11/06/2014 Politics Scotland


11/06/2014

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Hello and welcome to Politics Scotland.

:00:17.:00:17.

A special adviser to the First Minister says sorry to a

:00:18.:00:23.

mother who says she's faced online attacks for supporting the Union.

:00:24.:00:28.

The author JK Rowling has donated ?1 million to help fund the campaign

:00:29.:00:34.

And problems with passports. Will a backlog of applications caused

:00:35.:00:47.

travel misery for thousands? A special adviser to the

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First Minister has apologised to a woman who said she was attacked

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for supporting Scotland staying The mother-of-two, Clare Lally,

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spoke at an event organised Campbell Gunn said he didn't intend

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any personal slight on Ms Lally when Here's our political correspondent,

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Glenn Campbell. Clare Lally took centre stage at

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Better Together's rally in Glasgow on Monday. I am and ordinary mother

:01:18.:01:26.

from Clydebank campaigning for Scotland to stay in the UK. Campbell

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Gunn e-mailed a newspaper questioning her credentials. He said

:01:33.:01:40.

she had previously joined Labour's Shadow Cabinet and wrongly suggested

:01:41.:01:46.

she was related to Pat Ali. It was a misunderstanding. Saying that you

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thought somebody was somebody else's daughter in law is not a grievous

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insult. An apology is just not enough. If you see and understand

:01:59.:02:05.

what has been said about her and the fact that the mother of a disabled

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child has had to experience this, I do not think and apology is good

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enough. I think this advisor has to go. Clare Lally received online

:02:17.:02:21.

abuse because of her political links. She has also been sent an

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unreserved apology from Campbell Gunn who says he applauds the

:02:26.:02:30.

attacks on her and all those involved in the referendum debate.

:02:31.:02:40.

What is the atmosphere like in Holyrood? Labour, the Conservatives

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and the Lib Dems are calling on the First Minister to sack his special

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adviser Campbell Gunn. He is employed as a senior political

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spokesman for the First Minister. As you have reported, he has sent an

:02:58.:03:03.

unreserved apology to Clare Lally for any offence which has been

:03:04.:03:07.

caused to her and her family. He also says he deplores the cyber

:03:08.:03:14.

attacks she and others associated with the independence referendum

:03:15.:03:21.

debate have received. So, the First Minister Alex Salmond being

:03:22.:03:24.

interviewed about this and he asked Campbell Gunn to apologise. Is this

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a different situation for him? The First Minister believes he has dealt

:03:33.:03:35.

with their situation in requiring their special adviser to make this

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apology. He also said that he didn't regard what Campbell Gunn had said

:03:41.:03:46.

as an insult. Just to remind you, what Campbell Gunn did was to pick

:03:47.:03:51.

up on Clare Lally's what Campbell Gunn did was to pick

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up on claim that she was standing there as an ordinary mother

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campaigning for the Union for the sake of her children. What she

:04:00.:04:04.

didn't say at that time was that she was a member of the Labour Party and

:04:05.:04:11.

had been brought in by Johann Lamont as part of her Shadow Cabinet. That

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does not change her right to have a point of view in the independence

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debate but these things were not mentioned at the time and Campbell

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Gunn was e-mailing the Telegraph newspaper to point out her political

:04:25.:04:33.

links. He also wrongly claimed that she was a relation of the former

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Labour Lord promised Pat Lally. That turned out not to be true. The First

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Minister says that is not an insult, though, which is why he required an

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apology and not dismissal. JK Rowling has donated ?1 million to

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Better Together. Yes, they welcomed the money. It is the single largest

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donation that Better Together has received. They have also welcomed

:05:05.:05:14.

her support. She has written a blog explaining why she has decided to

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back a no vote. She is worried about the economic implications of

:05:18.:05:27.

independence. She worries that medical research would continue to

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be funded in the event of independence. She has decided to

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back the Better Together campaign. I'm joined in the studio now

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for the duration of the programme by Professor John

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Curtice of Strathclyde University. So, John, how difficult a position

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is Alex Salmond in at the moment? Do you think Campbell Gunn has done

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enough to stop the opposition parties calling for his dismissal? I

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think you has done enough. I think the main thing is not the actual

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e-mail but the follow-up abuse that Clare Lally received. I think

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Campbell Gunn is correct in implying that she is someone with certain

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political some these. But it is always dangerous in politics to play

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the man or woman rather than the ball. At the end of the day, this is

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a debate about ideas and alternative futures and not about who runs the

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country. Both sides might heed the warning that maybe they should focus

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on the argument and not spend too much time on undermining the

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messenger, the -- be they from either side. We have heard for a

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long time about these attacks from so called cybernats. Because people

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are not opposite people they are attacking they did not realise they

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are being abusive in an unacceptable way. Those people who say they are

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yes supporters are three times as likely to say they use social media

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than no supporters. There are lots of yes supporters using social media

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but that's all we can tell. Now, Scottish farmers are concerned

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their industry is facing a cut of millions of pounds

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in payments from the European The budget for CAP, as it's known,

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has been significantly reduced in In the chamber today,

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the Rural Affairs Secretary, Richard Lochhead, has been laying

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out what that means for the industry It must also protect biodiversity

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and reduce carbon footprint and protect landscapes. I have already

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increased the environment budget by ?10 million. The challenge here is

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how to deliver environmental benefits without a disproportionate

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hit on farming operations. For the free crop rule, we negotiated

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improvements but there is an issue for specialist barley producers.

