The Big Debate - Choosing Scotland's Future


The Big Debate - Choosing Scotland's Future

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It is about Scotland's future, Good evening and welcome to the

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programme. This is the second in a series of discussions in the run-up

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to the vote on independence in 2014. What ever you hope and concerns,

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expectations or reservations, we will give them an airing. We have a

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studio audience with people from across Scotland, representing a

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cross-section of opinion. Fighting for taking part. Here to answer

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them are Patrick Harvey. Nicola First question. I would like to ask

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the panel were living in an independent Scotland could do for

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me. What living in an independent Scotland could do for Karen and

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others like her? First and foremost, independence means the big

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decisions about Scotland and the future of the country, how

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resources are spent, are taken by people in Scotland. We are a rich

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country with a skilled population, abundant natural resources.

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Independence gives us the ability to use those resources to create

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wealth for families, individuals and communities, to improve social

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justice and to take decisions do not have Trident nuclear missiles

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on the River Clyde but instead, use those resources to benefit people

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in Scotland. It is about putting the power and the decision-making

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in the hands of people who live here, the people who care most

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about the future of Scotland. power already lies with the people

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of Scotland. We will have disagreements or myth and up to

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date. -- on this panel. We all love Scotland and we just had different

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ideas about what is in the best interests of the country. Why do

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not want this to be a false choice between who loves Scotland and who

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hits the Tories. Scotland has played an important part in

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creating the success of the UK. 300 years of shared history, should

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security ensured prosperity. Scotland was the founder of the

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Bank of England, a Welshman created the NHS, an English man at the

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Welsh -- the welfare state. Scotland's best interests lie

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economically, politically and socially been part of the UK. We

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can stand stronger in partnership as part of the UK. That is a

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positive case for the UK. Can I ask, what do you hope an independent

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Scotland can do for do? I hope that an independent Scotland can give

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Bath a much more prominent economy and make life better for the people

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of Scotland. Better jobs, better conditions as well, living

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conditions. Is that is what is going to happen? We do not know. We

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do not know what is going to happen to the Scottish economy if we vote

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for independence. We do not know what is going to happen to the

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Scottish or British economy if Scotland stays in the UK. We are in

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challenging economic times. We have seen the failure of a centre-right

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neo-liberal economic model which has been the flavour of choice of

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UK governments, whether it is Labour or the Tories, with or

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without the Liberal Democrat helpers. The opportunity to break

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our dependence on that economic model is the opportunity to make

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our own successes or failures. None of us can tell you all know what is

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going to happen to the local economy, the national economy or

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the global economy over the next few years. The opportunity that we

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have is to take a new direction, to start working out some choices. It

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is important we debate is openly. By the time we come to the

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referendum, more than two years away, we have specific proposals

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and the pro independence parties, myself and the SNP and others, and

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people who are asking you to vote Yes, need to be much more specific

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by the time we get to the referendum, rather than sign it can

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be all things to all people and all the policy decisions will be taken

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after the referendum. We need to be clear and give people a positive

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reason to vote yes. To me, that means transformation of politics

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and moving away from the centre right dead hand that we have seen

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over the last 30 years, gripping the UK economy and politics.

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gentleman on the front row. have just brain -- blamed the new

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liberal centre-right, but go back to 2007. Alex Salmond wrote a

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letter to go up -- to Fred Goodwin. That was picked up by Channel 4

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:06:32.:06:34.

News, and in it he offered every assistance for Fred Goodwin in

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eight fired will take over. That led to a financial collapse. The

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Royal Bank of Scotland would have been a Scottish bank under

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independence. In 2008, Alex Salmond travelled to Harvard and made his

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infamous CAB the Gleision speech, wishes mysteriously missing from

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the SNP website. -- his infamous Celtic Tiger speech. Alex Salmond

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said there we should be in the euro. At the moment, he is saying none of

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these things. The centre-right neo- liberal agenda that may well have

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:07:33.:07:34.

failed, Alex Salmond bought into that. We will be discussing a few

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of these subjects in more detail later. I would like to think we

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have all learned lessons from the banks. Remember, they collapsed

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under the UK. No previous Labour government gave Fred Goodwin a

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knighthood which he has had taken away from him. We will not be

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taking any lessons from the Conservatives about banking. Norway

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is a richer country than the United Kingdom, it has one of the lowest

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:08:19.:08:22.

rates of unemployment across the whole of Europe. It is an example

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of a successful country. A little while ago, we heard in the NHS as

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the reason to stay in the UK. It is being broken up and privatised in

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England. It is only because we have Paris over the NHS in Scotland that

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we are able to keep up. I would like to go back to the First Lady's

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question. Not only do we share of the advantages, but we also share

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risks. When you are looking at the world economy at the moment, the

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European economy, you do not just look at the risks that we share and

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the stability we share in a military sense, you also look at it

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economically. You say yes, what happened to the banks was terrible

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and it was only because we had the might of a larger nation that we

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were able to absorb that and ensure that people did not lose their

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deposits. In Iceland, they have had democratic reform in the banking

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system. There has no -- be no movement towards banking reform

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here. There is huge reform going on in the banking sector right now.

