16/11/2011 Politics Scotland


16/11/2011

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Welcome to Politics Scotland. Coming up on the programme, there

:00:19.:00:23.

is a rise in Scottish unemployment from the summer but it is still

:00:23.:00:26.

lower than the rest of the UK. We will analyse the figures.

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The SNP Government has set out their hopes for the regeneration

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strategy amid opposition claims it has been crippled by massive budget

:00:34.:00:38.

cuts. And here at Westminster, MPs may be

:00:38.:00:42.

having a short holiday but it is those worries about the state of

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the economy that are foremost in their thought.

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But first, the number of Scots out of work has risen since the summer

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but unemployment is still lower than the rest of the UK average.

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Those are two of the main headlines to emerge from the latest

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unemployment figures which came out this morning. For more on this, we

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are joined by at our Business and the comic editor Douglas Fraser and

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our political commentator, Alf Young. Good afternoon. To you,

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Douglas. What is the detail behind these unemployment statistics?

:01:16.:01:20.

bring up to speed with what the Office for National Statistics is

:01:20.:01:25.

say, not a happy figure for Scottish politics but it could be

:01:25.:01:29.

worse. One way of looking at unemployment, at the number of

:01:29.:01:33.

people looking for work over three months, and a new key -- an

:01:33.:01:36.

increase of 5,000 people in Scotland during that period. Some

:01:36.:01:42.

of whom found work but that was the total and that was 215,000 people

:01:42.:01:47.

looking for work from July until September. Another way of looking

:01:47.:01:50.

at it is the number of people on jobseeker's allowance or

:01:50.:01:56.

unemployment benefit and that was down by 900 in Scotland. To the

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numbers for the UK, we are looking at a lot worse than these. So how

:02:00.:02:05.

do Scotland compared to the rest of the UK? On the main count, those

:02:05.:02:11.

seeking work over the period, Scotland has got an 8% unemployment

:02:11.:02:16.

rate, the rest of the UK 8.3%. Scotland is in a better position.

:02:16.:02:20.

If you look at the path of the downturn, Scotland started in a

:02:20.:02:24.

better place, got to a worse place with unemployment but it is better

:02:24.:02:28.

now than it has been for around three months. You have got another

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figure to show us, a fairly negative figure and the retail

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front. This is one area where Scotland is doing worse than the

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parallel figures, from the British Retail Consortium, these figures

:02:41.:02:45.

come from the Scottish Retail Consortium. Some shops losing

:02:45.:02:51.

business to online sales. Down 0.1%. That seems a small figure but with

:02:51.:02:56.

inflation at around 5%, that means people are taking a lot less home

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and in October, the retailers had hoped to see an early spend, people

:03:01.:03:05.

spreading out Christmas spending. That being absolutely essential for

:03:05.:03:09.

profits for retailers. What political reaction has there been

:03:09.:03:13.

in Scotland to these figures? unemployment figures in particular

:03:13.:03:17.

have been focused on by the Labour Party, saying more needs to be done

:03:17.:03:23.

in this particularly. The figures on youth unemployment for Scotland

:03:23.:03:27.

are hard to extrapolate reliably because of the way they go about

:03:27.:03:33.

this survey. It is roughly the same level as the UK and there has been

:03:33.:03:37.

a big increase in the most recent figures, through one million

:03:37.:03:45.

through the hall of the UK. It is a big area of worry. -- the whole of

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the UK. Labour says more needs to be done for apprenticeships for

:03:49.:03:55.

instance. Alf Young, let's pick up on that point. It is quite a worry

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for the Scottish Government as they try to tackle unemployment when

:03:58.:04:02.

they see youth unemployment rising like that. Yes, a problem for

:04:02.:04:06.

government in London and Edinburgh because as Douglas said, we are

:04:06.:04:10.

over one million in the UK as a whole for youth unemployment. In

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Scotland, around 84,000 which is roughly a population share. The

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problem is you are looking now, with all the other indicators, in

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terms of where the growth is coming from, the Bank of England

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downgrading forecasts over the next couple of years, if these jobs are

:04:30.:04:35.

not coming through, you are looking at eight West generation. That is

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what people are worried about. I saw some young people on television

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last night been quite downbeat about the effort they put in and

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the inability to find anything that is a reasonable job. Another bit of

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that story is the number of them who can only find part-time work

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which is fine in better times if people want it but if they want a

:04:57.:05:00.

real job and they can only find a part-time job, you have got

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problems with morale, paying off all the costs of living on your own

:05:04.:05:10.

and so on. It is a huge problem, I think. And all politicians across

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the spectrum here in Scotland and the UK as a whole are facing the

:05:15.:05:20.

kind of problem we faced 25-30 years ago when there was a similar

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situation, fighting to put young people into jobs because they are

:05:26.:05:30.

coming out having paid for their Education and they have not got any

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way to go with a productive wage. That is a huge tragedy. It is worth

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pointing out the SNP says it is on board with the apprenticeship more

:05:43.:05:47.

so than the previous government. is true that neither government is

:05:47.:05:53.

making excuses, they are looking at the real implications for the

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people affected. They are saying this is a real concern, not a blip.

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We have also got the eurozone crisis and all the hopes for

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export-led recoveries in manufacturing, for instance, that

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has been dampened. It is a continuing argument between

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Westminster and Scotland about primary and secondary plans. Yes,

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and the idea from the SNP is more needs to be put into the economy in

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terms of spend on infrastructure, helping the construction sector,

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getting finance to small businesses and there needs to be more security

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and that is why they are trying to ensure it there are no compulsory

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redundancies in the public sector. At least the private sector has

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been shedding jobs and they are not picking up the shed jobs in the

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public sector. There is a lot of pressure over the next two weeks on

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the fuel duty campaign that was very prominent yesterday in the

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House of Commons. Pressure on George Osborne, he has got the

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Autumn Statement coming up to try to relax spending a bit. He has

:07:05.:07:09.

sent a signal to the international bond markets that Britain is tough

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and it will be austere times, you do not need to worry about getting

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paid back by the British Government. But clearly panic across a lot of

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the eurozone. But it there is no growth, than his figures will be

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thrown out of kilter. We will find out later in the month. Numerous

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Wednesday's we have seemed quite positive with figures for Scottish

:07:31.:07:35.

unemployment compared to the rest of the UK. In Scotland now catching

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up with the rest of the UK in terms of more negative figures? So to me

