The Great Debate Countdown


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Welcome to Wembley where 6000 people are waiting inside the arena for the

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great BBC referendum debate. I am Jane Hill and in the next hour we

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will be counting down to that crucial decision for the UK. Buses

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containing representatives for both Remain, including the London mayor

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and Leave, including Boris Johnson, have arrived in the last couple of

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hours. They are due to face rigorous questioning this evening.

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I am the Shell Hussain inside the arena, which is filling up fast.

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Soon the entire audience of 6000 will be in place. Join me as we look

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ahead to see what the discussion is going to be like.

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I am live in the spin room at Wembley Arena where journalists,

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commentators and politicians will be putting their gloss on tonight's

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debate. That is all coming up here in the

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next hour in our countdown to the great BBC debate.

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Welcome to Wembley, where in just under an hour, 6000 people will be

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in the audience in the biggest debate of this referendum campaign.

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It has been quite a day here. The first audience members started

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arriving about 11 o'clock this morning. Leading figures from the

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Remain and Leave camps, including Boris Johnson the Leave and the New

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London Mayor the Remain are among the panellists taking part in this

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two-hour BBC debate. The two camps arriving on their battle buses in

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the last hour and a half or so. Very much the Final Countdown. Let's

:02:28.:02:33.

headfirst and hear from some of the people who have been queueing for

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many hours to get into the arena. Clive has been out and about with

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the crowds. The queue is snaking all the way

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around in front of the arena. The first person turned up at 11

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o'clock. That is how keen some people are to get their voice heard

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in this debate. A few thousand people are already inside. I would

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say probably another 1000 also waiting to go in and take up their

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seats. Everyone looking forward to the possibility of hearing the real

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argument from both the remain and leave camps as to how perhaps they

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should be casting their ballot. Let's talk to some of the people in

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the crowd. I see from your button you are in. Is there anything

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tonight that would convince you to go the other way? Absolutely not. I

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am steadfast. Fixed in my view it is the best thing for the UK and for

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Europe if Britain remains in the EU. Thanks for joining us. Let's wander

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down further. Someone, Britain is stronger in. Let's see who else we

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can find. Hello, how will you be voting on Thursday? I will be voting

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to remain. Why is that? I just feel on the balance of things, it makes

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more sense. On an economic level and how I feel about the world. Thank

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you very much. Let's find a few more people who we can talk to. Hello,

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how will you be voting? I will be voting to leave. There is a number

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of reasons for that. Having an unelected elite dictating your laws

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is not acceptable in the modern era. Furthermore, it is not growing

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compared to the rest of the world. I am or immigration, but I just think

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you have got to control it. It is discriminating in a way, talented

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nurses and places like the Philippines and the Caribbean, they

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cannot come here. Where is anyone from Europe can. It is time to move

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on and be a more free and controlled country. Is there anything you could

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hear tonight that might change your mind? I have done two research of --

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two years of research. Thank you for joining us. So, all kinds of views

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going to be on show. Of course, it is up to the likes of study calm the

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Remain and Boris Johnson for Leave, to convince people out here that

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there side is the camp they should be in.

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We will have more from Clive later. Let's take a few minutes at this

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hour to think about what each side needs to achieve tonight in the

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great debate. Vicky Young has been monitoring all the events and the

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weeks events for many weeks. With so little time left before people go to

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the polling station, what do you think each camp will be thinking,

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what do they want to achieve? They both think it is close. It is very

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hard, the polls, have nothing to judge it against because it is so

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long since the last referendum on the EU. Everyone is in the dark. You

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can just tell the nerves, from the way they are behaving, they think it

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is close. This is a last opportunity to reach, not just the 6000 people

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in the audience, but a much wider audience watching on TV and

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listening on the radio. It could change minds. People who are still

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undecided or could be persuaded either way, it could be crucial for

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them, what they hear. It is head-to-head, three on each side.

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People will be looking at Boris Johnson. The Leave feel it plays to

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his strengths Hannibal get the crowd going and get a good reception. They

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need to go beyond that and make sure people are taking in his serious

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message. He will say again about taking back control. On the Remain

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side, they are very keen to talk about workers' writes. They feel or

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dairy people haven't had enough of a say and that is why they have got

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Sadiq Khan on the stage, France's O Grady from the TUC, to talk about

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and more positive message from staying in the European Union. And

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Ruth Davidson, well-known to Scottish audiences, add big chance

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for her. I think she will have a go at Boris Johnson. They are both

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conservatives but she has been critical of him and his style in the

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past. She will have some well rehearsed one-liners to send his

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way. Do we have any sense of the proportion of voters who are as yet

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uncertain. Those are the people they want to capture, someone who doesn't

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know with only 36 hours to go that their votes are up for grabs. David

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Cameron coming outside in front of Downing Street saying and talking

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about Downing Street, talking about being Prime Minister, trying to get

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across to people, probably those he thinks he could persuade to go and

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vote Remain. He needs to get them out to vote. He was saying as his

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personal experience, sitting inside Downing Street, reading the security

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briefings, the security message, saying to people, don't take the

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risk. You may hate the EU, he talks himself about being sceptical of the

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EU. That is the type of person he is trying to get through to. They say

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half Billy McClure most people in the United Kingdom are Eurosceptic,

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but half on to say and half want to go. People are suggesting there

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could be ten or 15% of people undecided. But those who say they

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will vote one way or the other, whether they turn out to vote and

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whether they change their mind at the last minute. Let's talk about

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turnout, will there be a drive from both sides for what the Americans

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call, get out the vote. Encouraging people to go to the polling station

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on Thursday. The perceived wisdom, not sure what we basing this on, but

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the pollsters suggest a big vote would help Remain. There is a

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feeling those who want big change, to leave the EU, have passionately

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fought for this for decades. Many members of Parliament on the

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conservative side, they are more passionate, more galvanised and they

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are more likely to vote because they are voting for change. Where as

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voting to the status quo, people might not be as determined to do it.

