22/06/2016 BBC Wales EU Referendum Debate


22/06/2016

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Should we remain in the European Union or leave? And what would be

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best for Wales? On the eve of the biggest decision of our time,

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welcome to the BBC Wales EU Referendum Debate.

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Good evening and welcome to the Cardiff and Vale College in the

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centre of our capital city. We are here after our debate in Swansea

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last week was cancelled after the tragic killing of MP Jo Cox. For the

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next hour here on BBC One Wales and BBC Radio 1 ales we will be debating

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the future of the UK come in or out of the European Union, and what it

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means for Wales. Joining me tonight, wanting to leave the EU, the

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Conservative MP David Davis and the leader of Ukip in Wales, Nathan

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Gill. On the Remain side, the First Minister, Carwyn Jones, and Plaid

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Cymru leader Leanne Wood. APPLAUSE And audience tonight is a carefully

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balanced mix of Remain and Leave supporters and those yet to make up

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their minds. You can join in on our live page on the Wales website.

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Straight to the first question which is from Gerry Jones. If the UK votes

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to leave the European Union, will that have a positive or negative

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effect on the economy in Wales? David Davies. Nobody knows for

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certain if we pull out or stay in because one thing we can be certain

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of is that economists predictions are very poor. What we can say is

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that we buy more from the EU than we sell to it, our biggest trading

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partner, the country with which we do the most trade is the USA and we

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don't even have a trade deal with them. If we pull out of the EU, we

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can almost certainly continue to trade freely with other European

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states, it is their interests to do so, but we can organise trade deals

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with countries across the rest of the world. There are

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countries we have seen doing it, countries like the room who are much

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smaller in size than the UK and have got trade deals with the European

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Union. I suggest we have some confidence in ourselves, we are the

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fifth biggest economy in the world, the seventh Guest Manufacturer.

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Let's go for it, of course we can trade with the rest of the world. --

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seventh biggest manufacturer. Why not have confidence for the UK on

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the world stage? I think there is a risk to public out, it is a big leap

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in the dark. -- pulling out. It is no coincidence that the major

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companies in Wales, so many small businesses, the entire higher

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education sector and the First Minister and myself as Leader of the

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Opposition, we all believe it is in Wales's best interests to remain. We

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believe that for economic reasons, cultural reasons, social reasons.

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There are 191,000 jobs related to Welsh involvement in the European

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Union. I'm not saying that all of those jobs would be lost if we were

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to leave but a proportion of them are at risk. Why would we take that

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risk? Nathan Gill, we know that what is a net beneficiary, to the tune of

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?79 per head per year in terms of what we put in and get out. It is a

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different story in the UK which loses out, 151, so the figures are

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different, do you acknowledge that? This is the most bizarre argument I

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hear, time after time, that somehow there is a thing such as EU money.

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It doesn't exist. It is our money that we sent to Europe. The EU

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creams off whatever they want to and send it to whatever country in

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Europe they want to and they give us back a pittance. We have been given

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?2 billion over seven years and we are expected to sell our birthright

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as a nation, our democracy and our sovereignty for ?2 billion over

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seven years. It is ridiculous and an insult to the Welsh people. Carwyn

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Jones, there was regional money for Wales a long way before 1973 and

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this idea that Wales get more out than it puts in, that would be

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restored, wouldn't it? It would be money from the UK Government. I have

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no faith at all in John Redwood and Boris Johnson replacing the

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Moneypenny for Penny as far as Wales is concerned. But the offer you a

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common-sense argument. A lot of my job involves attracting investment

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into Wales, we have just had the lowest unemployment figures for many

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years, lower than England and Scotland and Northern Ireland, 4.8%.

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The reason we are in that position is because we have sold Wales and

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brought jobs to Wales. Every single investor said that we need access to

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the European market. And unless I can say, of course you can sell to

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500 million people, they won't come. If we leave, the answer is that we

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don't know. It means that Ireland and France and Germany will be able

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to say, they can't answer that question can come to us in stead and

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we will have the jobs. It makes us harder for us to attract investment,

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harder to keep jobs. I have a Ford plant in Wales, if we are outside

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the EU, the investment will go to often in. Mr Jones, I am from Merhi

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on it and I would like to ask where are those jobs? Can I remind you

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that the economy is stagnant in Gwynedd. It is more of a risk to

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stay in than get out, we need to take a chance, we can do this. Put

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your money where your mouth is. I would like to counter that argument,

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36,970 jobs have come from EU funding into Wales. I would like to

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ask the panel, given that the steel industry is exempt from state aid

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rules and that over 50% of Tata Steel's exports go to the EU, would

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a Brexit be the death knell for the steel industry in Wales? The EU has

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been the deathknell of the steel industry in Wales. Plant after plant

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has disappeared in Wales and now the last one that is here, Tata...

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Listen... In 1975 we gave away our ability to stop any foreign country

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from dumping their products cheaply on the markets. The EU has not stood

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up for Wales, they have not put the tariffs on Chinese steel that the

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Americans did. Thank you, let's take a point from Carwyn Jones. The EU

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wanted to improve -- impose Paris on Chinese still, it was the UK

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Government that blocked it. It will be more difficult as to state our

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steel industry if we have uncertainty on Friday -- impose

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tariffs. An investor will ask if we can sell into Europe and if the

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answer is not yes, it will be more difficult to save our steel

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industry. When the Tories close down so much of our steel industry, it

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will happen again. He may not have heard of the World Trade

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Organisation and he may not understand that under their rules,

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we can sell to any country in the world anyway without a trade

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agreement. The point of this gentleman raised, the British

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tabloid wanted to bring in a compensation package to high energy

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users including steel companies and were prevented from doing so because

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of the length of time it took to get through the EU. That is factually

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incorrect. Business rate up part and part of the Assembly's powers, they