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last week, the Fraser forecast last week on unemployment suggested that

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the Scottish rate would go as high as 8.9% by next year. And state

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there for some time. We are going up that way, not as high as some

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areas. In some areas like the north-east of England, you are

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already looking at unemployment rate of 11% and above, so we are

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certainly not there but the basic problem is that nobody quite knows

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whether they are talking about a primary, secondary or tertiary

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plans. Unless you get growth back into the economy, it is difficult

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to say. The idea was to hold on to people, but that gets harder to do

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the longer this goes on. You are therefore into a situation where

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the Scottish figures, which were helped by forwarding capital

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expenditure and so on, it might begin to look in terms in future of

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the UK picture a bit more like that. Not much difference exists between

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them but it may grow. Thank you. The Scottish Government are setting

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out their regeneration strategy at Holyrood this afternoon and Labour

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say the SNP are putting regeneration at risk claiming there

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are a massive budget cuts. Let's go straight to the chamber and hear

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what Alex Neil has to say. The Government's plans for

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delivering this partnership with stakeholders. Since 2007, this

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government has invested significant amounts of money in regeneration

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and they will talk more about some of this in a moment. Alongside

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partners and communities themselves, we have achieved notable success.

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efforts have not been enough. Too many of Scotland's people still

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live in communities suffering from the effects of deprivation, high

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unemployment and disadvantage. Way too many people are not in work and

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have low educational attainment -- where too many people. People still

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die far younger than their fellow Scots. The regeneration strategy

:10:06.:10:15.

will third reinvigorate effect to change this. But there are no Seoul

:10:15.:10:20.

bullets but we will re-energised the regeneration policy -- no

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silver bullets. The priority that evidence tells us which is vital to

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success. These priorities up a focus on tackling deprivation in

:10:32.:10:37.

areas by reforming how mainstream resources are used and working more

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effectively. Two, a stronger focus on community-led regeneration as a

:10:44.:10:49.

way of delivering change people want to see and three, a commitment

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to ensuring the right type of funding and other support art in

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place at national and local levels to support Scotland's communities

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to flourish. I will talk more on these later. Let me turn to

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investments so far. The Scottish Government has invested record

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levels of funding to improve the physical and economic fabric of our

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cities, towns and villages. In the face of unprecedented Westminster

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cut, we have continued to provide support to those committees who

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need it most. We developed a �50 million fund in partnership with

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the European Investment Bank and we have invested over �90 million in

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Scotland's other regeneration companies since 2007 which has

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already resulted in over 1,300 new jobs being secured. A further �25

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million of investment is planned in 2012-13 with a recognition of the

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key role in securing an economic legacy for the 2014 Commonwealth

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Games. We have supported 89 town centres with �60 million of funding

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through our town centre regeneration fund. We have invested

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over �40 million to tackle vacant and derelict land in some of our

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most deprived communities. We have made a commitment to establish four

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enterprise areas in Scotland to support economic growth. We have

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brought forward taxing and finance pilot projects in partnership with

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the Scottish Futures Trust as a way of unlocking investment in local

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areas. And we have invested �700,000 in the last three years in

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the development Trust Association of Scotland to help communities

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under their own assets. In addition, our investment in skills

:12:50.:12:55.

development, employability, housing Transport, renewables and other

:12:55.:13:05.
:13:05.:13:05.

infrastructure project all help ensure that deterred park -- this

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disadvantaged communities can access many resources. But we still

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have challenges to face. Earlier this year, I published a discussion

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paper which kick-started the debate about the future of regeneration in

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the current economic climate. Over 70 written responses were received

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and a wide range of stakeholders engaged to a series of events. A

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number of key themes emerged. As part of these discussions. These

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were, one, a near of a clear vision for regeneration policy, two,

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clarification of the Rolls that different organisations have been

:13:42.:13:47.

delivering regeneration, three, support for a co-ordinated approach

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to tackling area-based deprivation. Five, the importance of community-

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led regeneration. Six, the need for continued funding. Finally, support

:13:59.:14:03.

for town centres as a central part of community life. I anticipate

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that these things will feature as part of today's debate. Be assured

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they have shaped the development of the strategy and are at the heart

:14:14.:14:18.

of this Government's approach to future regeneration. I spoke

:14:18.:14:22.

earlier about the three key priority areas that will form the

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strategy. I will now speak about each of these in turn. Firstly, a

:14:28.:14:33.

renewed approach to tackling area- based disadvantage. Respondents to

:14:33.:14:37.

the regeneration discussion paper recognised that addressing the

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deeply ingrained economic, physical and social issues faced by some of

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Scotland's communities requires a sustained and Co ordinated approach

:14:47.:14:53.

across the public sector and with our partners. I recognise and

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support the good work that has already been taken forward at local

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level and a key aspect of the regeneration strategy will be to

:15:02.:15:05.

build on this localised approach. This work will include working with

:15:05.:15:10.

public sector partners to raise the profile of efforts across the

:15:10.:15:14.

country to tackle area-based disadvantage and to promote and

:15:14.:15:18.

encourage best practice in a culture change in the public sector

:15:18.:15:23.

to join up mainstream resources and services to tackle area-based

:15:23.:15:29.

disadvantage. It will also involve working with local authorities to

:15:29.:15:33.

identify barriers to delivery and opportunities for strengthening

:15:33.:15:39.

skills and capacity. We will lead the way to develop better

:15:39.:15:43.

partnerships working with the public and private sectors and

:15:43.:15:53.
:15:53.:15:57.

improving collaboration between Strong communities are vital to the

:15:57.:16:02.

success of Scotland. The regeneration strategy will place

:16:02.:16:06.

support for regeneration at the very heart of this approach. It

:16:06.:16:10.

will recognise that the changes required to make all communities

:16:10.:16:16.

sustainable will only be achieved in the long run through a bottom up,

:16:16.:16:21.

not a top-down approach. Through the regeneration strategy, we are

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committed to supporting community led regeneration in order to growth

:16:25.:16:29.

the numbers and the strength of locally controlled enterprising

:16:29.:16:36.

community organisations to act as anchors for regeneration, to

:16:36.:16:41.

support locally-based organisations to take on ownership of a viable

:16:41.:16:46.

assets and to help people to organise and respond to the

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challenges in areas where capacity is currently low. Community led

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regeneration is about local people identifying for themselves the

:16:56.:17:00.

issues and opportunities in their areas, deciding what to do about

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them and being responsible for delivering the action that will

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make a difference. The we are starting from a strong position in

:17:07.:17:12.

