Browse content similar to 11/06/2014. Check below for episodes and series from the same categories and more!
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Hello and welcome to Politics Scotland. | :00:17. | :00:17. | |
A special adviser to the First Minister says sorry to a | :00:18. | :00:23. | |
mother who says she's faced online attacks for supporting the Union. | :00:24. | :00:28. | |
The author JK Rowling has donated ?1 million to help fund the campaign | :00:29. | :00:34. | |
And problems with passports. Will a backlog of applications caused | :00:35. | :00:47. | |
travel misery for thousands? A special adviser to the | :00:48. | :00:50. | |
First Minister has apologised to a woman who said she was attacked | :00:51. | :00:53. | |
for supporting Scotland staying The mother-of-two, Clare Lally, | :00:54. | :00:55. | |
spoke at an event organised Campbell Gunn said he didn't intend | :00:56. | :00:58. | |
any personal slight on Ms Lally when Here's our political correspondent, | :00:59. | :01:03. | |
Glenn Campbell. Clare Lally took centre stage at | :01:04. | :01:17. | |
Better Together's rally in Glasgow on Monday. I am and ordinary mother | :01:18. | :01:26. | |
from Clydebank campaigning for Scotland to stay in the UK. Campbell | :01:27. | :01:32. | |
Gunn e-mailed a newspaper questioning her credentials. He said | :01:33. | :01:40. | |
she had previously joined Labour's Shadow Cabinet and wrongly suggested | :01:41. | :01:46. | |
she was related to Pat Ali. It was a misunderstanding. Saying that you | :01:47. | :01:54. | |
thought somebody was somebody else's daughter in law is not a grievous | :01:55. | :01:58. | |
insult. An apology is just not enough. If you see and understand | :01:59. | :02:05. | |
what has been said about her and the fact that the mother of a disabled | :02:06. | :02:09. | |
child has had to experience this, I do not think and apology is good | :02:10. | :02:16. | |
enough. I think this advisor has to go. Clare Lally received online | :02:17. | :02:21. | |
abuse because of her political links. She has also been sent an | :02:22. | :02:25. | |
unreserved apology from Campbell Gunn who says he applauds the | :02:26. | :02:30. | |
attacks on her and all those involved in the referendum debate. | :02:31. | :02:40. | |
What is the atmosphere like in Holyrood? Labour, the Conservatives | :02:41. | :02:48. | |
and the Lib Dems are calling on the First Minister to sack his special | :02:49. | :02:53. | |
adviser Campbell Gunn. He is employed as a senior political | :02:54. | :02:57. | |
spokesman for the First Minister. As you have reported, he has sent an | :02:58. | :03:03. | |
unreserved apology to Clare Lally for any offence which has been | :03:04. | :03:07. | |
caused to her and her family. He also says he deplores the cyber | :03:08. | :03:14. | |
attacks she and others associated with the independence referendum | :03:15. | :03:21. | |
debate have received. So, the First Minister Alex Salmond being | :03:22. | :03:24. | |
interviewed about this and he asked Campbell Gunn to apologise. Is this | :03:25. | :03:32. | |
a different situation for him? The First Minister believes he has dealt | :03:33. | :03:35. | |
with their situation in requiring their special adviser to make this | :03:36. | :03:40. | |
apology. He also said that he didn't regard what Campbell Gunn had said | :03:41. | :03:46. | |
as an insult. Just to remind you, what Campbell Gunn did was to pick | :03:47. | :03:51. | |
up on Clare Lally's what Campbell Gunn did was to pick | :03:52. | :03:55. | |
up on claim that she was standing there as an ordinary mother | :03:56. | :03:59. | |
campaigning for the Union for the sake of her children. What she | :04:00. | :04:04. | |
didn't say at that time was that she was a member of the Labour Party and | :04:05. | :04:11. | |
had been brought in by Johann Lamont as part of her Shadow Cabinet. That | :04:12. | :04:18. | |
does not change her right to have a point of view in the independence | :04:19. | :04:21. | |
debate but these things were not mentioned at the time and Campbell | :04:22. | :04:24. | |
Gunn was e-mailing the Telegraph newspaper to point out her political | :04:25. | :04:33. | |
links. He also wrongly claimed that she was a relation of the former | :04:34. | :04:39. | |
Labour Lord promised Pat Lally. That turned out not to be true. The First | :04:40. | :04:45. | |
Minister says that is not an insult, though, which is why he required an | :04:46. | :04:51. | |
apology and not dismissal. JK Rowling has donated ?1 million to | :04:52. | :04:59. | |
Better Together. Yes, they welcomed the money. It is the single largest | :05:00. | :05:04. | |
donation that Better Together has received. They have also welcomed | :05:05. | :05:14. | |
her support. She has written a blog explaining why she has decided to | :05:15. | :05:17. | |
back a no vote. She is worried about the economic implications of | :05:18. | :05:27. | |
independence. She worries that medical research would continue to | :05:28. | :05:32. | |
be funded in the event of independence. She has decided to | :05:33. | :05:37. | |
back the Better Together campaign. I'm joined in the studio now | :05:38. | :05:40. | |
for the duration of the programme by Professor John | :05:41. | :05:42. | |
Curtice of Strathclyde University. So, John, how difficult a position | :05:43. | :05:46. | |
is Alex Salmond in at the moment? Do you think Campbell Gunn has done | :05:47. | :05:59. | |
enough to stop the opposition parties calling for his dismissal? I | :06:00. | :06:08. | |
think you has done enough. I think the main thing is not the actual | :06:09. | :06:14. | |
e-mail but the follow-up abuse that Clare Lally received. I think | :06:15. | :06:22. | |
Campbell Gunn is correct in implying that she is someone with certain | :06:23. | :06:27. | |
political some these. But it is always dangerous in politics to play | :06:28. | :06:33. | |
the man or woman rather than the ball. At the end of the day, this is | :06:34. | :06:40. | |
a debate about ideas and alternative futures and not about who runs the | :06:41. | :06:45. | |
country. Both sides might heed the warning that maybe they should focus | :06:46. | :06:49. | |
on the argument and not spend too much time on undermining the | :06:50. | :06:56. | |
messenger, the -- be they from either side. We have heard for a | :06:57. | :07:03. | |
long time about these attacks from so called cybernats. Because people | :07:04. | :07:21. | |
are not opposite people they are attacking they did not realise they | :07:22. | :07:24. | |
are being abusive in an unacceptable way. Those people who say they are | :07:25. | :07:33. | |
yes supporters are three times as likely to say they use social media | :07:34. | :07:41. | |
than no supporters. There are lots of yes supporters using social media | :07:42. | :07:46. | |
but that's all we can tell. Now, Scottish farmers are concerned | :07:47. | :07:50. | |
their industry is facing a cut of millions of pounds | :07:51. | :07:52. | |
in payments from the European The budget for CAP, as it's known, | :07:53. | :07:54. | |
has been significantly reduced in In the chamber today, | :07:55. | :07:58. | |
the Rural Affairs Secretary, Richard Lochhead, has been laying | :07:59. | :08:03. | |
out what that means for the industry It must also protect biodiversity | :08:04. | :08:19. | |
and reduce carbon footprint and protect landscapes. I have already | :08:20. | :08:24. | |
increased the environment budget by ?10 million. The challenge here is | :08:25. | :08:30. | |
how to deliver environmental benefits without a disproportionate | :08:31. | :08:35. | |