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could not cut business rate to the level it want to do because the EU

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prevented it. We cannot bring in Paris as the dumped steel like the

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Americans did. -- tariffs. It is not the EU that is responsible

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for high energy costs otherwise why would energy costs be much cheaper

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in Germany? Also, if the steel industry was going to be so damaged

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by remaining in the European Union, why are the key players in the

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industry in Wales supporting Remain? The key trade unions and companies

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are all calling for a Remain vote. Why would they do that if it is so

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bad for the industry? They have lost 90% of their trade because of the

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Italian government which is basically put ?2 billion into state

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aid to protect the industry. Which is completely illegal. What happened

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to this level playing field we have been promised by the EU? What is

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your vision of the UK outside the EU? Would you want the UK to be part

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of a single market? We know you want out of the EU but what about the

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single market? I would want to negotiate a trade deal with other

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European Union countries. I fully accept... How long would that take?

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I don't know but we can carry on selling as we do to America, we

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selling and exporting right now without any kind of trade deal. We

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don't need a trade deal in order to sell goods to people. It doesn't

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need politicians. China, Japan, South Korea, they don't need it. Do

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you think the EU would want to make it difficult for the UK to leave?

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The head of the German CBI only said today that it would be very, very

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foolish to impose tariffs on UK goods if there was a Brexit. The

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Germans realised that they sell is 20% of every single car Bateman a

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fracture. It will not lead to a trade war. -- they manufacture. The

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reality is that half of our exports go to the EU. In return, 7% comes

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back. We export far more... It is less than half, full

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Of course there would be trade, but at a price. It means that Welsh

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farmers selling land to the EU without an extra tariffs being

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imposed will find that it is more expensive. It will be much more

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competitive now than outside. Secondly, you want a free trade with

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New Zealand, that means more cheap New Zealand lamb coming into Wales.

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How are our farmers met to deal with that? This could Wales not be more

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on its own and a global stage without the EU? Would it not

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strengthen our position? If you are a business and you want to sell to

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the biggest market you can, at the moment is 500 million. If we wake up

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on Friday and we say, we can't guarantee access to that... Of

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course we can. Nobody can do it. If you can't guarantee it, investors

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and jobs will not come. You speak of the biggest employers and they all

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agree. The European Union gives Wales the opportunity to have that

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voice on a world stage. The risk to Wales is that this lot would pull up

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the drawbridge, take the power from Westminster, concentrate it in

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London. We would not see any of that power here in Wales, we would be

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worse off here in Wales. The stick some points from the audience. --

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let's take. You talk about a market of 500 million people, there is a

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need a bigger market 7 billion people called the world. You talk

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about being international, totally want an international Britain and

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you will only get that when you leave Fortress Europe and the

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regionalisation of the 1950s and you look outward to the world. That is

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what is best for Wales not looking inwards to the EU. APPLAUSE

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The gentleman with the tie. Can I say it is quite rude how you are

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butting into people, we are here to hear the facts. Can the Leave side

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tell me why the pound appreciated when there were threats of Brexit?

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The stock market had gone to the pot, a lot of my mates who are

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economists who want to go on to the stock market are scared of Brexit

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and the pound is appreciating. You always get this in the run up to any

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election, the fact that the pound rocks and that stock markets go up

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and down is because people are buying and selling and betting on

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them and that is up to them and it always happens at election times and

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it is not a good reason to get rid of elections. Are you worried?

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If the pound falls in value, it would be a huge boost for companies

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that want to export the rest of the world. This is exactly what Nigel

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Farage said, so what? July 2014 is when the market started on the

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pound, if you look at the graphs, it has been going down Fifa years, it's

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nothing to do with Brexit. For them to say, doom and gloom, we are going

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to end up living in caves, it is ridiculous. The gentleman there? One

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economic thing I can tell you, unfettered capitalism, only one

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thing that will bring, they will look up the valleys and say, no

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coal, no population, Mr Tebbit, on your bike. That is what will happen,

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there will be decimated if we leave Europe. No workers' rights, no

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protection. Workers' rights, which the British government instilled

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long before we were in the EU. What about Magna Carta? Trade unions,

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right across Europe! Thank you very much. You are on the side of big

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business and the shareholders... Thank you, please. This will not

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work if we are all shouting, it won't work. Let's take the man with

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the checked shirt. Yes, we were in the ERM, the European Exchange

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Market. We came out in 92, the pound plunged and that was when the

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economy turned round. Every economist knows that. The gentleman

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there? Can I go on? This thing about expert has been going on and on.

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They want us to join the euro, those experts. None of them said we should

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come out of the ERM, they were wrong. Most of them said we should

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go into the euro, they were wrong. None of them... One more point, none

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of them saw the crash in 2008. Thank you, the gentleman just below has

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been waiting patiently. Lots of funding in Wales is being funded by

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the EU, what plans and strategies do you have if we are going to Brexit?

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There must be... A lot of us have said we will continue the same

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funding after Brexit. The reality is, when we voted to leave tomorrow,

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nothing is really going change immediately. It will take two years

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to renegotiate the deal is. All other deals in place will continue

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after tomorrow. It is our money, which is coming back to the valleys

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and everywhere else. Let's be realistic, that money comes from

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Brussels to Wales. If it goes via London, it will stay in a money box

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in London! John Redwood, Michael Gove, Boris Johnson, we have been

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fighting for years to get a fair funding deal. I don't believe them

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as long as I can throw them, if I'm honest. At the end of the day, we

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benefit. This is the problem, the problem is... Please let the man

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speak. Nathan has identified this, there is a Lee vote on Friday, we

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get two years of uncertainty, minimum. On Friday, if we stay in

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the EU, the money still comes to Wales. We can still fund

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apprenticeships, we can still fund our farmers and they get access to

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the European market. If we leave, it is complete and utter uncertainty.

