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Now on BBC News, EU Referendum - Scotland Decides. | :00:00. | :00:29. | |
Hello, good evening and welcome to a BBC Scotland special debate on the | :00:30. | :00:35. | |
EU referendum. Debating before our audience here in Glasgow this | :00:36. | :00:39. | |
evening, leading in and out campaigners. For tabby cats leave, | :00:40. | :00:43. | |
the former Conservative Scottish Secretary Lord Forsyth. For Remain, | :00:44. | :00:50. | |
the Justice and Home Secretary Representative. For Leave the former | :00:51. | :00:53. | |
Scottish National Party deputy leader. And for Remain, the leader | :00:54. | :00:58. | |
of the Scottish Labour Party kid, Kasia Dugdale. | :00:59. | :01:03. | |
So, our panellists will be taking questions from the audience, which | :01:04. | :01:11. | |
includes committed Leave and Remain supporters in equal numbers and some | :01:12. | :01:15. | |
undecided voters as well. Let's go straight to our first question, | :01:16. | :01:20. | |
which comes from Fraser Knox. Good evening, panel. How large a | :01:21. | :01:25. | |
shop with the Brexit Biju Age UK economy? -- shock -- would be Brexit | :01:26. | :01:35. | |
Biju a UK economy? It would be very serious and we would see the results | :01:36. | :01:39. | |
as the markets open on Friday. I'm not here to stay you, I want to make | :01:40. | :01:44. | |
a positive case for why we are better off in the European Union. | :01:45. | :01:48. | |
It's good to create jobs to sustain the economy we have and create | :01:49. | :01:51. | |
opportunities for young people. There's no question it has been good | :01:52. | :01:55. | |
for workers' rights. We can now make sure we don't compete with our | :01:56. | :01:59. | |
neighbours on holiday lead and the amount of money we earn in a day and | :02:00. | :02:03. | |
maternity and paternity rights and that's because we are part of the EU | :02:04. | :02:08. | |
and I hope it continues. Lord Forsyth. I don't like the word shock | :02:09. | :02:12. | |
and there could be some short-term uncertainty. Broadly I'm with Lord | :02:13. | :02:17. | |
Rose who is the leader of the Remain campaign in the view that it | :02:18. | :02:20. | |
wouldn't make much difference and matters would settle down after a | :02:21. | :02:24. | |
period of time. Despite the scaremongering that's been going on, | :02:25. | :02:27. | |
if you look at the markets today the pound is broadly where it was before | :02:28. | :02:32. | |
the referendum was announced and the markets... The stock market went up | :02:33. | :02:36. | |
this morning. I didn't think that was the way to look at it anyway. | :02:37. | :02:40. | |
What we're talking about here is whether or not we restored to our | :02:41. | :02:45. | |
parliamentary democracy the ability to take decisions and I believe in | :02:46. | :02:49. | |
Britain and I believe that given the opportunity to decide our own | :02:50. | :02:53. | |
destiny we will prosper in the long-term and that's how we should | :02:54. | :02:54. | |
look at it. George Osborne has produced Treasury | :02:55. | :03:05. | |
analysis which he says would cost 43,000 Scottish jobs within two | :03:06. | :03:11. | |
years of a Brexit. He has talked of having to have an emergency budget | :03:12. | :03:17. | |
to plug a ?30 million black hole in UK finances. Do you buy those | :03:18. | :03:22. | |
figures? I think Scotland are a bit sick of this campaigning. | :03:23. | :03:26. | |
Scaremongering and raising fears. What is true is that membership of | :03:27. | :03:31. | |
the EU has brought significant benefits to the Scottish and British | :03:32. | :03:37. | |
economies. For example, investment of regions and Nations in the UK, | :03:38. | :03:44. | |
Scotland sees the most from the EU, to the tune of ?16 billion per | :03:45. | :03:49. | |
annum. Our exports to the EU are worth ?2000 per head of everybody in | :03:50. | :03:54. | |
this country, and they support over 3000 jobs. The chancellor is on the | :03:55. | :04:01. | |
same side of the debate as you on this occasion. When he says that | :04:02. | :04:06. | |
43,000 Scottish jobs would go within two years, I use saying he is | :04:07. | :04:10. | |
scaremongering or do you think those figures are accurate? At the moment, | :04:11. | :04:16. | |
we are part of a free market we have access to 500 million other | :04:17. | :04:20. | |
consumers, that has brought massive benefits to the Scottish economy. If | :04:21. | :04:24. | |
we withdraw from that free market, we will have no more access to | :04:25. | :04:28. | |
trading with that free market which will of course have an impact on | :04:29. | :04:36. | |
jobs and investment. 43,002 years? I am not willing or able to put a | :04:37. | :04:40. | |
figure on it. But if we withdraw on the free market, it will affect jobs | :04:41. | :04:50. | |
and investments. There will be an agreement reached between the EU and | :04:51. | :04:57. | |
UK out of the EU, and I'll tell you why. It is because of trade figures. | :04:58. | :05:08. | |
The European 27 export to us about ?290 billion worth of goods and | :05:09. | :05:16. | |
services per year. We export to them about 228,000 a year. It is in the | :05:17. | :05:22. | |
interests of both sides. You would think trade was only one way, the | :05:23. | :05:28. | |
way they had put it. But with access to that market for the UK, there are | :05:29. | :05:33. | |
lots of jobs tied up in the EU about access to the market. Plus the fact, | :05:34. | :05:40. | |
if we vote Brexit on Saturday, we do not leave the European Union on | :05:41. | :05:48. | |
Friday. The UK has to write a formal letter to the commission saying that | :05:49. | :05:54. | |
we wish to withdraw. That is under article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty. | :05:55. | :05:59. | |