hit on farming operations. For the free crop rule, we negotiated | :08:36. | :08:40. | |
improvements but there is an issue for specialist barley producers. | :08:41. | :08:45. | |
There is an alternative approach which gives equally good | :08:46. | :08:48. | |
environmental outcomes without affecting production and that will | :08:49. | :08:55. | |
have to be approved by Europe. Our intention to implement that change | :08:56. | :09:02. | |
as soon as possible. There should be more on climate change in the CAP | :09:03. | :09:09. | |
package as well. We have looked at options under the permanent | :09:10. | :09:12. | |
grassland measures, subject to commission approval, farmers covered | :09:13. | :09:16. | |
by this will have a fertiliser plant. We may also ask for that to | :09:17. | :09:23. | |
include soil analysis as well. Many farmers do this anyway to reduce | :09:24. | :09:29. | |
carbon footprints and increase profitability. We have to decide | :09:30. | :09:40. | |
what features count against the ecological features argued. There is | :09:41. | :09:49. | |
a balance which has to be struck. After detailed work with | :09:50. | :09:51. | |
stakeholders, I decided to go as far as I could and include as the F a | :09:52. | :09:55. | |
the following, buffer strips, fallow, hedges and ditches, catch | :09:56. | :10:02. | |
and cover crops, albeit subject to conditions, to help with | :10:03. | :10:08. | |
biodiversity. We will continue to work with stakeholders on these | :10:09. | :10:12. | |
details. I have decided to strengthen the rules on offer strip | :10:13. | :10:23. | |
is -- buffer strips. Scotland has an international reputation as clean | :10:24. | :10:26. | |
and green but we must stay head of competitors. This new package will | :10:27. | :10:35. | |
impact in particular sectors in Scottish agriculture. These latest | :10:36. | :10:42. | |
changes to improve targeting for beef and sheep will have no impact | :10:43. | :10:47. | |
on the arable or daily -- dairy sectors. The move to area based | :10:48. | :10:54. | |
payments as positive for crofters and the Highlands and Islands. In | :10:55. | :10:59. | |
response to the consultation exercise, I am reinstating a | :11:00. | :11:01. | |
separate capital grant scheme for crofters. The wider rural | :11:02. | :11:11. | |
development programme supports agriculture, and of course the ?459 | :11:12. | :11:15. | |
million budget to underpin fragile communities. There is always the | :11:16. | :11:22. | |
risk of unforeseen circumstances. Despite the rhetoric about simple | :11:23. | :11:25. | |
navigation, this is the most complex CAP ever. Under EU rules, it can be | :11:26. | :11:33. | |
revisited each year but other things can only be renewed once or not at | :11:34. | :11:39. | |
all. That does not seem sensible so I will be calling on a mid-term CAP | :11:40. | :11:45. | |
health check of the new policy. It would be naive to content that the | :11:46. | :11:55. | |
European CAP is perfect for Scotland. If we look at the new | :11:56. | :12:02. | |
policy with a magnifying glass, no doubt we will find anomalies. I | :12:03. | :12:06. | |
believe the Government has exploited the positive aspects on what is on | :12:07. | :12:12. | |
offer and we will minimalise anomalies. Despite the strengths of | :12:13. | :12:20. | |
EU rules, their outrageous budget position we are in, and turbulent | :12:21. | :12:30. | |
market conditions, we are confident that this reflects Scotland's | :12:31. | :12:32. | |
priorities for successful agricultural industry. Cabinet | :12:33. | :12:46. | |
secretary will now take questions. We will have 30 minutes for the | :12:47. | :12:51. | |
questions and then move on. It would be helpful if members were to press | :12:52. | :13:00. | |
their request to speak button now. I thank the Cabinet Secretary for the | :13:01. | :13:05. | |
advanced copy of the statement. We have a lengthy statement accompanied | :13:06. | :13:11. | |
with briefing papers and we need is time to analyse the impact of these | :13:12. | :13:15. | |
decisions. I would urge the Government to make more time for | :13:16. | :13:30. | |
debate on this subject. Cap reform is... Scotland chose to delay the | :13:31. | :13:33. | |
shift from historic to area payments. We are now at the stage | :13:34. | :13:39. | |
with the decisions must be made. The debate has been dominated by those | :13:40. | :13:43. | |
who currently receive support and then impact on them but this is not | :13:44. | :13:47. | |
about the status quo, it is about change, and I support measures which | :13:48. | :13:53. | |
aim to achieve that. I am pleased that supporting estates have been | :13:54. | :13:56. | |
moved to the negative list as well as a decision to limit entitlements | :13:57. | :14:01. | |
to 2013. The decisions were always going to be challenging and I | :14:02. | :14:05. | |
appreciate it is difficult to get a balance but there were calls for a | :14:06. | :14:11. | |
quicker transaction and there are concerns that 2019 is at the top end | :14:12. | :14:18. | |
of the transaction period. Can I ask what the level of the national | :14:19. | :14:23. | |
reserve will be and if years confident demand can be met from | :14:24. | :14:28. | |
that? I have concerns around the pillar two support. The focus is on | :14:29. | :14:35. | |
agriculture but yesterday's emissions statistics show a need for | :14:36. | :14:43. | |
a focus on this. When I argued for a higher transfer between pillar one | :14:44. | :14:46. | |
and pillar to, I said a lot of the money was going back to farmers and | :14:47. | :14:49. | |
their statement today emphasises that. There are demands on pillar | :14:50. | :14:54. | |
two. Let's get some political reaction | :14:55. | :15:02. | |
at Holyrood now. I'm joined from the Garden Lobby | :15:03. | :15:04. | |
by Annabelle Ewing from the SNP and First of all, a shameful attack on | :15:05. | :15:20. | |
the mother of a disabled child. That is how Ruth Davidson spoke about the | :15:21. | :15:25. | |
Campbell Gunn issue. Is it right that he remains in his job after | :15:26. | :15:34. | |
contacting the Daily Telegraph? I think it's important to look after | :15:35. | :15:38. | |
the fact. Campbell Gunn sent one e-mail to one journalist and there | :15:39. | :15:42. | |
were two points in that e-mail. One was that this lady was a member of | :15:43. | :15:46. | |
Labour's shadow cabinet, which I believe is the case, and the other | :15:47. | :15:50. | |
point was that she was related to a former Labour Lord Provost of | :15:51. | :15:53. | |
Glasgow, which is incorrect. Since that point, Campbell gone has | :15:54. | :16:00. | |
apologised unreservedly. -- Campbell Gunn has apologised unreservedly for | :16:01. | :16:03. | |
getting that last point wrong and as far as I can see, in terms of | :16:04. | :16:08. | |
Campbell Gunn, that is the end of it. He passed on a piece of | :16:09. | :16:10. | |
information in good faith. It wasn't correct. In terms of the information | :16:11. | :16:16. | |
itself, it was that she was related to a former Labour Lord Provost of | :16:17. | :16:21. | |
Glasgow. That isn't correct. He apologised and that's the story as | :16:22. | :16:27. | |
far as I understand it. You talk about "in good faith", but the woman | :16:28. | :16:30. | |
was not a member of the Shadow Cabinet but was an adviser to them. | :16:31. | :16:35. | |
So what if she was related to any member of the Labour Party, which | :16:36. | :16:39. | |
she wasn't? It does look like a smear, doesn't it? Not at all. | :16:40. | :16:44. | |
Whether she is a member or adviser to the Labour shadow cabinet, I | :16:45. | :16:48. | |