Scotland. There is already an impressive range of activity taking

:17:12.:17:18.

place across urban and rural communities, led by organisations

:17:18.:17:20.

like development trusts and community-based housing

:17:20.:17:25.

associations. The strategy will build on this strength and will

:17:25.:17:30.

build on it through a range of new and existing support, both from the

:17:30.:17:35.

Scottish government and party organisations including the big

:17:35.:17:39.

lottery in Scotland. We are the early stages of developing

:17:39.:17:43.

proposals for the community empowerment and renew it Bill

:17:43.:17:47.

through a wide-ranging dialogue. We are exploring how legislation can

:17:47.:17:51.

help communities to own certain public sector assets, have their

:17:51.:17:56.

voices heard in local decisions and tackle vacant and derelict property

:17:56.:18:00.

in their communities. We expect to consult on proposals and next

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spring. I totally agree on the need for community-based work and for it

:18:10.:18:15.

to be a bottom-up approach to this, but when you have regeneration

:18:15.:18:19.

projects which do not have a community in which to begin that

:18:19.:18:23.

regeneration, do you not feel that the Scottish government have got to

:18:23.:18:29.

take a greater say in that? There was a decision in 2008 to downgrade

:18:29.:18:36.

one community projects two-way regional priorities. As the member

:18:36.:18:42.

will know, the Scottish government has given priority to that

:18:42.:18:46.

committee and it is the subject of one of our tough pilot projects are.

:18:46.:18:49.

We are determined to work together with everyone involved to make it

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successful. Let's pick up on some of those

:18:55.:19:02.

points with Alf Young. You have got an interest to declare because you

:19:02.:19:05.

worried share of one of the regeneration companies. How

:19:05.:19:08.

important is this regeneration strategy for the Scottish

:19:08.:19:17.

government? We are still to see the detail of this review of overall

:19:17.:19:25.

regeneration strategy that he was talking about a moment ago. From

:19:25.:19:31.

where I stand on it, we are part of this story but only part of it

:19:31.:19:34.

because there are a number of the urban regeneration companies in in

:19:34.:19:39.

areas which have historically had significant problems. People have

:19:39.:19:44.

moved away and the usual kind of problems that are associated with

:19:44.:19:54.
:19:54.:19:57.

those areas. That does not cover anything like the whole of Scotland

:19:57.:20:02.

and, at a different level, there are those smaller Community

:20:02.:20:04.

Development Trust that are springing up all over Scotland.

:20:04.:20:12.

There are many of them. I think the problem that government has against

:20:12.:20:18.

the backdrop of falling finances and money to fund these projects,

:20:18.:20:24.

they are having to make quite difficult choices and we are taking

:20:24.:20:32.

pretty heavy hits. We took a big hit back in January. We are taking

:20:32.:20:40.

an even bigger hit in next year's funding. Labour say it is down from

:20:40.:20:50.
:20:50.:20:52.

�9 million to �2.5 million. It is of that order. We are taking that

:20:53.:20:57.

hit but, beyond next year, into 20th April 13, we are getting

:20:57.:21:04.

nothing in terms of core grant funding. -- April 2013. The

:21:04.:21:10.

difficulty about doing the kind of physical regeneration we are doing

:21:10.:21:15.

like taking derelict waterfront land and bringing new life into it

:21:15.:21:18.

is that you have got a plan of a more than a financial year. We have

:21:18.:21:23.

got a plan of a more than one financial year and to do that you

:21:23.:21:26.

need to have committed finance going forward. And in these

:21:26.:21:30.

difficult times, it is almost easier to use short-term measures

:21:30.:21:37.

rather than long-term measures. short-term measures tend to be

:21:38.:21:42.

sticking plasters that cover-up a problem for a short time. You have

:21:42.:21:47.

got to try and turn around communities that have been in post-

:21:47.:21:50.

industrial decline. You have got to do things for the longer term and

:21:50.:21:53.

that is the tricky bit the Government is having difficulty

:21:53.:22:01.

doing because it is having to fund other things. Thank you very much.

:22:01.:22:05.

Back to our top storey and unemployment in Scotland rose by

:22:05.:22:08.

5,000 in the three months to the end of September. The jobless rate

:22:08.:22:13.

now stands at 8%, slightly lower than their UK average of 8.3 %.

:22:14.:22:18.

Across the UK, youth unemployment has topped one million, a record

:22:18.:22:22.

high. I am joined by the Energy, Enterprise and Tourism Minister,

:22:22.:22:27.

Fergus Ewing. He is in the garden lobby at Holyrood. Unemployment is

:22:27.:22:32.

up in Scotland. Who is to blame, Westminster or the Scottish

:22:32.:22:39.

government? I don't think a blame game is a productive look.

:22:39.:22:43.

Unemployment is up and we are concerned about that. Politicians

:22:43.:22:48.

are south of the border are concerned about that you. We are

:22:48.:22:53.

outperforming the UK. We have slightly lower unemployment, more

:22:53.:22:56.

employment and more economic inactivity. But we are all

:22:56.:23:01.

concerned about this. Many of the things we are doing in the Scottish

:23:01.:23:07.

government are designed to promote long-term jobs and business growth

:23:07.:23:12.

as Alf Young was talking about. This morning, I had the pleasure of

:23:12.:23:18.

attending an announcement by Scotland's leading IT company where

:23:18.:23:23.

they are recruiting 100 more staff. Yesterday we heard the announcement

:23:23.:23:28.

from an us on and we have attracted, over the past couple of years, a

:23:28.:23:33.

huge array of investment in Scotland for the long-term of high-

:23:33.:23:37.

quality jobs. Therefore, we are working hard for a sustainable

:23:37.:23:40.

economic development with a considerable measure of success in

:23:41.:23:48.

these tough times. We have had John Sweeney saying his figures are much

:23:48.:23:52.

better than the rest of the UK but now it seems Scotland is actually

:23:52.:23:55.

catching up. He was quite rightly proud to boast about the

:23:55.:24:00.

unemployment figures in Scotland. Do you take responsibility for the

:24:00.:24:05.

rising number of unemployed in Scotland? We as a government are

:24:05.:24:09.

responsible to do everything we can. In terms of job creation, most

:24:10.:24:14.

people accept that what we really need to do is to assist the private

:24:14.:24:18.

sector in creating a long-term job opportunities. That is what we have

:24:18.:24:28.
:24:28.:24:35.

been doing in Scotland with companies like Mitsubishi, BP. I

:24:35.:24:39.

could go on all afternoon with the success stories of business and we

:24:39.:24:42.

support them with our growth strategy to provide them the

:24:42.:24:47.

appropriate level of government support in terms of working to make

:24:47.:24:52.

sure that the skills shortages in many areas, particularly

:24:52.:24:58.

engineering in the oil and gas sector, so essential for our future.