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There is an alternative approach which gives equally good

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environmental outcomes without affecting production and that will

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have to be approved by Europe. Our intention to implement that change

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as soon as possible. There should be more on climate change in the CAP

:09:03.:09:09.

package as well. We have looked at options under the permanent

:09:10.:09:12.

grassland measures, subject to commission approval, farmers covered

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by this will have a fertiliser plant. We may also ask for that to

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include soil analysis as well. Many farmers do this anyway to reduce

:09:24.:09:29.

carbon footprints and increase profitability. We have to decide

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what features count against the ecological features argued. There is

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a balance which has to be struck. After detailed work with

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stakeholders, I decided to go as far as I could and include as the F a

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the following, buffer strips, fallow, hedges and ditches, catch

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and cover crops, albeit subject to conditions, to help with

:10:03.:10:08.

biodiversity. We will continue to work with stakeholders on these

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details. I have decided to strengthen the rules on offer strip

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is -- buffer strips. Scotland has an international reputation as clean

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and green but we must stay head of competitors. This new package will

:10:27.:10:35.

impact in particular sectors in Scottish agriculture. These latest

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changes to improve targeting for beef and sheep will have no impact

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on the arable or daily -- dairy sectors. The move to area based

:10:48.:10:54.

payments as positive for crofters and the Highlands and Islands. In

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response to the consultation exercise, I am reinstating a

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separate capital grant scheme for crofters. The wider rural

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development programme supports agriculture, and of course the ?459

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million budget to underpin fragile communities. There is always the

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risk of unforeseen circumstances. Despite the rhetoric about simple

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navigation, this is the most complex CAP ever. Under EU rules, it can be

:11:26.:11:33.

revisited each year but other things can only be renewed once or not at

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all. That does not seem sensible so I will be calling on a mid-term CAP

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health check of the new policy. It would be naive to content that the

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European CAP is perfect for Scotland. If we look at the new

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policy with a magnifying glass, no doubt we will find anomalies. I

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believe the Government has exploited the positive aspects on what is on

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offer and we will minimalise anomalies. Despite the strengths of

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EU rules, their outrageous budget position we are in, and turbulent

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market conditions, we are confident that this reflects Scotland's

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priorities for successful agricultural industry. Cabinet

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secretary will now take questions. We will have 30 minutes for the

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questions and then move on. It would be helpful if members were to press

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their request to speak button now. I thank the Cabinet Secretary for the

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advanced copy of the statement. We have a lengthy statement accompanied

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with briefing papers and we need is time to analyse the impact of these

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decisions. I would urge the Government to make more time for

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debate on this subject. Cap reform is... Scotland chose to delay the

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shift from historic to area payments. We are now at the stage

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with the decisions must be made. The debate has been dominated by those

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who currently receive support and then impact on them but this is not

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about the status quo, it is about change, and I support measures which

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aim to achieve that. I am pleased that supporting estates have been

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moved to the negative list as well as a decision to limit entitlements

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to 2013. The decisions were always going to be challenging and I

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appreciate it is difficult to get a balance but there were calls for a

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quicker transaction and there are concerns that 2019 is at the top end

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of the transaction period. Can I ask what the level of the national

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reserve will be and if years confident demand can be met from

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that? I have concerns around the pillar two support. The focus is on

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agriculture but yesterday's emissions statistics show a need for

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a focus on this. When I argued for a higher transfer between pillar one

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and pillar to, I said a lot of the money was going back to farmers and

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their statement today emphasises that. There are demands on pillar

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two. Let's get some political reaction

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at Holyrood now. I'm joined from the Garden Lobby

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by Annabelle Ewing from the SNP and First of all, a shameful attack on

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the mother of a disabled child. That is how Ruth Davidson spoke about the

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Campbell Gunn issue. Is it right that he remains in his job after

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contacting the Daily Telegraph? I think it's important to look after

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the fact. Campbell Gunn sent one e-mail to one journalist and there

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were two points in that e-mail. One was that this lady was a member of

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Labour's shadow cabinet, which I believe is the case, and the other

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point was that she was related to a former Labour Lord Provost of

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Glasgow, which is incorrect. Since that point, Campbell gone has

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apologised unreservedly. -- Campbell Gunn has apologised unreservedly for

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getting that last point wrong and as far as I can see, in terms of

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Campbell Gunn, that is the end of it. He passed on a piece of

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information in good faith. It wasn't correct. In terms of the information

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itself, it was that she was related to a former Labour Lord Provost of

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Glasgow. That isn't correct. He apologised and that's the story as

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far as I understand it. You talk about "in good faith", but the woman

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was not a member of the Shadow Cabinet but was an adviser to them.

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So what if she was related to any member of the Labour Party, which

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she wasn't? It does look like a smear, doesn't it? Not at all.

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Whether she is a member or adviser to the Labour shadow cabinet, I

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think that is a matter that is relevant in the public domain on the

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issue. I don't know if the Labour Party are trying to suggest that

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being related might somehow not be a sought-after position but the fact

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is, there was one element of the short e-mail that was incorrect and

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Campbell Gunn has unreservedly apologised for getting that element

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incorrect, ie that she was related to a former Labour Lord Prost of

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Glasgow. I can see why the other parties might wish to try to push

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this at the line a bit but I don't actually see that the facts support

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such assertions from the Labour Party and others. I suppose the

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trouble is, there was that orchestrated smear campaign against

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her on Twitter and it's perhaps looked like Campbell Gunn was adding

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to that. Are you saying on the BBC, accusing him of orchestrating any

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event on social media? You know I didn't say that. I think that shows

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the importance of language. I think it is quite clear that Campbell Gunn

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had absolutely nothing to do with individuals' comments on social

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media. I think we all deprecate unwarranted personal attacks on

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social media. And sure Sarah does, I do, any right-thinking person does.

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But that's a completely different issue and the fundamentals in terms

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of the facts of this issue, as they relate to Campbell Gunn, are that

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the bit of the sentence he got wrong was that she was related to a former

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Labour Lord Provost. She isn't, he apologised, end of story. Sarah

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Boyack, Annabelle Ewing has clearly set out the reasons why Campbell

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Gunn contacted the Telegraph. Is it really a resigning issue? It seems

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he's got nothing to do with an orchestrated smear campaign, as some

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have tried to point out. I think it's deeply unpleasant. It's another

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example of people trying to denigrate those who speak out in

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favour of the Better Together campaign. I think it's unacceptable

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that politics is dragged in like this. I think we need to know

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exactly what happened. You heard the apologies from Annabelle Ewing there

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but apparently Clare Lally has had a phone call to apologise for any

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inconvenience. I think we're talking way beyond inconvenience. This is a

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new low in Scottish politics. It is unacceptable, we need an inquiry and

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Johann laminate has called for Campbell Gunn to go. -- Joanne

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Lamont. It isn't just about the cyber abuse but to what extent was

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the first ministers office involved and to what extent was the special

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adviser to the First Minister in vault CROWD GROANS

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Clare Lally is clearly not related to Pat Lally and it wouldn't have

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taken long to find that out on Google.