think that is a matter that is relevant in the public domain on the | :16:49. | :16:54. | |
issue. I don't know if the Labour Party are trying to suggest that | :16:55. | :17:00. | |
being related might somehow not be a sought-after position but the fact | :17:01. | :17:05. | |
is, there was one element of the short e-mail that was incorrect and | :17:06. | :17:11. | |
Campbell Gunn has unreservedly apologised for getting that element | :17:12. | :17:16. | |
incorrect, ie that she was related to a former Labour Lord Prost of | :17:17. | :17:20. | |
Glasgow. I can see why the other parties might wish to try to push | :17:21. | :17:25. | |
this at the line a bit but I don't actually see that the facts support | :17:26. | :17:28. | |
such assertions from the Labour Party and others. I suppose the | :17:29. | :17:32. | |
trouble is, there was that orchestrated smear campaign against | :17:33. | :17:36. | |
her on Twitter and it's perhaps looked like Campbell Gunn was adding | :17:37. | :17:42. | |
to that. Are you saying on the BBC, accusing him of orchestrating any | :17:43. | :17:47. | |
event on social media? You know I didn't say that. I think that shows | :17:48. | :17:54. | |
the importance of language. I think it is quite clear that Campbell Gunn | :17:55. | :17:58. | |
had absolutely nothing to do with individuals' comments on social | :17:59. | :18:03. | |
media. I think we all deprecate unwarranted personal attacks on | :18:04. | :18:08. | |
social media. And sure Sarah does, I do, any right-thinking person does. | :18:09. | :18:13. | |
But that's a completely different issue and the fundamentals in terms | :18:14. | :18:16. | |
of the facts of this issue, as they relate to Campbell Gunn, are that | :18:17. | :18:22. | |
the bit of the sentence he got wrong was that she was related to a former | :18:23. | :18:26. | |
Labour Lord Provost. She isn't, he apologised, end of story. Sarah | :18:27. | :18:31. | |
Boyack, Annabelle Ewing has clearly set out the reasons why Campbell | :18:32. | :18:36. | |
Gunn contacted the Telegraph. Is it really a resigning issue? It seems | :18:37. | :18:42. | |
he's got nothing to do with an orchestrated smear campaign, as some | :18:43. | :18:46. | |
have tried to point out. I think it's deeply unpleasant. It's another | :18:47. | :18:49. | |
example of people trying to denigrate those who speak out in | :18:50. | :18:53. | |
favour of the Better Together campaign. I think it's unacceptable | :18:54. | :18:57. | |
that politics is dragged in like this. I think we need to know | :18:58. | :19:03. | |
exactly what happened. You heard the apologies from Annabelle Ewing there | :19:04. | :19:06. | |
but apparently Clare Lally has had a phone call to apologise for any | :19:07. | :19:11. | |
inconvenience. I think we're talking way beyond inconvenience. This is a | :19:12. | :19:16. | |
new low in Scottish politics. It is unacceptable, we need an inquiry and | :19:17. | :19:19. | |
Johann laminate has called for Campbell Gunn to go. -- Joanne | :19:20. | :19:26. | |
Lamont. It isn't just about the cyber abuse but to what extent was | :19:27. | :19:31. | |
the first ministers office involved and to what extent was the special | :19:32. | :19:34. | |
adviser to the First Minister in vault CROWD GROANS | :19:35. | :19:38. | |
Clare Lally is clearly not related to Pat Lally and it wouldn't have | :19:39. | :19:44. | |
taken long to find that out on Google. | :19:45. | :19:46. | |
She's lobbied all the opposition parties and is sincere. I think | :19:47. | :19:50. | |
she's had Alex Salmond in her house so he at least we'll know she is a | :19:51. | :19:54. | |
normal person fighting for her rights and those across Scotland. | :19:55. | :20:00. | |
This issue is clearly important and we should not accept this level of | :20:01. | :20:05. | |
abuse in Scottish politics. I think it was said that she was not an old | :20:06. | :20:08. | |
merry mum and had connections to the Labour Party. Was that not fair? | :20:09. | :20:16. | |
Scotland in a small country, we all have connections, and on both sides | :20:17. | :20:19. | |
of the campaign there are connections. The suggestion that | :20:20. | :20:22. | |
Clare Lally wasn't an ordinary person standing up for the community | :20:23. | :20:26. | |
and particularly carers is unacceptable and not true. I want to | :20:27. | :20:32. | |
ask Annabelle Ewing briefly, about the Common Agricultural Policy. It | :20:33. | :20:37. | |
is a complicated issue which Richard Lochhead is spelling out as we | :20:38. | :20:42. | |
speak. If you are able to, can you tell us what has been said? Is it a | :20:43. | :20:50. | |
good deal? The Cabinet secretary has certainly used all the available | :20:51. | :20:58. | |
resources at his disposal to put forward the best deal possible in | :20:59. | :21:01. | |
the circumstances but I did catch a bit of the end of his clip when he | :21:02. | :21:05. | |
referred to budgetary constraints and of course it is the case, sadly, | :21:06. | :21:09. | |
but because Scotland does not sit on the top table in Europe as yet, we | :21:10. | :21:12. | |
have seen the UK government negotiate the worst deal. We are at | :21:13. | :21:18. | |
the bottom of both funding streams in the entire 28 EU member states so | :21:19. | :21:26. | |
we have seen Scottish farmers lose out on the Somme of some 1 billion | :21:27. | :21:32. | |
euros by 2020, a very good argument in deed for people to vote yes on | :21:33. | :21:39. | |
the 18th of December. -- September. I haven't had a chance to hear all | :21:40. | :21:43. | |
of the announcement but he has certainly striven to do the very | :21:44. | :21:48. | |
best for our hugely important agricultural sector with the | :21:49. | :21:51. | |
budgetary constraints. Indeed, we even saw a reference from the EU to | :21:52. | :21:57. | |
the fact that Scotland sits at the bottom of both funding streams in | :21:58. | :22:00. | |
terms of what's called the convergence uplift. But Scotland | :22:01. | :22:04. | |
only got a small share of that because the rest was taken by the | :22:05. | :22:09. | |
Westminster government. It really is time we took these decisions into | :22:10. | :22:14. | |
our own hands. Let's put that point Sarah Boyack. The general point on | :22:15. | :22:18. | |
the see a peak that of Scotland have a seat at the top table, it could | :22:19. | :22:23. | |
get a better deal for the farmers. -- on the Common Agricultural | :22:24. | :22:27. | |
Policy. It seems the UK have not negotiated a decent deal for | :22:28. | :22:31. | |
Scottish farmers. Listening to Richard Lochhead, he did talk about | :22:32. | :22:35. | |
the detail of this proposal for our farmers and as I understand it, he | :22:36. | :22:39. | |
has been in negotiations with the UK and the EU and there are difficult | :22:40. | :22:44. | |
decisions being taken across Europe. I think we are part of the system in | :22:45. | :22:50. | |
the UK. We do get to sit at the top table when it's appropriate for us | :22:51. | :22:54. | |
on farming issues. Ross Finnie was no slouch at getting to the top | :22:55. | :22:59. | |
table in Europe. We need to network with other European countries but I | :23:00. | :23:04. | |
think we also want to know about the environment. Yesterday we had the | :23:05. | :23:08. | |
report that we failed to meet our targets on climate emissions for the | :23:09. | :23:12. | |
third year in a row. It's hugely important that we support our | :23:13. | :23:15. | |
farming industry and we support reductions in carbon across the | :23:16. | :23:18. | |
board. There are other sectors that are impacted on so I is Claire Baker | :23:19. | :23:24. | |
