24/08/2017 World Business Report


24/08/2017

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Now it's time for World Business Report.

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Mountains of questions for the world's central bankers

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as they gather in Jackson Hole Wyoming for their annual meeting.

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Plus, dying with dignity, but at what financial cost?

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We look at the growing bill for end-of-life care.

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As part of our week-long series on the business of death.

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We start in the US mountain resort of Jackson Hole,

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Population around 9,000, and normally known for the quality

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But today it's also the focus of global financial markets,

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as it hosts an annual meeting of central bankers from more than 40

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Top billing, of course goes to the host, US Federal Reserve

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chief Janet Yellen - so what will investors be

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Well, for a start, any clue on the Fed's next move

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It has increased the cost of borrowing three times since

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But new figures are raising questions about how strong the US

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Not to mention the huge political uncertainty that's bothering

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Then there's the small matter of this - the $4.5 trillion mountain

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It printed money to buy up all that debt, and so support the financial

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system in the wake of the 2008 crisis.

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And what impact will that have on the markets?

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Investors will also be listening closely to this man -

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European Central Bank President Mario Draghi.

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He's attending for the first time in three years.

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Some think he may try to use his speech to talk down the value

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of the euro, which has been surging in recent days.

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Professor Alan Auerbach from UC Berkeley is one of the speakers

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He joins us now. Professor, let's talk about interest rates first. Is

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there an inflationary problem? Do they need to put up interest rates

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as we thought they probably would do in December? Welcome United States

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has been putting up interest rates, which make increases this year and

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another projected for December. But our headline inflation rate is

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actually slightly below the target 2% rate. So there has been a debate

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in the United States about whether or not there should be a slower

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increase in interest rates or whether inflation is just around the

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corner and we should be trying to pre-empt it. Do you think it would

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be dangerous to put up interest rates? Well, we are doing it very

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gradually. Federal Reserve has signalled, given a lot of advance

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information about its plans, that there is very little surprise about

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these increases. They have been gradual so far. The headline

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interest rate is still pretty low. But of course there is some danger.

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It depends on what one looks out. Looking at inflation, looking at

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wage growth, it doesn't seem as though the economy is very strong.

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But if you look at our unemployment rate, which is the lowest it has

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been in years, and the fact that we have had an expansion now for eight

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years, it certainly seems like the economy is going pretty well. But

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the odd situation you have is this low inflation, as you say, and all

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that cheap money that has been produced over the last few years has

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gone into asset which have gone rocketing up and prices, and I am

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particularly looking at the stock market, what you do about that. Do

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you just let it go? This issue has come up before. It came up during

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Alan Greenspan's tenure and the question was, during the bubbles,

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was whether they should do anything. The Fed has generally taken the

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position that it is not in the business of trying to control asset

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market values. It sees its job as inflation and employment, and

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allowing the asset markets to take care of themselves. Undoubtedly

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people at the fed are thinking about this. As well as interest rates are

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very low, and inspected to remain low for a long time, including

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long-term interest rates, that contributes to high asset prices,

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because the alternative of returns from bonds is so low. What about

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elsewhere in the world? Are we not now in an era where monitor policy

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is going to be tightening in interest rates are going to be going

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up? They are going to be going up in Europe and Asia. Europe is a bit

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behind the US in terms of the elements. -- in these developments.

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We have talked about tapering the quantitative easing, the large

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balance sheet that the Federal Reserve has, and increasing interest

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rates. The ECB has not started either of those yet. It probably

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will, because the continental European economy has been picking up

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recently. That will probably start in Europe as well. Of course, the

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United Kingdom has a different set of circumstances. A higher inflation

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rate, but also concerns about economic related -- economic growth,

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especially related to Brexit. Professor, thank you for joining us.

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My pleasure. We are also continuing our week-long

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series on the business of death, looking at the financial issues

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raised by aging populations Today we are in Singapore,

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where like many advanced Asian economies, the number of older

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people is on the rise. And so is the demand for end-of-life

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care for the terminally ill. Hospices have traditionally relied

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on charity, but now Singapore's government is pledging more

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funds for palliative care Catching up on his daily news, this

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83-year-old still likes to know what is going on, in spite of being

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diagnosed with just weeks to live, he is spending the last days of his

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life at this hospice, one of the few dedicated palliative care centres in

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Singapore, which has room for 50 terminally ill patients like him. It

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costs $10 million annually to run the centre, with funds from

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charitable donations, the government, and patients themselves.

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He says he is grateful to be here. Doctor Lionel Lee is the chairman of

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the hospice. He also sings to help lift spirits. He says this

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charitable aspect of the centre is crucial. As our population ages and

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we have to look at these end of life issues, it is becoming difficult for

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families to manage patients on their own, and it has taken a watt of

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resources. We have 400 volunteers and these volunteers participate in

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the lives of our patients and their families. But volunteers alone

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cannot address the demand that a rising elderly population requires.

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These patients get round the clock care to manage their pain and their

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symptoms. But there is a shortage of such facilities and a waiting list

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for this one. A sure sign that demand for hospices is bound to

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grow. But it is not for everybody. Some prefer to stay with the

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comforts of their own home, and this is where the private sector is

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hoping to fill the gap. I do see an opportunity for the private sector

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to engage in palliative care. In fact, I can imagine and Uber model

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where the private sector creates the platform and allows consumers and

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suppliers to interact with each other. The challenges that levity

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wants to pay for end of life care. Ultimately, to make these models

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sustainable, we are going to need government financing. Death is an

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inevitable human experience. But because of the cost of such care,

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centres like the Dover Park Hospice count on their volunteers. Because

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at the end of life, putting aside the worry of cost and constant pain,

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it is the little things that can make one's final days as comforting

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as possible. Just a couple of other stories to tell you about.

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Taxi app Uber says it took bookings worth $8.7 billion in three months

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to the end of June, up 17% on the same period last year.

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The total number of bookings was up 150%.

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It's still losing money, though - some $645 million in the three-month

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period - but that figure is falling each quarter.

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The positive financial news comes as Uber battles a string

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Investors have valued the company at over $68 billion.

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The UK food industry has warned that a post-Brexit labour shortage

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could leave a third of its businesses unviable.

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The Food and Drink Federation says the sector faces "a rapidly

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approaching workforce shortage and skills gap."

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Almost half of all businesses it surveyed said EU nationals working

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in the UK were considering leaving, and 31% of them have already seen EU

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Amazon's $13.7 billion bid to buy the organic grocery chain

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The Nikkei is down by 52, not very much. The Hang Seng is looking

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strong. Oil is unchanged. That is business. I will be back looking at

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the newspapers in a few minutes. Yes, Jamie will be joining me

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shortly for the news review. The husband of a women killed

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by a cyclist riding an illegal bike has called for new laws to tackle

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"irresponsible and reckless"

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