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Not one megabyte! We are making sure this sort of thing does not

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happen again right across Europe. We are looking at liquidity within

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banks. To say that nothing has happened is nonsense. Let's hear

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from this gentleman. Is it not the point that people across Scotland

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are asking the SNP, whose party has been in existence for 80 years,

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they still do not have substantial answers to questions on the economy,

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defence and welfare and time after time, the SNP have no answers? They

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are asking us to say yes to a proposition with no detail

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:10:44.:10:46.

whatsoever. Is that not a bit cheeky? This gentleman. I would

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like to come back to beat remarks about shared prosperity. I come

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from an Unnefer ment blackspot. We do not seek sure prosperity. We

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would do better in an independent Scotland, to be honest. This

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gentleman. At the start, Nicola Sturgeon said it was under the UK

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Government that the Bank of Scotland and various other banks

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went through troubles but then again, we have also got Greece and

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spraint and throughout Europe, countries and banks are failing. Is

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that the UK's fault as well? It is a global economy and would Scotland

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not be better off as part of the UK to get through that and have more

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security in troubled times? Thank you. This will be a recurring theme.

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Let's go on to question two. issue the Scottish people want to

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know about is whether in 10 years' time, Scotland will be financially

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:12:03.:12:05.

better off if they leave the union. Please can we have straight answers.

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Will Scotland be financially better off? It would be a mistake to vote

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yes or no on the basis of whether you think individually, you might

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be a bit better off or worse off. The question is not just about

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whether we get richer. We have had, for decades, when we had economic

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growth and when we had recession, we have had growing inequality, we

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have had profound damage to the environment, we have had failure on

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social justice and other things that give people quality of life.

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That is at a time when GDP was going up or down. To meet -- to me,

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and this is within the Green movement as well, the opportunity

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to redefine by what we mean by economic success is not just about

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whether we are richer or poorer, but whether we can create a more

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cohesive society in which we look after each other and our

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environment better, and there are so many examples of policy areas

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where the Scottish Parliament simply is bound at the moment,

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cannot act to achieve a more equal society, cannot act to achieve some

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of the business regulation that is necessary to stop people and the

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environment being exploited. I think it would be a mistake to vote

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on this question just in terms of prosperity, it goes deeper than

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The question comes in two parts. There is a question about whether

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individuals would be richer or not. That is to do with opportunities,

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jobs for young people coming out of schools. I notice when the pro

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independence launch was on Friday, there was not a single businessman

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I saw anywhere near the stage. I thought it was an interesting

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comment on how the... RBS did such a good job as well.

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I'm looking at that. Also it's about countries being able to pay

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their bills and looking after the least advantaged in our society.

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You are looking for facts and figures. Over the last ten years,

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the wealthier spend in Scotland has been bigger every single year than

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the entire tax from all North Sea oil revenues. Even Alex Salmond

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says he does not want all oil revenues. For 2010, that number was

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three times the welfare spend in Scotland was three times the entire

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North Sea oil tax take. What people have to bear in mind when they look

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forward is not just figures on debt and deficit, also about things paid

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for across the whole of the UK that Scotland will be paying for by

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itself, things like welfare. Things like defence spend, things like

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subsidies to wind farms. So there is a lot of facts and figures we

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have to drill down on. Facts and figures we're not get from the pro

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separatist campaign. At this point, it might be useful if we check with

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the entire panel - can anybody actually say at this stage, hand on

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heart, if we will be better off or not, given nobody can predict the

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coming cycle? The success of any country anywhere in the world is

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how good its Government is and how good the decisions are. I believe

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with every fibre of my being that an independent Scotland has the

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potential to be financially better off as an independent country than

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we are right now. Let's talk facts and figures. The Government

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expenditure in revenue... Not published by politicians, but by

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civil servants, shows right now if Scotland was independent would be

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�500 for every person in Scotland better off than right now. There

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are some facts and figures. Ruth talks about welfare spending and

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things like that. What she forgets to tell you is each and every one

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of you who pays for taxes currently pays for these things. We more than

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pay our way in the United Kingdom. For any politician, or for anybody

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else to argue in any way that Scotland is supbsised and could not

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stand on -- subsidised and could not stand on our own two feet is

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not being honest with you. cannot say Scotland is a net

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contributor, because we are running a debt at the moment, but actually

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Scotland contributes more for its per capita share. Of course

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Scotland can be a success as a country.

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The interesting point is Nicola, when Nicola answered the question,

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she gave the example of Norway. Alex Salmond was quoted saying he

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would give an arm and a leg to have the economic problems of Ireland.

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The reality is while I disagree with Patrick when he says he

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supports independence, at least he says what he believes. That's not

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what we see from Nicola or the SNP. It is not credible to say we want

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true independence, but at the same time we will give our... Let me

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finish my point. To say we will make our biggest business partner,

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our biggest competitor. We will set our interest rates and, set our

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spending limbs - that's not credible economic policy. That is

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what you see in every single poll that is done. The vast majority of

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people say they believe we are better off as part of the UK and

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:18:19.:18:22.

want to remain such. I am from Aberdeen actually. My point,

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everybody likes freedom of speech - this is good, everybody likes it.

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We can at this moment put the position in the world. If it is

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actually to become an independent country, become second in position

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- what will be the position of the Scotland at that time?

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OK, thank you. This gentleman in the middle of the room here. Yes,

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you, Sir. Thank you. I think hafr Patrick Harvie is

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right when he says there are bigger issues than the economic ones.

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Surely that being the case the devolution max option gives us

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benefits with few of the risks. I ask for a show of hands here. How

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many people here think devow Max should be an option on the

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referendum ballot. That is interesting. You are divided on

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that. I would like to ask Ms Sturgeon, in particular, your party

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and Mr Salmond was a while talking about the Bank of England having -

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contributing to our interest rates and things. How can we be an

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independent country if they are, you know, involved in our economic

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policy? How does that make us an independent country? Let's pick up

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that question also with black blbg black. This is something you were -

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- with Nicholas Black. This is something you were interested in.

