:05:20.

rates for more than a quarter This growth rate has complicated

:05:21.:05:24.

Chinese government efforts to shift from an economic model based

:05:25.:05:28.

on debt-fuelled investment and exports, towards

:05:29.:05:30.

a consumer-driven one. The government also wants to trim

:05:31.:05:31.

bloated state-owned government industries, while tackling

:05:32.:05:37.

the slumping currency. And at the same time it needs

:05:38.:05:40.

to halt the massive capital flight from Chinese enterprises seeking

:05:41.:05:44.

better returns abroad, and also deal with fears

:05:45.:05:46.

about a housing bubble Joining me now from Beijing

:05:47.:05:49.

is Stephen McDonell. So the outlook for the economy has

:05:50.:06:07.

been cut, but it is not a significant cut any means. 6.5%,

:06:08.:06:11.

give us a sense of what people are saying about that. Well, therefore I

:06:12.:06:16.

talk about the figures I suppose I should put a brief caveat on it that

:06:17.:06:20.

some analysts think that you can't trust China's GDP figures at all

:06:21.:06:25.

because in recent times we have seen provinces lying about their GDP

:06:26.:06:28.

figures to either inflate the performance, they are supposedly

:06:29.:06:33.

having, or to attract support from the Central government. But for the

:06:34.:06:38.

purposes of this discussion let's just say that the figures are

:06:39.:06:44.

ridgy-didge, as you might say in Australia, so 6.5% of GDP is down

:06:45.:06:49.

from 6.7% achieved last year. But the Chinese government and Premier

:06:50.:06:55.

Li Keqiang would say this is part of the plan, that we have to wean China

:06:56.:06:59.

of this breakneck growth to achieve more sustainable, better growth into

:07:00.:07:05.

the future. And you mentioned what they are trying to do. It is not to

:07:06.:07:11.

rely so much on exports, in favour of domestic led consumption. Do not

:07:12.:07:15.

rely so much on making shoes and things like that, and to get more

:07:16.:07:19.

into hi-tech goods. What they would really like to do is to thrust China

:07:20.:07:24.

into a world along the lines of the way South Korea did, or Taiwan did

:07:25.:07:30.

in the past, to make this the next generator of... The new computers,

:07:31.:07:35.

the new apps, the new hi-tech goods that the world is going to need. And

:07:36.:07:41.

to do that, big changes are needed here. And is there any other key

:07:42.:07:45.

elements that they have said so far, or revealed so far, that could

:07:46.:07:49.

affect the Chinese economy in the coming year? Well, you also

:07:50.:07:58.

mentioned the need to change SOEs and the role they are playing. It

:07:59.:08:03.

has been a slow change there, because people who watch China will

:08:04.:08:06.

know that steel, televisions, all these big industries, they are all

:08:07.:08:12.

still controlled by state owned enterprises and some would say that

:08:13.:08:16.

that is fine. It just depends what you want to achieve in your economy.

:08:17.:08:20.

But there have been problems with, for example, they are trying to

:08:21.:08:24.

crack down on what is called shadow banking because there is a big

:08:25.:08:30.

problem with debt. Now, these SOEs that I mentioned get preferential

:08:31.:08:33.

treatment in terms of loans from banks so smaller enterprises have

:08:34.:08:37.

found it hard to get a loan so now they are trying to free up some of

:08:38.:08:41.

the money needed for those businesses to get a loan, I guess to

:08:42.:08:46.

take that money away from those SOEs. Thank you very much indeed.

:08:47.:08:52.

In other news: Deutsche Bank will be offering new shares to raise

:08:53.:08:55.

Germany's biggest bank plans to float part of its asset

:08:56.:08:59.

management business, but will keep Postbank,

:09:00.:09:00.

the retail banking business it had been expected to sell.

:09:01.:09:03.

The shake-up follows huge losses and a $16 billion legal bill imposed

:09:04.:09:06.

The US is suspending a fast-track service often used by technology

:09:07.:09:12.

companies to recruit foreign skilled workers.

:09:13.:09:14.

The H-1B visa is issued to tens of thousands of highly skilled

:09:15.:09:17.

Currently, companies can pay extra to get the visas approved within 15

:09:18.:09:21.

days, but starting in April, this process will be stopped

:09:22.:09:24.

Looking briefly at markets, let's show you how things are faring in

:09:25.:09:42.

Asia. The news coming from North Korea did hit sentiment, certainly

:09:43.:09:46.

in Japan. We see the yen strengthening in response to North

:09:47.:09:51.

Korea's launch of four ballistic missile this morning. Obviously any

:09:52.:09:54.

sort of geopolitical risk causes people to pull out of anything they

:09:55.:09:59.

feel is of risk so the yen is strengthening as a safe haven and

:10:00.:10:03.

some stocks like financials and exporters losing ground in Tokyo.

:10:04.:10:09.

That's it for me for the moment, I will see you soon for the News

:10:10.:10:11.

review.

:10:12.:10:13.

Download Subtitles

SRT

ASS