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That means nobody is going to invest in the country when there is that

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level of uncertainty. I come back to this point again, if you look at our

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major employers, they have all sent Brexit is bad. The Leave campaigners

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say they don't know what they are talking about, I think the people

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that employ thousands of people in Wales know what they are talking

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about. In terms of structural funds for poorer areas, we are essentially

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a country on EU benefits, your cases let's stay in the European Union to

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carry on claiming those benefits, rather than being a country that

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gets out to work, is that the appeal? I want Wales to be able to

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stand on its own two feet. I wanted to become an independent nation

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within the European family of nations. But I don't want that job

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of us improving our economy, getting more prosperity, to be made much

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more difficult than it needs to be already. We have already got a

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difficult job on our hands to bring our economy up to scratch, to make

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sure people in Wales have decent wages and are able to have a decent

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living. Let's not tire hands behind our backs and make it even more

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difficult by with drawing money available to us. There is an element

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of redistribution of wealth that the European Union carries out to try

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and lift the poorest nations and regions up to the level of everyone

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else. I have absolutely no faith whatsoever in the Tories, the

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further right than the Tories, who would be taking control. That is who

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is going to be taken control if we leave the European Union. -- taking

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control. The differences you can throw us out, you can't throw out a

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EU Commissioner. You can't throughout the house of lords,

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either, Parliament is not fully elected. I have listened to several

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economists recently and I know it is a temptation to choose the ones that

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agree with your point of view. But I have spent half an hour listening to

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Michael Duggan, I think, a professor of economic law at Liverpool

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University. It was extremely interesting, what he was saying. All

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right, he more or less confirmed what my opinions are. You want to

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Remain? Most definitely. If I make this point, another economist that

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is trotted out is Patrick Minford of Cardiff University. This man was one

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of Mrs Thatcher's... We can't go through all of the economists, we

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would be here all day. After that debate, you were undecided, have you

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had any clarity at all? You don't have long left to decide. I will

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still reserve judgment come I want to find out what we are going to say

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about immigration, the next topic. On the economy, no clearer, still

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undecided? Well, that brings us neatly to the next question. This is

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from Liam Williams. I support giving the persecuted refuge and I agree

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with controlled immigration, but I think that immigration levels have

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got out of hand. Does the Remain campaign had any intention to

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control the numbers of people coming to the UK from the EU? Leanne Wood?

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Well, I am not sure what you mean by immigration getting out of hand.

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Well, if you look at the figures, in the 2011 census, 95% of people that

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live in Wales were born in the UK. Only 2.6% of our population come

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from within the European Union. I would like to take this opportunity

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to thank all of those people out there, all of those workers in our

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health service, all of those people that have opened up businesses in

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our communities, who employ people. Can I just say this, because I met a

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woman the other day, she is a concert pianist from Germany. Her

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two children are in local Welsh medium schools, her children have

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been asking her, if Wales pulled out of the European Union on Thursday,

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does that mean we have to live in Germany? Does it mean that she has

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to leave the country? The truth is, she can't answer her children. I am

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married to a Hungarian citizen, it is outrageous that the remain

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campaign have spread these stories to law-abiding, hard-working people

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from all over the world, telling them they might get thrown out. It

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is absolutely untrue. You can't guarantee there will stay! You have

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no idea. Switzerland, India, places in or out of the EU, it is nonsense,

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let's put that one too bad. I share some of your concerns. I would like

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to see more done to help the genuine persecuted, particularly women and

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children from minority groups within the Middle East that are being

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persecuted. I'm concerned that at the moment we are seeing

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uncontrolled migration of mainly young men, and I have been to

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immigration comes, it is mainly young men, not coming from Syria,

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but from a variety of countries. Is that why you put up that post? I

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think mainstream politicians should be able to raise this issue, raise

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the concern shared by 70 people, I am fed up with being called a racist

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by people in the Remain campaign for expressing that. -- shared by so

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many people. Can you guarantee that immigration would come down if

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Britain left the EU? What we have been advocating for a long time is

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an Australian style points -based system. Australia has higher

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immigration per head of population. If you, as a nation, want more

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people to come to your country, you use a points -based system, like

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Australia, to increase your population. That is what I just

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said, thank you for listening to me. If you want your population to

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remain stable or decrease, you can use it to do that. It is up to be

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Government to decide, unfortunately I am not in the Government, but what

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I can say is that our system, an Australian, points -based system,

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means the people that come here have the skills, the ability that we need

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and they will not depress wages, because it is supply and demand. If

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you have too much supply, wages will go down. Just on the poster, it has

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featured largely in the campaign, Nigel Farage's poster, were you

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proud of it? Listen, we're not the only people using posters with

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immigration on them, OK? This is your side, your people. That is an

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absolute disgrace, OK? The reality is, Project Fear, Project Doom And

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Gloom... It is a photograph that was used... Please can I ask about...

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I'm proud of our campaign, I'm proud of the fact that I am able to

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raise... What is wrong with it? It's a legitimate photograph that all of

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the newspapers are used. Are you being serious!? It has failed us

:25:53.:26:00.

all. Can I say something about this post? It is racist. No, that is a

:26:01.:26:10.

racist poster. It is comparable to what was being put out by the Nazis

:26:11.:26:18.

in 1930. Just put the two together, you can see the similarities. You

:26:19.:26:23.

defend the poster? It is scraping the bottom of the barrel. Thank you,

:26:24.:26:30.

Carwyn Jones, on the poster and the broader question of immigration? I

:26:31.:26:34.

think that the poster was stupid, and most of the Leave campaign have

:26:35.:26:37.

said so. They want nothing to do with it and that sums up the

:26:38.:26:42.

situation. The reality is that Australia is a country of

:26:43.:26:45.

immigrants, Switzerland has an immigration rate that is 2.5 times

:26:46.:26:50.

what ours is, and it's not even in the EU. It's nothing to do with the

:26:51.:26:58.