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Would an independent Scotland be in the euro or stick with sterling and

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would it make it truly independent? The issue about what currency we

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use and how much independence we can have if monetary policy is tied

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in another country? We want to stay in sterling. We think there would

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be advantages to the UK, because our exports, our oil and gas, our

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whisky exports, our range of other exports make a massive contribution

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to the UK balance of payments. There are advantages in both ways.

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The real levers we need with independence to get our economy

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growing, to create wealth are fiscal levers. We don't have any

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meaningful ones at the moment. That is what we teed to be independent

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and get the economy -- need to be independent and get the economy

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moving. Tony Blair used to argue to go into the euro. You are not

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saying that now, are you? You said we should join the euro. Now you

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are saying... Tony Blair wanted to join the euro.

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You have noticed, the only test you have is what can we say to try and

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persuade people that actually everything will be fine. There

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seems to be wufpb rule for Labour and another for everybody else here.

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The important point about the euro is - look I will not make a point

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about Greece and Ireland. You cannot have a monetary union

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without a fiscal and political union. You can't.

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And what the SNP are trying to say is we can stay part of sterling,

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let England set our interest rates. Probably a Tory Government to set

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our spending and borrowing limits. It is not a credible policy. The

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reason they no longer want to join the euro is because they have

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realised it is immensely unpopular and they realise people will run

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one million miles away from it. Answer that about what controls you

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can have. In terms of going into the euro, how long can you wait to

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go into the euro if you stay within the EU? We said clearly for the

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foreseeable future we would not advocate entry to the euro. I think

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Anas is wrong. The key lesson is you cannot have a successful

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monetary union when you have wildly di ger vapbt economies like the

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richest parts of Germany and the poorest piece of Greece. That is

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not true across the UK, where productivity levels are very

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similar. I think it has been described as... You can have a

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successful monetary union, it is called the United Kingdom.

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There would be a... Should we take it for granted that the Bank of

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England will be the lender for us for last resort? We shouldn't. As

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somebody who has never changed their mind on the euro, we need to

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go back to the fundamental question... Is that a good thing,

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if circumstances change? Let's look at the circumstances right now. The

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fundamental question the SNP have not answered when it comes to

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Europe is they do not accept or admit that a separate Scottish

:23:20.:23:24.

state would have to apply to join the EU. One of the rules is you

:23:24.:23:28.

have to adopt the euro. That is the law. So, it may not be within the

:23:28.:23:33.

choice of an independent Scotland. Now, so sure is Nicola of her

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position and we checked on this, that she has never even checked

:23:37.:23:41.

with Europe what the law would be. We wrote to the President of the

:23:41.:23:45.

European Commission to ask if the SNP had ever checked what the

:23:45.:23:49.

status of an independent Scotland would be. I have the letter which I

:23:49.:23:54.

got back from his office here, which I will be happy to let Nicola

:23:54.:24:00.

see, which states that not only has the President been asked by the SNP

:24:00.:24:09.

in Government or opposition, but no other commissioner has either. The

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assertions are based on nothing more than wishful thinking. That is

:24:14.:24:18.

not enough to make a decision that is irreversible.

:24:18.:24:23.

APPLAUSE I should say that should have been

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submitted in evidence before happened, so we can check. This is

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from the President of the commission.

:24:37.:24:41.

Former judges, firstly about the fact that an independent Scotland

:24:42.:24:44.

would automatically be in the European Union and we would not be

:24:45.:24:50.

compelled to be in the Europe. SPEAK AT ONCE

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Thank you, thank you. We go to the audience. I just find

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that I really enjoy the news and I read an awful lot of news and

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current affairs and follow the SNP and followed all the parties in

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front of me. If there was an obvious financial advantage of

:25:09.:25:14.

being independent, I would know that. I would know that now. I'm...

:25:14.:25:18.

I can't see it. Nobody's going to put money on a horse that they

:25:18.:25:21.

don't think will win. Nobody will buy a lottery ticket if they don't

:25:22.:25:26.

think they will win. Yes, the money can fund the system. Can somebody

:25:26.:25:32.

in the SNP tell me what the financial advantage is to the

:25:32.:25:37.

country of independence? OK, this gentleman here in the blue shirt.

:25:37.:25:42.

am fed up with the money argument. There is an obsession with money.

:25:42.:25:50.

APPLAUSE There's no link between money and

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happiness, whether we would be �200 better off. I would like to see a

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happier and more... No, no, that would not make an initial impact.

:26:03.:26:06.

When you look at what is happening, it is not just about material

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comfort, it is about whether people can make decisions. Scottish brand

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is one of the strongest in the world. I love being Scottish.

:26:18.:26:23.

great you are interacting. The gentleman behind you here.

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Sorry, we keep missing you. The gentleman with the beard. I am

:26:28.:26:32.

horrified to see that nobody on the panel was going to say that over

:26:32.:26:36.

ten years they expected Scotland to become better off. Now Patrick

:26:36.:26:40.

Harvie thinks it is likely we'll be poorer. Now the world economy,

:26:40.:26:45.

outside the EU at least, is growing at 6% every year. That means that

:26:45.:26:50.