said, we need more detail and a bit more time to absorb the detail. | :23:25. | :23:29. | |
Sarah Boyack from the Scottish Liberal party and Annabelle Ewing | :23:30. | :23:32. | |
from the SNP, we'll have to leave it there. | :23:33. | :23:36. | |
So Professor John Curtice is still with me here. We didn't have time to | :23:37. | :23:44. | |
pick up on the JK Rowling donation that Glen Campbell was pointing out | :23:45. | :23:50. | |
at the top of the programme. That's an interesting new contribution to | :23:51. | :23:54. | |
Better Together, isn't it? I'm sure they'll be welcoming that into the | :23:55. | :23:58. | |
cough is. Of course because there has been a concern on the no side | :23:59. | :24:02. | |
that they would be outgunned as far as resources were concerned. I think | :24:03. | :24:07. | |
the total given to the yes side by the weirs is the order of ?5 | :24:08. | :24:10. | |
million. The better together campaign now have at least ?1 | :24:11. | :24:16. | |
million from JK Rowling. We are in the period cheering which campaign | :24:17. | :24:20. | |
expenses are regulated so there is a maximum of ?1.5 million that can be | :24:21. | :24:24. | |
spent on direct campaigning with the public. I suspect JK Rowling has | :24:25. | :24:29. | |
done a substantial job in enabling them to spend up to that limit. They | :24:30. | :24:32. | |
will welcome that and I think that's the more important part of her | :24:33. | :24:36. | |
statement than the fact that JK Rowling, well-known celebrity, backs | :24:37. | :24:41. | |
the no side. I think we knew that. But in this referendum, endorsements | :24:42. | :24:46. | |
of celebrities are probably not particularly important. They can | :24:47. | :24:48. | |
matter on occasions when we're talking about things that the public | :24:49. | :24:53. | |
don't know a lot about and are looking for people to give them | :24:54. | :24:56. | |
guidance. But we discovered this morning 60% people in Scotland have | :24:57. | :25:00. | |
talked to each other about this and to that extent at least, its | :25:01. | :25:03. | |
conversations going on out there between the people in Scotland that | :25:04. | :25:07. | |
matter, not necessarily messages from well-known celebrities. As you | :25:08. | :25:12. | |
are here and we are talking about the referendum, perhaps you could | :25:13. | :25:15. | |
give us an update on where we stand in the polls. Today we are seeing | :25:16. | :25:21. | |
accusations of intemperate language from both sides. We've got this | :25:22. | :25:25. | |
Campbell Gunn row. Also today the First Minister is calling for | :25:26. | :25:29. | |
Alistair Darling to apologise once again for the comments he allegedly | :25:30. | :25:35. | |
made in an interview with a journalist. We have rows on both | :25:36. | :25:40. | |
sides, Gordon Brown's comments about David Cameron and that he should | :25:41. | :25:45. | |
debate about Alex Salmond... How are we looking? Those are all arguments | :25:46. | :25:49. | |
about personalities - who should do what all has done what. I come back | :25:50. | :25:52. | |
to the point I made earlier, which is that we should remember that this | :25:53. | :25:57. | |
is a referendum about ideas and features, not personalities. Most of | :25:58. | :26:01. | |
the personalities involved in this referendum will not be responsible | :26:02. | :26:04. | |
for Scotland, whether it votes yes or no, in ten or 15 years. That | :26:05. | :26:09. | |
said, we seem to be in a position where the referendum race has come | :26:10. | :26:13. | |
to arrest again. That is, on average during the last couple of months, | :26:14. | :26:18. | |
the polls have pointed to a 43% "yes" vote, 53% for no. That is the | :26:19. | :26:24. | |
same as at the end of March. The poll out today says 41% four yes, | :26:25. | :26:31. | |
the same as the month before and the month before that. The yes side | :26:32. | :26:34. | |
seems to have hold on to the games they made in the winter but they | :26:35. | :26:37. | |
don't seem to have made any further progress in the spring. There are | :26:38. | :26:40. | |
now less than 100 days to go and they will have to make progress at a | :26:41. | :26:44. | |
much faster rate to reach the 50% mark. Thank you. | :26:45. | :26:49. | |
As the inaugural oil and gas UK conference gets under way in | :26:50. | :26:53. | |
Aberdeen, the attention of Hollywood's economy committee | :26:54. | :26:55. | |
focused on the impact independence could have on the industry. The | :26:56. | :26:59. | |
convener, Murdo Fraser, began by asking Danny Alexander, the Chief | :27:00. | :27:05. | |
Secretary to the Treasury, about the significance of oil and gas revenues | :27:06. | :27:08. | |
for the country's public finances in the future. On the forecast, the | :27:09. | :27:15. | |
Scottish Government's forecasts, the figures they have how they see the | :27:16. | :27:19. | |
public finances in an independent Scotland, they rely on North Sea | :27:20. | :27:23. | |
revenues being consistently more than double the forecasts made by | :27:24. | :27:28. | |
the independent Office for Budget Responsibility, and that is despite | :27:29. | :27:34. | |
the independent Office for Budget Responsibility's forecasts since | :27:35. | :27:39. | |
2010 themselves having overestimated UK oil revenues by 20% on average. | :27:40. | :27:45. | |
So it was interesting that when the Scottish Government published their | :27:46. | :27:48. | |
new oil and gas bulletin on the same day I launched our paper on fiscal | :27:49. | :27:54. | |
policy, they excluded any reference to what had actually happened in | :27:55. | :28:00. | |
2012-13 and 2013-14. They looked back on what that Chile happened but | :28:01. | :28:05. | |
didn't reveal how overlooked a mistake their previous forecasts had | :28:06. | :28:10. | |
been. -- what actually happened. The most cautious Scottish Government | :28:11. | :28:15. | |
forecasts from March 2013 were actually around ?5 billion to hike | :28:16. | :28:19. | |
for those two years and what that means is, any of the Scottish | :28:20. | :28:30. | |
Government's protections -- projections for independence are | :28:31. | :28:33. | |
wrong because they are based on overoptimistic projections and they | :28:34. | :28:38. | |
are overoptimistic because they are based on forecasts that have | :28:39. | :28:41. | |
themselves been shown to be on the optimistic side. There are three | :28:42. | :28:49. | |
factors that essentially influenced the calculation of North Sea oil and | :28:50. | :28:53. | |
gas revenues. One will be an assessment of price and the OBR has | :28:54. | :29:00. | |
an assessment of $99 in 2016-17, and then remaining flat. We take a view | :29:01. | :29:07. | |
based on the fact that the average price between March 2012 and 2014 | :29:08. | :29:15. | |
was $110 that $110 is a more reliable and cautious assumption. | :29:16. | :29:23. | |
But it does also include a reduction in the cash value because of | :29:24. | :29:30. | |
retaining that in nominal terms. Secondly, a different production | :29:31. | :29:34. | |
assessment - and as I said a moment ago, I think it's unimaginable that | :29:35. | :29:39. | |
the industry will be making the scale of investment that it is | :29:40. | :29:45. | |
making if there isn't confidence in the estimates the industry makes of | :29:46. | :29:49. | |
the likely proceeds of that, with a 14% increase in production over the | :29:50. | :29:59. | |
period to 2018 - and there is an issue about the scale of the range | :30:00. | :30:04. | |