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So the message from the Remain side has been, there are risks if we

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leave. We cannot carry on as normal. It is about trying to say to them,

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they think there will be a big impact on the economy. That is why

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they have been pushing this message. It is clear from the panel tonight

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on the Remain side, it is the Labour voters they are concerned about and

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that is why we have seen Jeremy Corbyn and other Labour figures out

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and about trying to get the message across. There are some on the Remain

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side who think it is too late. But it is going to be close. Thank you

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very much for now. Let's head inside the arena behind me. We can get more

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from Michelle Hussain. Hello and welcome inside Wembley

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Arena. I am pretty sure it is the only time in my career I am going to

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be able to say I am on stage at Wembley! Welcome from everyone here,

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the panel, who I will introduce you to. And the audience, nearly all in

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their seats, 6000 people, nearly 50 minutes to go before we begin.

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Everyone here is either Leave Remain, but they are mingled. Down

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at the other end, that is the main stage where David Dimbleby will be

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flanked on one side for this Leave campaign by Boris Johnson, Geisler

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Stewart and Andrea led some. On the other side of him for the Remain

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campaign, Ruth Davidson, Sadiq Khan and Frances O'Grady. At this end,

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this is where I have another panel, this time with five representatives

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of each side of the debate, so five levers, five remain as and they will

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be reacting to what is said on the main stage, the questions that come

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in from the audience on the key issues and the heart of the debate

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will be across the room. Let me start by introducing them to you.

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Pretty Patel, Conservative MP, employment Minister. Tony Parsons,

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Mrs Wright Corp, Diane James, Tim Martin, they are all on the Leave

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side. And, Remain, Hamza Yusuf of the SNP. Caroline Lucas, Green party

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MEP. Tim Farron, leader of the Liberal Democrats. Justin King who

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ran Sainsbury's for ten years and Sarah Wollaston, Conservative MP. A

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warm welcome to you all. Sarah Wollaston, what does it feel like,

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have you ever played a crowd as big as this? I have never played at

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Wembley, great atmosphere. What will it feel like to make your arguments

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in a setting like this. Very important, many people still trying

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to make up their minds. It is a great opportunity to make our case.

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The audience is here in the room, but a massive television audience

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watching on BBC One and around the world and on BBC World News. The

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complexities of this, pretty Patel. Does this feel different? It is an

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important debate. Obviously the British public will decide the

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outcome of the referendum, and rightly so. Tonight, it will be an

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interesting and lively debate and I think the public at home will be

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informed by what they hear this evening. Does it feel different to

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other campaign events? Absolutely, this is about the public, it is a

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big forum as well. We will be hearing a range of views from both

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sides. But outside of here, people like me and the campaign team have

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been knocking on doors and getting out and about the country. On this

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panel we have politicians and business people as well. Also on the

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Leave side, Tim Martin, founder and chairman of Wetherspoon 's. I am

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only popular for the beer. The thought did cross my mind. Why do

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you want Britain to leave the EU? I think democracy is the key to

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prosperity and freedom, including freedom of the press...

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??CHEERING AND APPLAUSE The EU is becoming undemocratic and

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that is having a bad, economic effect on Greece, Portugal and modes

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other EU countries. What of your business, the economic risks and the

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livelihoods of the people you employ. Day one of leaving, we will

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pay less for food because of the tariff on food from outside the EU.

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Most of our wine comes from outside the EU so our customers can look

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forward to lower prices and in the shops. Let me see what Justin King,

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who ran Sainsbury's for a decade things of that, will we enjoy those

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lower prices? Not if we leave, food prices will go up. Because we have,

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in the UK, the greatest variety, the best value for money food anywhere

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in the world, because we have the best supermarkets who have those

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businesses for 40 years trading in Europe. The vast majority of food

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comes from the UK and from within the EU. It would be massively

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disruptive leaving the EU. CHEERING AND APPLAUSE

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Let me get the view of another politicians. Hamza Yusuf,

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immigration will come up tonight, your party has campaigned for more

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immigration to Scotland? We have to be honest, immigrants and migrants

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have contributed more to our society than they have taken out. The

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toxicity and the vitriol of this debate needs to be taken out of it.

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Look for every Polish plumber in the UK, there is a Brit sunning

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themselves in retirement on the Costa Del Sol. There are more

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European citizens living in the UK... But they contribute more than

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they take out. 10% of all UK doctors are EU migrants. You are more likely

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to be treated by in EU Doctor... CHEERING AND APPLAUSE

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I am keen to know what Diane James from Ukip makes of that. I didn't

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hear the question or the answer, the noise is too much. It is a fantastic

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atmosphere, Hamza Yusuf making the point about the contribution

:16:40.:16:44.

migrants make to the society? The Isner problem with that, but look at

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the total cost migrants cost to the economy. Very interesting studies.

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UCL claims 20 billion contribution, buried in the annex, 95 Oleon costs.

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Didn't want to acknowledge the pressures on hospitals, schools and

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infrastructure. If we go to the Australian size system, we can have

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the migrants who will contribute and not drain the economy. There are

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many other studies and there were figures from the HMRC from a couple

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of years ago that showed migrants made a net contribution to the

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Treasury. Tim Farron, leader of the Liberal Democrats. How would you

:17:27.:17:33.

respond. The net contribution to our economy is enormous. I believe, as a

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Liberal Democrat, immigration is much more of a blessing than it has

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ever been done a curse. One of the worries in this campaign is

:17:44.:17:47.

migration has been used as a dog whistle to bring out the worst in

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our society and I believe Britain is better than that. It is about what

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kind of country are we? Are we an outward looking, tolerant, decent

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country or are we narrow and small, isolated and fearful of the outside

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world. I know what kind of country I want to bring my children up in. I

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want to turn to Tony Parsons whose work will be known to many people,

:18:13.:18:14.

author and columnist. What kind of country do you want? I want our

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country to send a cry of freedom that echoes around Europe. The EU

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has failed the people of Europe. The currency is kaput, the borders are

:18:30.:18:34.

kaput. Youth unemployment of 50% in Mediterranean countries... What

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about the UK? We are doing God, but we would be doing better if the

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people of Europe got their currency sorted out so they could buy our

:18:46.:18:51.

stuff. It is a 20th-century idea. Although we get derided as little

:18:52.:18:55.