10%, that is over ten years. We would have doubled the size of the

:26:50.:26:56.

world economy. Yet none of these people would expect Scotland, an

:26:56.:27:01.

independent Scotland would be in any way better off. I don't agree

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with the gentleman in the front that it is financial... I do want

:27:06.:27:10.

to live in a better off world. the back here. In the middle at the

:27:10.:27:16.

back. Yes, thank you. For the Europe and the euro issue,

:27:16.:27:23.

shouldn't we get clear-cut answers. Will we be in the euro if we are

:27:23.:27:28.

independent or not? Why hasn't anyone asked for a real yes or no

:27:28.:27:32.

answer? Nicola Sturgeon, would an independent Scotland be in Europe

:27:32.:27:37.

and use the euro in the foreseeable future? We would be in Europe, yes.

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For the foreseeable future we would not use the euro.

:27:41.:27:46.

We don't know the answer to that question. The legal advise has not

:27:46.:27:50.

been sought by the Scottish Government.

:27:50.:27:57.

This is the most important point, the legal opinion is legal opinion

:27:57.:28:01.

pre-the Lisbon Treaty. We are not in the European exchange rate

:28:02.:28:11.
:28:12.:28:21.

mechanism. I am finding this part of the

:28:21.:28:24.

debate frustrating, not just because I can barely hear when

:28:24.:28:27.

people are talking over each other, but also because we are talking

:28:28.:28:31.

about whether we would join the euro, and it has never been my

:28:31.:28:36.

party policy, whether we would have to, whether we would be in the EU.

:28:36.:28:41.

We do not even know what is going to the future of the European Union.

:28:41.:28:46.

We do not know where the EU or euro will be by 2014, never mind 2016

:28:46.:28:53.

when a free vote yes, Scotland would be independent. -- if we vote

:28:53.:28:59.

yes. We need realism about the uncertainties. I agree with Anas

:28:59.:29:03.

Sarwar that there are problems with the idea of that currency union

:29:03.:29:08.

without a political union. Even though Scotland and the rest of the

:29:08.:29:11.

UK are closer together in terms of their economy at the moment, in

:29:11.:29:17.

reality, they would diverge if we were independent. If the SNP want

:29:17.:29:21.

to make a case that you should stay in Stirling and that Stirling

:29:21.:29:27.

should be a multi- state currency zone, we need to attach a timescale

:29:27.:29:33.

that would move us away from that. We should be willing to talk about

:29:33.:29:37.

whether Scotland, as an independent country, can have an independent

:29:37.:29:44.

currency as well. Are we confident that Scotland actually could stay

:29:44.:29:51.

in Stirling? What is in it for Westminster and the rest of the UK?

:29:51.:29:55.

That would be a question for the UK Government and it would require the

:29:55.:30:05.
:30:05.:30:06.

UK Government to consent, I accept that. Scotland's oil and gas

:30:06.:30:10.

exports create half of the UK's balance of deficit. No government

:30:10.:30:16.

in its right mind would turn as a way. There are advantages for the

:30:16.:30:24.

rest of the UK. How is it credible to have a foreign country sector

:30:24.:30:28.

interest rates? How it is that independence? The interest rates

:30:28.:30:33.

are set by the Bank of England. There is no Scottish representation

:30:33.:30:37.

on the Monetary Policy Committee, which would change if Scotland was

:30:37.:30:42.

independent and we would get the fiscal levers that we so badly need.

:30:42.:30:48.

The policy of the Bank of England is set by the Treasury. If Anas

:30:48.:30:54.

Sarwar thinks... There is no point in all of us talking over each

:30:54.:31:00.

other all of the time. I appreciate by you feel strongly but just to

:31:00.:31:06.

clarify, Anas Sarwar, that is a point that you're leverage is your

:31:06.:31:10.

balance of payments and who would turn down in a Stirling's own the

:31:10.:31:20.
:31:20.:31:20.

oil revenues and the with the Revenue's? -- Stirling's own.

:31:20.:31:27.

of our business is with England. If we become a separate country, baby,

:31:27.:31:32.

our biggest business competitor and they are setting our interest rates

:31:32.:31:42.

and borrowing limits. We are part of the UK, it would be a foreign

:31:42.:31:47.

country setting the interest rates if we were not. None of the panel

:31:47.:31:55.

can decide if we going to Europe or not. With regards to the Stirling,

:31:55.:31:59.

it is more important to look at the relationship we would have with the

:32:00.:32:05.

UK if we abandon them and look at that and the effect it would have

:32:05.:32:14.

on our financial situation. Thank you. I want to go back to the

:32:14.:32:19.

earlier. Mac about looking after the poorest in society. -- the

:32:19.:32:26.

earlier point. Currently, people with disabilities are losing their

:32:26.:32:31.

benefits, there are communities around Scotland that have had

:32:31.:32:35.

massive social problems for decades, how is the UK looking after its

:32:35.:32:45.
:32:45.:32:48.

poorest? At the back? You are on national television and you are

:32:48.:32:54.

lying. The Bank of England, under the Bank of England Act 1998, no

:32:54.:32:58.

political party has representation on the council and you are saying

:32:58.:33:02.

that Scotland would have a representative on the Monetary

:33:02.:33:09.

Policy Committee. At best, there is conflicting opinion about the EU

:33:09.:33:13.

and whether Scotland would be in or are out of it. You are saying 100%

:33:13.:33:20.

Scotland would be in it. That is not the case. It is a disgrace.

:33:20.:33:25.

Just to be accurate about this, I did not suggest party political

:33:25.:33:28.

representation in the Monetary Policy Committee. The Chancellor of

:33:28.:33:34.

the Exchequer appoints four members to the committee. I am suggesting a

:33:34.:33:42.

