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Now it's time for World Business Report. | :00:00. | :00:14. | |
Turning up the heat - Qatar's credit rating is cut | :00:15. | :00:24. | |
Plus - he's cut ties with his business empire | :00:25. | :00:28. | |
but a lawsuit claims President Trump is still flouting | :00:29. | :00:31. | |
Also coming up - China's trade figures surge in May, | :00:32. | :00:48. | |
they are surging, cheering investors but spelling more controversy | :00:49. | :00:51. | |
Concerns are growing about economic fallout after fellow Arab states cut | :00:52. | :01:14. | |
ties with Qatar over their links with alleged terrorist groups. | :01:15. | :01:17. | |
Standard and Poor's has cut their rating, the stock market is down 10% | :01:18. | :01:23. | |
in the currency is at 11- year low. Qatar is a tiny nation but a very | :01:24. | :01:25. | |
important one business terms. It has one of the world's largest | :01:26. | :01:29. | |
reserves of natural gas - it has seen exports of its liquefied | :01:30. | :01:35. | |
natural gas or LNG soar That's made the state | :01:36. | :01:38. | |
phenomenally wealthy - it has built up one of the world's | :01:39. | :01:41. | |
biggest sovereign wealth funds, It's used that money to buy | :01:42. | :01:46. | |
assets across the globe. They range from Paris | :01:47. | :01:53. | |
Saint-Germain Football Club, in Volkswagen, Russian oil giant | :01:54. | :01:55. | |
Rosneft and commodities trader Not to mention millions of square | :01:56. | :02:00. | |
metres of London including the Shard The success of Qatar Airways has | :02:01. | :02:10. | |
made it a major aviation hub. But more than 50 flights | :02:11. | :02:17. | |
a day have been grounded And it's a huge employer | :02:18. | :02:21. | |
of migrant workers - many of whom are working on stadiums | :02:22. | :02:31. | |
for the 2022 World Cup. Families from India | :02:32. | :02:34. | |
to the Philippines depend There are half a million workers | :02:35. | :02:36. | |
from India alone in Qatar. So how serious could | :02:37. | :02:42. | |
the economic impact be? Joining us now, Laura James, | :02:43. | :02:54. | |
senior Middle East analyst Give us an idea of how important it | :02:55. | :03:08. | |
is that this is solved quickly. It's important. The most obvious is food | :03:09. | :03:14. | |
imports. Qatar is completely food independent. Around 10%, especially | :03:15. | :03:24. | |
most of the dairy and more of it is shipped through ports controlled by | :03:25. | :03:32. | |
Dubai, for example. If we then lurk at the impact on the air sector. In | :03:33. | :03:43. | |
advance of the 2022 World Cup. If we look at how migrant workers will be | :03:44. | :03:47. | |
affected. It's an extremely serious impact. For those reasons alone, do | :03:48. | :03:54. | |
you think Qatar will have to give ground here? At the moment, it is | :03:55. | :03:58. | |
not doing so. It's a question of who is going blink first. It is. Saudi | :03:59. | :04:05. | |
Arabia and the United Arab Emirates and Egypt are throwing everything | :04:06. | :04:09. | |
they can as this, forcing Qatar to concede quickly. Political and | :04:10. | :04:14. | |
economic pressure is being piled on. There has never been a break like | :04:15. | :04:18. | |
this in the Gulf. There was a crisis in 2014 which was nothing like this. | :04:19. | :04:24. | |
They want them to concede quickly. Qatar at the moment has decided not | :04:25. | :04:30. | |
to fight back. For example, they are still sending gas through the | :04:31. | :04:33. | |
Dolphin pipeline to the United Arab Emirates. The sovereign wealth fund | :04:34. | :04:38. | |
has not taken any action on redeploying assets. They've not | :04:39. | :04:41. | |
expelled any citizens of other Gulf countries or the hundreds of | :04:42. | :04:45. | |
thousands of Egyptian migrant workers who are in Qatar. If they | :04:46. | :04:49. | |
decided to fight back, there would be a 2- way impact on the other | :04:50. | :04:54. | |
countries want to avoid this, they want to click concession. If it does | :04:55. | :05:01. | |
escalate in Qatar decides to fight back, what the implications? Your | :05:02. | :05:05. | |
Mac there is a real break in the Gulf. Other countries must take | :05:06. | :05:09. | |
sides. For example, shipping lines would have to do is -- shipping | :05:10. | :05:15. | |
lines would have to decide if they brought cargo into Doha or into the | :05:16. | :05:20. | |
UAE. They may -- they might not allowed to do both. Given the Gulf | :05:21. | :05:25. | |
Cooperation Council has spent the last several decades trying to | :05:26. | :05:31. | |
improve economic integration, plenty of Gulf citizens intermarry and live | :05:32. | :05:34. | |