of investment and we think that the investment levels are likely to | :30:05. | :30:08. | |
return to long-term trend levels - and, of course, the issue about that | :30:09. | :30:13. | |
is that that then removes the ability to offset as much investment | :30:14. | :30:18. | |
against tax. That is one of the reasons why revenues are deflated at | :30:19. | :30:22. | |
present, because of the scale of capital investment that is under | :30:23. | :30:26. | |
way. So I think there's a very clear set of reasons why the estimates are | :30:27. | :30:33. | |
different but, obviously, the OBR - it is up to them to defend their own | :30:34. | :30:40. | |
estimates. Let's head back to the chamber at Holyrood now and dip into | :30:41. | :30:43. | |
the debate on the Common Agricultural Policy. Cuts to the | :30:44. | :30:47. | |
budget in Brussels means a cut to the amount of money paid to Scottish | :30:48. | :30:51. | |
farmers. The Cabinet secretary is taking questions from MSP is. Let's | :30:52. | :31:01. | |
listen in. In terms of the importance of Dumfries and to the | :31:02. | :31:06. | |
beef and dairy sector, it is extremely important and that is why | :31:07. | :31:13. | |
we have put so much into the package. Many of the big beef areas | :31:14. | :31:19. | |
of Scotland will benefit significantly. The rock bottom | :31:20. | :31:35. | |
payment of only ?10, 10 euros per hectare for category a land is | :31:36. | :31:45. | |
simply not enough. It is going to be met with disappointment by those who | :31:46. | :31:50. | |
saw this as an opportunity to regenerate sheep farming. It is | :31:51. | :31:59. | |
simply too low. Question, please. Will the Minister make sure he deals | :32:00. | :32:04. | |
with the National Sheep Association to make sure things are minimised | :32:05. | :32:15. | |
given a flood of measures? I will work closely with them and | :32:16. | :32:19. | |
stakeholders to make sure we can do all we can to minimise bureaucracy. | :32:20. | :32:23. | |
I'd should say that Jamie McGregor is missing the point. We want to | :32:24. | :32:32. | |
reward activity and that is why the basic payment is there. The outcome | :32:33. | :32:43. | |
being 35 euros per hectare with their sheepskin added to the 10 | :32:44. | :32:47. | |
euros payment, that would be the same as better land. Region two and | :32:48. | :32:57. | |
three. The only people who will lose out from what I'm proposing are | :32:58. | :33:02. | |
large landowners who are inactive. I don't know what side he is on but | :33:03. | :33:08. | |
most people would support we are doing the right thing with this | :33:09. | :33:13. | |
policy. Can the Cabinet Secretary of further | :33:14. | :33:14. | |
policy. Can the Cabinet Secretary information on how the Government | :33:15. | :33:18. | |
will ensure new entrants and prospective new entrants will be | :33:19. | :33:21. | |
made aware of the support on offer and what impact does the Government | :33:22. | :33:31. | |
think these measures will have? I care very deeply about getting new | :33:32. | :33:37. | |
agriculture into Scotland. I genuinely believe that there are new | :33:38. | :33:42. | |
entrants who understand that for very proper reasons we are looking | :33:43. | :33:48. | |
for an overnight transition. Under the new regime outlined today, when | :33:49. | :33:56. | |
they see what is offered, hopefully they will see -- take comfort. We | :33:57. | :34:06. | |
need lifeblood and a new generation to produce food for our tables and | :34:07. | :34:11. | |
have the skills in this country to make sure we do that. I note that | :34:12. | :34:20. | |
Dumfries and Galloway will lose ?18 million rather than the 22 million | :34:21. | :34:31. | |
anticipated. Can the Cabinet Secretary expand on the arrangements | :34:32. | :34:36. | |
for the transition period? Will be reductions be equally spaced over | :34:37. | :34:40. | |
the period of transition or will they have different sort of | :34:41. | :34:41. | |
profile? mitigate the impact on large | :34:42. | :35:02. | |
historic payments moving to area payments. As the figures outlined, | :35:03. | :35:17. | |
we have outlined the funds. A formula which manages going from the | :35:18. | :35:23. | |
historical areas in five years it is difficult to predict payments | :35:24. | :35:27. | |
because every single farm business in Scotland is so diverse and | :35:28. | :35:31. | |
different and clearly each farmer will be looking at today's | :35:32. | :35:34. | |
announcement and what it means for them. We are trained to make it as | :35:35. | :35:42. | |
clear as possible so people can understand how it will impact them. | :35:43. | :35:47. | |
I welcomed the statement and I am pleased that the capital grants | :35:48. | :35:51. | |
scheme is being maintained. I wonder if he can indicate whether the | :35:52. | :35:58. | |
budget for that scheme will be maintained at previous levels or | :35:59. | :36:06. | |
possibly increased? I will have all the figures in relation to that | :36:07. | :36:13. | |
programme available to MSPs this afternoon if you have not received | :36:14. | :36:17. | |
them already. We have protected the budget for the capital grant schemes | :36:18. | :36:21. | |
for crofters and listened closely to the representations we have had | :36:22. | :36:26. | |
about ensuring we have a separate fund. It is a good deal for | :36:27. | :36:35. | |
Scotland's crofters and our crofting communities play a vital role in | :36:36. | :36:38. | |
maintaining the environment and producing food. This will help | :36:39. | :36:44. | |
towards active crofters and Ireland crofters. | :36:45. | :36:49. | |
Green targets, red faces - that was the headline in one | :36:50. | :36:52. | |
of the newspapers today after the Scottish Government announced | :36:53. | :36:54. | |
yesterday they'd missed their own targets for cutting greenhouse gases | :36:55. | :36:59. | |
The environment minister said meeting the targets have been a lot | :37:00. | :37:11. | |
harder than Parliament and society realised and gave some reasons why | :37:12. | :37:14. | |
they had been missed. It was a colder than normal winter and there | :37:15. | :37:18. | |
was a higher amount of energy being used by households. Residential | :37:19. | :37:29. | |
emissions went up. Also because burning coal has become cheaper, | :37:30. | :37:32. | |
But the Greens said a radical shift in policy was needed | :37:33. | :37:36. | |
if the government wanted to achieve these tagets. | :37:37. | :37:42. | |
The 15 million tonnes a year we put into the atmosphere needs to come | :37:43. | :37:49. | |
down by 1 million per year or thereabouts of the next few years | :37:50. | :37:54. | |
and that won't happen unless the Scottish Government recognises that | :37:55. | :37:58. | |
current policies will not achieve it. We must go further on cutting | :37:59. | :38:02. | |
fuel bills, transport congestion and other areas where climate change | :38:03. | :38:07. | |
policy can be good for people, the economy and the planet. | :38:08. | :38:12. | |
Let's speak to Professor Curtice again. | :38:13. | :38:22. | |
So what will happen next year? The brutal headline is that the Scottish | :38:23. | :38:33. | |
Government has set Scotland more ambitious climate change targets | :38:34. | :38:37. | |
than exist south of the border. They have suggested that Scotland is | :38:38. | :38:41. | |
going to be able to know and example to the rest of the world. -- aid | :38:42. | :38:54. | |
Beacon and example. It is a bit of an embarrassment in political terms. | :38:55. | :39:01. | |
A lot of the recent argument is about energy has not been about | :39:02. | :39:06. | |