Englanders, we want to embrace the world, what is wrong with that?

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CHEERING AND APPLAUSE Your day job is at Morrisons, but

:19:02.:19:07.

you're part of Women For Britain under the Leave umbrella. I got

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involved because we want a forward-looking, out looking decent

:19:15.:19:18.

country, but how can we have that if we don't have a fair immigration

:19:19.:19:23.

system. Why are we ignoring the rest of the world and only saying

:19:24.:19:29.

European citizens can come here. We need a global response to

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immigration. Would you be happy to see greater migration numbers

:19:34.:19:42.

overall? It is not about that, it is having a fair response and having an

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Australian -based points system meaning we can control immigration,

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that it can come from all over the world with the right skills. Give

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people a chance to have a greater standard of living from around the

:19:56.:20:00.

world. Just for a final thought, I want to come to the Remain side and

:20:01.:20:08.

Caroline Lucas. Immigration is something we have heard a lot of

:20:09.:20:12.

during the campaign from the Leave side, how do you counter that

:20:13.:20:17.

argument? Freedom of movement is something we should celebrate,

:20:18.:20:21.

rather than apologise for. The fact we have the right to live, love and

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study, work and retire across 27 other countries is a wonderful

:20:27.:20:32.

thing. Those people coming to our country bring with them and economic

:20:33.:20:35.

dividend, what I would like to see is the money invested in services in

:20:36.:20:40.

neglected areas. In particular, in leisure centres, libraries so people

:20:41.:20:44.

can come together. It doesn't have to be the scary thing the other side

:20:45.:20:49.

would have you believe. Thank you very much. That gives you a flavour

:20:50.:20:57.

of what it is going to be like here. Don't forget you can follow the

:20:58.:21:02.

debate and joint on the hash tag BBC debate, as well as watching on BBC

:21:03.:21:08.

News and on BBC One from eight o'clock. Jane Hill, back to you.

:21:09.:21:10.

Many thanks. The very last, I think, members of the audience have just

:21:11.:21:25.

run into the arena behind me. Just starting to dismantle the barriers.

:21:26.:21:29.

People arrived so very early. We spoke to the first two people to get

:21:30.:21:34.

here at 11:30 a.m., a mother and daughter who came from Essex who

:21:35.:21:39.

wanted to be at the front. So presumably they are right at the

:21:40.:21:42.

front of the audience inside. The very last few members of the

:21:43.:21:48.

audience are in. Let's head back into another area here at Wembley.

:21:49.:21:52.

Clive is now in the spin room, which will be all important later on.

:21:53.:22:00.

Yes indeed. All the viewers out there, when they turn on the radio

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and TV tomorrow, by a newspaper, online, the interpretation of this

:22:06.:22:10.

debate will have been formulated in this room, the spin room. There are

:22:11.:22:15.

journalists, pundits and commentators. Later on there will be

:22:16.:22:20.

politicians, everybody putting their particular gloss on this debate.

:22:21.:22:24.

Perhaps making it a rosy picture for the Remain side and maybe a rosy

:22:25.:22:28.

picture for those on the Leave side. Joel Twyman, Owen Bennett and George

:22:29.:22:37.

Barker. Thanks for being with us. Joel, we know the polls are tight,

:22:38.:22:43.

how tight are they? Extremely. We have had a little leave the

:22:44.:22:49.

liam-macro league for both sides. They are neck and neck. These

:22:50.:22:53.

debates have the potential to change things even with so few days to go.

:22:54.:22:59.

As in Scotland, people can decide at the last minute. They could be a

:23:00.:23:04.

massive mistake, there could be a knockout blow. It is unlikely but it

:23:05.:23:08.

could change things for either side. Both could still win it and they

:23:09.:23:15.

could win it a night. What do Leave have to do tonight? They need

:23:16.:23:19.

optimism and any positivity, and brush off the breaking point poster

:23:20.:23:24.

from Nigel Farage. They need to give the sense that leaving the EU would

:23:25.:23:30.

be good for the country and keep harking back to the bad things. We

:23:31.:23:34.

want the good reason to change something. That is what Leave have

:23:35.:23:39.

to get across. George, what do Remain have to do to convince those

:23:40.:23:44.

potentially swing voters? You will hear lots of project fear, the idea

:23:45.:23:51.

of it being a jump into the dark and challenging the Remain side, saying

:23:52.:23:57.

what would it mean. Then they will take on the argument is that Leave

:23:58.:24:02.

have been making. Britain will not join in European army, we don't give

:24:03.:24:07.

?350 million a year and Turkey isn't about to join the European Union. I

:24:08.:24:11.

was out with the crowds earlier talking to lots of different people.

:24:12.:24:15.

A lot of people have made up their minds. I found it difficult to find

:24:16.:24:21.

any undecideds out there, has but being the reading from YouGov? One

:24:22.:24:25.

in ten people say they are undecided. But it is whether the the

:24:26.:24:34.

people vote either side, but whether they vote at all. Leave can point to

:24:35.:24:43.

the 4 million people who voted Ukip at the last election. They will walk

:24:44.:24:51.

across broken glass to vote Leave. It will be trying to engage them and

:24:52.:24:56.

getting them off the so for even if it is raining on Thursday. Big

:24:57.:25:00.

turnout, is the big point in this? You are right, it is whether the

:25:01.:25:08.

Remain people have the same passion as the Leave campaign. There might

:25:09.:25:16.

be some people who are shy to say they want to remain. So turnout is

:25:17.:25:24.

key. I think you will see the big turnout that Leave, it is whether

:25:25.:25:29.

Remain can come out. The London mayor is on the panel tonight, is it

:25:30.:25:34.

surprising that it is not Jeremy Corbyn or Mr Johnson from the Labour

:25:35.:25:40.