:24:58.:25:03.

At the lower end of the market, there is massive concern about

:25:03.:25:11.

employment in the 16-19 bracket. The NUS was saying today, look at

:25:11.:25:15.

the huge cuts in the college budgets. How can you have that

:25:15.:25:23.

training for young people for them to go on and find work? We have a

:25:23.:25:31.

programme to provide opportunities to all of them so we have two

:25:31.:25:36.

excellent schemes. Youth employment is 5% higher in Scotland than south

:25:36.:25:41.

of the border but my dad used to say, 50 % of the people don't

:25:41.:25:45.

understand percentages. What happens more than -- matters more

:25:45.:25:49.

than statistics is human beings getting the chance, especially

:25:49.:25:55.

young people, and one young unemployed young person is too many.

:25:55.:26:00.

We are responsible together with our partners in the private sector

:26:00.:26:04.

and universities and colleges to make sure that young people get the

:26:04.:26:07.

opportunities they'd need and deserve a. We are achieving a

:26:07.:26:14.

considerable degree of success, even in these recessionary times.

:26:14.:26:17.

just want to turn to one other issue that is attracting a huge

:26:17.:26:23.

amount of public interest today and that is the Rail 2014 consultation

:26:23.:26:29.

which suggests passengers pay more. Is this a plan to float some

:26:29.:26:34.

controversial ideas so that you can eventually perhaps produce the �750

:26:34.:26:39.

million subsidy Scottish rail receive from the Government?

:26:40.:26:43.

Machiavelli was a character who wrote a book but he's not running

:26:43.:26:47.

the Scottish government. We don't operate by a series of conspiracy

:26:47.:26:52.

theories. This document is a consultation document. It contains

:26:52.:26:56.

suggestions and ideas, no more than that. They do not have Scottish

:26:56.:27:02.

government backing. The purpose of a consultation document is to

:27:02.:27:06.

stimulate a debate and I think we have already succeeded in that. I

:27:06.:27:10.

would like to reassure rail passengers throughout Scotland, we

:27:10.:27:16.

intended to improve our rail service, not to see it progress.

:27:16.:27:21.

Thank you very much. We will have more on that story

:27:21.:27:25.

surely put as thousands more Scots are hit by unemployment, who does

:27:25.:27:29.

have the right answers? We will be hearing from a UK government

:27:29.:27:34.

minister at Westminster. Animal charities a warning about growing

:27:34.:27:37.

crisis due to an influx of abandoned Staffordshire bull

:27:37.:27:41.

terriers. They are now taking up as much as 80 % of the spaces at

:27:41.:27:46.

animal charity kennels. Holyrood's petitions committee is asking the

:27:46.:27:50.

Scottish government to raise - respond to issues raised in the

:27:50.:28:00.
:28:00.:28:03.

Staffordshire bull terriers have acquired a reputation as aggressive

:28:03.:28:10.

dogs and are known to be kept for protection by criminals. Leslie

:28:10.:28:13.

Connolly helps abandoned savage able terriers through a

:28:14.:28:18.

rehabilitation programme to help them find a new home. Some of them

:28:18.:28:22.

have come from a really abusive background. They have been kicked

:28:22.:28:30.

and hit with chains. Some of the animals have been drugged. It is

:28:30.:28:36.

actually very normal, just getting a dog to walk properly and to pay

:28:36.:28:39.

attention to what you are saying, because they are so used to not

:28:39.:28:44.

doing anything or waiting to get hurt. Some of them are cowering or

:28:44.:28:53.

ducking. She is helping at this kennels where a Staffordshire bull

:28:53.:28:59.

terriers take up 80 % of the spaces. The charity's vice-chairman is

:28:59.:29:02.

petitioning the Scottish Parliament for tough action on irresponsible

:29:02.:29:06.

breeding. It is not be responsible breeders who have caused this

:29:06.:29:11.

problem, it is people who watch breeding dogs to fund their habit,

:29:11.:29:16.

are not licensed and will not conform to any of the laws

:29:16.:29:24.

regarding breeding and abandoning dogs. The problem is nationwide. At

:29:24.:29:28.

this very homing centre in Glasgow, staff are turning away around 25 a

:29:28.:29:32.

Staffordshire bull terriers every week. They are being treated almost

:29:32.:29:39.

as disposable items. We are also very concerned to see the amount of

:29:39.:29:43.

a Staffordshire bull terriers being bred because it outstrips the

:29:43.:29:50.

number of homes willing to take care of them. This woman spent 30

:29:51.:29:54.

years grooming dogs but her business have to close for several

:29:54.:29:58.

months after she and her dog were attacked by a Staffordshire bull

:29:58.:30:04.

terrier. I had two broken fingers. I thought I was going to lose the

:30:04.:30:11.

top of one of my fingers. I had 10 stitches in my other hand. Local

:30:11.:30:14.

authorities are reporting increasing number of complaints

:30:14.:30:17.

like this one which require investigation under the control of

:30:17.:30:22.

Dogs Act. Since April, in West Lothian alone, they have received

:30:22.:30:28.

100 complaints and 20 dog control orders have been issued. There is a

:30:28.:30:31.

culture now of people who are breeding the stock to be vicious.

:30:31.:30:38.

Some people are frightened, I am frightened for my own dog. Some of

:30:38.:30:41.

my customers who have their dogs attacked and there is never

:30:41.:30:46.

anything done about it. When it does go to Cork, they put the dog

:30:46.:30:53.

down. It is not a dog. The law says that a licence is required to breed

:30:53.:31:03.
:31:03.:31:12.