lowering emissions but prices. There is clearly a problem at the moment | :39:07. | :39:13. | |
about pursuing policies for reducing carbon emissions which rely on | :39:14. | :39:20. | |
raising prices, which is behind the current level of energy prices. | :39:21. | :39:24. | |
Politicians are desperate to get them down. We have seen this week | :39:25. | :39:31. | |
arguments that given that the wholesale price of gas and a trustee | :39:32. | :39:35. | |
has gone down maybe the prices should go down. That may be true but | :39:36. | :39:41. | |
it may also mean that getting carbon emissions down will not be easier. | :39:42. | :39:46. | |
You mentioned that these targets are world beating. Is the consensus | :39:47. | :39:58. | |
breaking down? We heard from Patrick Harvie and we heard from Labour | :39:59. | :40:03. | |
yesterday about what radical policies must be pursued. It is not | :40:04. | :40:10. | |
surprising that the Green Party would be critical on this area. It | :40:11. | :40:16. | |
is their key area of interest to save us from what they say is | :40:17. | :40:21. | |
extreme environmental damage. We should not be surprised at that. The | :40:22. | :40:28. | |
question for the Labour Party is that it is fine to talk about more | :40:29. | :40:35. | |
measures but then if Ed Miliband gets to power he would have a freeze | :40:36. | :40:43. | |
on energy prices which does not discourage people from emitting more | :40:44. | :40:49. | |
climate damaging emissions. The environment minister said yesterday | :40:50. | :40:52. | |
that Labour had not come forward with proposals. | :40:53. | :41:00. | |
Now to Prime Minister's Questions and the Labour leader, Ed Miliband, | :41:01. | :41:03. | |
pressed David Cameron on accountability in Birmingham's | :41:04. | :41:04. | |
schools after the Education Secretary/Home Secretary | :41:05. | :41:06. | |
Questions too on the backlog of passport applications. | :41:07. | :41:09. | |
The Prime Minister insisted the backlog was being tackled and extra | :41:10. | :41:11. | |
There is certainly a degree of common ground in what are children | :41:12. | :41:25. | |
are taught in schools and common values. In certain cases, the | :41:26. | :41:30. | |
headteacher was removed under the governing body was part of the | :41:31. | :41:34. | |
problem. The truth is it is a very hard question to answer as to who | :41:35. | :41:41. | |
parents could go to because we have an incredibly fragmented school | :41:42. | :41:44. | |
system where nobody is properly responsible. Some of those schools | :41:45. | :41:48. | |
where local authority schools and some war academies. -- some of them | :41:49. | :41:58. | |
were academies. On a day-to-day basis you can intervene quickly when | :41:59. | :42:02. | |
things go wrong. There needs to be one system of accountability for all | :42:03. | :42:06. | |
schools to safeguard the education of our children. The first port of | :42:07. | :42:11. | |
call is the headteacher and the chair of governors. If people | :42:12. | :42:16. | |
believe there is a real problem there is one organisation which has | :42:17. | :42:20. | |
responsibility for checking standards in all schools and that is | :42:21. | :42:25. | |
offset. That is why it is so important what the Education | :42:26. | :42:30. | |
Secretary has said about no notice inspections. What the opposition | :42:31. | :42:36. | |
leader asks is how it can happen quickly. It will if we have these no | :42:37. | :42:42. | |
notice inspections. He has no answer on the question of accountability. | :42:43. | :42:47. | |
Doing it sensually is not realistic and Ofsted inspections will not do | :42:48. | :42:54. | |
the job. I want to move to the failures in the Home Office. Can the | :42:55. | :42:58. | |
Prime Minister update the House on his latest estimate of the backlog | :42:59. | :43:01. | |
of people waiting for passport applications to be processed. We | :43:02. | :43:09. | |
have 300,000 extra applications than normal at this time of year. We have | :43:10. | :43:15. | |
increased the staff massively. The level of applications outside the | :43:16. | :43:19. | |
normal three-week limit is less than 10% of that 300,000. Less than a | :43:20. | :43:27. | |
quarter of people who have applied for the new personal independence | :43:28. | :43:31. | |
payment have received a decision and if we continue at this rate it will | :43:32. | :43:36. | |
take more than 40 years to get to the point where everyone gets | :43:37. | :43:40. | |
assessed. Does the Prime Minister think that is acceptable and what | :43:41. | :43:47. | |
will he do about it? It is extremely important when we introduce these | :43:48. | :43:49. | |
new benefits that we make sure it is done in a way that works well so I | :43:50. | :43:54. | |
would say it is very important not to have an artificial deadline of | :43:55. | :43:59. | |
replacing one benefit with another. The whole point about the personal | :44:00. | :44:03. | |
independence payment is it is more accurate and targeted by an -- than | :44:04. | :44:09. | |
disability allowance. It will mean more help for those with the | :44:10. | :44:13. | |
greatest disabilities and I am determined we will get it right. At | :44:14. | :44:23. | |
's are taking longer. They are reluctant to send assessors to | :44:24. | :44:32. | |
Argyll and Bute. Will he tell at a loss -- Atos they are | :44:33. | :44:40. | |
discriminating? There are challenges in far-flung rural constituencies | :44:41. | :44:44. | |
like as with so many islands with a in far-flung rural constituencies | :44:45. | :44:50. | |
like as with so many islands with -- within it and I accept we must have | :44:51. | :44:53. | |
these assessments carried out but they are important. | :44:54. | :44:55. | |
these assessments carried out but The whole point is that we don't | :44:56. | :44:59. | |
want to leave people on unemployment or benefit year after year. We want | :45:00. | :45:03. | |
the tests and assessments properly carried out to see whether they are | :45:04. | :45:09. | |
applicable for benefits and what help they need to get work. | :45:10. | :45:12. | |
Let's stay at Westminster now and speak to | :45:13. | :45:14. | |
our correspondent David Porter who's standing by on College Green. | :45:15. | :45:23. | |
It is a lovely day year so it is not hard for MPs to come and join me. I | :45:24. | :45:30. | |
am joined by David Mandel from the Scotland Office and representatives | :45:31. | :45:36. | |
from Labour and the SNP. Unemployment is down, and in | :45:37. | :45:46. | |
Scotland. Is the economy and issue that has been addressed? 17,000 less | :45:47. | :45:54. | |
people unemployed. Employment of women at the highest levels ever. | :45:55. | :45:58. | |
These are good things but we must continue to consolidate their | :45:59. | :46:01. | |
situation. We are not out of the woods. We must stick with the | :46:02. | :46:05. | |
long-term economic plan and we cannot tear it up now and start to | :46:06. | :46:10. | |
borrow and spend more and stop we must keep going and ensure it is a | :46:11. | :46:17. | |
job led recovery. We can't be satisfied until we see as full | :46:18. | :46:23. | |
employment as possible in Scotland. You would welcome any falling on | :46:24. | :46:26. | |
implement but from an opposition point of view, the better the | :46:27. | :46:31. | |
economy does, it is a harder political stick to beat the opponent | :46:32. | :46:35. | |
with. What matters is what is actually happening on the ground and | :46:36. | :46:40. | |
there is a huge gap between the rhetoric of the Government and | :46:41. | :46:42. | |