EU at all. 2.6% of the population, and what jobs are they doing? They

:26:59.:27:04.

are mainly young, fit and working, they don't draw from the NHS because

:27:05.:27:12.

of their age, they pay into it, they pay taxes. They are working in the

:27:13.:27:19.

NHS, working in the care sector, they are doing jobs that people find

:27:20.:27:23.

difficult to do, like the abattoirs, they employ a lot of people from

:27:24.:27:27.

outside the UK because they found it difficult to recruit locally. These

:27:28.:27:30.

are people that are contributing to our economy, I don't see any great

:27:31.:27:35.

difficulty in seeing them paying their taxes, paying into the coffers

:27:36.:27:41.

and paying into the NHS. I accept people think immigration is a big

:27:42.:27:44.

issue, if you look at the figures, it isn't. What is a big issue is job

:27:45.:27:48.

security. People feel they don't have job security, they don't

:27:49.:27:52.

pensions, they don't have permanent contracts, they have zero hour

:27:53.:27:55.

contracts and they feel something must be to blame. Immigrants are not

:27:56.:27:59.

to blame, it is the policies of the right-wing government and austerity.

:28:00.:28:06.

Should we have more immigration in Wales? 2.6% is about right. We are

:28:07.:28:11.

not seeing... What the Leave campaign would have you believe is

:28:12.:28:15.

that there are floods of people coming in, there are not. 40,000

:28:16.:28:21.

come out of 3 million people. And most of them are working and

:28:22.:28:25.

contributing to the economy. I don't mind where they come from, they are

:28:26.:28:29.

paying for our pensions. Let's go to the audience. I am an immigrant, I

:28:30.:28:36.

came from India about 20 years ago, I am an NHS doctor. I think I have

:28:37.:28:39.

made a significant contribution to this country. What you're talking

:28:40.:28:43.

about when you talk about a points system dehumanises me, it makes me

:28:44.:28:47.

an object, it makes me a highly skilled object with high points so I

:28:48.:28:51.

can come in, somebody that does not have that can not come in. Countries

:28:52.:28:58.

all over the world use this. It is not, it is just Australia, you are

:28:59.:29:04.

dehumanising a large chunk of the population. I am married to an

:29:05.:29:14.

immigrant, my sister-in-law is an immigrant. But we cannot have an

:29:15.:29:18.

open door system, where anyone who wants to can just walk in, and that

:29:19.:29:24.

is what we have got at the moment. Nathan Gill, thank you. Lady in the

:29:25.:29:33.

red shirt. I am a migrant worker from the EU, and I'm also a member

:29:34.:29:38.

of the Trade Union And Socialist Coalition, I don't have an issue

:29:39.:29:41.

with immigrants come I do have an issue with employers using people

:29:42.:29:44.

from abroad as cheap labour and paying them less than the minimum

:29:45.:29:50.

wage, according to EU rules. According to something called the

:29:51.:29:54.

Posted Workers Directive, that I want to get rid of, and is one of

:29:55.:29:58.

the reasons I want to leave, because the free movement of people is

:29:59.:29:59.

abused to have cheap labour. I share your concerns and I would

:30:00.:30:12.

reject the Posted Workers Directive I would want to see a strengthening

:30:13.:30:16.

of trade Unions, a rising of the minimum wage, a proper living wage.

:30:17.:30:22.

The reason wages have been squeezed and workers' rights have been

:30:23.:30:25.

withdrawn or reduced in recent years is to do with the reduction in the

:30:26.:30:29.

strength of trade unions over many years. We could overcome those

:30:30.:30:33.

problems without pulling out of the EU. We could lose the working Time

:30:34.:30:41.

directive potentially. I have no faith in these right-wing

:30:42.:30:44.

politicians to protect... Thank you very much. It is clearly not the

:30:45.:30:51.

case that anyone can walk into this country, that is why we have all of

:30:52.:30:55.

those people in Calais. If they could just walk in, they would be

:30:56.:30:59.

here right now. It is right we have passport control. It is clearly

:31:00.:31:07.

wrong to say that anybody can walk in. It is just sheer scaremongering.

:31:08.:31:14.

We know that people are coming to the UK, they woke up and contribute,

:31:15.:31:22.

and they do need to contribute, of course, and they pay into our

:31:23.:31:27.

system. To say that somehow anybody can walk into the UK defies logic

:31:28.:31:30.

because it is obvious that is not the case. The question is, would you

:31:31.:31:36.

agree, because I agree that people should contribute but you said

:31:37.:31:39.

nobody should have a free ride but would you agree that anybody coming

:31:40.:31:43.

over and just claiming benefits and breaking the law should be chucked

:31:44.:31:48.

out? I think that is reasonable. But we can't do that while we are in the

:31:49.:31:52.

EU, we would have to pull out to do that. Can I ask you, on the issue of

:31:53.:32:03.

the reforms offered by David Cameron in Brussels, you are on the same

:32:04.:32:08.

side as him, are you confident that he will deliver those? 27 countries

:32:09.:32:14.

still have the rubber-stamp them. Not if we leave coming will not

:32:15.:32:18.

deliver, if we stay I think he will deliver. People understand their

:32:19.:32:22.

needs to be reform in the EU will stop that is perfectly reasonable.

:32:23.:32:28.