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She's lobbied all the opposition parties and is sincere. I think

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she's had Alex Salmond in her house so he at least we'll know she is a

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normal person fighting for her rights and those across Scotland.

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This issue is clearly important and we should not accept this level of

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abuse in Scottish politics. I think it was said that she was not an old

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merry mum and had connections to the Labour Party. Was that not fair?

:20:09.:20:16.

Scotland in a small country, we all have connections, and on both sides

:20:17.:20:19.

of the campaign there are connections. The suggestion that

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Clare Lally wasn't an ordinary person standing up for the community

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and particularly carers is unacceptable and not true. I want to

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ask Annabelle Ewing briefly, about the Common Agricultural Policy. It

:20:33.:20:37.

is a complicated issue which Richard Lochhead is spelling out as we

:20:38.:20:42.

speak. If you are able to, can you tell us what has been said? Is it a

:20:43.:20:50.

good deal? The Cabinet secretary has certainly used all the available

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resources at his disposal to put forward the best deal possible in

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the circumstances but I did catch a bit of the end of his clip when he

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referred to budgetary constraints and of course it is the case, sadly,

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but because Scotland does not sit on the top table in Europe as yet, we

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have seen the UK government negotiate the worst deal. We are at

:21:13.:21:18.

the bottom of both funding streams in the entire 28 EU member states so

:21:19.:21:26.

we have seen Scottish farmers lose out on the Somme of some 1 billion

:21:27.:21:32.

euros by 2020, a very good argument in deed for people to vote yes on

:21:33.:21:39.

the 18th of December. -- September. I haven't had a chance to hear all

:21:40.:21:43.

of the announcement but he has certainly striven to do the very

:21:44.:21:48.

best for our hugely important agricultural sector with the

:21:49.:21:51.

budgetary constraints. Indeed, we even saw a reference from the EU to

:21:52.:21:57.

the fact that Scotland sits at the bottom of both funding streams in

:21:58.:22:00.

terms of what's called the convergence uplift. But Scotland

:22:01.:22:04.

only got a small share of that because the rest was taken by the

:22:05.:22:09.

Westminster government. It really is time we took these decisions into

:22:10.:22:14.

our own hands. Let's put that point Sarah Boyack. The general point on

:22:15.:22:18.

the see a peak that of Scotland have a seat at the top table, it could

:22:19.:22:23.

get a better deal for the farmers. -- on the Common Agricultural

:22:24.:22:27.

Policy. It seems the UK have not negotiated a decent deal for

:22:28.:22:31.

Scottish farmers. Listening to Richard Lochhead, he did talk about

:22:32.:22:35.

the detail of this proposal for our farmers and as I understand it, he

:22:36.:22:39.

has been in negotiations with the UK and the EU and there are difficult

:22:40.:22:44.

decisions being taken across Europe. I think we are part of the system in

:22:45.:22:50.

the UK. We do get to sit at the top table when it's appropriate for us

:22:51.:22:54.

on farming issues. Ross Finnie was no slouch at getting to the top

:22:55.:22:59.

table in Europe. We need to network with other European countries but I

:23:00.:23:04.

think we also want to know about the environment. Yesterday we had the

:23:05.:23:08.

report that we failed to meet our targets on climate emissions for the

:23:09.:23:12.

third year in a row. It's hugely important that we support our

:23:13.:23:15.

farming industry and we support reductions in carbon across the

:23:16.:23:18.

board. There are other sectors that are impacted on so I is Claire Baker

:23:19.:23:24.

said, we need more detail and a bit more time to absorb the detail.

:23:25.:23:29.

Sarah Boyack from the Scottish Liberal party and Annabelle Ewing

:23:30.:23:32.

from the SNP, we'll have to leave it there.

:23:33.:23:36.

So Professor John Curtice is still with me here. We didn't have time to

:23:37.:23:44.

pick up on the JK Rowling donation that Glen Campbell was pointing out

:23:45.:23:50.

at the top of the programme. That's an interesting new contribution to

:23:51.:23:54.

Better Together, isn't it? I'm sure they'll be welcoming that into the

:23:55.:23:58.

cough is. Of course because there has been a concern on the no side

:23:59.:24:02.

that they would be outgunned as far as resources were concerned. I think

:24:03.:24:07.

the total given to the yes side by the weirs is the order of ?5

:24:08.:24:10.

million. The better together campaign now have at least ?1

:24:11.:24:16.

million from JK Rowling. We are in the period cheering which campaign

:24:17.:24:20.

expenses are regulated so there is a maximum of ?1.5 million that can be

:24:21.:24:24.

spent on direct campaigning with the public. I suspect JK Rowling has

:24:25.:24:29.

done a substantial job in enabling them to spend up to that limit. They

:24:30.:24:32.

will welcome that and I think that's the more important part of her

:24:33.:24:36.

statement than the fact that JK Rowling, well-known celebrity, backs

:24:37.:24:41.

the no side. I think we knew that. But in this referendum, endorsements

:24:42.:24:46.

of celebrities are probably not particularly important. They can

:24:47.:24:48.

matter on occasions when we're talking about things that the public

:24:49.:24:53.

don't know a lot about and are looking for people to give them

:24:54.:24:56.

guidance. But we discovered this morning 60% people in Scotland have

:24:57.:25:00.

talked to each other about this and to that extent at least, its

:25:01.:25:03.

conversations going on out there between the people in Scotland that

:25:04.:25:07.

matter, not necessarily messages from well-known celebrities. As you

:25:08.:25:12.

are here and we are talking about the referendum, perhaps you could

:25:13.:25:15.

give us an update on where we stand in the polls. Today we are seeing

:25:16.:25:21.

accusations of intemperate language from both sides. We've got this

:25:22.:25:25.

Campbell Gunn row. Also today the First Minister is calling for

:25:26.:25:29.