Scottish finance secretary could represent us. -- could appoint

:33:42.:33:52.
:33:52.:33:54.

someone to represent us. Can I ask Nick Allott a question. If you as a

:33:54.:33:59.

nationalist have launched your campaign, why would you want to

:33:59.:34:05.

leave I'd union whose long-term tendency is to devolve and localise

:34:05.:34:09.

power in Scotland to join one which wants to centralise power in the

:34:09.:34:19.
:34:19.:34:22.

European Union, why would you want that as a nationalist? I am not a

:34:22.:34:29.

central list. On the assumption that we would have to join the euro

:34:29.:34:33.

to join the EU, does that change your stance? It is not the chance.

:34:33.:34:40.

-- my case. You obviously have not done your homework to find out that

:34:40.:34:45.

in order to be in the euro, you have to be in the European

:34:45.:34:51.

exchange-rate mechanism for two years. The legal opinion on this is

:34:51.:35:01.
:35:01.:35:01.

absolutely clear. No it is not. think we have established that

:35:01.:35:06.

there is conflicting legal opinion on Mace and conflicting opinions.

:35:06.:35:13.

Yes? I think it is easy for pro independence people to say, what

:35:13.:35:18.

have the British government done to help inequality? Glasgow and

:35:18.:35:23.

Scotland has a massive problem with inequality. How are we going to

:35:23.:35:27.

have more social justice? How would you get to the root causes?

:35:27.:35:32.

Successive governments have failed to do this. Just because we are

:35:32.:35:36.

independent, what makes you think we are going to come up with a

:35:36.:35:41.

massive solution? We are hearing just the Yes side throwing facts at

:35:41.:35:46.

us, saying it will be better. We need actual hard facts and hard

:35:46.:35:51.

points. They are just building on the austere situation of the UK at

:35:51.:35:56.

the moment, playing on the back of that. We want to hear opera Det --

:35:56.:36:03.

projections and what is going to happen to us in the future. A quick

:36:03.:36:10.

mention, if you would like to find out more on these and other issues,

:36:10.:36:20.
:36:20.:36:24.

visit our section on the BBC News website. The next question please.

:36:24.:36:29.

How would any future Scottish Government replace defence jobs

:36:29.:36:35.

which will be lost after independence? I am not looking to

:36:35.:36:39.

spread of the UK so I am not going to be able to answer that. I do not

:36:39.:36:44.

know how we could possibly replace those jobs. The MoD has 18,000

:36:44.:36:49.

uniform and nonuniform personnel across Scotland across 30 local

:36:49.:36:54.

authorities. Thousands of people are involved in local defence

:36:54.:37:00.

contraction. We have already heard about getting rid of submarines at

:37:00.:37:07.

Faslane. Frankly, I am proud of our armed forces and they do tremendous

:37:07.:37:13.

work because they are integrated across the UK. The defence plans

:37:13.:37:17.

that were outlined by the SNP in January were risible because they

:37:17.:37:24.

did not take into account that there would not be anything like a

:37:24.:37:28.

logistics Corps, an officer training school, engineering input,

:37:29.:37:33.

an RAF Regiment, a Royal Naval Reserve, they would not have any

:37:33.:37:36.

special forces. They need to go back to the drawing board and come

:37:36.:37:40.

back if they are serious about the first rule of government,

:37:40.:37:44.

protecting the nation that user, they have to come back with

:37:44.:37:48.

something which is a credible plan for defence of an independent

:37:48.:37:56.

Scotland. What Rhys Davies and forgets to tell you is that

:37:56.:38:00.

Scotland has been shedding defence jobs for the last few years under

:38:00.:38:05.

both the previous government and his conservative government. 10,000

:38:05.:38:15.
:38:15.:38:15.

defence jobs, air bases cut, and we contribute more to UK defence than

:38:15.:38:18.

is spent in Scotland. We would inherit the defence footprint that

:38:18.:38:23.

was in Scotland at the time of independence and ensure that we had

:38:23.:38:27.

defence forces to protect Scotland's interests. If you look

:38:27.:38:34.

at countries like Norway, Scotland is going to have one Airbase,

:38:34.:38:38.

Norway has seven. Anybody that says that Scotland cannot support the

:38:38.:38:41.

kind of defence forces that we need is not looking at similar countries

:38:41.:38:46.

elsewhere in Europe. One thing we would not have, and I make no bones

:38:46.:38:49.

about it, we would not have weapons of mass destruction on the River

:38:49.:38:57.

Clyde because we do not need them. When would they go, Nicola

:38:57.:39:02.

Sturgeon? That would be a matter for negotiation in the independence

:39:02.:39:05.

of negotiations. We would want to see Trident leaving the River Clyde

:39:05.:39:09.

as soon as possible. It is a weapons system that we cannot

:39:09.:39:13.

afford and do not need. I do not think the majority of people want

:39:13.:39:23.

to see them remain any longer than they have to. Gentleman to be left?

:39:23.:39:27.

Have you had a word with BAE Systems? Are you guaranteeing that

:39:27.:39:37.
:39:37.:39:40.

they will continue to build English -- the English may be? The MoD have

:39:40.:39:46.

given a contract in Korea. We had some of the best shipyard workers

:39:46.:39:50.

in the world and I used to represent the Govan shipyard, and

:39:50.:40:00.
:40:00.:40:07.

they could compete across the world. Just when you recall, you are

:40:07.:40:10.

treated to say that if we did not have the aircraft carrier contract

:40:10.:40:18.

from the MoD it would mean the end of shipbuilding in Scotland. The UK

:40:18.:40:21.

only commissions warships from UK companies. If we are no longer part

:40:21.:40:27.

of the United Kingdom, why would it commission them? The reason there

:40:27.:40:31.

was a vessel in Korea is because there was no UK contract and it was

:40:31.:40:40.

not a warship. The other important point about Trident... Are you

:40:40.:40:43.

suggesting that if Scotland will not compete successfully under

:40:43.:40:50.

independence? One thing that demonstrates the positive skills of

:40:50.:40:56.

the UK is the shipbuilding industry, particularly in Scotland. The UK

:40:56.:41:04.

has never commissioned a warship quite wither the UK. Nicholas said

:41:04.:41:08.

herself on Twitter that the obliteration of the shipbuilding

:41:08.:41:18.
:41:18.:41:19.

industry in Scotland, and the other. That is important, I do not want to

:41:19.:41:24.

get the nuclear weapons just out of the Clyde, just move it down the

:41:24.:41:27.

motorway, we want to obliterate nuclear weapons not just from

:41:27.:41:36.