people's experiences. People will still be worse off at the end of | :46:43. | :46:49. | |
this Parliament than the beginning. People are facing an absolute crisis | :46:50. | :46:58. | |
in terms of making ends meet. The Government have missed an | :46:59. | :47:00. | |
opportunity with this Queen's Speech to do some thing about that. Your | :47:01. | :47:06. | |
party is in government in Scotland, do you take the credit for it or do | :47:07. | :47:09. | |
you say it is because the wider UK economy is doing better? We should | :47:10. | :47:16. | |
celebrate the fact that we have got lower unemployment rate in Scotland | :47:17. | :47:21. | |
than the rest of the UK. We do what we can. We've got some economic | :47:22. | :47:26. | |
levers we can apply to the economy in Scotland but we're dependent on | :47:27. | :47:30. | |
the performance of the UK economy and it's something which I'm not | :47:31. | :47:33. | |
particularly satisfied with. I'd like to be in control of the levers | :47:34. | :47:36. | |
to ensure we get more people back into work but we are stuck with | :47:37. | :47:41. | |
where we are with that. The same question to each of you - is it | :47:42. | :47:44. | |
going to be the key issue in the independence referendum? It's an | :47:45. | :47:49. | |
important issue in the sense that people want to know how they will be | :47:50. | :47:53. | |
personally affected by independence. My argument is, whether the economy | :47:54. | :47:57. | |
is doing well or badly at a particular point in Scotland, we are | :47:58. | :48:03. | |
still better off as part of the UK with the best of both worlds and our | :48:04. | :48:07. | |
very important market for Scotland in England. I think there are number | :48:08. | :48:12. | |
of issues that are important but just take one, we still don't know | :48:13. | :48:16. | |
which currency we would be using in an independent Scotland and if we | :48:17. | :48:19. | |
don't know that, how on earth do we know how the economy would be | :48:20. | :48:23. | |
performing and the impact it would have on people's mortgages? That's | :48:24. | :48:26. | |
what people say to me on the doorsteps. The economy is going to | :48:27. | :48:31. | |
be incredibly important and that's why it's fought over with such | :48:32. | :48:34. | |
passion and a flurry of figures. We are in a better position than the | :48:35. | :48:37. | |
rest of the UK because we can do that little bit more. I want to do a | :48:38. | :48:42. | |
lot more and it's only with the powers of independence we would be | :48:43. | :48:45. | |
able to achieve that. Let's move onto another issue raised a Prime | :48:46. | :48:50. | |
Minister's Questions the issue of passports and the backlog of | :48:51. | :48:54. | |
applications. It is potentially a no-win situation for the Government, | :48:55. | :48:58. | |
isn't it? If you don't get it cracked, you will get the blame and | :48:59. | :49:03. | |
if you do, you will get the people saying that that is what Government | :49:04. | :49:08. | |
is all about. The Prime Minister takes the situation very seriously | :49:09. | :49:11. | |
and we've put a lot of extra resources, 300,000 additional | :49:12. | :49:14. | |
applications have been made and the Home are aware of that. They are | :49:15. | :49:19. | |
seeking to do everything possible to alleviate the situation. If there | :49:20. | :49:24. | |
are individuals that have no passport and are going on holiday in | :49:25. | :49:28. | |
Medley, they should contact their MP or the passport office to try to get | :49:29. | :49:32. | |
it sorted out and get them further at the Q but it is clearly an issue | :49:33. | :49:36. | |
that needs to be addressed and we are addressing it. -- further up the | :49:37. | :49:42. | |
line. Those with long memories will remember that when Labour were in | :49:43. | :49:46. | |
government there were lines around the street and around the corners | :49:47. | :49:48. | |
for people queueing up for passports. This is about what's | :49:49. | :49:52. | |
happening now and I've got at least one or two constituents contacting | :49:53. | :49:58. | |
my office every day waiting for passports they applied for months | :49:59. | :50:01. | |
ago and other colleagues have got higher numbers of cases than that. | :50:02. | :50:05. | |
David Cameron said today that he's moved to 200 people onto that | :50:06. | :50:14. | |
apartment but has already cut staff from the department that is dealing | :50:15. | :50:16. | |
with this. The Government have got to get this right. Is it the case | :50:17. | :50:21. | |
that you are getting constituents who are worried because the holidays | :50:22. | :50:24. | |
start slightly earlier in Scotland, and are starting to panic? This is a | :50:25. | :50:29. | |
particular Scottish issue when it comes to this, the fact that we | :50:30. | :50:34. | |
break up earlier for holidays. The real difficulty about this is that | :50:35. | :50:36. | |
I've got constituents who are supposed to be going to Belgium for | :50:37. | :50:40. | |
a youth again next weekend, who have got their passport. This is a | :50:41. | :50:45. | |
difficulty for us. We have a few short weeks until the start of the | :50:46. | :50:48. | |
Scottish day, when we practically closed down in Scotland, so it is | :50:49. | :50:52. | |
imperative. We are counting on the UK Government to this fixed. They | :50:53. | :50:57. | |
told us yesterday that there was no problem. I was in the home affairs | :50:58. | :51:02. | |
debate and I heard the Home Secretary asked what problem. Thank | :51:03. | :51:05. | |
goodness we can get it sorted out now. Talking about diaries and | :51:06. | :51:09. | |
things that are coming up now, the independence referendum is coming | :51:10. | :51:14. | |
down the track, 16 weeks to go, we have the 100th day to the referendum | :51:15. | :51:18. | |
this week. Are you starting to notice a change to the campaign? Is | :51:19. | :51:24. | |
it stepping up on the ground? There's no doubt that there is more | :51:25. | :51:27. | |
activity from both sides. I think the public are very engaged. You | :51:28. | :51:33. | |
knock on peoples doors and they know it's happening. They've got views. | :51:34. | :51:38. | |
There are a lot of people still looking for information about why I | :51:39. | :51:41. | |
think it's incumbent on both sides to provide that information. As | :51:42. | :51:46. | |
Gemma said earlier, there are big questions still to be answered about | :51:47. | :51:50. | |
what currency we'll use. I'm not convinced that we'll get through the | :51:51. | :51:53. | |
next 100 days and know the answer to that question, and that's why I | :51:54. | :51:58. | |
certainly say on the doorstep, "if you don't know, you should vote no". | :51:59. | :52:04. | |
Gemma, are you noticing that people are starting to engage more with it | :52:05. | :52:08. | |
now? Absolutely. I think people have been engaged with this from the | :52:09. | :52:12. | |
beginning but people are really making up their minds now and what | :52:13. | :52:15. | |
I'm hearing on the doorsteps in my constituency is that people are not | :52:16. | :52:18. | |
convinced that this is the right thing to do and that pushes them to | :52:19. | :52:22. | |
vote no. But can I also say, we have particularly unpleasant attacks on | :52:23. | :52:26. | |
people who have come out and giving their opinion on what is happening. | :52:27. | :52:31. | |
We've seen it yesterday with Clare Lally, I am from my constituency | :52:32. | :52:36. | |
who's been attacked by Alex Salmond's spin doctor. -- a mother | :52:37. | :52:40. | |