They then have to be negotiations over a two year period where we are | :06:00. | :06:03. | |
still members of the EU in that market. If you think of those | :06:04. | :06:08. | |
figures and the millions of jobs on both sides, common sense will | :06:09. | :06:15. | |
prevail. There will be a free trade agreement. Common sense tells you | :06:16. | :06:22. | |
that will be the case. The shock will not have come. Bringing in our | :06:23. | :06:30. | |
audience, and perhaps when it comes back to the question on this. Mr | :06:31. | :06:36. | |
Knox, what do you think. I think we need to vote to leave and take back | :06:37. | :06:43. | |
control. I think the EU proved itself to be a broken down the | :06:44. | :06:47. | |
institution. I think it is best we leave on our own terms and negotiate | :06:48. | :06:52. | |
those with the EU rather than facing ages -- ages orderly exit. Do you | :06:53. | :06:59. | |
think that shock will be something we have to absorb or do you think | :07:00. | :07:05. | |
there is scaremongering going on? I think there will be a short-term | :07:06. | :07:09. | |
period of market volatility and turbulence, but once the markets get | :07:10. | :07:14. | |
their heads around the FAQ we will be leaving, the markets will | :07:15. | :07:17. | |
quickly recover. And this gentleman? How can you be so certain? What | :07:18. | :07:26. | |
happens if other countries rebel against us because we have left is | :07:27. | :07:31. | |
green countries are not going to rebel. But there could be countries | :07:32. | :07:34. | |
that rebel against us because we have left. You can't be 100% sure, | :07:35. | :07:43. | |
it's does not... I'm not saying we would be 100% sure. What I am saying | :07:44. | :07:49. | |
is that if you look at the facts on the ground of trade and the jobs | :07:50. | :07:55. | |
involved in Europe, coming to us, and our job is going to them, common | :07:56. | :08:01. | |
sense will prevail. It would be lunacy on their part to put trade | :08:02. | :08:05. | |
barriers up against us, because we could put them against them, and | :08:06. | :08:12. | |
that serves nobody 's purpose. I am assuming that all the hysteria from | :08:13. | :08:16. | |
Angela Merkel and company will die down. There is no way the German | :08:17. | :08:22. | |
trade unions, whose members are reliant on selling to Al market, | :08:23. | :08:28. | |
would allow a European politician to act in a stupid way in reference to | :08:29. | :08:35. | |
a free trade agreement between us and the EU. I cannot guarantee 100% | :08:36. | :08:41. | |
that the politicians will come to their senses, but the facts on the | :08:42. | :08:48. | |
ground indicate that they will. Jim is right that there would probably | :08:49. | :08:52. | |
be some sort of an agreement, what it is the terms of that that matter. | :08:53. | :08:57. | |
Think of what the Norwegian Prime Minister told us last week. She said | :08:58. | :09:01. | |
if the British leave the EU, they wouldn't like it, because in order | :09:02. | :09:05. | |
to have free trade with the EU, Norway have to agree to passport was | :09:06. | :09:11. | |
ordered checks in the Schengen area and to the free movement of people. | :09:12. | :09:21. | |
The Norwegian Prime Minister described herself as being like a | :09:22. | :09:29. | |
lobbying organisation in Brussels. -- passport-less border checks. She | :09:30. | :09:34. | |
described it as such. The difficulty is that we don't know what the terms | :09:35. | :09:38. | |
of the agreement would be. Those who want to leave the EU often cite | :09:39. | :09:43. | |
migration and the free movement of workers as the main reason they want | :09:44. | :09:48. | |
to leave. Outside of that, if you want to leave the EU, you would have | :09:49. | :09:52. | |
to agree to the free movement of workers as Switzerland have had to | :09:53. | :09:57. | |
do. You are shaking your head at that? There are many countries who | :09:58. | :10:04. | |
have free trade with the EU who don't have free movement. Such as | :10:05. | :10:09. | |
Turkey all Lichtenstein. We are the fifth largest economy in the world. | :10:10. | :10:19. | |
They sell ?62 billion worth of product to us. Anybody who thinks | :10:20. | :10:23. | |
that with the German and French elections coming up, if we vote to | :10:24. | :10:27. | |
leave, Angela Merkel's office is not going to be filled with Fox wagon | :10:28. | :10:34. | |
and other manufacturers saying, we sell millions of cars to Britain | :10:35. | :10:42. | |
every year, please make sure this trade is maintained. It is simple | :10:43. | :10:46. | |
scaremongering. You don't need to be in the EU to sell goods and services | :10:47. | :10:51. | |
to Europe. America does that -- Volkswagon. Those countries not in | :10:52. | :10:55. | |
the EU have been far better at increasing their exports than we | :10:56. | :10:59. | |
have as members of. I want to hear some more from our audience. Our | :11:00. | :11:07. | |
economy is the fifth-largest in the world, but that weighs heavily on | :11:08. | :11:12. | |
trade. The has said it could fall as much as 10%. How will the impact | :11:13. | :11:18. | |
trade? If it fell in value, that would help our exporters and | :11:19. | :11:24. | |
enormously. It would make imports more expensive, making it easy for | :11:25. | :11:28. | |
our own organisations and businesses to thrive and prosper. The single | :11:29. | :11:34. | |
market... The use of the word market is misleading. It is a single | :11:35. | :11:40. | |
regulatory zone. Anybody can sell to the single market, the Chinese, | :11:41. | :11:47. | |
Indians and others do so. Tariffs will be applied. Sorry, I want to | :11:48. | :11:56. | |