It is reasonable to assume that an agreement reached in principle will

:32:29.:32:31.

be carried through. So he negotiated a good deal? I think he has taken it

:32:32.:32:41.

forward in terms of the EU. It is important that the EU recognises

:32:42.:32:44.

that it has to change, it cannot stay the same for ever. It does

:32:45.:32:49.

wrestle with problems it needs to address but from my perspective,

:32:50.:32:53.

there is a lot wrong with the UK but I wouldn't leave it. It is important

:32:54.:32:58.

to stay in and reform. We are in the Euros, we have been shouting in the

:32:59.:33:02.

crowd for 58 years, we have not been influencing what has been happening

:33:03.:33:06.

and the same thing happen if we left the EU, we would be in the crowd

:33:07.:33:09.

shouting, not on the pitch playing and that is what I want Britain to

:33:10.:33:18.

be doing. Let's take a few points. There is a flip side to immigration

:33:19.:33:21.

that doesn't get discussed. Currently there are 1.4 million

:33:22.:33:27.

Brits living in Europe. If we left the European Union and they were to

:33:28.:33:32.

come back home, that would have a negative impact on our economy and

:33:33.:33:38.

local councils would suffer. And the gentleman in the blue? You quoted

:33:39.:33:47.

net migration. 330 3000. As a percentage of how much of that is

:33:48.:33:52.

non-EU controlled or migration? It's about 50%. But don't forget that a

:33:53.:33:56.

lot of people migrating into the EU from outside are being given EU

:33:57.:34:01.

passports. And what has your government done to control that? You

:34:02.:34:07.

do agree that half of our migration can actually be controlled? Probably

:34:08.:34:11.

more than that. If we pull out we would be able to control the number

:34:12.:34:15.

of people coming in from outside and we would not have is people coming

:34:16.:34:22.

in illegally from other countries and being given EU passports. Do you

:34:23.:34:28.

acknowledge that your government could control 50% of it now? I would

:34:29.:34:32.

acknowledge that the government could do a lot more than they are

:34:33.:34:36.

and they should. And if the French authorities withdrew their policing

:34:37.:34:43.

of Calais? First of all it would be crazy for them to do that because of

:34:44.:34:45.

trying to stop people going to Calais in the first place and the

:34:46.:34:49.

one thing that would attract them would be if the French decided to

:34:50.:34:52.

try to stop those border controls. But you have no idea really. You are

:34:53.:35:01.

trying to defend something that is indefensible which is an open door

:35:02.:35:04.

immigration policy. It is not an open door policy. What numbers would

:35:05.:35:12.

you like? What is manageable? I want a functioning Welsh economy. Answer

:35:13.:35:20.

the question. This is not going to work if we are just shouting at each

:35:21.:35:26.

other. The gentleman waiting patiently. This young lady asked a

:35:27.:35:38.

question about ten minutes ago and is a typical politician, she didn't

:35:39.:35:45.

bother to answer, she went off on this load of trouble. I disagreed on

:35:46.:35:49.

the premise of the question. Can you remember it? She asked if

:35:50.:35:54.

immigration was out of control and I said I didn't think it was. The

:35:55.:36:06.

gentleman behind her. We have had the question, sir. Politicians don't

:36:07.:36:10.

always answer I'm afraid! The gentleman behind. Leanne Wood must

:36:11.:36:17.

be able to in the wilderness because I have called over eight or nine

:36:18.:36:20.

years as a market researcher, thousands of homes in the Welsh

:36:21.:36:23.

valleys. I can tell you now that people, the most important thing

:36:24.:36:29.

they come up with is immigration. Leanne Wood has heard that time and

:36:30.:36:34.

time again and she is trying to pretend that people are not

:36:35.:36:37.

interested in it but they are. That is the major issue in the Welsh

:36:38.:36:46.

valleys. The numbers of 2.6 aw... They don't matter. I have never said

:36:47.:36:50.

that people are not concerned about immigration, they are, I would

:36:51.:36:56.

acknowledge that. People are very angry, angry because their wages

:36:57.:37:00.

have been depressed, because they have lost many local public

:37:01.:37:04.

services, but what I would say to all of those people who express that

:37:05.:37:09.

anger, don't blame the people who are already exploited, blamed the

:37:10.:37:13.

elite, blame the establishment, blame the people you are causing

:37:14.:37:19.

your problems. The gentleman with the glasses. In my opinion, there is

:37:20.:37:29.

a big problem in the sleeve's policy on immigration and it relates to

:37:30.:37:34.

Northern Ireland -- Vote Leave. On the one hand they say that we don't

:37:35.:37:38.

need to reinstate the Bourdy between the Republic and the North but on

:37:39.:37:42.

the other hand you want to control immigration. The EU is not just to

:37:43.:37:46.

the east of the UK, it is also the Republic of Ireland so how will that

:37:47.:37:53.

work? They seem mutually exclusive. There are about 50 odd countries in

:37:54.:37:57.

the world ranging from Chile, Dominica, Saint Lucia, places I have

:37:58.:38:04.

never even heard of, who has Visa free access to the EU where they can

:38:05.:38:09.

come and read anywhere. Why would we not allow Ireland, our neighbour for

:38:10.:38:16.

hundreds of years... You want to close the borders. We can have Visa

:38:17.:38:27.

free access. The lady in front. The Leave campaign are talking about

:38:28.:38:31.

Project Fear but what about the fear in the ethnic minority groups and

:38:32.:38:35.

those of mixed race. I am a quarter Chinese and 23 and I have never met

:38:36.:38:41.

my Chinese ancestors apart from my dad because they were all born in

:38:42.:38:48.

the UK. I have never received so much racism is what I have since

:38:49.:38:51.

that pain has been going on. They had been spat at and told to go back

:38:52.:38:56.

to my own country. I was born in the UK. I think that is absolutely

:38:57.:39:02.

appalling. My sister-in-law is Chinese. I had a mixed-race nephew

:39:03.:39:06.

and I think anybody who picks on somebody because of their skin or

:39:07.:39:14.

their ethnicity is the on contempt. I would not work with anybody who

:39:15.:39:17.

took that attitude. It is your campaigners. My family are like the

:39:18.:39:22.