from my constituency. Today we've seen a charity in Edinburgh using | :52:41. | :52:47. | |
the most appalling language, which I won't subject your viewers to, | :52:48. | :52:49. | |
towards JK Rowling for what she said. We don't want to see this | :52:50. | :52:52. | |
debate going down that path and I think there needs to be an appeal | :52:53. | :52:56. | |
for calm. The official from the Scottish Government has issued an | :52:57. | :53:00. | |
apology to Clare Lally about that. Most people think he should be | :53:01. | :53:05. | |
resigning. How do all the parties ensure that this debate does not | :53:06. | :53:09. | |
descend to a level that I think all of you would agree you don't want? | :53:10. | :53:13. | |
They've just got to stop it, calm down and stop the abusive nonsense. | :53:14. | :53:18. | |
It doesn't benefit anybody. It isn't in our interests or their interests. | :53:19. | :53:23. | |
Why people feel the need to indulge in this nonsense, I just don't | :53:24. | :53:27. | |
understand or appreciate. But we've always got to remember, this is at | :53:28. | :53:32. | |
the fringe of the debate, we've had an incredible debate. This is a | :53:33. | :53:37. | |
fantastic civic, peaceful process that has re-energised and engaged | :53:38. | :53:41. | |
the people of Scotland like no other. We're looking at the prospect | :53:42. | :53:45. | |
of 80% of the people of Scotland voting. Let's celebrate what a | :53:46. | :53:49. | |
fantastic debate. Let's criticise, obviously, but there's no room for | :53:50. | :53:55. | |
the abusive comments we've had. But let's celebrate the fantastic | :53:56. | :53:58. | |
achievement. A sharp gear change now. A certain event happens in | :53:59. | :54:02. | |
Brazil tomorrow. Who are you supporting and who will win? I drew | :54:03. | :54:07. | |
Algeria in the office suite so I'll have an eye on them. My son tells me | :54:08. | :54:15. | |
that France or the dark horses -- France are the door causes. -- dark | :54:16. | :54:23. | |
horses for top Scotland isn't there. I would much rather Scotland was in | :54:24. | :54:28. | |
the World Cup. Like the glory days of the 1970s and stop I will be too | :54:29. | :54:32. | |
busy out campaigning to watch much of it. I'm interested in the | :54:33. | :54:36. | |
Commonwealth Games in Glasgow, so that's what I'll be focusing on. Who | :54:37. | :54:42. | |
is going to win and he will you be supporting? I think Brazil will win. | :54:43. | :54:47. | |
I think the hosts will win. I support Belgium. I saw them turn | :54:48. | :54:52. | |
things over dramatically when they were playing Scotland. They are one | :54:53. | :54:57. | |
of the best teams. Thank you all very much for joining us this | :54:58. | :55:00. | |
afternoon. You see, Andrew, you don't just get political debate on | :55:01. | :55:04. | |
this programme but sports predictions as well. | :55:05. | :55:08. | |
Thank you for that. Let's have a final chat with our commentator, | :55:09. | :55:12. | |
Professor John Curtice. An interesting chat on the passport | :55:13. | :55:16. | |
problem, a big problem Theresa May's door but she has not had to | :55:17. | :55:21. | |
seek problems, with the problem with Michael Gove about the | :55:22. | :55:24. | |
radicalisation of schools in Birmingham. Yes, one of the | :55:25. | :55:27. | |
interesting lessons as far as Theresa May is concerned is that the | :55:28. | :55:31. | |
dangers are emerging as an unexpected Trojan horse. There was a | :55:32. | :55:37. | |
poll conducted that suggested Theresa May was now the most popular | :55:38. | :55:42. | |
candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, even ahead | :55:43. | :55:45. | |
of Boris Johnson. It's well-known that Michael Gove is close to David | :55:46. | :55:49. | |
Cameron and that he would prefer George Osborne to be David | :55:50. | :55:53. | |
Cameron's successor so overlaying this argument about whether or not | :55:54. | :55:57. | |
the Home Office have been doing enough about extremism or whether | :55:58. | :56:01. | |
the education department had done enough was this argument about, was | :56:02. | :56:05. | |
what was going on that Michael Gove was trying to undermine Theresa | :56:06. | :56:09. | |
May's position as a front runner? The home office is usually a place | :56:10. | :56:14. | |
where politicians get tripped up. Theresa May has been successful so | :56:15. | :56:19. | |
far in avoiding the pitfalls of office but we'll wait and see | :56:20. | :56:24. | |
whether or not she manages to avoid passports becoming a ministry of | :56:25. | :56:27. | |
horror which might take her down a peg or two in the leadership stakes | :56:28. | :56:32. | |
for the Conservative party. Talking about strained relations between the | :56:33. | :56:36. | |
senior figures, we touched on the Gordon Brown comments are bit | :56:37. | :56:42. | |
earlier. It has not helped Alistair Darling, what he says, in the | :56:43. | :56:48. | |
debate, David Cameron. It's been no secret that Gordon Brown has felt | :56:49. | :56:52. | |
that perhaps the Better Together campaign needs to become more | :56:53. | :56:55. | |
positive and needed more ballast. He's got rather more involved, | :56:56. | :57:00. | |
particularly about this argument that pensions would be safer in the | :57:01. | :57:06. | |
UK. It was interesting this week that he was somewhat unhelpful to | :57:07. | :57:12. | |
two people. He was unhelpful to Alistair Darling, with whom we know | :57:13. | :57:16. | |
his relationship became rather strained in the last days of the | :57:17. | :57:19. | |
last Labour government when Alistair Darling was Chancellor and Gordon | :57:20. | :57:22. | |
Brown was Prime Minister, and it's thought that those strains have not | :57:23. | :57:28. | |
been entirely resolved and so Gordon Brown saying that Mr Darling was not | :57:29. | :57:34. | |
doing enough... He is not Mr Cameron's biggest fan either. Mr | :57:35. | :57:38. | |
Cameron has said he shouldn't take part in the debate and I think most | :57:39. | :57:41. | |
people in the Labour Party agree he isn't their best advocate but | :57:42. | :57:47. | |
perhaps Mr Brown could not resist the temptation of perhaps implying, | :57:48. | :57:51. | |
this man is afraid of challenging Alex Salmond. The implication may be | :57:52. | :57:58. | |
that Mr Brown thinks he would be able to stand up to Alex Salmond. | :57:59. | :58:06. | |
Let's just close on the passport issue because it's an interesting | :58:07. | :58:13. | |
story, and the fact that more people are using the system could be a sign | :58:14. | :58:17. | |
that they're up more confident in the coming. Yes, the fact there are | :58:18. | :58:21. | |
300,000 people more desperate get out of the country this summer to go | :58:22. | :58:25. | |
on holiday abroad may mean they feel that things have been so bad in the | :58:26. | :58:29. | |
UK and the weather has been so wet that they are desperate to get away | :58:30. | :58:33. | |
but maybe they now have a bit more money in their pocket and haven't | :58:34. | :58:36. | |
been able to go abroad for the last few years and haven't needed to | :58:37. | :58:39. | |
renew their passport. The price of success. That's all we have time for | :58:40. | :58:44. | |
just now. We're back at the same time next week, 2:30pm. From all of | :58:45. | :58:50. | |
us, thanks for your company. See you next week. Goodbye for now. | :58:51. | :59:03. | |
You're constantly trying to build the elusive trust. | :59:04. | :59:05. | |
It's like a big old question mark in your heart. | :59:06. | :59:08. | |
I just try and do the best I can for them while they're with me. | :59:09. | :59:12. |