hear from the audience. I am still undecided, but this is my dilemma. | :11:57. | :12:01. | |
Do the leave campaigners think that economic certainty is worth | :12:02. | :12:07. | |
sacrificing our sovereignty for? I think we benefit from having workers | :12:08. | :12:14. | |
rights, the opportunities that our young people get from being a part | :12:15. | :12:18. | |
of Europe. But talking about these questions, look at what some of the | :12:19. | :12:22. | |
business leaders and the Scottish whiskey industry are saying. Hang on | :12:23. | :12:31. | |
a second, the microphone... The economy is based on people who | :12:32. | :12:36. | |
generate the wealth. Scottish businesses have said that it is | :12:37. | :12:41. | |
hugely important to be part of the UK and the EU, because they can | :12:42. | :12:46. | |
trade with 28 nations with one set of regulations, and it is also an | :12:47. | :12:53. | |
amazing platform for Scottish whiskey to get to China and America. | :12:54. | :12:57. | |
That platform of being part of Europe is hugely advantageous to | :12:58. | :13:02. | |
trade both with Europe and beyond Europe. Yes, we have to see the | :13:03. | :13:09. | |
sovereignty, but I don't think we should be afraid of it if it means | :13:10. | :13:16. | |
we are stronger and better of overall. We have a question from | :13:17. | :13:27. | |
Adam. Financing the fishery and culture are sectors, will that be | :13:28. | :13:31. | |
the same if we leave the EU? There is no reason why not. Before we | :13:32. | :13:40. | |
entered the EU, we had deficiency payments to our farmers. I would | :13:41. | :13:47. | |
very much doubt if any government of any particular ideology would starve | :13:48. | :13:55. | |
our agricultural sector. And on fishing, the final scene from the | :13:56. | :14:03. | |
SNP point of view, since 1973, would be that we would get rid of the | :14:04. | :14:08. | |
common fisheries policy. Whether it was conducted from Westminster or | :14:09. | :14:13. | |
Holyrood, as one professor at Glasgow University says, that will | :14:14. | :14:21. | |
benefit Scottish fisheries. Why do you think the ANF you in Scotland | :14:22. | :14:27. | |
has come out against a Brexit? It's chief executive argued that overall | :14:28. | :14:32. | |
benefits of staying in outweigh advantages that businesses would get | :14:33. | :14:41. | |
from leaving the EU? I am not sure, there are some farmers voting for | :14:42. | :14:44. | |
leave who would prefer the deficiency payment system that we | :14:45. | :14:47. | |
operated previously. You get people... There are no figures that | :14:48. | :14:56. | |
would clinch the argument in either way. The common fisheries policy on | :14:57. | :15:03. | |
does the argument that you share sovereignty in the EU. He did not | :15:04. | :15:08. | |
share sovereignty in the EU. The transfer sovereignty to the central | :15:09. | :15:15. | |
institution of the EU. The common fisheries policy is a classic | :15:16. | :15:23. | |
example of that transfer. The common agricultural policy has brought | :15:24. | :15:27. | |
significant benefits to Scotland. If vital funding to farmers and land | :15:28. | :15:34. | |
owners to find vulnerable areas. It also provides significant funding to | :15:35. | :15:39. | |
lots of community and environmental activities. Why have the NFU said | :15:40. | :15:49. | |
that they want to come out against this? They said 40% of the EU budget | :15:50. | :15:54. | |
is spent on the common agricultural policy. Significant subsidies come | :15:55. | :15:59. | |
to Scotland and they have said nobody will tell them what is going | :16:00. | :16:04. | |
to replace those subsidies. That is why... George users of State farming | :16:05. | :16:09. | |
who is campaigning on the leeside says that farmers would get as much | :16:10. | :16:15. | |
support or perhaps even more as they get now. That is his view, it is not | :16:16. | :16:23. | |
detailed. He can say what he likes, but that doesn't involve any detail. | :16:24. | :16:30. | |
When the Scottish government was asking people to vote for | :16:31. | :16:36. | |
independence, they had detailed proposals. There has been nothing of | :16:37. | :16:41. | |
the sort this time. What about the official Leave campaign? It is | :16:42. | :16:48. | |
nothing to do with George Eustace. Farming and fishing policy will be | :16:49. | :16:52. | |
the responsibility of the Scottish Parliament. Actually... It is a huge | :16:53. | :17:02. | |
transfer of power to Scotland. The Scottish Parliament can decide what | :17:03. | :17:06. | |
happens to our fishermen and farmers. I have got a ?10 note. Who | :17:07. | :17:12. | |
will give me ?20 for it? That is the deal in Europe. We pay them 20 | :17:13. | :17:17. | |
billion, we get ten back. And we are told how to spend it. You talk to | :17:18. | :17:21. | |
any farmer in Scotland today and ask them how it has been this year, | :17:22. | :17:26. | |
filling in the forms and the disaster of paying the money. That | :17:27. | :17:33. | |
money then gets sent back to us in ways that they determine. I want a | :17:34. | :17:37. | |
Scottish Parliament to be able to decide these matters and a fishing | :17:38. | :17:44. | |
and agricultural policy... I just want to pick up with you, this | :17:45. | :17:47. | |
business of how much money would come to the farmers. The vote leave | :17:48. | :17:52. | |
battle suggests that the money we might save if we left the EU in | :17:53. | :17:57. | |
contributions would be more likely directed to the NHS? You can't spend | :17:58. | :18:04. | |
it twice. This isn't a general election. It's not about winning or | :18:05. | :18:08. | |
losing, it's about informing the public on the issues and at the end | :18:09. | :18:14. | |
of the day we will get money back, we will get ?10 billion back. How it | :18:15. | :18:18. | |