We can deal with the cruelty case people. But you have to produce

:31:12.:31:17.

five litters a year for breeding which introduces big money. This

:31:17.:31:20.

type of breeding has slipped through the net. Animal welfare

:31:20.:31:25.

charities say the challenge now lies in we home in these dogs and

:31:25.:31:30.

convincing people like Martin that these are good, safe animals and

:31:30.:31:36.

deserve a home. To get a dog snarling and baring their teeth is

:31:36.:31:42.

worrying. I was able to entice them with treats and after a couple of

:31:42.:31:48.

nights, it was not a issues. number of Staffies being abandoned

:31:48.:31:52.

is reaching crisis point. It is calling on the Scottish Government

:31:52.:31:57.

to take urgent action. If not, it says many could end up being put to

:31:57.:32:06.

sleep simply because they have no Let's make another connection with

:32:07.:32:10.

our story on trains and the consultation looking at the future

:32:10.:32:16.

shape of how Scotland's railways are run. 2014 is when the current

:32:16.:32:20.

ScotRail contract comes to an end. There and various ideas that a new

:32:20.:32:28.

operator could consider things like changing fares. Opposition parties

:32:28.:32:35.

branded this a third-class shambles. We are joined by Labour's transport

:32:35.:32:39.

spokesman, at Holyrood. Thank you for joining us. You probably heard

:32:39.:32:44.

our report saying Machiavelli is not running the Scottish Government

:32:44.:32:49.

but to him this was a way of reducing the �700 million subsidy.

:32:49.:32:53.

What do you think is happening, do you think there should be a

:32:53.:32:57.

reduction of the subsidy? I suppose he is right that Machiavelli is not,

:32:57.:33:02.

this is not a clever prose or at all. This seems designed to drive

:33:02.:33:06.

passengers off the railways at the very time when growing the economy

:33:06.:33:09.

and reducing carbon emissions are policy objectives mean we should

:33:09.:33:13.

try to get more people onto the train and travel-to-work and take

:33:13.:33:17.

their other journeys by that means. It is not clever at all. What it is

:33:17.:33:23.

is a recipe which will result in more expensive trains, slower

:33:23.:33:29.

trains, more overcrowd in and it will reduce the level of service

:33:29.:33:33.

that Scottish passengers have come to enjoy. There is a specific point

:33:33.:33:36.

about the North of Scotland as well because even when the Tories

:33:36.:33:41.

privatise the railways 20 years ago, they guaranteed East Coast main

:33:41.:33:45.

line trains would continue to run to Aberdeen and Inverness, that

:33:45.:33:48.

guarantee was maintained by the Labour government and has been

:33:48.:33:52.

maintained up until now and for the very first time, the SNP are

:33:52.:33:56.

proposing to end the guarantee and stop those trains from connecting

:33:56.:33:59.

Aberdeen with the London or Inverness with any part of England.

:33:59.:34:04.

That seems to be going completely against the interests of Scottish

:34:05.:34:08.

travellers and against the idea that we should encourage people to

:34:08.:34:12.

take the train. It is just a consultation, after all, these are

:34:12.:34:17.

not proposals and surely there are some sensible ones such as

:34:17.:34:21.

rationalising the number of stations in Glasgow. Many people

:34:21.:34:28.

will look kindly on the alcohol ban as well. In any consultation you

:34:28.:34:33.

expect to see lots of good ideas and what we have is a raft of

:34:33.:34:39.

really bad ideas. The was will simply drive people off the trains.

:34:39.:34:46.

-- these Wilson plays. -- these will simply drive people off the

:34:46.:34:50.

trains. What they are proposing here is reducing standards across

:34:50.:34:53.

the board which can only reduce in passengers thinking twice before

:34:53.:35:00.

they go for the train. We have seen passenger numbers on railways go up

:35:00.:35:03.

steadily since devolution and I think what we are looking at now is

:35:03.:35:08.

something that will fit the trend in reverse. They subsidy for

:35:08.:35:12.

ScotRail is �700 million, your colleague Ken Macintosh running for

:35:12.:35:15.

the Labour leadership suggested that ScotRail demutualised to save

:35:15.:35:20.

taxpayers millions of pounds. What do you think of that suggestion?

:35:20.:35:25.

is a lot better suggestion than the woman had before from the SNP. I

:35:25.:35:31.

think there are many ways that would be an improvement -- than the

:35:31.:35:39.

one we had before. These proposals will go in the wrong direction,

:35:39.:35:44.

they are making the wrong choice at every turn. If you want to improve

:35:44.:35:47.

punctuality, the answer is not to make the trains slower which is

:35:47.:35:53.

what has been proposed. It you want to reduce overcrowding, it is not

:35:53.:35:58.

the idea to make the trains so expensive. This consultation has

:35:58.:36:04.

come from SNP ministers, they have the words of wisdom at the front of

:36:04.:36:08.

the consultation and they will have cleared this for publication. They

:36:08.:36:16.

cannot hide from what this is now on welcome to many people. Thank

:36:16.:36:19.

you for joining us. Let's pick up on several of those

:36:19.:36:22.

issues with our commentator for the afternoon, Alf Young. What do you

:36:22.:36:26.

think is happening with this consultation? We are hearing from

:36:26.:36:31.

Fergus Ewing that some ideas are being put out to the public and

:36:31.:36:35.

some of the more controversial points, what are these people up

:36:35.:36:43.

to? It appears that there are two irreconcilable forces here. The

:36:43.:36:47.

amount of subsidy that has to go in to get it operating to take on the

:36:47.:36:52.

franchise and run it and the reality that as petrol prices rise

:36:52.:36:58.

and people change their habit, more people are using the train. I am a

:36:58.:37:04.

good example, I use the train much more than I used to. And you find

:37:04.:37:08.

things that are good about it, some very comfortable services now that

:37:08.:37:16.