Party? They have tried to field clean skins, people you haven't

:25:41.:25:43.

necessarily heard about, fresh faces. People have been bored with

:25:44.:25:49.

the same message is being put out by the same messengers. The London

:25:50.:26:00.

mayor got the biggest turnout and Frances O'Grady, from the TUC and

:26:01.:26:04.

raised Davidson from the Scottish Conservatives. All three may

:26:05.:26:08.

surprise. David Cameron wants to avoid a slip-up. I think he thinks

:26:09.:26:14.

he can win from this position. The fact you have three people you

:26:15.:26:18.

haven't heard of so much is a less strategy than putting a big name up

:26:19.:26:23.

like George Osborne. Do you think there has been a sense of, I have

:26:24.:26:28.

seen it all before, I have heard it all before, I want somebody to take

:26:29.:26:35.

me down the right path, voters weary of this long campaign? The problem

:26:36.:26:39.

is, you have a group of people who are bored of things, tiring of what

:26:40.:26:45.

is my uncertainty is bigger than your uncertainty. But there is a

:26:46.:26:48.

great that haven't been engaged yet and haven't been interested. The

:26:49.:26:53.

attempt with these three, new people, if you like, people who

:26:54.:26:56.

haven't been on the campaign trail in the same way, the attempt will be

:26:57.:27:01.

to engage people who perhaps haven't been paying attention or have turned

:27:02.:27:05.

off. And the issues, the economy, got to be big tonight? It is the big

:27:06.:27:13.

one. Millions of jobs being lost, that figure has been discredited.

:27:14.:27:17.

When people get in the polling booth, they will be thinking, is it

:27:18.:27:23.

my job. That is what the Leave campaign have got to paint the

:27:24.:27:27.

picture of, your job is safe and economy will not take a massive hit.

:27:28.:27:33.

It will take a small head, it is how long it will last four. They have

:27:34.:27:38.

got to smooth over that a little bit, but the economy will be a big

:27:39.:27:40.

issue. The Achilles heel, some suggest that the Remain camp,

:27:41.:27:45.

immigration? David Cameron hasn't been able to give the right answer

:27:46.:27:50.

people want to hear. He is bound up by this target of tens of thousands

:27:51.:27:55.

which is unachievable in the European Union. They will try to

:27:56.:27:59.

move the argument straight back onto the economy whenever they can. David

:28:00.:28:03.

Cameron thinks that the economy will trump immigration. There has been

:28:04.:28:08.

some polling in the past where people have said immigration is the

:28:09.:28:11.

biggest problem facing the country, but when they get into the polling

:28:12.:28:15.

booth, they are thinking about their pockets. Is that what could be

:28:16.:28:22.

happening? Yes, most people say one of the most important issues is

:28:23.:28:27.

immigration. But when you ask what is the most important issue facing

:28:28.:28:30.

their family, it comes back to the economy. People are saying I don't

:28:31.:28:35.

like immigration, not keen on the EU, I don't even like the

:28:36.:28:39.

government, but is that this like so great I'm willing to risk the

:28:40.:28:44.

situation. I think some people will change their minds at the last

:28:45.:28:50.

minute. A lot of people will bottle it and vote Remain. But we will see

:28:51.:28:53.

and we still have some time remaining. It is very tight indeed.

:28:54.:28:58.

Elwyn, that sends people might bottle it, it is such a big,

:28:59.:29:05.

momentous decision the first vote of its kind for longer than a

:29:06.:29:08.

generation. Do you think people will be conservative in the end and

:29:09.:29:12.

think, I am not going to go over this? People might look over the

:29:13.:29:18.

precipice and take a step back. Some of the rhetoric from the Leave

:29:19.:29:21.

campaign will turn people off. People will get into the polling

:29:22.:29:29.

booth and think do I want to be associated with people who put out

:29:30.:29:34.

that immigration poster. It has cast a bit of a shadow over this

:29:35.:29:40.

campaign. George, those on the Leave side, they are passionate and

:29:41.:29:43.

committed. I have talked a lot of them today and they really want to

:29:44.:29:47.

get in, they have an opinion and they want to make it heard on

:29:48.:29:53.

Thursday. It is quite possible there could be a Leave vote. We haven't

:29:54.:29:57.

had a referendum like this for over 40 years. The only approximate guide

:29:58.:30:02.

is the Scottish referendum whether did seem to be a last-minute lean

:30:03.:30:09.

towards safety and the better the devil you know. I am in the spin

:30:10.:30:15.

room, so everything they just said could be out of all proportion and

:30:16.:30:20.

make no sense by this time tomorrow morning. Jane, back to you.

:30:21.:30:24.

I would have loved to hear what all of your guests were saying, but it

:30:25.:30:31.

is difficult to hear because there is a van driving up and down the

:30:32.:30:41.

street playing a very long song -- loud song. Just tell you if you

:30:42.:30:49.

comments that have come through in the last few minutes from the

:30:50.:30:53.

European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker, who has been

:30:54.:30:57.

speaking in Athens this evening, saying that Britain voting to leave

:30:58.:31:01.

the EU would be an act of self harm. He said in to turn your back on your

:31:02.:31:07.

neighbours and retreat into isolation would go against

:31:08.:31:13.

everything the UK and Europe stands for. He has been talking in Athens.

:31:14.:31:24.

Upon this, the penultimate day of campaigning, both sides have been

:31:25.:31:28.

out in force. David Cameron has made a direct appeal to, in particular,

:31:29.:31:34.

the older generation, to vote to stay in the European Union. He said

:31:35.:31:38.

they should think about their children and grandchildren when they

:31:39.:31:45.

go into the voting booth. That came after a former adviser to the Prime

:31:46.:31:48.

Minister said David Cameron had been told for Magri years ago it would be

:31:49.:31:52.

impossible to meet the government's migration target. -- four years ago.

:31:53.:31:59.