is spent is a matter for the elected government in Westminster for the | :18:19. | :18:21. | |
Westminster government and in Scotland with agriculture and | :18:22. | :18:23. | |
fishing and education and other powers that will come back to | :18:24. | :18:27. | |
Scotland, it will be a matter for the first Minister and the Scottish | :18:28. | :18:32. | |
Parliament to decide. Let me finish the point. That's how it should be. | :18:33. | :18:37. | |
At the moment 60% of our laws and regulations are made by unelected | :18:38. | :18:41. | |
commissioners to whom are accountable to no one and you can't | :18:42. | :18:46. | |
get them out. Janet? On those powers, fishing and farming has been | :18:47. | :18:52. | |
devolved since 1998 but negotiating with other countries over common | :18:53. | :18:55. | |
fisheries policy is an common agricultural policies aren't | :18:56. | :18:59. | |
devolved. They are the preserve of Westminster. Is with the Scottish | :19:00. | :19:04. | |
government now. Have you read the Scottish government act? Yes. It's | :19:05. | :19:09. | |
clear that negotiating is a national matter. You were going to return | :19:10. | :19:16. | |
power to Britain last year. Jim has talked about making trade agreements | :19:17. | :19:19. | |
with other countries, we have to replace what we have with something | :19:20. | :19:25. | |
else. Very briefly, though. Mark Forsyth has said Scottish government | :19:26. | :19:30. | |
will have more power. The economic levers of power remain at | :19:31. | :19:32. | |
Westminster. If the British government is going to have more | :19:33. | :19:36. | |
money as a result of leaving the EU... If it will have more money. | :19:37. | :19:41. | |
You don't accept it will? I said if, who's to say it will give any of | :19:42. | :19:45. | |
that money to the Scottish government to replace the subsidies | :19:46. | :19:49. | |
that we currently get for our fishermen and farmers. I want to | :19:50. | :19:54. | |
bring in the audience. I think we have a farmer. Andrew Wilson? | :19:55. | :19:59. | |
Andrew, let's come to you first of all. A question for both sides. Make | :20:00. | :20:05. | |
it as a point to contribute to the debate. It's a well-known fact that | :20:06. | :20:10. | |
there's been turmoil for two years with farmers. There's been various | :20:11. | :20:14. | |
campaigns to the government but there is yet to be any support from | :20:15. | :20:17. | |
a UK government based. What makes you think that if we exit Europe | :20:18. | :20:23. | |
they would support farmers because they have a chance to do so now. | :20:24. | :20:27. | |
This is the hour but there's nothing to see. You've yet to make up your | :20:28. | :20:33. | |
mind and decide which way to vote on Thursday as I understand it. How big | :20:34. | :20:38. | |
a concern is this for you in that decision? It is colossal so it is. | :20:39. | :20:43. | |
It's not just farmers, it's the whole rural economy that benefits | :20:44. | :20:46. | |
from it. What do you want the government to do? What I'm saying is | :20:47. | :20:51. | |
we are still waiting on subsidy payments that were June last year. | :20:52. | :20:56. | |
If they can't deliver that, how can they deliver a whole common | :20:57. | :21:00. | |
agricultural policy within the UK Christian green they are going to | :21:01. | :21:04. | |
deliver a common agricultural policy from Europe, you've just explained | :21:05. | :21:10. | |
that. If they can't do that then how are they going to deliver... We | :21:11. | :21:13. | |
understand it is sitting at the door of the UK government so how are they | :21:14. | :21:17. | |
going to deliver their own policy? Let me bring in a voice from the | :21:18. | :21:21. | |
side of the room with the gentleman with the glasses. I must confess, | :21:22. | :21:26. | |
this is the second time I have heard Michael Forsyth bring up this phrase | :21:27. | :21:30. | |
unelected bureaucrats. Does the term pot, kettle and black spring to | :21:31. | :21:36. | |
mind? And there were some hands up on this side of the room. The great | :21:37. | :21:42. | |
virtue of our system on your point, which is a dig at me because I'm a | :21:43. | :21:46. | |
member of the House of Lords, which is accountable to the House of | :21:47. | :21:49. | |
Commons, the great virtue of our system is you were able to kick me | :21:50. | :21:54. | |
out in 1997 when you didn't agree with our policy is. That is what is | :21:55. | :21:59. | |
at stake here. I want to hear more from the audience. -- policies. This | :22:00. | :22:05. | |
lady here. You say about the common agricultural policy but it doesn't | :22:06. | :22:09. | |
work for Scotland to the point where it could impact the Barley | :22:10. | :22:13. | |
production for the whiskey trade that was talked up so well by Kesia. | :22:14. | :22:21. | |
Can we bring in Kezia Dugdale? Let's hear from Kezia Dugdale. There's | :22:22. | :22:27. | |
something else that Michael Forsyth said that we can't let go by and | :22:28. | :22:31. | |
that is the sense that 60% of our laws come from Europe, that's just | :22:32. | :22:35. | |
not true. Only 13% of our laws even reference the European Union let | :22:36. | :22:42. | |
alone enforce laws made in Europe upon us. It's another one of these | :22:43. | :22:47. | |
scaremongering stories that you accused us of at the start of the | :22:48. | :22:51. | |
programme. The farming concerns are very real, likewise in the fishing | :22:52. | :22:55. | |
industry. I have friends and family in Peterhead where this is real, it | :22:56. | :22:59. | |
is about livelihoods and it's very serious. We asked the Scottish | :23:00. | :23:02. | |
fishermen is Federation what they thought about Europe and they say | :23:03. | :23:07. | |