Scotland but from right across this UK -- the UK and around the world.

:41:36.:41:41.

You have a specific question about nuclear? On the subject of Trident,

:41:41.:41:46.

when the day comes, or if the day comes when Scotland is independent,

:41:46.:41:50.

who picks up the tab for the removal of these weapons from

:41:50.:41:59.

Scottish Water as? Nicola Sturgeon? I think Scotland is -- has more

:41:59.:42:02.

than shed the burden of Trident and I think people in Scotland want to

:42:03.:42:05.

see the day when we no longer have tried nuclear missiles on the River

:42:05.:42:10.

Clyde. The only way to ensure that happens is to vote Yes in the

:42:10.:42:20.
:42:20.:42:20.

independence referendum. Just to clarify that point Mike -- that

:42:20.:42:24.

point, actually you will get an independent Scotland, and what

:42:25.:42:30.

happens thereafter will be that you get a green majority government?

:42:30.:42:36.

You may get eight Labour a majority government. To say vote Yes to get

:42:36.:42:41.

rid of Trident may not actually be the case. People then have the

:42:41.:42:45.

right to vote for parties to form a government to get rid of Trident.

:42:45.:42:52.

We do not have that option without independence. We have demonstrated

:42:52.:42:57.

that the people of Scotland are opposed to Trident. There is very

:42:57.:43:01.

little chance that you will have a pro Trident government. We have got

:43:01.:43:04.

the opportunity to go further and have a constitutional prohibition

:43:04.:43:11.

on weapons of mass destruction. We would be the central -- second

:43:11.:43:14.

country in the world to have a constitutional bar on the use of

:43:14.:43:20.

weapons of mass destruction. We could go further. Be Green Party to

:43:20.:43:25.

not just want to reproduce a small section of the UK defence

:43:26.:43:30.

infrastructure policy or overseas use of it in Scotland. I don't want

:43:30.:43:34.

weapons of mass destruction, not just because they are wrong, but

:43:34.:43:38.

because they are necessary. I don't want the same possession on

:43:38.:43:44.

aircraft carriers that Nicola had, because those machines are Sibly

:43:44.:43:47.

about the aggressive projection of power around the world. I would

:43:47.:43:52.

like to redefine what security and defence mean in the 21st century.

:43:52.:43:56.

The threats to human well-being in the 21st century are not about

:43:56.:43:59.

Borders, especially not the border of Scotland with England, it is

:43:59.:44:05.

about poverty, water, energy, climate change, these are the real

:44:05.:44:10.

threats to human well-being and security in the 21st century and

:44:10.:44:13.

they will need a fundamentally different set of defensive answers

:44:13.:44:22.

rather than just reproducing UK One thing which has served Scotland

:44:23.:44:28.

and the UK well through the years, through defence, has been standing

:44:28.:44:31.

shoulder-to-shoulder with our allies and being part of NATO has

:44:31.:44:39.

been, NATO is the strongest defence alliance around the world. There

:44:39.:44:46.

are stand alongside allys in Iraq. Come along. We had no choose.

:44:46.:44:51.

Having been to Kosovo and seen some of the work our troops did there,

:44:51.:44:55.

preventing ethnic cleansing, I am proud of the work NATO did.

:44:55.:44:59.

Frankly I am proud of what we did in the Balkans right on our toor

:44:59.:45:05.

step. I would like to ask Nicola, has the SNP decided its position on

:45:05.:45:09.

NATO? We don't know. The current policy is we would not be in NATO.

:45:09.:45:14.

We would be in parter inship for peace. Like we den, not in NATO,

:45:14.:45:23.

but in partnership for peace. -- Sweden. Not in NATO, but in

:45:23.:45:33.

partnership for peace. We don't know what the security

:45:33.:45:38.

review will do to Armed Forces in Scotland. We will debate it when we

:45:38.:45:42.

get the information of the cuts your Government is making.

:45:42.:45:47.

It's not going to work if you start interviewing each other off camera

:45:47.:45:52.

there. Can someone tell me, who is

:45:52.:45:58.

Scotland going to nuke with this weapon?

:45:58.:46:03.

The gentleman here. The fact is it was said many years ago now you

:46:03.:46:07.

cannot uninvent nuclear weapons. The reality is if we take a moral

:46:07.:46:11.

stance that we're not going to have them, we have to hope that some of

:46:11.:46:19.

the luen tick, extremist people around will play -- lunatic,

:46:19.:46:26.

extremists will not play around. We need to be adequately defended.

:46:26.:46:33.

gentleman in the red shirt. I am a member of the SNP, as Nicola knows.

:46:33.:46:41.

I am pro NATO, and the American submarine fleet remains at fas lain.

:46:41.:46:45.

The SNP needs the debate and we need to move towards being in NATO.