United Nations, you would not know it to look at me! I don't see any

:39:23.:39:27.

problem with saying, we have to be able to control migration into the

:39:28.:39:30.

UK from anywhere in the world and it is also reasonable to say that if

:39:31.:39:34.

people are coming into our country, we should expect all people coming

:39:35.:39:37.

here to learn the language and be prepared to work and not break the

:39:38.:39:43.

law. To respect the culture of the country. Just as I respect the

:39:44.:39:47.

culture of the Chinese and everybody else. Nathan Gill. I completely

:39:48.:39:53.

concur with everything you have just said. The reality is, I never joined

:39:54.:39:59.

Ukip because I was concerned about immigration, I joined because I

:40:00.:40:02.

wanted my nation to get its independence back, for us to be a

:40:03.:40:05.

free nation where we could make our own laws once again and that we

:40:06.:40:12.

defended the democracy that my grandfathers and great grandfathers

:40:13.:40:15.

fought for in two world wars. That is what it is all about. It is not

:40:16.:40:21.

about immigration, how much money we descend to Europe, it is genuinely

:40:22.:40:25.

about the democracy of this nation -- we send. Carwyn Jones. I worry

:40:26.:40:33.

when you talk about what happened in the walls. After the Second World

:40:34.:40:37.

War, people wanted peace in Europe. Churchill was one of the first

:40:38.:40:41.

advocate of a European Union. He did not want to run a wave. Before the

:40:42.:40:45.

war he wanted the UK and France to be one state -- run away. The reason

:40:46.:40:52.

the generation after the war want closer cooperation is because they

:40:53.:40:55.

remembered Europe in complex and that is the last thing we want. The

:40:56.:41:01.

idea that our democracy is under threat is plainly wrong. An example

:41:02.:41:05.

of where the EU has created peace. Northern Ireland, if it was not for

:41:06.:41:08.

the EU, there would not have been a peace process. I know Northern

:41:09.:41:15.

Ireland, it gave the opportunity for barriers to be broken down, people

:41:16.:41:20.

did not feel one side or the other, they could share a common identity

:41:21.:41:24.

and if we don't have that there are serious issues about the way people

:41:25.:41:27.

look at themselves in Northern Ireland. Thank you. This has been a

:41:28.:41:35.

very lively and at times pretty bad tempered debate. That brings us to

:41:36.:41:40.

our next question which is from Linda. Can I say, as an immigrant

:41:41.:41:48.

into this country, the rhetoric coming from this site, I feel quite

:41:49.:41:53.

intimidated sitting here, can utopia down a bit? You are sitting there

:41:54.:42:00.

full of anger -- can you tone it down. I come from a border town in

:42:01.:42:05.

Ireland and I know what it's like. Thank you. Do you think your

:42:06.:42:13.

campaigns have been a success, there are a couple parts to this question,

:42:14.:42:17.

do you think your campaigns have been a success and are you confident

:42:18.:42:23.

that the rhetoric used to convince voters to leave or remain in the EU

:42:24.:42:29.

has had a positive impact? And do you think that this referendum has

:42:30.:42:33.

left the political debate in Wales worse off because we are talking

:42:34.:42:40.

about Wales? Nathan Gill. Basically, we have definitely got momentum on

:42:41.:42:44.

our side in the campaign, it started pretty low-key because we had just

:42:45.:42:48.

come out of a Welsh Assembly election but over the last two and a

:42:49.:42:53.

half, three weeks, we have felt things starting to gather. Anybody

:42:54.:42:57.

who has been out campaigning will have seen a huge swell up public

:42:58.:43:00.

support for our side of the argument. With regard to rhetoric,

:43:01.:43:08.

the rhetoric of Ukip all along has been to believe in Britain. That has

:43:09.:43:12.

been our mantra. Have you always got the tone right? Well, in this

:43:13.:43:18.

debate, things get heated, we are passionate people. I have been doing

:43:19.:43:23.

this for 12 years and we have finally got a referendum. David has

:43:24.:43:28.

been doing it for 20 years, Nigel Farage 425 years, of course we will

:43:29.:43:32.

be passionate. Regardless of how it goes tomorrow, there will be highs

:43:33.:43:36.

and lows because we believe so passionately in this. This is your

:43:37.:43:40.

cup final tomorrow, your biggest game, if you lose, what happens to

:43:41.:43:45.

you and your party? How can ask me such a question? We will find out on

:43:46.:43:52.

Friday. Carwyn Jones, the tone of the campaign? I think the tone in

:43:53.:43:59.

London has been pretty bad on both sides. We have seen weeks and weeks

:44:00.:44:05.

of poison. I think there will be a huge amount of work to be done to

:44:06.:44:08.

reunite people in Wales and in Britain and I think quite often the

:44:09.:44:13.

facts have been lost in abuse between Conservative politicians.

:44:14.:44:16.

How can there be a Conservative Party after you see their prominent

:44:17.:44:21.

members calling each other liars in public? That is the issue.

:44:22.:44:25.

Were you later to the party? That's a fair point, I said to David

:44:26.:44:33.

Cameron, why are you having an election six months after an

:44:34.:44:40.

election? I hope I never see a referendum campaign with this, with

:44:41.:44:44.

so much poison and vitriol. We have to take a hard look at ourselves.

:44:45.:44:49.

Are we going to be a sour, paranoid country after Friday or, whatever

:44:50.:44:52.

the result, will we come together and make sure the kind of abuse,

:44:53.:44:56.

physical abuse, the kind of verbal abuse, is never witnessed again in

:44:57.:44:58.

Wales or Britain? I find myself agreeing with Carwyn,

:44:59.:45:12.

but people that have been shouting out words like Nazis have been the

:45:13.:45:19.