they are neutral and they say the fisheries policy doesn't work for | :23:08. | :23:11. | |
them and they don't want to lose the free trade across Europe and they | :23:12. | :23:14. | |
don't know what's in their best interests. It's really difficult. | :23:15. | :23:18. | |
There might not be easy answers here. Think about this, do you | :23:19. | :23:22. | |
genuinely believe that a Tory government wants to give more | :23:23. | :23:27. | |
subsidy, more public money to you as a farmer? Do you believe they want | :23:28. | :23:31. | |
to give more money to the NHS? The Tories believe in smaller state | :23:32. | :23:35. | |
intervention and government, they aren't out going to help you get | :23:36. | :23:43. | |
from one week to the next. They insist on smaller government. We | :23:44. | :23:47. | |
will hear from Mark Forsyth later. One more question from Sarah Long. | :23:48. | :23:53. | |
Sarah. I was wondering how would remaining in the U or leaving would | :23:54. | :23:58. | |
affect controlling the high levels of immigration we are experiencing | :23:59. | :24:03. | |
at the moment -- you? Michael Forsyth. -- EU. I agree with Jeremy | :24:04. | :24:10. | |
Corbyn who said on the Andrew Marr programme on Sunday that while we | :24:11. | :24:15. | |
are in the EU it will be impossible for us to control levels of | :24:16. | :24:19. | |
immigration. I think that is very important. I think we do need to | :24:20. | :24:23. | |
have migrants coming to our country but we need to be able to control | :24:24. | :24:27. | |
the numbers so we can match the services for the schools, health | :24:28. | :24:31. | |
service, housing, congestion on our roads and all the other things we | :24:32. | :24:37. | |
have to live with in our country. There are many countries which are | :24:38. | :24:40. | |
not in the European Union. In fact most countries in the world aren't | :24:41. | :24:45. | |
in the European Union but most countries I can think of think it's | :24:46. | :24:50. | |
important to control our borders, and who we can throw out. Because of | :24:51. | :24:56. | |
the European Court we find ourselves with serious criminals here who we | :24:57. | :24:59. | |
cannot expel. That's a good example of how we've lost control of our | :25:00. | :25:04. | |
ability to run our own affairs and by leaving the European Union we can | :25:05. | :25:07. | |
have an immigration policy which meets our needs and brings the | :25:08. | :25:10. | |
skills we need to Scotland and the UK as a whole. And also an | :25:11. | :25:15. | |
immigration policy which is fair to those people who want to come here | :25:16. | :25:21. | |
from non-EU countries, people from India, Pakistan, South Africa, | :25:22. | :25:25. | |
Australia and so on. So we welcome people who can make a real | :25:26. | :25:29. | |
contribution to our economy and not turn people side who can make a huge | :25:30. | :25:33. | |
contribution to the health service and other services because we are | :25:34. | :25:38. | |
stuck with controlling numbers coming from the EU. In terms of net | :25:39. | :25:44. | |
migration of EU citizens to the UK according to the office of national | :25:45. | :25:48. | |
statistics, in the year ending June 2015 around 180,000 came to the UK | :25:49. | :25:55. | |
-- Office for National Statistics. Obviously a smaller proportion for | :25:56. | :25:57. | |
Scotland. Yesterday in the interview Lord Forsyth referred to on the | :25:58. | :26:04. | |
Andrew Marr programme with Kezia Dugdale, Jeremy Corbyn asked if | :26:05. | :26:07. | |
there was an upper limit to immigration coming into the country | :26:08. | :26:10. | |
and he said you can't have one while you have a free movement of labour. | :26:11. | :26:16. | |
Do you agree? I think we should say that we recognise people choosing to | :26:17. | :26:19. | |
live and make their lives in Scotland is a good thing, it's added | :26:20. | :26:24. | |
a tremendous amount to our society to be culturally diverse and to have | :26:25. | :26:28. | |
a mix of ethnicities and we should recognise that. Those figures are | :26:29. | :26:33. | |
right, 180,000 people, a small percentage of our population. If you | :26:34. | :26:42. | |
listen to the Leave campaign, we've all seen that horrific poster Nigel | :26:43. | :26:45. | |
Fry unveiled this week, every migrant you would think came to this | :26:46. | :26:47. | |
country and they got a house and were on benefits and took from us. | :26:48. | :26:50. | |
They are being blamed and they are being told they are the fault of | :26:51. | :26:55. | |
everything wrong in our society -- Nigel Friars. The question I asked | :26:56. | :26:59. | |
you was about what Jeremy Corbyn said on the programme yesterday, can | :27:00. | :27:05. | |
there be a limit? -- Nigel Farage. He was clear that was an aspect of | :27:06. | :27:09. | |
the current situation in the EU. That's a fact? That's right. We need | :27:10. | :27:14. | |
to understand that immigration in the UK is more broader than the EU. | :27:15. | :27:23. | |
The questions that we are being asked is about what type of country | :27:24. | :27:27. | |
we want to be, what kind of society we want to be. One represented by | :27:28. | :27:33. | |
Nigel Farage who tries to label immigrants as forever taking from | :27:34. | :27:37. | |
last? 5% of EU immigrants claim benefits in our country. -- from us. | :27:38. | :27:42. | |
If you listen to the Leave campaign you would think it is 95%. You're | :27:43. | :27:49. | |
more likely to be treated by by an immigrant in the NHS than sitting | :27:50. | :27:56. | |
next to one. If you think there's not enough GPs, not enough council | :27:57. | :28:00. | |
houses for young people, problems with school placements, blame the | :28:01. | :28:04. | |