:46:45.:46:50.

That is the shield of western defence. We really need to be in it.

:46:50.:46:55.

The lady here in the green top. Yes, this one. Thank you. I would like

:46:55.:46:59.

to ask Mr Sarwar. He said he himself would like to obliterate

:46:59.:47:02.

nuclear weapons, not just from Scotland but from England as well.

:47:02.:47:08.

It is my understanding that is another personal view, but because

:47:08.:47:12.

it is not the view of the Labour Party across the UK, the Scottish

:47:12.:47:16.

Labour Party are unable to take forward their views. That shows you

:47:16.:47:20.

are not able to as a Scottish party to put forward what you consider to

:47:20.:47:23.

be the programme for this country that you want because you are

:47:23.:47:31.

obstructed by the UK. It's not true. The last Labour

:47:31.:47:36.

Government was the most active in terms of nuclear disarmament. In

:47:36.:47:42.

terms of reducing the number of war heads. As long as we feel good

:47:42.:47:49.

about ourselves, let's move them a couple of hundred miles down the M4

:47:49.:47:53.

and everything will be fine. Those who don't believe in weapons of

:47:53.:47:55.

mass destruction want them away from not just Scotland, but the

:47:56.:48:00.

rest of the UK and the rest of the world too. I don't think the SNP's

:48:00.:48:04.

position is credible at all. would like to see nuclear weapons

:48:04.:48:08.

removed from the world completely. I would like to see the UK

:48:08.:48:13.

Government not just supporting the current Trident system, but

:48:13.:48:17.

planning to replace the Trident missile system. So long as we have

:48:17.:48:19.

a Government which supports Trident it is reasonable for people in

:48:19.:48:24.

Scotland to say we don't want it in the River Clyde, we don't want it

:48:24.:48:29.

in Scotland. Can you pick up on the point about the fact we need a

:48:29.:48:34.

nuclear deterrent for our own security? I don't believe in

:48:34.:48:40.

nuclear deterrents. Whom does it deter? And from what? The response

:48:40.:48:46.

to Anas and the gentleman at the back of the room, this is a debate

:48:46.:48:52.

about unilateral disarmament, verses multi-lateral disarmament. I

:48:52.:49:00.

understand high some people have moved from that unilateralist to a

:49:00.:49:05.

multi-lateralist position. What the UK Government is doing is

:49:05.:49:09.

unilateral rearmament, the decision to replace with a new weapons of

:49:09.:49:13.

mass destruction. If we in Scotland, whether through voting yes or

:49:13.:49:16.

through political pressure and I think it can be done by voting yes

:49:16.:49:21.

to independence, to say this cannot exist in Scottish waters, we will

:49:22.:49:26.

help tip the balance within the UK defence argument. There are many

:49:26.:49:30.

who don't think this is a legitimate and a sensible and

:49:30.:49:34.

rational use of money. Many would say this should not be pursued,

:49:34.:49:39.

even at UK level. We can help to tip the balance. There are precious

:49:39.:49:44.

other places it could be moved to in England or in Wales. If Scotland

:49:44.:49:48.

said no and got rid of Trident from Scottish waters, we would help to

:49:48.:49:52.

tip the balance in the UK and they would not end up replacing them. It

:49:52.:50:00.

would be a profoundly positive step forward. So many of the arguments

:50:00.:50:04.

we have heard tonight just scream to me that we should be voting for

:50:04.:50:10.

independence because whether we're going to be in sterling or a member

:50:10.:50:15.

of the EU, or retain the monarchy or get rid of nuclear weapons. All

:50:15.:50:20.

these decisions can be made by us as a sovereign, independent nation.

:50:20.:50:27.

APPLAUSE But only once we're independent. We

:50:27.:50:32.

seem to be getting away from the discussion tonight. Many of these

:50:32.:50:39.

debates and arguments are surely going to be held at the first

:50:39.:50:43.

Scottish elections after independence, when if the Labour

:50:43.:50:47.

Party want to retain Trident, let them put it in their manifesto for

:50:47.:50:49.

an independent Scotland and see what the people of Scotland say.

:50:49.:50:54.

Thank you for that. Thank you all. Thanks for that. Now, let's go on

:50:54.:51:00.

to our next question, please. It's from Sandra Webster. Sandra?

:51:00.:51:06.

Scotland be independent if the monarchy is retained?

:51:06.:51:12.

Patrick? Well, yes. I think there are other countries which share the

:51:12.:51:15.

British monarchy, which I couldn't say are not independent because of

:51:15.:51:21.

that. I don't think that we should retain the hereditary principal in

:51:21.:51:25.

a modern country. I think that is a point of principal. I would be fair

:51:25.:51:30.

more comfortable if we had an elected head of state rather than

:51:30.:51:35.

retaining the monarchy. There's a debate that's due next week in the

:51:36.:51:39.

Scottish Parliament about the jubilee. We're all expected to go

:51:39.:51:44.

along and say nice things and clap and all agree that isn't the

:51:44.:51:49.

monarchy wonderful. I, in my own life, I don't know anyone who takes

:51:49.:51:55.

it seriously. There's a latent republicanism that doesn't call

:51:55.:51:58.

itself republicanism, maybe thinks the monarchy is a wee bit silly and

:51:58.:52:04.

we could do better. We should be willing to have that debate. It

:52:04.:52:08.

seems bizarre to debate creating a new independent country without

:52:08.:52:12.

having a broad, open debate about how to choose the head of state. I

:52:12.:52:18.

hope we have that. It is an issue the SNP will have to come to when

:52:18.:52:21.

they publish their White Paper. I think there'll have to be space

:52:21.:52:25.

about a debate about how you achieve a written constitution. How

:52:25.:52:30.

do you have a process, in Scotland, that draws together public views

:52:30.:52:33.

and creates a written constitution we can adopt democratically. It may

:52:34.:52:37.

be that most people would want to keep the monarchy, I would vote

:52:37.:52:47.

against that. We need to at least have the debate. APPLAUSE

:52:47.:52:53.