Alistair Darling to apologise once again for the comments he allegedly

:25:30.:25:35.

made in an interview with a journalist. We have rows on both

:25:36.:25:40.

sides, Gordon Brown's comments about David Cameron and that he should

:25:41.:25:45.

debate about Alex Salmond... How are we looking? Those are all arguments

:25:46.:25:49.

about personalities - who should do what all has done what. I come back

:25:50.:25:52.

to the point I made earlier, which is that we should remember that this

:25:53.:25:57.

is a referendum about ideas and features, not personalities. Most of

:25:58.:26:01.

the personalities involved in this referendum will not be responsible

:26:02.:26:04.

for Scotland, whether it votes yes or no, in ten or 15 years. That

:26:05.:26:09.

said, we seem to be in a position where the referendum race has come

:26:10.:26:13.

to arrest again. That is, on average during the last couple of months,

:26:14.:26:18.

the polls have pointed to a 43% "yes" vote, 53% for no. That is the

:26:19.:26:24.

same as at the end of March. The poll out today says 41% four yes,

:26:25.:26:31.

the same as the month before and the month before that. The yes side

:26:32.:26:34.

seems to have hold on to the games they made in the winter but they

:26:35.:26:37.

don't seem to have made any further progress in the spring. There are

:26:38.:26:40.

now less than 100 days to go and they will have to make progress at a

:26:41.:26:44.

much faster rate to reach the 50% mark. Thank you.

:26:45.:26:49.

As the inaugural oil and gas UK conference gets under way in

:26:50.:26:53.

Aberdeen, the attention of Hollywood's economy committee

:26:54.:26:55.

focused on the impact independence could have on the industry. The

:26:56.:26:59.

convener, Murdo Fraser, began by asking Danny Alexander, the Chief

:27:00.:27:05.

Secretary to the Treasury, about the significance of oil and gas revenues

:27:06.:27:08.

for the country's public finances in the future. On the forecast, the

:27:09.:27:15.

Scottish Government's forecasts, the figures they have how they see the

:27:16.:27:19.

public finances in an independent Scotland, they rely on North Sea

:27:20.:27:23.

revenues being consistently more than double the forecasts made by

:27:24.:27:28.

the independent Office for Budget Responsibility, and that is despite

:27:29.:27:34.

the independent Office for Budget Responsibility's forecasts since

:27:35.:27:39.

2010 themselves having overestimated UK oil revenues by 20% on average.

:27:40.:27:45.

So it was interesting that when the Scottish Government published their

:27:46.:27:48.

new oil and gas bulletin on the same day I launched our paper on fiscal

:27:49.:27:54.

policy, they excluded any reference to what had actually happened in

:27:55.:28:00.

2012-13 and 2013-14. They looked back on what that Chile happened but

:28:01.:28:05.

didn't reveal how overlooked a mistake their previous forecasts had

:28:06.:28:10.

been. -- what actually happened. The most cautious Scottish Government

:28:11.:28:15.

forecasts from March 2013 were actually around ?5 billion to hike

:28:16.:28:19.

for those two years and what that means is, any of the Scottish

:28:20.:28:30.

Government's protections -- projections for independence are

:28:31.:28:33.

wrong because they are based on overoptimistic projections and they

:28:34.:28:38.

are overoptimistic because they are based on forecasts that have

:28:39.:28:41.

themselves been shown to be on the optimistic side. There are three

:28:42.:28:49.

factors that essentially influenced the calculation of North Sea oil and

:28:50.:28:53.

gas revenues. One will be an assessment of price and the OBR has

:28:54.:29:00.

an assessment of $99 in 2016-17, and then remaining flat. We take a view

:29:01.:29:07.

based on the fact that the average price between March 2012 and 2014

:29:08.:29:15.

was $110 that $110 is a more reliable and cautious assumption.

:29:16.:29:23.

But it does also include a reduction in the cash value because of

:29:24.:29:30.

retaining that in nominal terms. Secondly, a different production

:29:31.:29:34.

assessment - and as I said a moment ago, I think it's unimaginable that

:29:35.:29:39.

the industry will be making the scale of investment that it is

:29:40.:29:45.

making if there isn't confidence in the estimates the industry makes of

:29:46.:29:49.

the likely proceeds of that, with a 14% increase in production over the

:29:50.:29:59.

period to 2018 - and there is an issue about the scale of the range

:30:00.:30:04.

of investment and we think that the investment levels are likely to

:30:05.:30:08.

return to long-term trend levels - and, of course, the issue about that

:30:09.:30:13.

is that that then removes the ability to offset as much investment

:30:14.:30:18.

against tax. That is one of the reasons why revenues are deflated at

:30:19.:30:22.

present, because of the scale of capital investment that is under

:30:23.:30:26.

way. So I think there's a very clear set of reasons why the estimates are

:30:27.:30:33.

different but, obviously, the OBR - it is up to them to defend their own

:30:34.:30:40.

estimates. Let's head back to the chamber at Holyrood now and dip into

:30:41.:30:43.

the debate on the Common Agricultural Policy. Cuts to the

:30:44.:30:47.

budget in Brussels means a cut to the amount of money paid to Scottish

:30:48.:30:51.

farmers. The Cabinet secretary is taking questions from MSP is. Let's

:30:52.:31:01.

listen in. In terms of the importance of Dumfries and to the

:31:02.:31:06.

beef and dairy sector, it is extremely important and that is why

:31:07.:31:13.

we have put so much into the package. Many of the big beef areas

:31:14.:31:19.

of Scotland will benefit significantly. The rock bottom

:31:20.:31:35.

payment of only ?10, 10 euros per hectare for category a land is

:31:36.:31:45.

simply not enough. It is going to be met with disappointment by those who

:31:46.:31:50.

saw this as an opportunity to regenerate sheep farming. It is

:31:51.:31:59.

simply too low. Question, please. Will the Minister make sure he deals

:32:00.:32:04.

with the National Sheep Association to make sure things are minimised

:32:05.:32:15.

given a flood of measures? I will work closely with them and

:32:16.:32:19.

stakeholders to make sure we can do all we can to minimise bureaucracy.

:32:20.:32:23.