Tories who have spent the last five years cutting public services. Don't | :28:05. | :28:08. | |
blame immigrants who have just invested in it. I want to bring in | :28:09. | :28:14. | |
our other panellists in a moment but as Kezia Dugdale mentioned the | :28:15. | :28:19. | |
Tories I want to bring you back in, Michael Forsyth. That poster that | :28:20. | :28:22. | |
Kezia Dugdale referred to with the column of people seeking refuge in | :28:23. | :28:26. | |
the EU with the banner on it, breaking point, what did you think | :28:27. | :28:32. | |
of it? I think it was a particularly stupid poster because it confused to | :28:33. | :28:35. | |
things, which is refugees and economic migrants. -- two things. I | :28:36. | :28:42. | |
would like to see us do more on refugees, that means being able to | :28:43. | :28:46. | |
control the numbers coming into our country, which we need to do if we | :28:47. | :28:50. | |
leave the European Union. For example, there is the most appalling | :28:51. | :28:55. | |
persecution going on in Syria and elsewhere of Christians. I've been | :28:56. | :28:58. | |
trying to persuade the government to declare this as genocide, which | :28:59. | :29:01. | |
would mean we could intervene directly to help those people. I | :29:02. | :29:06. | |
thought it was a silly poster but quite frankly, if this campaign is | :29:07. | :29:11. | |
reduced to during about posters that Nigel Farage has got when what is at | :29:12. | :29:16. | |
stake here is our democratic future then something has gone badly wrong | :29:17. | :29:21. | |
with our campaign -- arguing. Let's go to the audience before we go back | :29:22. | :29:25. | |
to the panellists. In the back row, The Lady in the Van will. There's a | :29:26. | :29:31. | |
lot being said about immigration -- the lady in the middle. But | :29:32. | :29:36. | |
immigration actually works both ways. There are 2.2 million Brits | :29:37. | :29:41. | |
who are working, living and retired abroad. And I would like to know | :29:42. | :29:48. | |
what's going to happen to them. If we come out of the EU do they all | :29:49. | :29:53. | |
have to come back? What kind of future is therefore all of these | :29:54. | :29:57. | |
people? I will pick up on that and your answer to the broader question, | :29:58. | :30:02. | |
Jim? Normally about 40,000 Norwegians actually living in Spain | :30:03. | :30:07. | |
I think. I don't think they will be greatly affected one way or the | :30:08. | :30:12. | |
other to tell you the truth. On immigration, let me make it | :30:13. | :30:18. | |
perfectly clear, on the Leave side, people have different reasons for | :30:19. | :30:23. | |
wanting to leave. We are not all Nigel Farages, let me tell you! | :30:24. | :30:24. | |
APPLAUSE And I think if the Leave side loses | :30:25. | :30:38. | |
on Thursday then he will be primarily responsible for the | :30:39. | :30:41. | |
disgraceful way he has conducted the argument on immigration. | :30:42. | :30:48. | |
We need a rational, sensible, adult discussion. Not so much a debate but | :30:49. | :30:54. | |
a discussion about immigration. Of course, numbers of people coming | :30:55. | :31:00. | |
into our country create a problem. The problem isn't culture or | :31:01. | :31:04. | |
stealing someone's job, it's being able to plan. When I was on a | :31:05. | :31:09. | |
hospital board many years ago we needed the registrar general's | :31:10. | :31:14. | |
figures in order to allocate to different areas of the medical | :31:15. | :31:20. | |
services. At one time we had children being born at a fair rate | :31:21. | :31:24. | |
so obviously we got those figures, we could give more money to the | :31:25. | :31:30. | |
maternity services in Glasgow which combined with the birthrate also was | :31:31. | :31:35. | |
a problem because homebirths really were quite dangerous, that was | :31:36. | :31:38. | |
before the slum clearance took place. So we've got to be able to | :31:39. | :31:43. | |
say there are three categories of migrant. There is the asylum seeker | :31:44. | :31:49. | |
who we should welcome all the time without dispute. The other two | :31:50. | :31:54. | |
categories are short-term economic migrants, which I have been | :31:55. | :31:58. | |
incidentally, when I couldn't get work in Scotland I went to Saudi | :31:59. | :32:02. | |
Arabia. So there's economic short-term migrants. And the third? | :32:03. | :32:06. | |
This is quite important because we've had lots of stuff about this. | :32:07. | :32:10. | |
But we are also pressed for time. The other section are people who | :32:11. | :32:14. | |
want to come and live here. And Scotland could do with many more | :32:15. | :32:20. | |
people from all over the world coming to live here because our | :32:21. | :32:25. | |
population was declining until we got the immigration principally from | :32:26. | :32:29. | |
eastern Europe, and it's now rising. A rising population is good for | :32:30. | :32:33. | |
everyone, more prosperous and you have a bigger home market. Let's | :32:34. | :32:41. | |
have an adult, sensible discussion. 3.3%... 3.3% of those in Scotland at | :32:42. | :32:47. | |
the moment are EU Nationals, a further 2.1% are from outside the | :32:48. | :32:50. | |
EU, that's the proportion of the overall population. | :32:51. | :32:57. | |
There is a reason that leaving the EU would reduce our numbers and | :32:58. | :33:11. | |
ability to take in migrants fleeing, and there is a reason that we should | :33:12. | :33:18. | |
not have reasonable migration policy. We have a skills gap that | :33:19. | :33:22. | |
needs to be filled by immigrants. We have many families being sent home, | :33:23. | :33:29. | |
such as at the moment a family from Australia. Only 5% of the population | :33:30. | :33:37. | |