Remainer Mass. It's been a campaign of negativity, how we will see the

:45:20.:45:23.

end of civilisation, the collapse of the economy, house prices and the

:45:24.:45:25.

rest of it. Nathan, high, all of us on the side, we've been up

:45:26.:45:33.

against a powerful government machine. It's been a beauty contest,

:45:34.:45:45.

hasn't it? The polls suggest it hangs on a knife edge. Whatever

:45:46.:45:49.

happens, we will know whether the campaign has been a success when we

:45:50.:45:52.

get the result, whatever happens, I think we have delivered a huge

:45:53.:45:55.

wake-up call to the elite in Brussels, people like the head of

:45:56.:46:02.

Serco, the biggest outsourcer in the NHS, how a socialist light you can

:46:03.:46:07.

stand next to somebody promoting the privatisation of the NHS, I don't

:46:08.:46:12.

know. -- a socialist like you. Any of you guys, how you can be

:46:13.:46:15.

supporting big business in saying that we should be staying, it

:46:16.:46:20.

beggars belief. I am on the conservative side of small

:46:21.:46:24.

businesses who believe in freedom and democracy. I've been active in

:46:25.:46:29.

politics for 25 years. I have never been involved or come across a

:46:30.:46:32.

campaign that has been so filled with hate in all my time in

:46:33.:46:37.

politics. I have to say, the lies have come from the Leave side, on

:46:38.:46:48.

the leaflets, on the poster, or the bus. Will you just let me finish my

:46:49.:46:52.

point, please? You've shouted the whole time. They want to hear what

:46:53.:47:01.

positions... You keep doing it. I want to develop politics in Wales, a

:47:02.:47:07.

society where people can cooperate and work together. We are going to

:47:08.:47:11.

have a big job of patching things up after the selection. This campaign

:47:12.:47:16.

has divided communities and has brought the worst kind of poison and

:47:17.:47:20.

the worst kind of politics out in people. Is that why you have taken a

:47:21.:47:24.

back-seat as a party? You have not been front and centre of the

:47:25.:47:29.

campaign. This has been a Tory and Tory, on right fight.

:47:30.:47:35.

Could you have done more, played a bigger role? My party has worked

:47:36.:47:41.

very hard on this campaign. We have had a matter of a Welsh election,

:47:42.:47:46.

which took us up into the beginning of May, and the aftermath of that.

:47:47.:47:51.

We did warn that it was going to be difficult in Wales for us to fight a

:47:52.:47:58.

proper campaign on this. You have not had a proper campaign? I

:47:59.:48:01.

wouldn't say that, we have done what we can within the constraints we

:48:02.:48:04.

have had, but we have been fighting real bile. I hope when this is out

:48:05.:48:12.

of the way, we can build a nation where people can cooperate and live

:48:13.:48:15.

together without racism and hatred. A view points from the audience. The

:48:16.:48:20.

gentleman with the beard? Leanne, if we were like you want, to become an

:48:21.:48:25.

independent Wales, what would even be the point if we were still in the

:48:26.:48:31.

European Union? Still told what to do, what would be the point of

:48:32.:48:37.

becoming independent? My position on Welsh independence is the opposite

:48:38.:48:44.

to these boys's position on the UK being independent. I don't want to

:48:45.:48:48.

pull up the drawbridge. I want to cooperate with other countries in

:48:49.:48:53.

the world, I don't want to be an isolationist, in an isolationist

:48:54.:48:57.

position. I think Wales has a great contribution to play, not just in

:48:58.:49:02.

the European Union but in the world. It is people in Scotland that want

:49:03.:49:06.

independence for Scotland, they are in favour of remaining in the

:49:07.:49:10.

European Union as well. It is not an unusual place to be. The gentleman

:49:11.:49:16.

next door? The initial question was about the rhetoric and the tone, and

:49:17.:49:21.

it was quite dismaying, when Leanne used the opportunity to call us

:49:22.:49:29.

hateful liars. We are the group of hope, we are saying we succeed

:49:30.:49:32.

outside the EU. They are saying we have to bend the knee to Brussels

:49:33.:49:36.

because Britain cannot survive alone. I say that is rubbish. We are

:49:37.:49:40.

one of the best countries in the world, one of the proudest histories

:49:41.:49:44.

in the world and we can stand on our own two feet. Asked people in

:49:45.:49:55.

France, Germany, across Europe, what is the point of being French or

:49:56.:50:00.

German? Let's set up that table, let's lead, let's not surrender,

:50:01.:50:12.

let's lead Europe to a better place. Colin Jones, yesterday you said if

:50:13.:50:17.

it were a Leave vote, you would negotiate directly with Brussels.

:50:18.:50:21.

What did you mean? You can see people do not think that Wales has

:50:22.:50:26.

that right, they laugh at the very idea of Wales. If there is a Leave

:50:27.:50:37.

vote, regardless of what Wales does, there will still be a need to get

:50:38.:50:42.

the best deal for Wales. I don't trust the Tories to get it for us.

:50:43.:50:48.

Of Wales votes to leave, you can't do that? If the UK boats to leave...

:50:49.:50:54.

What if Wales does? From our perspective, we will have to say to

:50:55.:50:57.

the people of Wales, we hear what you say and there is a job to do to

:50:58.:51:02.

make sure that the people of Wales see the benefit of the union. If the

:51:03.:51:07.

UK wants to leave, whether Wales wants to remain or leave, there will

:51:08.:51:11.

still be a need for a Welsh voice in negotiations. On that point? Is

:51:12.:51:20.

interesting that Carwyn is saying that he will go and negotiate if the

:51:21.:51:27.

UK boats to leave, but what if Wales votes to leave and the rest of the

:51:28.:51:32.

UK boats to stay? Will he go and negotiate Wales leaving the European

:51:33.:51:35.