I use and there are others, such as the Edinburgh-Glasgow service that

:37:16.:37:22.

is so busy at some times, it is difficult to get a seat. Some big

:37:22.:37:27.

issues there about the overcrowding and those kinds of things. It is

:37:27.:37:32.

also the case on InterCity services to the south from Scotland that it

:37:32.:37:36.

is a lot more expensive to go to London by train and it is to fly

:37:36.:37:40.

and if we want to people out of the air on the short haul things, there

:37:40.:37:45.

has to be a better pricing system. I would have thought these were the

:37:45.:37:50.

kind of metrics but when you get down to things about the number of

:37:50.:37:54.

stations and in a sense, the commuter has not got a view on this

:37:54.:37:59.

kind of things. And there a lot of stations where people wonder why

:37:59.:38:05.

they got built there. It was meant to bring the wide as

:38:05.:38:09.

representation of parties possible but apparently it has not, the

:38:09.:38:12.

electoral Reform Society is warning that Scotland's election system is

:38:12.:38:17.

failing to meet the aspirations of devolution by concentrating power

:38:17.:38:22.

around two parties, Labour and SNP. We are joined by the director of

:38:22.:38:25.

the electoral Reform Society in Scotland. Mr Sullivan, thanks for

:38:25.:38:31.

joining me. What is the purpose of York new report? It sounds quite

:38:31.:38:35.

unusual for me that when people in Scotland have voted with this

:38:35.:38:39.

majority SNP Government, it sounds quite strange that you are almost

:38:39.:38:41.

criticising the system that has brought this majority government

:38:42.:38:46.

when in fact, the SNP almost broke the system and did what Labour did

:38:46.:38:53.

not want them to do. The first thing to say is our modern

:38:53.:38:57.

electoral system and Parliament makes Westminster look like a

:38:57.:39:02.

tribal council. The truth is that just because it is good, it doesn't

:39:02.:39:07.

been we cannot make it better. The concentration of power is worrying

:39:07.:39:12.

where a bit it happens. It tends to concentrate in itself and we have

:39:12.:39:19.

happen. The initial vision of the Parliament was to represent a wide

:39:19.:39:25.

range of views from across Scotland and there was a point where we saw

:39:25.:39:29.

that in 2003 but it has now fallen away with the two big parties vying

:39:29.:39:36.

for power. That is a concern. We as the electoral Reform Society wants

:39:36.:39:40.

to be the voters' representative and to charge his concentration of

:39:40.:39:48.

power. You use the word "power" and you say it lies with the SNP and

:39:48.:39:53.

Labour but you could say that it lies purely with the SNP in terms

:39:53.:39:58.

of the committee's they control, Presiding Officers and the SNP

:39:58.:40:07.

members. Does Labour have power in that term, Labour may be were all-

:40:07.:40:11.

powerful in previous Parliaments, do you think this idea comes up to

:40:11.:40:15.

that with the use of the word power? In the last Government we

:40:15.:40:24.

saw a minority government which no opposition parties were able to

:40:24.:40:28.

challenge. Before that, we saw coalition partners holding each

:40:28.:40:33.

other to account, not just a solid block within one party. We are

:40:33.:40:43.

concerned that as the SNP have an overall majority, not a majority of

:40:43.:40:47.

votes, we must be concerned about that. Labour has some power in the

:40:47.:40:50.

power to challenge and I guess the media have the power to challenge

:40:50.:40:55.

and question on behalf of the people but there is in our view and

:40:55.:40:59.

over concentration of power particularly when you think we have

:40:59.:41:05.

got a majority of 44% of the vote. Those other voices, for example the

:41:05.:41:14.

Greens, two seats... Less than 2% representation on 4.5% of the vote

:41:14.:41:18.

and their voices are not being heard. That is a concern for us. We

:41:18.:41:20.

have all got to check concentrations of power and make

:41:20.:41:26.

sure it is balanced. Alex Salmond may have the best interests of this

:41:26.:41:34.

country at heart but on the other hand, power has a tendency to take

:41:34.:41:40.

people in difficult directions. Looking at what the SNP are seeing,

:41:40.:41:45.

it is deeply ironic that they favour STV, a single transferable

:41:45.:41:50.

vote, which is what your society prefer. But other people have said

:41:50.:41:55.

this was designed by Labour, it was the people of Scotland who voted as

:41:55.:41:59.

in and you're proposing a different system. Is this not trying to move

:41:59.:42:06.

the goalposts when the people have spoken? Nobody takes away from the

:42:06.:42:09.

SNP what was an incredible victory for them and the fact that this was

:42:10.:42:13.

one of the biggest swings in European political history. But the

:42:13.:42:23.

truth is they have a majority of representation, not of votes. How

:42:23.:42:27.

much right they have to exercise an all powerful mandate as you say,

:42:27.:42:33.

when nobody has checks and balances on it, is questionable. Whether

:42:34.:42:40.

that system was set up by Labour to keep SNP out again is a debatable

:42:40.:42:46.

point. It was some ways that people in the Labour Party were worried

:42:46.:42:56.
:42:56.:43:08.

about a Labour majority in that Parliament... What happens and what

:43:08.:43:11.

happened in labour and local government, what happens wearer

:43:11.:43:15.

power over concentrate, what happened in Westminster and I am

:43:15.:43:21.

sure that the SNP would want to be critical of that, is that power

:43:21.:43:28.

concentrated is quite dangerous. thank you for joining us.

:43:28.:43:31.

Westminster is in recess today and there was no Prime Minister's

:43:31.:43:35.

Questions but there are still plenty to discuss. Our Westminster

:43:35.:43:41.

Correspondent is standing by for us. Andrew, but key very much.

:43:41.:43:47.

Westminster Abbey is in full flow, the bells are peeling behind me --

:43:47.:43:51.

Andrew, thank you very much. That is to celebrate the 400th

:43:51.:43:54.

anniversary of the King James Bible. We will deal with matters a bit

:43:54.:43:57.

more current, the state of the economy. Today, unemployment

:43:57.:44:07.

figures came at which showed the highest for 17 years. More than

:44:07.:44:12.

1,000,016-24-year-olds now on the unemployment register -- more than

:44:12.:44:22.
:44:22.:44:22.

one million 16-24-year-olds. Three MPs joined me you are not back in

:44:22.:44:29.

their as constituencies in Scotland. David Mundell, to repeat some of

:44:29.:44:36.

those figures, unemployment up in Scotland, more than one million

:44:36.:44:41.

youngsters unemployed. These are pretty dreadful figures. They are

:44:41.:44:44.

certainly concerning figures and the issue of youth unemployment is

:44:44.:44:48.

a really serious problem. Youth unemployment rose under the last

:44:48.:44:53.

Labour government and it is still a big issue to date. In Scotland, the

:44:53.:44:56.

Scotland Office have held a series of events around Scotland to look

:44:56.:45:01.

at why we have such a problem with youth unemployment. One of the

:45:01.:45:05.

issues is that there is a bias against young people are

:45:05.:45:08.

essentially in the workforce, people are not keen to take young

:45:08.:45:13.

people on. We have got to combat that along with the other help the

:45:13.:45:16.