from the UK comes from the EU. Various studies of the last couple | :33:38. | :33:40. | |
of years have shown that migrants from the EU take a net contribution | :33:41. | :33:46. | |
to the British economy. They are paying more by the way of taxes and | :33:47. | :33:52. | |
benefits. I think we need to challenge the myth that what is | :33:53. | :33:57. | |
creating pressure on our public services is EU migrants. What is | :33:58. | :34:04. | |
creating pressure is the failure of this Conservative government to | :34:05. | :34:08. | |
properly invest in public services, particularly the NHS and affordable | :34:09. | :34:11. | |
housing. APPLAUSE I need to come back on | :34:12. | :34:20. | |
this. We are not in charge of the amount of money that we get to spend | :34:21. | :34:26. | |
on the NHS. As you said yourself, it is dependent on the formula. Do not | :34:27. | :34:30. | |
blame the Scottish government for the economic failure of the Tory | :34:31. | :34:35. | |
government. Why should people in Scotland have to pay more than to | :34:36. | :34:38. | |
people in England to have decent public services? We're almost at the | :34:39. | :34:49. | |
end of our time. Let me hear the lady on the side and then this | :34:50. | :34:54. | |
gentleman. To pick up the family question, I was appalled when | :34:55. | :34:58. | |
Michael Gove suggested that if we left the EU, Scotland would be able | :34:59. | :35:03. | |
to sort out its own immigration issues. Talking about families from | :35:04. | :35:11. | |
outside the EU, why should we believe that? It is disingenuous. On | :35:12. | :35:17. | |
the basis of what we experienced post- referendum, I wouldn't believe | :35:18. | :35:24. | |
a word they say. Thank you for that. Joanna, I agree that there is a | :35:25. | :35:29. | |
skills gap in Scotland, but with the EU, you can't control what comes out | :35:30. | :35:33. | |
and in. Surely it makes more sense to have a system where you can | :35:34. | :35:40. | |
prioritise the skills you have mentioned? We need a sensible | :35:41. | :35:46. | |
migration policy, that is what we don't have. Thank you for your | :35:47. | :35:51. | |
contributions, we need to move on to another topic. Our next question | :35:52. | :35:57. | |
comes from Jamie McEwan. Would it be better to be an independent Scotland | :35:58. | :36:03. | |
with the EU, all part of the UK within the EU? An independent | :36:04. | :36:12. | |
Scotland within the EU? Other options are available, it depends | :36:13. | :36:16. | |
what happens in the referendum. If there is a Brexit in Scotland votes | :36:17. | :36:21. | |
to stay in, what happens? I don't think you should have to pick | :36:22. | :36:26. | |
between two unions. I want to remain both part of the UK and within the | :36:27. | :36:33. | |
EU. If we are in a situation on Friday where we have voted as a | :36:34. | :36:39. | |
United Kingdom to leave the EU, then I think the arguments for staying | :36:40. | :36:43. | |
part of the UK become even stronger. We will just set ourselves a task of | :36:44. | :36:50. | |
leaving our second biggest trading partner. So much we have discussed | :36:51. | :36:59. | |
tonight was linked with that. The Labour Party's position is simply | :37:00. | :37:04. | |
that we oppose a second referendum on independence over the next five | :37:05. | :37:08. | |
years, simply because we respect democracy. We were told it was a | :37:09. | :37:14. | |
once-in-a-lifetime... It has to be respected. I am obliged to remind | :37:15. | :37:18. | |
you that in an interview in February, you contemplated that in | :37:19. | :37:22. | |
these circumstances it wasn't inconceivable. That she might back | :37:23. | :37:28. | |
an independent Scotland? Yes, and I think everyone expects me to be | :37:29. | :37:31. | |
thoughtful and reflective about that. I thought in Scotland we were | :37:32. | :37:37. | |
in a position to have a more nuanced conversation about the Constitution. | :37:38. | :37:42. | |
But we are still divided between yes and no, black and white. I believe | :37:43. | :37:50. | |
that Scotland's future best lies within the UK, and I think | :37:51. | :37:53. | |
especially if we were to leave the EU which I hope that we don't, that | :37:54. | :37:59. | |
relationship becomes even more important and I will be even more | :38:00. | :38:03. | |
drawn to remain in in the UK if we leave the EU. We are on the same | :38:04. | :38:10. | |
side tonight, which is very pleasant but we were on different sides | :38:11. | :38:14. | |
during the independence referendum. If you took any interest, you will | :38:15. | :38:19. | |
recall that we were repeatedly told by Better Together that the only way | :38:20. | :38:23. | |
to continue Scotland's membership of the EU was to vote no and stay in | :38:24. | :38:32. | |
the UK. In the event that the UK votes to leave the EU in Scotland | :38:33. | :38:39. | |
votes to remain in the EU, then the circumstances in which people voted | :38:40. | :38:42. | |
to remain in the UK in 2014 will have changed significantly. The SNP | :38:43. | :38:50. | |
said that they felt the Scottish Parliament should be entitled to | :38:51. | :38:54. | |
hold another referendum if there was a material and significant change in | :38:55. | :38:59. | |
the circumstances that occurred in 2014. Alex Salmond says that would | :39:00. | :39:01. | |
happen in two years, what do you think? I think there would be a | :39:02. | :39:10. | |
ground swell for support of a second referendum, if Scotland is taken out | :39:11. | :39:15. | |
of the EU against her will. I have a say on what people have said on | :39:16. | :39:19. | |
their doorsteps, discussing the issue. People are concerned that | :39:20. | :39:24. | |
after being told that the only way to remain in the EU in 2040 was to | :39:25. | :39:30. | |