When this thing comes out you know it is serious. A battle between

:32:00.:32:09.

heart to save these, and heads -- a battle between hearts that say leave

:32:10.:32:14.

and heads that they remain. It'll just be you in that polling booth,

:32:15.:32:19.

just you making a decision on your future, your children's future and

:32:20.:32:22.

your grandchildren 's future. It is stronger if we stay. If we leave we

:32:23.:32:28.

put it at risk. There is no going back. And it isn't just about future

:32:29.:32:35.

years. Those who want to remain say that the stock market could tumble

:32:36.:32:40.

if Britain voted out. But a former adviser to the PM says he is

:32:41.:32:45.

struggling and he knew for Magri years ago that he would never hit

:32:46.:32:51.

his migration targets by staying in the EU. -- four years ago. They've

:32:52.:32:57.

lost the argument on immigration. I think that is why they are losing

:32:58.:33:01.

overall. As we were warned in government many years ago, it was

:33:02.:33:05.

impossible for the British government to meet its target on

:33:06.:33:09.

immigration as long as we were in the EU. Leaders believe they are the

:33:10.:33:12.

ones who draw the crowd. Nigel Farage bee attack on migration

:33:13.:33:19.

strikes a chord with voters. -- Nigel Farage's attack. This is what

:33:20.:33:25.

we will be fighting for, getting back the control of our borders, and

:33:26.:33:27.

easing the pressure on public services. The Labour leader is more

:33:28.:33:32.

supportive of migration in this campaign than anybody else. I don't

:33:33.:33:38.

care where a doctor or nurse has come from, high-value their skills,

:33:39.:33:43.

dedication, and professionalism. Our NHS is an example of what people

:33:44.:33:47.

working together can achieve. Tonight, the rivals have arrived at

:33:48.:33:50.

Wembley for a big set piece of the campaign. The BBC's debate. Boris

:33:51.:34:01.

Johnson might be the leave party's best candidate, and Sadiq Khan for

:34:02.:34:05.

the other side. We have heard the worries about mass migration. Now it

:34:06.:34:09.

is about who can reach the heart and mind in the final hours of

:34:10.:34:15.

campaigning. -- Hart Aitor and minds.

:34:16.:34:19.

If we wake up on Friday morning to learn that Britain has indeed voted

:34:20.:34:24.

to leave the EU, what happens after that? Let's ask Rowena Moffat, a

:34:25.:34:35.

barrister, and an expert in EU law. If that is the case, come Friday,

:34:36.:34:39.

fair to assume nothing will happen quickly? Exactly. On Friday if we

:34:40.:34:46.

wake up with a leave vote nothing will happen in legal terms at that

:34:47.:34:50.

point. Politically that might be a different story, who knows what will

:34:51.:34:56.

happen. But legally all it will mean is that we will, at some point, be

:34:57.:35:01.

starting the process, which are under the EU treaties, to leave the

:35:02.:35:07.

EU. That means that there is an article in the EU Treaty which says

:35:08.:35:11.

we have two server vindication to leave. -- we have to serve an

:35:12.:35:19.

indication. There is no way out of that process once that has started.

:35:20.:35:23.

Is there a time frame for that to happen, does it happen relatively

:35:24.:35:30.

quickly? There is an outer limit of two years after a negotiation for an

:35:31.:35:38.

agreement to withdraw. There is an option to extend it. But we are

:35:39.:35:42.

looking at at least a period of two years. If David Cameron gives the

:35:43.:35:54.

notification to the EU, he indicated after two weeks if we do. But who

:35:55.:35:59.

knows what will happen politically, because it is anybody's guess. In

:36:00.:36:05.

legal terms we have this two year figure. But it is important to say

:36:06.:36:11.

that it is two years of negotiation. But it will take a longer time to

:36:12.:36:17.

renegotiate our trading agreements with the EU. For example, the Canada

:36:18.:36:22.

EU negotiation has taken more than five years. It is going to be a long

:36:23.:36:29.

process. If it takes five years, for example, does it mean that for those

:36:30.:36:33.

five years, actually, Britain is still part of the EU? So in terms of

:36:34.:36:39.

borders, travelling, people coming and going, people going on holiday,

:36:40.:36:43.

all of those things are not affected, and remain the same? It

:36:44.:36:50.

depends. It depends on whether the other member states agree on the

:36:51.:36:54.

extension of the two year period. If they do, and it could take five

:36:55.:36:59.

years, in legal terms we would remain. It would be difficult to say

:37:00.:37:03.

it would be business as usual. There would be changed. There would be a

:37:04.:37:08.

different state of play. If the other EU member states don't agree

:37:09.:37:13.

to extend the two year period, at that point we would leave the EU

:37:14.:37:17.

after two years without an agreement, potentially. It is

:37:18.:37:20.

unlikely that would happen. But it is an option. We would fall back on

:37:21.:37:28.

residual WTO trading rules and residual domestic immigration law in

:37:29.:37:31.

the UK and other member states. It is an uncertain process. We have

:37:32.:37:38.

heard so much in this campaign about trade, the economy, jobs, so all of

:37:39.:37:41.

those trade agreements that we would have to then strike business we

:37:42.:37:48.

would need to strike so they can carry on trading, that takes as long

:37:49.:37:53.

as it takes, as well? Your guess is as good as mine on the time period.

:37:54.:38:00.

It'll be a long process. Because so much centred on immigration in this

:38:01.:38:03.

debate, it is unlikely we will become like or Switzerland. It would

:38:04.:38:08.

mean that we would remain in the same set of rules with regards to

:38:09.:38:17.

the movement of people. -- Norway also seven. It would be the same.

:38:18.:38:24.

There is no easy solution if we don't want to have migration as it

:38:25.:38:34.

remains as it is currently. -- it is unlikely we will become like a

:38:35.:38:41.

Norway or Switzerland. Touching on some of the key issues of this

:38:42.:38:48.

there. Those issues are going to make up some of the key issues which

:38:49.:38:54.

will be debated tonight at Wembley, particularly immigration, business,

:38:55.:38:57.

and economics. Let's hear more about what might be discussed. Christian

:38:58.:38:59.