I'd should say that Jamie McGregor is missing the point. We want to

:32:24.:32:32.

reward activity and that is why the basic payment is there. The outcome

:32:33.:32:43.

being 35 euros per hectare with their sheepskin added to the 10

:32:44.:32:47.

euros payment, that would be the same as better land. Region two and

:32:48.:32:57.

three. The only people who will lose out from what I'm proposing are

:32:58.:33:02.

large landowners who are inactive. I don't know what side he is on but

:33:03.:33:08.

most people would support we are doing the right thing with this

:33:09.:33:13.

policy. Can the Cabinet Secretary of further

:33:14.:33:14.

policy. Can the Cabinet Secretary information on how the Government

:33:15.:33:18.

will ensure new entrants and prospective new entrants will be

:33:19.:33:21.

made aware of the support on offer and what impact does the Government

:33:22.:33:31.

think these measures will have? I care very deeply about getting new

:33:32.:33:37.

agriculture into Scotland. I genuinely believe that there are new

:33:38.:33:42.

entrants who understand that for very proper reasons we are looking

:33:43.:33:48.

for an overnight transition. Under the new regime outlined today, when

:33:49.:33:56.

they see what is offered, hopefully they will see -- take comfort. We

:33:57.:34:06.

need lifeblood and a new generation to produce food for our tables and

:34:07.:34:11.

have the skills in this country to make sure we do that. I note that

:34:12.:34:20.

Dumfries and Galloway will lose ?18 million rather than the 22 million

:34:21.:34:31.

anticipated. Can the Cabinet Secretary expand on the arrangements

:34:32.:34:36.

for the transition period? Will be reductions be equally spaced over

:34:37.:34:40.

the period of transition or will they have different sort of

:34:41.:34:41.

profile? mitigate the impact on large

:34:42.:35:02.

historic payments moving to area payments. As the figures outlined,

:35:03.:35:17.

we have outlined the funds. A formula which manages going from the

:35:18.:35:23.

historical areas in five years it is difficult to predict payments

:35:24.:35:27.

because every single farm business in Scotland is so diverse and

:35:28.:35:31.

different and clearly each farmer will be looking at today's

:35:32.:35:34.

announcement and what it means for them. We are trained to make it as

:35:35.:35:42.

clear as possible so people can understand how it will impact them.

:35:43.:35:47.

I welcomed the statement and I am pleased that the capital grants

:35:48.:35:51.

scheme is being maintained. I wonder if he can indicate whether the

:35:52.:35:58.

budget for that scheme will be maintained at previous levels or

:35:59.:36:06.

possibly increased? I will have all the figures in relation to that

:36:07.:36:13.

programme available to MSPs this afternoon if you have not received

:36:14.:36:17.

them already. We have protected the budget for the capital grant schemes

:36:18.:36:21.

for crofters and listened closely to the representations we have had

:36:22.:36:26.

about ensuring we have a separate fund. It is a good deal for

:36:27.:36:35.

Scotland's crofters and our crofting communities play a vital role in

:36:36.:36:38.

maintaining the environment and producing food. This will help

:36:39.:36:44.

towards active crofters and Ireland crofters.

:36:45.:36:49.

Green targets, red faces - that was the headline in one

:36:50.:36:52.

of the newspapers today after the Scottish Government announced

:36:53.:36:54.

yesterday they'd missed their own targets for cutting greenhouse gases

:36:55.:36:59.

The environment minister said meeting the targets have been a lot

:37:00.:37:11.

harder than Parliament and society realised and gave some reasons why

:37:12.:37:14.

they had been missed. It was a colder than normal winter and there

:37:15.:37:18.

was a higher amount of energy being used by households. Residential

:37:19.:37:29.

emissions went up. Also because burning coal has become cheaper,

:37:30.:37:32.

But the Greens said a radical shift in policy was needed

:37:33.:37:36.

if the government wanted to achieve these tagets.

:37:37.:37:42.

The 15 million tonnes a year we put into the atmosphere needs to come

:37:43.:37:49.

down by 1 million per year or thereabouts of the next few years

:37:50.:37:54.

and that won't happen unless the Scottish Government recognises that

:37:55.:37:58.

current policies will not achieve it. We must go further on cutting

:37:59.:38:02.

fuel bills, transport congestion and other areas where climate change

:38:03.:38:07.

policy can be good for people, the economy and the planet.

:38:08.:38:12.

Let's speak to Professor Curtice again.

:38:13.:38:22.

So what will happen next year? The brutal headline is that the Scottish

:38:23.:38:33.

Government has set Scotland more ambitious climate change targets

:38:34.:38:37.

than exist south of the border. They have suggested that Scotland is

:38:38.:38:41.

going to be able to know and example to the rest of the world. -- aid

:38:42.:38:54.

Beacon and example. It is a bit of an embarrassment in political terms.

:38:55.:39:01.

A lot of the recent argument is about energy has not been about

:39:02.:39:06.

lowering emissions but prices. There is clearly a problem at the moment

:39:07.:39:13.

about pursuing policies for reducing carbon emissions which rely on

:39:14.:39:20.

raising prices, which is behind the current level of energy prices.

:39:21.:39:24.

Politicians are desperate to get them down. We have seen this week

:39:25.:39:31.

arguments that given that the wholesale price of gas and a trustee

:39:32.:39:35.

has gone down maybe the prices should go down. That may be true but

:39:36.:39:41.

it may also mean that getting carbon emissions down will not be easier.

:39:42.:39:46.

You mentioned that these targets are world beating. Is the consensus

:39:47.:39:58.

breaking down? We heard from Patrick Harvie and we heard from Labour

:39:59.:40:03.

yesterday about what radical policies must be pursued. It is not

:40:04.:40:10.

surprising that the Green Party would be critical on this area. It

:40:11.:40:16.

is their key area of interest to save us from what they say is

:40:17.:40:21.

extreme environmental damage. We should not be surprised at that. The

:40:22.:40:28.

question for the Labour Party is that it is fine to talk about more

:40:29.:40:35.

measures but then if Ed Miliband gets to power he would have a freeze

:40:36.:40:43.

on energy prices which does not discourage people from emitting more

:40:44.:40:49.

climate damaging emissions. The environment minister said yesterday

:40:50.:40:52.

that Labour had not come forward with proposals.

:40:53.:41:00.

Now to Prime Minister's Questions and the Labour leader, Ed Miliband,

:41:01.:41:03.

pressed David Cameron on accountability in Birmingham's

:41:04.:41:04.

schools after the Education Secretary/Home Secretary

:41:05.:41:06.