We may share the same city, but we have vastly different social

:52:53.:52:59.

circles. I am sure you do! Actually, I mean I look at the

:52:59.:53:04.

service that the queen has given down the last few decades. I am

:53:04.:53:09.

proud she's been my head of state. I think she's done a remarkable job.

:53:09.:53:15.

I think when you look at some of the political leaders, a want to be

:53:15.:53:20.

President Blair or President Salmond, I like the idea you have a

:53:20.:53:27.

non-political head that functions in that civic space in the UK.

:53:27.:53:29.

direction answer of course you can be independent with the queen as

:53:29.:53:34.

head of state. There are countries in that position. The union of the

:53:34.:53:39.

Crown predates the date of the political union between the UK and

:53:39.:53:44.

Scotland. I support retaining the queen as head of state, because in

:53:44.:53:49.

many ways it symbolises the strong social union that would continue to

:53:49.:53:51.

exist, notwithstanding Scotland winning political and economic

:53:51.:53:55.

independence. I think that is a good thing. Sandra, in asking the

:53:55.:53:59.

question, what do you think is the answer? I am a feminist republican.

:53:59.:54:04.

I believe the people of Scotland should decide who they have as head

:54:04.:54:12.

of state. I believe a monarchy is invalidated and the people should

:54:12.:54:17.

decide. Anas Sarwar? I support the monarchy. The number of U-turns

:54:17.:54:22.

we'll have leading up to that referendum in 2014 if we ever have

:54:22.:54:28.

it and the SNP show the bottle and call it. We can keep the pound, the

:54:28.:54:33.

monarchy, all the lovely things you like about the UK. See the things -

:54:33.:54:39.

- to say the bad things will change, that is not credible. The SNP need

:54:39.:54:42.

to tell us what independence means. It goes back to social justice.

:54:42.:54:50.

That is the real agenda. My priority is to make Mr Cameron

:54:50.:54:57.

the next unemployment statistic. We want a kind of Scotland where we

:54:57.:55:02.

have a more prosperous country. It is credible to say one of the first

:55:02.:55:08.

policies we'll have so to reduce corporation tax for the biggest

:55:08.:55:12.

businesses and hammer public services across the country. That

:55:12.:55:17.

is a failed... Do you support the monarchy? I would support the

:55:17.:55:22.

principal of monarchy. In an independent Scotland? I wonder

:55:22.:55:30.

which will come between now and 2014. This gentleman here. I was

:55:30.:55:33.

born and raised in a country where you elect the head of state. I can

:55:33.:55:38.

tell you I don't want to go down this road here. I really don't.

:55:38.:55:42.

Possible the German model. I cannot see the American or the South

:55:43.:55:47.

American model or the model in a lot of countries where there's a

:55:47.:55:51.

competitive party election for head of state, with the waste and the

:55:51.:55:55.

money that is involved - I just don't want it here.

:55:55.:56:01.

This gentleman here? We have Elizabeth the second. I am ex-army,

:56:01.:56:11.
:56:11.:56:12.

so God bless her. We have Elizabeth II. Charles wants to be George VII.

:56:12.:56:22.

When we become independent, not if, if we don't want Charles VII. I opt

:56:22.:56:30.

we go for princess Ann. Now the last question, from Francesca Pieri.

:56:30.:56:35.

Who would you like to see representing Scotland at the

:56:35.:56:40.

Eurovision Song Contest? It gets tougher as we go along. Can I jump

:56:40.:56:46.

in. I don't know if anyone remembers a TV programme called the

:56:46.:56:54.

High Life. There was a great song called Pif-Paf-Pof. That was a

:56:54.:56:58.

generous entry to Eurovision. It was only fiction, but it is only a

:56:58.:57:04.

hair away from fact. I am tempted to go to say Sweden's success shows

:57:04.:57:10.

what a small independent country can achieve. I think, I am not sure

:57:10.:57:16.

they would agree, but I think it would be great to see the

:57:16.:57:26.

Proclaimers give Jedward a run for their money.

:57:26.:57:30.

As someone proud to be Scottish but proud to be part of the United

:57:30.:57:36.

Kingdom, one of the pluses, and maybe one of the only is we have

:57:36.:57:41.

the Hump representing us. I think the Proclaimers are a good

:57:41.:57:47.

shout. There are lots of artists we could promote. I think we will be

:57:47.:57:52.

proud to be part of the UK come the referendum. I could not bring

:57:52.:57:55.

myself to vote this year either. This year?

:57:55.:58:01.

LAUGHTER I think, you know, one maybe half

:58:01.:58:06.

serious point is about the way the political voting happens in

:58:06.:58:12.

Eurovision. Countries vote for each other year after year. If we vote

:58:12.:58:18.

"yes" and establish a new friendly, respectful, respectful relationship

:58:18.:58:26.

with our friends down south, you could see England and Scotland

:58:26.:58:30.

giving 12 points to each other and we'll all be happy! On that note

:58:30.:58:34.

we'll have to leave it. We're out of time. Thanks to everybody here

:58:34.:58:38.

in the studio for taking part and of course thanks to you very much

:58:38.:58:42.

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