Fraser has been looking at that. As we head into the final frenetic

:39:00.:39:06.

stages of the campaign we will get more claim and counterclaim. We

:39:07.:39:10.

thought it would be useful to look in more detail at some of the key

:39:11.:39:15.

issues. These have been central to the debate. We will start with

:39:16.:39:18.

travel. Some facts: Let's focus on where the two sides

:39:19.:39:41.

stand on travel and living abroad... Starting with Remain.

:39:42.:39:50.

That is the open skies regime which has been negotiated within Europe.

:39:51.:39:56.

And the recent deal on roaming charges.

:39:57.:40:06.

A lot of you talked about this, the European health insurance card,

:40:07.:40:13.

which, at the moment, allows anybody living in an EEC country to get

:40:14.:40:16.

reduced or free health care abroad. Since we are focusing on laws, let's

:40:17.:40:40.

turn to the other big theme within this debate, and that is

:40:41.:40:41.

sovereignty. Some facts: They have to be approved by 16 of

:40:42.:41:01.

the 28 countries, that is around 65% of the European Union population.

:41:02.:41:07.

They then have to be ratified and approved by European Parliament.

:41:08.:41:12.

Again, we will look at where the two sides stand on sovereignty and law,

:41:13.:41:18.

this time starting with Leave. We have heard from Michael Gove,

:41:19.:41:32.

Secretary of State for Justice, that there are people he cannot remove

:41:33.:41:33.

because of EU law. The issue of EU army came up

:41:34.:41:39.

recently. Just a reminder that if you would

:41:40.:42:07.

like a great, in-depth look at some of the issues that we are talking

:42:08.:42:11.

about you can have a look on our website.

:42:12.:42:16.

This is a shorthand guide to all of the issues and where two sides

:42:17.:42:17.

stand. Let's head back inside here at

:42:18.:42:32.

Wembley and get a little bit more from the spin room. Spinning has

:42:33.:42:41.

already started... Pencils are being sharpened, laptops

:42:42.:42:44.

at the ready, we have about 20 minutes to go before the big debate.

:42:45.:42:48.

All of the commentators and pundits and we will get politicians in here

:42:49.:42:53.

later, they will all be putting their particular loss on tonight's

:42:54.:43:00.

debate, calling for a particular side, or it might even be a tie. Jim

:43:01.:43:14.

and Isabel join me here. Isabel, what do the Remain side have to do?

:43:15.:43:20.

It is safety first for that at the moment. They have drawn level in the

:43:21.:43:24.

polls as far as we know. What they will not want to do is make any

:43:25.:43:29.

major slip-ups. The big pitfall for them tonight is on immigration. That

:43:30.:43:35.

is clearly the weak point for the Remain campaign, the subject they

:43:36.:43:38.

have been desperate to avoid every time they are asked about it. David

:43:39.:43:41.

Cameron tries to move the conversation back onto what he feels

:43:42.:43:45.

is more comfortable ground for him, which is the economy, and that is a

:43:46.:43:50.

topic the audience will care very passionately about. Add his

:43:51.:43:56.

arguments are vulnerable on that, I think. What do you think Leave will

:43:57.:44:03.

have to do tonight to convince some of the people in the audience who

:44:04.:44:08.

maybe have not made up their minds yet? They have to be careful. They

:44:09.:44:13.

have to get the timing right, particularly after the news of Jo

:44:14.:44:21.

Cox. They will have to be careful about the issue of gender,

:44:22.:44:27.

particularly Boris Johnson. Immigration is something that can be

:44:28.:44:30.

talked about and it is something their voters will want to hear a lot

:44:31.:44:36.

more about. Isabel, you said the polls have been tight, that Remain

:44:37.:44:40.

have got back into the game, are people looking at the polls any

:44:41.:44:47.

more? Have a moment of pity for us commentators. Really it is all we

:44:48.:44:50.

have to go on. If you are a politician you are out there every

:44:51.:44:54.

day talking to people. Particularly if you are moving around the country

:44:55.:44:59.

like the different battle buses are. Then you have anecdotal evidence. In

:45:00.:45:05.

the end the polls are all we have by way of science. We know they have

:45:06.:45:09.

been level. We have to take it with a pinch of salt. I don't think

:45:10.:45:14.

anybody sensible is making confident predictions at this point. I have

:45:15.:45:18.

this horrible feeling that whatever happens we are all going to be quite

:45:19.:45:21.

surprised by it, whichever way it goes. Interesting tonight, we have a

:45:22.:45:28.

former Mayor of London and the current one on either side of the

:45:29.:45:34.

debate. This is something we were wondering about. Downing Street was

:45:35.:45:39.

hopeful that Boris Johnson would the on the side of Remain. -- be on the

:45:40.:45:47.

side. They will be making pretty much the opposite argument to each

:45:48.:45:52.

other. The two men, who never went up against each other directly

:45:53.:45:58.

during the electoral campaign, going up against each other for the first

:45:59.:46:02.

time. That'll be interesting. What about Sadiq Khan? He is untested on

:46:03.:46:09.

a platform like this. Leave have worked together on previous

:46:10.:46:13.

television debates. I think they were impressive as a trio. They will

:46:14.:46:19.

know a bit about the dynamic between the three of them. That is

:46:20.:46:25.

important. The chemistry worked well. For Sadiq Khan this is a big

:46:26.:46:30.

moment for them on such an enormous platform. A huge audience. I am sure

:46:31.:46:35.

he will be a solid performer. He is an experienced debater. But I think

:46:36.:46:39.

he is the one who has the less experience of this kind of forum.

:46:40.:46:44.

You are talking about the ITV debate, of course, where Boris

:46:45.:46:51.

Johnson, he was there with the others, it seemed to go well then

:46:52.:46:55.

and that is why they haven't changed the team. Exactly. Both sides in

:46:56.:46:59.

recent days have been debating amongst themselves as to whether

:47:00.:47:02.

they need to change the line-up. I know both sides had an opportunity

:47:03.:47:05.

to change the line-up in the last couple of days. Much thought was

:47:06.:47:09.

going into whether they have the right balance, the right balance of

:47:10.:47:13.

men and women, the right types of voices. Subtle things to take into

:47:14.:47:19.

consideration. Leave clearly decided that these three did well last time.