Questions too on the backlog of passport applications.

:41:07.:41:09.

The Prime Minister insisted the backlog was being tackled and extra

:41:10.:41:11.

There is certainly a degree of common ground in what are children

:41:12.:41:25.

are taught in schools and common values. In certain cases, the

:41:26.:41:30.

headteacher was removed under the governing body was part of the

:41:31.:41:34.

problem. The truth is it is a very hard question to answer as to who

:41:35.:41:41.

parents could go to because we have an incredibly fragmented school

:41:42.:41:44.

system where nobody is properly responsible. Some of those schools

:41:45.:41:48.

where local authority schools and some war academies. -- some of them

:41:49.:41:58.

were academies. On a day-to-day basis you can intervene quickly when

:41:59.:42:02.

things go wrong. There needs to be one system of accountability for all

:42:03.:42:06.

schools to safeguard the education of our children. The first port of

:42:07.:42:11.

call is the headteacher and the chair of governors. If people

:42:12.:42:16.

believe there is a real problem there is one organisation which has

:42:17.:42:20.

responsibility for checking standards in all schools and that is

:42:21.:42:25.

offset. That is why it is so important what the Education

:42:26.:42:30.

Secretary has said about no notice inspections. What the opposition

:42:31.:42:36.

leader asks is how it can happen quickly. It will if we have these no

:42:37.:42:42.

notice inspections. He has no answer on the question of accountability.

:42:43.:42:47.

Doing it sensually is not realistic and Ofsted inspections will not do

:42:48.:42:54.

the job. I want to move to the failures in the Home Office. Can the

:42:55.:42:58.

Prime Minister update the House on his latest estimate of the backlog

:42:59.:43:01.

of people waiting for passport applications to be processed. We

:43:02.:43:09.

have 300,000 extra applications than normal at this time of year. We have

:43:10.:43:15.

increased the staff massively. The level of applications outside the

:43:16.:43:19.

normal three-week limit is less than 10% of that 300,000. Less than a

:43:20.:43:27.

quarter of people who have applied for the new personal independence

:43:28.:43:31.

payment have received a decision and if we continue at this rate it will

:43:32.:43:36.

take more than 40 years to get to the point where everyone gets

:43:37.:43:40.

assessed. Does the Prime Minister think that is acceptable and what

:43:41.:43:47.

will he do about it? It is extremely important when we introduce these

:43:48.:43:49.

new benefits that we make sure it is done in a way that works well so I

:43:50.:43:54.

would say it is very important not to have an artificial deadline of

:43:55.:43:59.

replacing one benefit with another. The whole point about the personal

:44:00.:44:03.

independence payment is it is more accurate and targeted by an -- than

:44:04.:44:09.

disability allowance. It will mean more help for those with the

:44:10.:44:13.

greatest disabilities and I am determined we will get it right. At

:44:14.:44:23.

's are taking longer. They are reluctant to send assessors to

:44:24.:44:32.

Argyll and Bute. Will he tell at a loss -- Atos they are

:44:33.:44:40.

discriminating? There are challenges in far-flung rural constituencies

:44:41.:44:44.

like as with so many islands with a in far-flung rural constituencies

:44:45.:44:50.

like as with so many islands with -- within it and I accept we must have

:44:51.:44:53.

these assessments carried out but they are important.

:44:54.:44:55.

these assessments carried out but The whole point is that we don't

:44:56.:44:59.

want to leave people on unemployment or benefit year after year. We want

:45:00.:45:03.

the tests and assessments properly carried out to see whether they are

:45:04.:45:09.

applicable for benefits and what help they need to get work.

:45:10.:45:12.

Let's stay at Westminster now and speak to

:45:13.:45:14.

our correspondent David Porter who's standing by on College Green.

:45:15.:45:23.

It is a lovely day year so it is not hard for MPs to come and join me. I

:45:24.:45:30.

am joined by David Mandel from the Scotland Office and representatives

:45:31.:45:36.

from Labour and the SNP. Unemployment is down, and in

:45:37.:45:46.

Scotland. Is the economy and issue that has been addressed? 17,000 less

:45:47.:45:54.

people unemployed. Employment of women at the highest levels ever.

:45:55.:45:58.

These are good things but we must continue to consolidate their

:45:59.:46:01.

situation. We are not out of the woods. We must stick with the

:46:02.:46:05.

long-term economic plan and we cannot tear it up now and start to

:46:06.:46:10.

borrow and spend more and stop we must keep going and ensure it is a

:46:11.:46:17.

job led recovery. We can't be satisfied until we see as full

:46:18.:46:23.

employment as possible in Scotland. You would welcome any falling on

:46:24.:46:26.

implement but from an opposition point of view, the better the

:46:27.:46:31.

economy does, it is a harder political stick to beat the opponent

:46:32.:46:35.

with. What matters is what is actually happening on the ground and

:46:36.:46:40.

there is a huge gap between the rhetoric of the Government and

:46:41.:46:42.

people's experiences. People will still be worse off at the end of

:46:43.:46:49.

this Parliament than the beginning. People are facing an absolute crisis

:46:50.:46:58.

in terms of making ends meet. The Government have missed an

:46:59.:47:00.

opportunity with this Queen's Speech to do some thing about that. Your

:47:01.:47:06.

party is in government in Scotland, do you take the credit for it or do

:47:07.:47:09.

you say it is because the wider UK economy is doing better? We should

:47:10.:47:16.

celebrate the fact that we have got lower unemployment rate in Scotland

:47:17.:47:21.

than the rest of the UK. We do what we can. We've got some economic

:47:22.:47:26.

levers we can apply to the economy in Scotland but we're dependent on

:47:27.:47:30.

the performance of the UK economy and it's something which I'm not

:47:31.:47:33.

particularly satisfied with. I'd like to be in control of the levers

:47:34.:47:36.

to ensure we get more people back into work but we are stuck with

:47:37.:47:41.

where we are with that. The same question to each of you - is it

:47:42.:47:44.

going to be the key issue in the independence referendum? It's an

:47:45.:47:49.