Government is trying to give young people to get them into work for.

:45:16.:45:21.

Are we starting to get where we see headlines since, "the Lost

:45:21.:45:27.

Generation?" I am not that pessimistic. We have got to support

:45:27.:45:34.

people into work. But we have got to change attitudes, taking on

:45:34.:45:38.

young people are not risks. They have got potentially skills to

:45:38.:45:43.

contribute to businesses and we have to seek a change in attitudes

:45:43.:45:47.

if we will see a turnaround in youth unemployment as well as the

:45:47.:45:50.

skills we are trying to equip young people to have to be effective in

:45:50.:46:00.
:46:00.:46:02.

What can be SNP due to reduce these figures? The Scottish government

:46:02.:46:07.

already has a programme for 16-19- year-old and unemployed will be

:46:07.:46:13.

offered training or education if they are not in a job. Part of that

:46:13.:46:16.

is the 25,000 apprenticeships a year. The interesting thing in

:46:16.:46:20.

terms of their youth unemployment figures, and they are far too high,

:46:20.:46:25.

is that a third of them in Scotland are also in full-time education.

:46:25.:46:28.

That is not to say the Scottish government is doing everything

:46:28.:46:33.

right but the sort of things we can be doing to give young people the

:46:33.:46:43.
:46:43.:46:43.

skills they need are absolutely vital. Training and apprenticeships

:46:43.:46:47.

all very well but if at the end of those schemes there are not the

:46:47.:46:51.

jobs anyway, is it not just massaging the figures? No, because

:46:51.:46:55.

if we don't give away youngsters the skills they need, we are

:46:55.:47:00.

letting everybody down. The key thing is to put as much pressure on

:47:00.:47:03.

the UK government as we possibly can to make sure there is real

:47:03.:47:07.

measures to grow and stimulate the economy so we don't have another

:47:07.:47:14.

lost generation. What would Labour do to get over these problems?

:47:14.:47:18.

would not have at this complacency that we have just heard from the UK

:47:18.:47:26.

and Scottish government. It is OK holding roadshows and round table

:47:26.:47:29.

events and talking about lost generations and doing as much as

:47:29.:47:33.

you possibly can to make people equipped for work but people are

:47:33.:47:37.

equipped for work and are not able to get it. The plan being promoted

:47:37.:47:40.

by Labour is that we make sure we invest in people getting back to

:47:41.:47:44.

work and giving young people are the opportunities they desperately

:47:44.:47:54.
:47:54.:47:55.

need. 100,016-19-year-old out of work in Scotland is a disaster.

:47:55.:47:58.

if the economy is not creating these jobs, it is worthless, isn't

:47:58.:48:08.
:48:08.:48:08.

it? The private sector is not picking up the public sector

:48:08.:48:11.

contraction in Scotland at the moment and that is really

:48:11.:48:14.

concerning. The Scottish government have got used everything in their

:48:14.:48:19.

power to do something about it and I am not sure they are. Before

:48:19.:48:23.

Westminster went into its many recess last night, there was a

:48:23.:48:27.

debate on fuel duties. From the Government's point of view, a lot

:48:27.:48:31.

of York backbenchers are sending you a pretty strong message, do not

:48:31.:48:38.

go ahead with those fuel duty rises. I very much welcomed the debate

:48:38.:48:42.

because in a large rural constituency like my own, fuel duty

:48:42.:48:46.

is one of the biggest issues that constituents raised. I think he was

:48:46.:48:49.

very good that he was debated yesterday and I think a strong

:48:49.:48:53.

message has been sent to the Chancellor and we will wait to see

:48:53.:48:58.

how he responds. For it looks as though there will be some good news.

:48:58.:49:01.

The regional derogation for the island's will go ahead probably

:49:01.:49:09.

next year. Is it enough? It is great news for the islands but it

:49:09.:49:13.

is not enough. We need action to stabilise fuel across the entire

:49:13.:49:19.

economy. We have been moving amendments to finance bills on this

:49:19.:49:26.

since 2005. Action must be taken to have a permanent stabiliser in

:49:26.:49:33.

place. We cannot have continually spiking costs that run into the one

:49:33.:49:38.

pun 40 a later, that is utterly crippling for families and the

:49:38.:49:42.

economy. I would expect for you to call for these duties to be reduced

:49:42.:49:46.

and for there to be no further increases, but if you are in

:49:46.:49:49.

government, you have got to find the money from somewhere. Every

:49:50.:49:56.

penny not put on duty on fuel costs half a million pounds. It has got

:49:56.:50:02.

to go somewhere else. The increase in VAT in January last year put 3p

:50:02.:50:06.

automatically on a litre of fuel. We are saying that VAT has got to

:50:06.:50:09.

be reduced in order to take the pressure off family budgets. That

:50:09.:50:14.

would give families �450 extra per year in their pockets which would

:50:14.:50:17.

help them out on all costs. We are calling on that to happen now in

:50:18.:50:25.

order to take the pressure off. The debate yesterday, I believe there

:50:25.:50:29.

were 130,000 signatures on the petition that went to Westminster,

:50:29.:50:32.

but the motion didn't really say anything, et let the Government off

:50:32.:50:39.

the hook. We need some hard action. Thank you very much for joining me

:50:39.:50:49.
:50:49.:50:49.

this afternoon. The new welfare reform bill was

:50:49.:50:53.

criticised by various charities giving evidence at Holyrood's

:50:53.:50:56.

health committee yesterday. The UK government was to simplify the

:50:56.:51:00.

benefits systems and that has implications for the Scottish

:51:00.:51:08.

government. We had a recent forecasting from the Institute of

:51:08.:51:11.

Fiscal Studies suggesting that across the UK, by the end of the

:51:11.:51:16.

decade, the overall impact of the tax and benefit changes that are

:51:16.:51:20.

being made would be to push 800,000 more children into poverty across

:51:20.:51:26.

the UK by 2020. If that trend is mirrored in Scotland, which it is

:51:26.:51:30.

likely to be LSE put some substantial mitigating policies in

:51:30.:51:34.

place, we are talking about 100,000 more children living in poverty in

:51:34.:51:38.