:47:20.:47:24.

And it is a great vote of confidence in all three of them they are being

:47:25.:47:28.

given the opportunity again. One other thing, I would expect with

:47:29.:47:31.

Davidsson to be very impressive for Remain tonight will stop -- Ruth

:47:32.:47:38.

Davidson. She has a lot of momentum behind her. If I have to say

:47:39.:47:45.

something nice about the Remain side it will be her who is earning the

:47:46.:47:52.

praise. Talking about famous names like Boris Johnson and Sadiq Khan.

:47:53.:47:57.

Ruth Davidson, she is known nationally, but not in the same way

:47:58.:48:02.

as the other characters, could that affect the dynamic? Being a fresh

:48:03.:48:07.

face... She has done a lot for the Conservatives in Scotland. She has

:48:08.:48:10.

managed to relaunch the party and get new voters they couldn't reach

:48:11.:48:14.

before. If there is a chance that works north of the border maybe it

:48:15.:48:18.

could work down here. A lot of people will not know who she is. But

:48:19.:48:23.

they will see a different sort of conservative and somebody a bit

:48:24.:48:26.

different. I don't see why that could not work on the rest of the

:48:27.:48:30.

country. Thank you for joining us. I am now going to take you to two

:48:31.:48:36.

brothers, Fred and Max Thompson. I spoke to them earlier, one is for

:48:37.:48:42.

Remain and the other is for Leave. They have a feud debates over the

:48:43.:48:45.

kitchen table every morning and this is what they have to say. -- few

:48:46.:48:53.

debates. Just put forward Leave vote... I want to leave because I

:48:54.:48:58.

think we can begin much better nation if we take a global view. At

:48:59.:49:02.

the moment we are alienating ourselves and castigating the rest

:49:03.:49:06.

of the world. If we liberate ourselves from this little European

:49:07.:49:09.

narrow mindset we are in at the moment, and if we took a global

:49:10.:49:13.

view, we could be a beacon for people all over the world. Not just

:49:14.:49:18.

in this insular structure. Little European narrow view. Complete

:49:19.:49:24.

rubbish. In a globalised world there would be different challenges. We

:49:25.:49:28.

need to work together with our closest allies. Things like the

:49:29.:49:33.

fight against global terror and environmental issues can only be

:49:34.:49:37.

affected by working together. We are clearly safer. I don't understand

:49:38.:49:42.

the argument to leave, I just don't get it. All of the things you have

:49:43.:49:47.

just pointed towards, Max, all of those things are challenges on a

:49:48.:49:51.

global level not just a European level. This is why we need to look

:49:52.:49:54.

more broadly, not just inside the EU. All of our allies want us to

:49:55.:50:01.

stay. Where are all of these people we are going to trade with? This is

:50:02.:50:07.

fear mongering. We can be a progressive nation, looking far

:50:08.:50:10.

beyond the remit of the EU which is building walls, not just

:50:11.:50:14.

metaphorically, but physically in some places. We need to expand our

:50:15.:50:18.

horizons, trade with China, Australasia, not cast these nations

:50:19.:50:24.

with whom we should be friendly. The whole argument is taking back

:50:25.:50:30.

control, but we would lose control if we left the European Union. If

:50:31.:50:35.

anybody was in any doubt that this would be a passionate night, this is

:50:36.:50:41.

proof that that is exactly what it will be.

:50:42.:50:41.

CHUCKLES Brotherly love. Clive will have much

:50:42.:50:52.

more once the debate is over. Today on the penultimate day of

:50:53.:50:54.

campaigning, as we have been reflecting a lot on, there is more

:50:55.:51:01.

campaigning under way. Let's remind ourselves of what the Prime Minister

:51:02.:51:07.

said around lunchtime today. He came out and made a quite personal,

:51:08.:51:11.

passion and address to journalists, and a personal appeal for the UK to

:51:12.:51:20.

stay within the European Union. -- passionate address.

:51:21.:51:26.

I want to speak very directly to those of my generation and older. I

:51:27.:51:32.

know Europe isn't perfect. Believe me, I understand and I see those

:51:33.:51:37.

frustrations. I feel them myself. That is why we negotiated and

:51:38.:51:42.

enhanced our special status. Out of the euro, keeping our borders, not

:51:43.:51:47.

involved in an ever closer union, we have the best of both worlds. As you

:51:48.:51:53.

take this decision, whether to remain or leaves, do think about the

:51:54.:51:57.

hopes and dreams of your children and grandchildren. They know their

:51:58.:52:03.

chances to work, to travel, to build the sort of open and successful

:52:04.:52:07.

society they want to live in rest on this outcome. And remember, they

:52:08.:52:16.

cannot undo the decision we take. If we vote out that is it. It is

:52:17.:52:22.

irreversible. We will leave Europe for good. And the next generation

:52:23.:52:26.

will have to live with the consequences far longer than the

:52:27.:52:32.

rest of us. For the next two days, up and down the country, in homes,

:52:33.:52:38.

in pubs, in the staff room at work, on the train on the way home, the

:52:39.:52:44.

conversations will continue, in or out. But on Thursday, those

:52:45.:52:52.

conversations. Four. -- those conversations are going to stop. It

:52:53.:52:55.

will be just you in the polling booth, just you making a decision

:52:56.:53:01.

which will affect your future, your children's future, your

:53:02.:53:04.

grandchildren's future. I believe deeply from my years of experience

:53:05.:53:08.

that we will be stronger, we will be safer, we will be better off inside

:53:09.:53:16.

Europe. To put it as clearly as I can, our economic security is

:53:17.:53:20.

paramount. It is stronger if we stay. If we believe we put it at

:53:21.:53:25.

risk. That was David Cameron outside

:53:26.:53:30.

number ten at lunchtime. And that statement came amid another row

:53:31.:53:37.

about immigration. It involved the Prime Minister's former adviser, now

:53:38.:53:42.