important issue in the sense that people want to know how they will be

:47:50.:47:53.

personally affected by independence. My argument is, whether the economy

:47:54.:47:57.

is doing well or badly at a particular point in Scotland, we are

:47:58.:48:03.

still better off as part of the UK with the best of both worlds and our

:48:04.:48:07.

very important market for Scotland in England. I think there are number

:48:08.:48:12.

of issues that are important but just take one, we still don't know

:48:13.:48:16.

which currency we would be using in an independent Scotland and if we

:48:17.:48:19.

don't know that, how on earth do we know how the economy would be

:48:20.:48:23.

performing and the impact it would have on people's mortgages? That's

:48:24.:48:26.

what people say to me on the doorsteps. The economy is going to

:48:27.:48:31.

be incredibly important and that's why it's fought over with such

:48:32.:48:34.

passion and a flurry of figures. We are in a better position than the

:48:35.:48:37.

rest of the UK because we can do that little bit more. I want to do a

:48:38.:48:42.

lot more and it's only with the powers of independence we would be

:48:43.:48:45.

able to achieve that. Let's move onto another issue raised a Prime

:48:46.:48:50.

Minister's Questions the issue of passports and the backlog of

:48:51.:48:54.

applications. It is potentially a no-win situation for the Government,

:48:55.:48:58.

isn't it? If you don't get it cracked, you will get the blame and

:48:59.:49:03.

if you do, you will get the people saying that that is what Government

:49:04.:49:08.

is all about. The Prime Minister takes the situation very seriously

:49:09.:49:11.

and we've put a lot of extra resources, 300,000 additional

:49:12.:49:14.

applications have been made and the Home are aware of that. They are

:49:15.:49:19.

seeking to do everything possible to alleviate the situation. If there

:49:20.:49:24.

are individuals that have no passport and are going on holiday in

:49:25.:49:28.

Medley, they should contact their MP or the passport office to try to get

:49:29.:49:32.

it sorted out and get them further at the Q but it is clearly an issue

:49:33.:49:36.

that needs to be addressed and we are addressing it. -- further up the

:49:37.:49:42.

line. Those with long memories will remember that when Labour were in

:49:43.:49:46.

government there were lines around the street and around the corners

:49:47.:49:48.

for people queueing up for passports. This is about what's

:49:49.:49:52.

happening now and I've got at least one or two constituents contacting

:49:53.:49:58.

my office every day waiting for passports they applied for months

:49:59.:50:01.

ago and other colleagues have got higher numbers of cases than that.

:50:02.:50:05.

David Cameron said today that he's moved to 200 people onto that

:50:06.:50:14.

apartment but has already cut staff from the department that is dealing

:50:15.:50:16.

with this. The Government have got to get this right. Is it the case

:50:17.:50:21.

that you are getting constituents who are worried because the holidays

:50:22.:50:24.

start slightly earlier in Scotland, and are starting to panic? This is a

:50:25.:50:29.

particular Scottish issue when it comes to this, the fact that we

:50:30.:50:34.

break up earlier for holidays. The real difficulty about this is that

:50:35.:50:36.

I've got constituents who are supposed to be going to Belgium for

:50:37.:50:40.

a youth again next weekend, who have got their passport. This is a

:50:41.:50:45.

difficulty for us. We have a few short weeks until the start of the

:50:46.:50:48.

Scottish day, when we practically closed down in Scotland, so it is

:50:49.:50:52.

imperative. We are counting on the UK Government to this fixed. They

:50:53.:50:57.

told us yesterday that there was no problem. I was in the home affairs

:50:58.:51:02.

debate and I heard the Home Secretary asked what problem. Thank

:51:03.:51:05.

goodness we can get it sorted out now. Talking about diaries and

:51:06.:51:09.

things that are coming up now, the independence referendum is coming

:51:10.:51:14.

down the track, 16 weeks to go, we have the 100th day to the referendum

:51:15.:51:18.

this week. Are you starting to notice a change to the campaign? Is

:51:19.:51:24.

it stepping up on the ground? There's no doubt that there is more

:51:25.:51:27.

activity from both sides. I think the public are very engaged. You

:51:28.:51:33.

knock on peoples doors and they know it's happening. They've got views.

:51:34.:51:38.

There are a lot of people still looking for information about why I

:51:39.:51:41.

think it's incumbent on both sides to provide that information. As

:51:42.:51:46.

Gemma said earlier, there are big questions still to be answered about

:51:47.:51:50.

what currency we'll use. I'm not convinced that we'll get through the

:51:51.:51:53.

next 100 days and know the answer to that question, and that's why I

:51:54.:51:58.

certainly say on the doorstep, "if you don't know, you should vote no".

:51:59.:52:04.

Gemma, are you noticing that people are starting to engage more with it

:52:05.:52:08.

now? Absolutely. I think people have been engaged with this from the

:52:09.:52:12.

beginning but people are really making up their minds now and what

:52:13.:52:15.

I'm hearing on the doorsteps in my constituency is that people are not

:52:16.:52:18.

convinced that this is the right thing to do and that pushes them to

:52:19.:52:22.

vote no. But can I also say, we have particularly unpleasant attacks on

:52:23.:52:26.

people who have come out and giving their opinion on what is happening.

:52:27.:52:31.

We've seen it yesterday with Clare Lally, I am from my constituency

:52:32.:52:36.

who's been attacked by Alex Salmond's spin doctor. -- a mother

:52:37.:52:40.

from my constituency. Today we've seen a charity in Edinburgh using

:52:41.:52:47.

the most appalling language, which I won't subject your viewers to,

:52:48.:52:49.

towards JK Rowling for what she said. We don't want to see this

:52:50.:52:52.

debate going down that path and I think there needs to be an appeal

:52:53.:52:56.

for calm. The official from the Scottish Government has issued an

:52:57.:53:00.

apology to Clare Lally about that. Most people think he should be

:53:01.:53:05.

resigning. How do all the parties ensure that this debate does not

:53:06.:53:09.

descend to a level that I think all of you would agree you don't want?

:53:10.:53:13.

They've just got to stop it, calm down and stop the abusive nonsense.

:53:14.:53:18.

It doesn't benefit anybody. It isn't in our interests or their interests.