vote no, but now they are being forced out. I want to see Scotland | :39:31. | :39:35. | |
as an independent member state in the EU. But I also want to see the | :39:36. | :39:40. | |
UK remain in the EU. I think that is in the interests of the whole of the | :39:41. | :39:46. | |
UK economy. The SNP has been trying to run a positive campaign to | :39:47. | :40:01. | |
remain. That is pure... I have read the manifesto and I have also read | :40:02. | :40:05. | |
these words in the Sunday Herald from Nicola Sturgeon. If Scotland | :40:06. | :40:10. | |
does face being taken out of Europe against our will, then the options | :40:11. | :40:14. | |
set out in our manifesto must be on the table for consideration. A very | :40:15. | :40:24. | |
slippery one. The SNP does not have the mandate to hold a second | :40:25. | :40:31. | |
independence referendum. The same position in 2016 as Alex Salmond was | :40:32. | :40:40. | |
in 2007, a minority government. But with this difference, Alex Salmond | :40:41. | :40:46. | |
at least ask for a mandate. Nicola Sturgeon had the option to add this | :40:47. | :40:56. | |
option, and I ask you for a mandate in order to hold a second | :40:57. | :41:00. | |
referendum. She doesn't have the mandate. And that power, legal | :41:01. | :41:07. | |
power, to grant a referendum, is at Westminster. The only way you can | :41:08. | :41:12. | |
leverage that out of Westminster is having a majority combined with a | :41:13. | :41:19. | |
mandate. You then have the moral authority to say whether people | :41:20. | :41:24. | |
wanted. The next time that the SNP might get a majority and might ask | :41:25. | :41:35. | |
for a mandate is 2021. To then pretends to the yes voters that we | :41:36. | :41:44. | |
would be on our way to a second referendum... . I have the greatest | :41:45. | :41:54. | |
respect for Jim, but he is simply wrong. Google the SNP manifesto and | :41:55. | :41:59. | |
page 24, and you will see the pages I have set out for you. The SNP | :42:00. | :42:05. | |
reserved 46.5% of the vote. That is the highest mandate that any | :42:06. | :42:09. | |
government has in western Europe. Furthermore... Stock. You have | :42:10. | :42:22. | |
already had a say. I am confused about the SNP's position, because of | :42:23. | :42:28. | |
the argument is, and polls suggest that if England votes to leave and | :42:29. | :42:31. | |
Scotland votes to remain, then we should have another referendum. The | :42:32. | :42:35. | |
simple message to anyone who wants to keep the EU is that you should | :42:36. | :42:39. | |
vote to leave in Scotland otherwise it will be used to make the case for | :42:40. | :42:44. | |
another referendum. The polls show that the majority of people in | :42:45. | :42:48. | |
Scotland do not want to have another referendum. Either way, if on Friday | :42:49. | :42:55. | |
people vote to remain in the EU, which I am opposed to, I will accept | :42:56. | :42:59. | |
the result, because they am a democrat. I think it's a disgrace | :43:00. | :43:03. | |
the SNP continue to damage Scotland's interest by dragging out | :43:04. | :43:08. | |
this idea that we could leave the UK. If we were to leave the UK with | :43:09. | :43:12. | |
the oil price where it is, we would be boss. And the EU won't have you | :43:13. | :43:17. | |
because you wouldn't be able to make the debt criteria. I want to knock | :43:18. | :43:23. | |
this idea on the head that we would be bust. The United Kingdom has a | :43:24. | :43:33. | |
deficit of 76 billion, despite six years of austerity. We are part... | :43:34. | :43:38. | |
You brought it up, so I am finishing off the point. It is a disingenuous | :43:39. | :43:43. | |
argument. Most countries in Europe have a deficit, an independent | :43:44. | :43:47. | |
Scotland would have a small deficit, the UK has a deficit of 76 billion. | :43:48. | :43:52. | |
Hearing from some of our audience, the gentleman in the front row? Your | :43:53. | :44:01. | |
entire eight campaign for the Scottish Referendum was everything | :44:02. | :44:04. | |
will stay the same, which is why you wanted the EU exit as a result. But | :44:05. | :44:10. | |
if we are out of the EU, you've lost one of your status quo option. You | :44:11. | :44:18. | |
will now be asking people to leave the UK and hope to join the EU if we | :44:19. | :44:23. | |
are out. This will not help you win, but I don't think people are going | :44:24. | :44:30. | |
to want to join this thing called the EU. Every citizen of Scotland | :44:31. | :44:35. | |
has a continuing rights to be a citizen of the EU. There are many | :44:36. | :44:42. | |
small and newly independent nations joining the EU. It is simply | :44:43. | :44:46. | |
ridiculous to think that an independent Scotland would not be | :44:47. | :44:54. | |
welcome in the EU. Would you have the pound or the euro? We would need | :44:55. | :45:01. | |
to look at it at the time, I can't make that decision right now. We | :45:02. | :45:06. | |
would need to look at the economic conditions at the time, we would | :45:07. | :45:12. | |
probably not want to be tied to the pound. In 2014 and in a letter to | :45:13. | :45:18. | |
the Scottish Parliament from the Vice President of the EU, they told | :45:19. | :45:26. | |
us that the day you are independent, you are out. There is no reason to | :45:27. | :45:31. | |
believe that they wouldn't tell us the same thing next time, if the UK | :45:32. | :45:40. | |
remains... Opinion says that Scotland would have a right to | :45:41. | :45:44. | |
remain a member. We must leave it there because we are out of time. | :45:45. | :45:48. | |
Thank you very much indeed to the four on our panel and to our | :45:49. | :45:54. | |
audience. That's all we've got time for, voting is | :45:55. | :45:55. |