Leave campaigner, Steve Hilton. When I spoke to him just a few moments

:53:43.:53:46.

after David Cameron made that address, he dismissed him and said

:53:47.:53:52.

that Remain had lost the argument. What you saw from the Prime Minister

:53:53.:53:56.

is that they have lost the economic argument, they have lost the

:53:57.:54:00.

argument on immigration, and so he has been wheeled out by panicking

:54:01.:54:05.

spin doctors, it seems, to change the subject. There was nothing new

:54:06.:54:09.

in what he said. The argument that we should be a self-governing

:54:10.:54:14.

country, a government that controls the things that matters to people's

:54:15.:54:17.

lives, and that is why we need to leave the EU and that is the

:54:18.:54:21.

argument they are losing and that is what you saw that rather weird

:54:22.:54:23.

statement from the Prime Minister just now. -- why you saw. Was he

:54:24.:54:33.

wheeled out as a response to what you have been talking about? Your

:54:34.:54:37.

contention that he was told four years ago, that the target he put on

:54:38.:54:44.

immigration simply isn't achievable? I think that's right. It goes to the

:54:45.:54:47.

heart of the argument in the referendum campaign. We were told by

:54:48.:54:52.

government officials that if we remain in the EU it would be

:54:53.:54:57.

impossible to reach the target it promised to deliver to the British

:54:58.:55:05.

people. If we don't leave the EU you will never have a situation where

:55:06.:55:08.

the British government actually controls things like immigration and

:55:09.:55:12.

other economic issues like rules about employment and how we help

:55:13.:55:16.

businesses. All of those things end up being a horse trading negotiation

:55:17.:55:21.

with 27 other countries. That means the government of the day cannot

:55:22.:55:27.

deliver its promises. Is the vote on Thursday, above and beyond anything

:55:28.:55:33.

else, is it about migration as you see it? Really, if we are being

:55:34.:55:41.

honest with ourselves as a nation, is this what it is about? It is

:55:42.:55:46.

about who governs Britain, it is about who is in control of the

:55:47.:55:50.

things we need to do to create jobs and boost living standards, and

:55:51.:55:54.

build a better life for the people of this country. Who is in charge of

:55:55.:55:58.

this stuff? Is it the government people elect in this country, or is

:55:59.:56:10.

it a group of unelected... -- or is it a group of unelected bureaucrats.

:56:11.:56:14.

We can get some closing thoughts from our chief political

:56:15.:56:17.

correspondent who will be watching the debate like the rest of us

:56:18.:56:21.

tonight. We have herpes comments from Jean-Claude Juncker

:56:22.:56:24.

-- we have heard these comments from Jean-Claude Juncker.

:56:25.:56:32.

He said it would be a retreat into isolation. It is interesting the

:56:33.:56:36.

role European figures have played in this referendum, not a big one.

:56:37.:56:41.

Partly because Remain have told them to stay clear because they don't

:56:42.:56:46.

think they can persuade a sceptical UK electorate, people like Angela

:56:47.:56:49.

Merkel, have played no role in this at all. His comments contrast with

:56:50.:56:56.

what Donald Tusk has said. He is the ee president. He talked about how

:56:57.:57:01.

the EU would have to take a long hard look at itself. -- the EU

:57:02.:57:06.

president. And that you could ignore the statement of negativity coming

:57:07.:57:10.

from Britain and elsewhere in the European Union. He very much feels

:57:11.:57:14.

that there is a need for reform whatever the result of this

:57:15.:57:17.

referendum. Very few interventions from the big figures across Europe,

:57:18.:57:21.

yes. Let's close this hour by thinking

:57:22.:57:28.

about what each side feels it needs to accomplish tonight. 6000 people

:57:29.:57:34.

inside. People watching at home. Interesting that David Cameron has

:57:35.:57:38.

given an interview to the Financial Times saying that he believes it is

:57:39.:57:42.

very close. What will they be trying to achieve?

:57:43.:57:47.

From there on polling, from going around the country, they both

:57:48.:57:51.

believe this is close. With millions of people watching, with 6000 people

:57:52.:57:55.

in there asking questions, it is a big moment and a big chance for both

:57:56.:57:59.

sides to make an impact and persuade people. Those who are undecided.

:58:00.:58:03.

Those were not determined to go one way or another. They have to make

:58:04.:58:08.

their argument. Definitely a big moment for the people on the stage,

:58:09.:58:12.

people like Boris Johnson who have been thrust towards the front of the

:58:13.:58:16.

campaign, he will be talking again and again about taking control.

:58:17.:58:23.

Labour figures on the Remain side, including the leader of the Scottish

:58:24.:58:26.

Conservatives, they are concerned about the Labour vote, trying to get

:58:27.:58:32.

the vote out for Remain. And the audience, we have seen in much

:58:33.:58:35.

smaller debates the effect they can have when they raise issues like the

:58:36.:58:39.

economy, like immigration, their questions can be just as pertinent,

:58:40.:58:44.

just as important, to the way this debate goes. And there is another

:58:45.:58:48.

panel of people reacting to what they have heard. People who are not

:58:49.:58:50.

politicians. People outside business. They will give their say.

:58:51.:58:56.

There is a broad spectrum of people you will hear from. Voters,

:58:57.:59:00.

politicians, and business people, too.

:59:01.:59:05.

Thanks very much. We will let you escape and watch the debate as we

:59:06.:59:11.

all indeed will now. A build-up to a very big debate. This is the last

:59:12.:59:18.

key moment, of this election this referendum campaign, days and days

:59:19.:59:21.

in the planning inside the arena here behind me in Wembley. And now

:59:22.:59:29.

finally the stage is set. We saw the two camps arrive in the last couple

:59:30.:59:34.

of hours. The battle buses arrived and the key speakers here tonight

:59:35.:59:39.

arrived. There were a future years and clapped as both sides emerged

:59:40.:59:46.

from their battle buses. -- a few cheers and some clapping. Boris

:59:47.:59:55.

Johnson and his successor, Siddique Khan, on opposing sides. -- Sadiq

:59:56.:59:57.

Khan.

:59:58.:00:00.

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