Scotland by the end of the decade, wiping out all the progress that

:51:38.:51:44.

has been made since the late 1990s. Children's charities have

:51:44.:51:46.

particular concerns that these changes will have an adverse effect

:51:46.:51:52.

and they will want the UK government to slowdown. We can all

:51:52.:51:55.

agree that the benefits system should be made simpler, that work

:51:55.:52:00.

should always pay, that the Child Support Agency needs to be reformed

:52:00.:52:04.

or replace, but this bill is going through at such speed and often

:52:04.:52:08.

with such little attention to the Scottish situation that it is

:52:08.:52:14.

likely to cause major unintended consequences. The children are

:52:14.:52:18.

receiving a double whammy. Their family income is being reduced,

:52:18.:52:23.

public services that support them both by Darroch provision and local

:52:23.:52:26.

authorities but also through the charitable and voluntary sector are

:52:26.:52:31.

being restricted, and, consequently, the consequences for children are

:52:31.:52:37.

likely, in the short-term, medium- term and long-term are likely to be

:52:37.:52:41.

bad. We would like to see the Scottish Parliament analysed in a

:52:41.:52:47.

sophisticated way what the cumulative and consequential impact

:52:47.:52:53.

of this legislation is likely to be on children and to do what it can

:52:53.:52:58.

to mitigate the worst impacts of that at. After hearing a raft of

:52:58.:53:01.

evidence, there were calls for a dedicated scrutiny of the proposals

:53:01.:53:09.

at Holyrood. The effects of these damaging reforms goes beyond this

:53:09.:53:13.

memorandum that we are considering and will reverberate across

:53:14.:53:17.

Scottish Society for years. I would like all of your opinions on

:53:17.:53:26.

whether we need to set up a committee of this Parliament for

:53:26.:53:32.

ongoing scrutiny of the impact of UK benefit reforms. Although this

:53:32.:53:36.

is UK legislation, Holyrood will need to pass a legislative consent

:53:36.:53:42.

memorandum, allowing these changes to apply to Scotland. Members have

:53:43.:53:47.

already said they're not keen to pursue this on the nod. This view

:53:47.:53:57.
:53:57.:53:58.

is shared by the voluntary sector. 63 organisations came to that round

:53:58.:54:06.

Table two weeks ago in this very room and that expressed to me 63

:54:06.:54:09.

third sector organisations expressing concerns to you and we

:54:09.:54:14.

ran out of time because so many concerns were being raised. With

:54:14.:54:18.

the bill as it stands, I don't see how it would appropriate to let it

:54:18.:54:23.

through. Our view is very much that we support the Parliament's

:54:23.:54:31.

position but was taken at the debate in Parliament on the 5th. As

:54:31.:54:37.

David said, as the bill currently stands, we think that view is right,

:54:37.:54:43.

that Parliament is minded not to support it go. And the report from

:54:43.:54:45.

the health committee on those welfare reforms will be published

:54:45.:54:50.

at the end of the month. Let's pick up on one or two issues

:54:50.:54:54.

raised during the course of the programme for a final time in the

:54:54.:55:04.
:55:04.:55:05.

company of our political, data for the afternoon, Alf Young. We are

:55:05.:55:10.

just coming up to Christmas, the big shopping came -- campaigns are

:55:10.:55:14.

getting under way, how worried should retailers be? With the

:55:15.:55:18.

squeeze on living standards, people across the social range are being

:55:18.:55:22.

much more careful about what they spend money on and that is going to

:55:22.:55:28.

be important because retail consumption is such a big chunk of

:55:28.:55:32.

general economic activity in our post-industrial society. It is a

:55:32.:55:37.

big problem. In terms of proportionately looking at economic

:55:37.:55:41.

activity, is it interesting looking at what people lower down the

:55:41.:55:51.

economic scale spend money on? think it is widely thought that,

:55:51.:55:56.

come Christmas, people with less money are very generous to their

:55:56.:56:00.

kids and like to spend a lot of money and have that festive period

:56:00.:56:04.

where they can enjoy things. Of course, if they don't have the

:56:04.:56:08.

money to spend, they are prey to all sorts of dubious people who

:56:09.:56:13.

will lend them money at astronomical rates of interest. I

:56:13.:56:17.

was involved in something the other day about people who effectively

:56:17.:56:23.

are excluded from the mainstream financial system who are prone to

:56:23.:56:27.

those really high rate loans that you can get in shops and town high

:56:28.:56:32.

streets all over Scotland. You end up paying huge amounts of interest

:56:32.:56:36.

just to pay your way back out of it. That is going to be the downside of

:56:36.:56:42.

being generous at Christmas if you can't really afford it. You can

:56:43.:56:47.

find yourself caught out in the new year with this new debt. Do you

:56:47.:56:52.

think we could see a number of big shops going under in the new year?

:56:52.:56:55.

I was wandering about that because I was in Brighton on the weekend

:56:55.:57:00.

and I went through a shopping mall and the only be space was habitat

:57:00.:57:03.

which was one of the great casualties. Arguably, they have not

:57:04.:57:09.

been that many be casualties but, the other day, I think, it sold for

:57:09.:57:16.

�2 to someone else. Clearly, there are strings there. We're not seeing

:57:16.:57:20.

the big names going but look at any small town, any shopping area and

:57:20.:57:26.

you will see that small avoids have gone up. Shops are standing empty

:57:26.:57:31.

and cannot find a new tenant. Any property person will tell you that

:57:31.:57:35.

Lloyd's have pretty much doubled in the last couple of years as a

:57:35.:57:39.

percentage of space on those high streets. There is a big problem and

:57:39.:57:45.

it is such a court to our economic growth that it is a challenge.

:57:45.:57:50.

Looking at those retail worries, we have been talking a lot about the

:57:50.:57:54.

job worries. How does this role into the general economic picture?

:57:54.:57:59.

We have not had so much this week about the crisis in the eurozone.

:57:59.:58:05.

How are things are looking? We have now got the Government of

:58:05.:58:09.

intellectuals and administrators running Italy, we have got a new

:58:09.:58:13.

prime minister increase, we have still got the German saying to

:58:13.:58:16.

David Cannon St he cannot snipe from the sidelines but he must put

:58:16.:58:26.
:58:26.:58:28.

money into the stability fund, -- David Cameron and that he cannot.

:58:28.:58:31.

Alf Young, thank you for your company on the programme this

:58:31.:58:37.

afternoon. That is all we have got time for today. We are back next

:58:37.:58:42.

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