Union? If so, I would be happy to give him a hand. I'd like to go back

:51:36.:51:41.

to one point that Leanne brought up, independence, it is the same in both

:51:42.:51:45.

languages, look it up in the dictionary, it means standing on

:51:46.:51:48.

your own two feet, make your own laws, paying your own way in the

:51:49.:51:53.

world. If you want Wales to be independent, if that is what Plaid

:51:54.:51:58.

Cymru are saying, you are giving an oxymoron to your supporters by

:51:59.:52:01.

saying you can be independent inside the EU. It cannot and will not ever

:52:02.:52:10.

be a reality. There are very few countries in the world that are

:52:11.:52:14.

completely independent. America, China, Japan, South Korea? Let her

:52:15.:52:22.

answer, please. There are countries that are independent all over the

:52:23.:52:26.

world, but very interdependent on each other as well. They were gunned

:52:27.:52:30.

cooperate together and that is what we want for Wales. We want Wales to

:52:31.:52:35.

take our place within that family of nations, to be progressive, learn

:52:36.:52:44.

from others, to work with others who are multilingual, rather than

:52:45.:52:48.

isolate ourselves. You just want to replace Westminster

:52:49.:52:52.

-- you want to replace Westminster with Brussels. I think they are

:52:53.:53:00.

tying themselves in knots, you believe in independence or not. I

:53:01.:53:04.

believe in independence for the United Kingdom... What about for

:53:05.:53:10.

Wales? It will be independent from a bunch of bureaucrats that will never

:53:11.:53:14.

knock on anybody's door asking them anything. It is taken control of

:53:15.:53:18.

borders, deciding our own immigration policy, taking control

:53:19.:53:24.

of the people that make the laws for us in this country. What do you say

:53:25.:53:28.

to people watching at home that are still confused and worried that it

:53:29.:53:34.

would be a leap in the dark? I would say, believe in Britain, believe in

:53:35.:53:38.

ourselves. The fifth biggest economy in the world, the seventh biggest

:53:39.:53:41.

manufacturing nation in the whole world. Ask yourselves this, we all

:53:42.:53:45.

know, whether we like it or not, there is a Conservative Government,

:53:46.:53:49.

David Cameron is the Prime Minister, who knows which party is running the

:53:50.:53:55.

European Parliament? Nobody does. If you don't even know who is making

:53:56.:53:59.

the decisions, you have no chance of putting them out. The important

:54:00.:54:03.

thing is that we have control over our politicians. It is not the money

:54:04.:54:06.

and immigration, it is that we control the people that make the

:54:07.:54:09.

laws in the country, they have to knock on the door and asked for your

:54:10.:54:13.

vote, and if they can't deliver, they get kicked out. That is

:54:14.:54:17.

democracy and why we should vote for independence. Briefly, David Davies,

:54:18.:54:28.

if David Cameron loses, does he resign? You would have to ask him,

:54:29.:54:33.

I'm happy for him to remain as Prime Minister, take us out of the

:54:34.:54:36.

European Union and get that deal for Britain he was not able to get a few

:54:37.:54:40.

months ago. Only a few hours to go until the vote. Let's have closing

:54:41.:54:51.

thoughts. This is going to be the very first time in our nation's

:54:52.:54:56.

history where we can protect and defend, bring back our democracy and

:54:57.:55:00.

our sovereignty without having to go to war. We can do it at the ballot

:55:01.:55:05.

box. Tomorrow is the most important vote you will ever make in your life

:55:06.:55:10.

and if we get it wrong, if we vote to Remain, we will be stuck in that

:55:11.:55:15.

club for ever. Vote for our freedom and independence, make sure that you

:55:16.:55:19.

believe in Britain the way that I do and I believe in Wales and I know

:55:20.:55:24.

that we can, as a nation, stand on our own two feet. Leanne Wood? Wales

:55:25.:55:34.

can be great, Wales can be a fantastic success. You only have to

:55:35.:55:38.

look at what our football team did this week, on a European stage, to

:55:39.:55:43.

show what we can do. But not if those powers are taken from Brussels

:55:44.:55:47.

and concentrated in Westminster will stop that would be to Wales's

:55:48.:55:52.

detriment. Both of us are united in saying it is in Wales's best

:55:53.:55:57.

interests to remain in the European Union. Do not take the gamble, don't

:55:58.:56:01.

take the chance, vote Remain tomorrow. David Davies? You have

:56:02.:56:10.

heard from Remain, it is a negative vision, it is based on insults,

:56:11.:56:14.

calling us liars, Nazis, boys, whatever it is. It is a vision of a

:56:15.:56:19.

ever closer union, a federal European superstate run by unelected

:56:20.:56:23.

commissioners who will be influenced by the vested interests of big

:56:24.:56:27.

business, a big NGO, who ever can get into Brussels and lobby. Our

:56:28.:56:33.

vision is of an outward looking Wales, and outward looking Britain

:56:34.:56:36.

trading with the whole world, good relationships with the whole world,

:56:37.:56:41.

doing business with the world. Carwyn Jones? So many of the

:56:42.:56:45.

arguments they deployed in their favour arguments they used to deny

:56:46.:56:51.

powers to Wales, to concentrate powers in London. I want to see the

:56:52.:56:58.

politics of Hope triumph over the politics of hate, I want to live in

:56:59.:57:02.

a bright, confident country that works with other countries that

:57:03.:57:07.

share our values, ones that fear the global threat of terrorism and does

:57:08.:57:12.

not run away with it and put its head in the sand. Freedom,

:57:13.:57:16.

tolerance, democracy and justice, that is my country and I wandered

:57:17.:57:26.

back. -- I want it back. The debate is at an end, but it continues on

:57:27.:57:34.

social media. There is a debate on S4C tonight at 9:30pm. The polls

:57:35.:57:37.

open at 7am, over to you. Goodbye.

:57:38.:57:40.

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