in each other's countries, this really affects the world economy. We | :05:35. | :05:39. | |
appreciate your time and analysis. Something we will discuss a bit | :05:40. | :05:44. | |
further as well when we look at how some of the newspapers in the region | :05:45. | :05:46. | |
are commentating. To Asia now where there's news that | :05:47. | :05:46. | |
China's economy is doing Exports and imports were up | :05:47. | :05:49. | |
strongly last month, More good news out of China. | :05:50. | :06:08. | |
That's right, the -- keeping our fingers crossed the economy might be | :06:09. | :06:12. | |
turning a corner, this could be sustained in the following months | :06:13. | :06:20. | |
but exports rising, imports up 50%, and that that the country with a | :06:21. | :06:24. | |
trade surplus of around $41 billion for the month. Boosting exports for | :06:25. | :06:32. | |
China and other trade reliant Asian economies. After several lean years | :06:33. | :06:37. | |
of declining shipments. One of the export numbers that analysts are | :06:38. | :06:42. | |
watching is China chasing statistics with America. The mainland had a $22 | :06:43. | :06:48. | |
billion trade surplus in the US with May. The surplus was the mainland's | :06:49. | :06:53. | |
highest since November but if we know President Trump, this could | :06:54. | :06:56. | |
stir up a tweet from him because he's been complaining about the | :06:57. | :07:00. | |
widening Budget deficit with paging. Also in the minds of investors, the | :07:01. | :07:05. | |
strong appetite for imports, particularly industrial commodities | :07:06. | :07:10. | |
which is boosting resources worldwide. For Donald Trump, the | :07:11. | :07:24. | |
fact that a We are also talking about another | :07:25. | :07:25. | |
potential worry for President Trump. Not today's testimony from sacked | :07:26. | :07:29. | |
FBI director James Comey - but a lawsuit claiming | :07:30. | :07:32. | |
he is flouting the US constitution. It bans presidents from receiving | :07:33. | :07:35. | |
gifts or payments from foreign governments - something the lawsuit | :07:36. | :07:38. | |
claims Mr Trump receives through his hotel | :07:39. | :07:40. | |
and business empire. The President of the United States, | :07:41. | :07:48. | |
Donald Trump, is being sued. The lawsuit argues that Mr Trump's | :07:49. | :07:51. | |
businesses are getting money from foreign governments which is a no-no | :07:52. | :07:55. | |
according to the US Constitution's Morley 's calls. What is in | :07:56. | :08:01. | |
emoluments? It is an 18p -- an 18th-century term for bribes? Given | :08:02. | :08:04. | |
the connection to the President it's easy to see how this all tolls and | :08:05. | :08:09. | |
restaurants have an advantage in attracting business. It's hard to | :08:10. | :08:13. | |
compete against them and customers might choose a Trump business in | :08:14. | :08:18. | |
case it gives them a little in with the commander-in-chief. When those | :08:19. | :08:22. | |
dignitaries choose to dine there and hold events there, they are not | :08:23. | :08:25. | |
going to some of the restaurants that are owned by the restaurant | :08:26. | :08:29. | |
owners that are part of our organisation so they are uniquely | :08:30. | :08:35. | |
harmed by those decisions. Our members can't compete with the | :08:36. | :08:39. | |
President of the United States. This is exactly what the authors of the | :08:40. | :08:43. | |
Constitution were worried about and why they included the emoluments | :08:44. | :08:47. | |
clause in the first place. But so what? If a bunch of restaurants are | :08:48. | :08:50. | |
losing a bit of business, isn't that just capitalism? The American people | :08:51. | :08:57. | |
shouldn't have to question whether the President of the United States | :08:58. | :09:00. | |
is actually taking into account his personal business interests and | :09:01. | :09:05. | |
favouring, say, Russia or China or some other country. The Justice | :09:06. | :09:10. | |
Department is representing the president and on Friday they will | :09:11. | :09:14. | |
submit reasons why they think this case should be thrown out | :09:15. | :09:16. | |
altogether. But assuming the judge will hear the case, or that | :09:17. | :09:21. | |
threatens to reveal business information that Mr Trump would | :09:22. | :09:33. | |
rather keep private. The markets are going to be watching everything | :09:34. | :09:39. | |
going on Capitol Hill. Also, they are watching very closely the | :09:40. | :09:42. | |
European Central Bank meeting which takes place today and the UK | :09:43. | :09:45. | |
election, the outcome -- the outcome of which we will know the bubbly | :09:46. | :09:51. | |
this time tomorrow. Fairly flat in Asia at the | :09:52. | :09:52. |