:53:19.:53:23.

Why people feel the need to indulge in this nonsense, I just don't

:53:24.:53:27.

understand or appreciate. But we've always got to remember, this is at

:53:28.:53:32.

the fringe of the debate, we've had an incredible debate. This is a

:53:33.:53:37.

fantastic civic, peaceful process that has re-energised and engaged

:53:38.:53:41.

the people of Scotland like no other. We're looking at the prospect

:53:42.:53:45.

of 80% of the people of Scotland voting. Let's celebrate what a

:53:46.:53:49.

fantastic debate. Let's criticise, obviously, but there's no room for

:53:50.:53:55.

the abusive comments we've had. But let's celebrate the fantastic

:53:56.:53:58.

achievement. A sharp gear change now. A certain event happens in

:53:59.:54:02.

Brazil tomorrow. Who are you supporting and who will win? I drew

:54:03.:54:07.

Algeria in the office suite so I'll have an eye on them. My son tells me

:54:08.:54:15.

that France or the dark horses -- France are the door causes. -- dark

:54:16.:54:23.

horses for top Scotland isn't there. I would much rather Scotland was in

:54:24.:54:28.

the World Cup. Like the glory days of the 1970s and stop I will be too

:54:29.:54:32.

busy out campaigning to watch much of it. I'm interested in the

:54:33.:54:36.

Commonwealth Games in Glasgow, so that's what I'll be focusing on. Who

:54:37.:54:42.

is going to win and he will you be supporting? I think Brazil will win.

:54:43.:54:47.

I think the hosts will win. I support Belgium. I saw them turn

:54:48.:54:52.

things over dramatically when they were playing Scotland. They are one

:54:53.:54:57.

of the best teams. Thank you all very much for joining us this

:54:58.:55:00.

afternoon. You see, Andrew, you don't just get political debate on

:55:01.:55:04.

this programme but sports predictions as well.

:55:05.:55:08.

Thank you for that. Let's have a final chat with our commentator,

:55:09.:55:12.

Professor John Curtice. An interesting chat on the passport

:55:13.:55:16.

problem, a big problem Theresa May's door but she has not had to

:55:17.:55:21.

seek problems, with the problem with Michael Gove about the

:55:22.:55:24.

radicalisation of schools in Birmingham. Yes, one of the

:55:25.:55:27.

interesting lessons as far as Theresa May is concerned is that the

:55:28.:55:31.

dangers are emerging as an unexpected Trojan horse. There was a

:55:32.:55:37.

poll conducted that suggested Theresa May was now the most popular

:55:38.:55:42.

candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, even ahead

:55:43.:55:45.

of Boris Johnson. It's well-known that Michael Gove is close to David

:55:46.:55:49.

Cameron and that he would prefer George Osborne to be David

:55:50.:55:53.

Cameron's successor so overlaying this argument about whether or not

:55:54.:55:57.

the Home Office have been doing enough about extremism or whether

:55:58.:56:01.

the education department had done enough was this argument about, was

:56:02.:56:05.

what was going on that Michael Gove was trying to undermine Theresa

:56:06.:56:09.

May's position as a front runner? The home office is usually a place

:56:10.:56:14.

where politicians get tripped up. Theresa May has been successful so

:56:15.:56:19.

far in avoiding the pitfalls of office but we'll wait and see

:56:20.:56:24.

whether or not she manages to avoid passports becoming a ministry of

:56:25.:56:27.

horror which might take her down a peg or two in the leadership stakes

:56:28.:56:32.

for the Conservative party. Talking about strained relations between the

:56:33.:56:36.

senior figures, we touched on the Gordon Brown comments are bit

:56:37.:56:42.

earlier. It has not helped Alistair Darling, what he says, in the

:56:43.:56:48.

debate, David Cameron. It's been no secret that Gordon Brown has felt

:56:49.:56:52.

that perhaps the Better Together campaign needs to become more

:56:53.:56:55.

positive and needed more ballast. He's got rather more involved,

:56:56.:57:00.

particularly about this argument that pensions would be safer in the

:57:01.:57:06.

UK. It was interesting this week that he was somewhat unhelpful to

:57:07.:57:12.

two people. He was unhelpful to Alistair Darling, with whom we know

:57:13.:57:16.

his relationship became rather strained in the last days of the

:57:17.:57:19.

last Labour government when Alistair Darling was Chancellor and Gordon

:57:20.:57:22.

Brown was Prime Minister, and it's thought that those strains have not

:57:23.:57:28.

been entirely resolved and so Gordon Brown saying that Mr Darling was not

:57:29.:57:34.

doing enough... He is not Mr Cameron's biggest fan either. Mr

:57:35.:57:38.

Cameron has said he shouldn't take part in the debate and I think most

:57:39.:57:41.

people in the Labour Party agree he isn't their best advocate but

:57:42.:57:47.

perhaps Mr Brown could not resist the temptation of perhaps implying,

:57:48.:57:51.

this man is afraid of challenging Alex Salmond. The implication may be

:57:52.:57:58.

that Mr Brown thinks he would be able to stand up to Alex Salmond.

:57:59.:58:06.

Let's just close on the passport issue because it's an interesting

:58:07.:58:13.

story, and the fact that more people are using the system could be a sign

:58:14.:58:17.

that they're up more confident in the coming. Yes, the fact there are

:58:18.:58:21.

300,000 people more desperate get out of the country this summer to go

:58:22.:58:25.

on holiday abroad may mean they feel that things have been so bad in the

:58:26.:58:29.

UK and the weather has been so wet that they are desperate to get away

:58:30.:58:33.

but maybe they now have a bit more money in their pocket and haven't

:58:34.:58:36.

been able to go abroad for the last few years and haven't needed to

:58:37.:58:39.

renew their passport. The price of success. That's all we have time for

:58:40.:58:44.

just now. We're back at the same time next week, 2:30pm. From all of

:58:45.:58:50.

us, thanks for your company. See you next week. Goodbye for now.

:58:51.:59:03.

You're constantly trying to build the elusive trust.

:59:04.:59:05.

It's like a big old question mark in your heart.

:59:06.:59:08.

I just try and do the best I can for them while they're with me.

:59:09.:59:12.

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