30/10/2017 The Hour


30/10/2017

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Good evening and welcome to Ebbw

Vale, you are watching The Hour, the

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brand-new debate programme for Wales

which puts people back at the heart

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of politics. Tin out which we are at

the GS Yuasa factory which provides

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370 jobs in an area which needs

them, I am Catrin Nye, we are here

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talking work. 70% of us do not feel

any better off than we did five

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years ago. Three quarters of us say

that worrying about work or money is

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affecting our mental health. Tonight

on The Hour we ask, is Wales

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working?

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APPLAUSE.

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APPLAUSE. With us here in Ebbw Vale

we have an audience of local people,

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experts and some of our elected

politicians. In Wales, unemployment

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is actually going down, the economy

is slowly growing but we have found

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out just days ago that we have the

lowest pay in the whole of the UK.

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First, let's look at some of the

history that got us here.

And so

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today there were mixed emotions as

the last mine was in the Rhondda.

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With out the dirty conditions, they

are a good clean industries.

It is

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the young ones you feel sorry for.

Cheer up! Cheer up by!

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And all those who work hard and make

this country what it is, I say this,

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if you have a job but don't always

have job security, I am backing you.

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Hello? And to all the decent men and

women and families you meet on the

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streets of countless towns and

villages across Wales and the

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country, I am backing you.

We don't

just want jobs, we want better jobs,

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it is down to Labour to recognise

the changing patterns of work and

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the opportunities of new

technologies and the security that

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stalks to many people.

So, the first

results of our poll has told us that

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a massive 70% of us do not feel any

better off than we did five years

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ago and that was at the height of

the impact of the recession. So, why

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is that? I will come to the audience

and stir with you. Why do you think

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we were in a situation where people

do not feel better off?

Six years

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ago I was earning a salary

equivalent to my qualifications and

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experience and I have many years of

experience in primary and secondary

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education as a teacher. What

happened was, I had a really good

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job, learning about £670 a week, and

then when that job finished, I did

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it for a year, I have good pay and

conditions, the following year,

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because the government decided to

change the way, let people work on

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supplies for schools, that they

would decide to use agencies. One

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preferred agency that everyone had

to go to if they wanted to get a

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job. What did that mean? It halved

it straightaway. I was employed in

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Newport at £85 a day. It was the

same job on someone on £40,000 a

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year and my tax return said I was

earning £15,000. It became really

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bad, over the following few years, I

experienced extreme stress. I did

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not have enough money to pay my

rent, the fact that I needed to get

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to work, for my travelling and also

for food. The sort of thing I did, I

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sublet rooms, casual people came in,

my landlord said that was OK, but

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eventually because during the

holidays it was very difficult for

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me to get extra work, even though I

did as much as possible, I did

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things like working on building site

and I took at nursery work which is

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far below my qualifications but I

didn't mind because I was still

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working and eventually I lost my

home.

That is incredibly extreme.

I

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was homeless and I had to live in a

van and I was teaching secondaries

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school children and I replaced a

head of Department, I had no holiday

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pay, no sick pay, nothing at all, no

pension, my pension rights were then

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gone.

Thank you very much. We have

got Amanda, you run a pub. Does that

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mean something to you?

I am probably

worse off now than 15 years ago.

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Yes. Obviously, I do not get as many

customers as they used to, so we are

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feeling the pain of that.

Thank you.

I will come to you. Do you recognise

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what you are hearing? 70% of people

not feeling better than they did

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five years ago?

For us it is

slightly different, we have seen

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significant growth and been able to

secure several large contracts which

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has enabled us to take on local

people and upscale them and we have

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been able to increase their wages

and work on job security. We have

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had to work hard on that. We have

been able to provide in-house

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training. I cannot say I have seen

the same sort of things.

Do you

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think that hard work still pays? It

has for me. Thank you. Let us dig

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deeper into those statistics. Here

is our social media man, Steffan

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Powell.

Thank you. Hello to everyone

watching. Let us get stuck into the

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results. We spoke to over 1000

people in Wales and we have some

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revealing insights into the mood

amongst Welsh workers. Let us look

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at one of our major findings. 71% of

us say we do not feel better off

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than we did in 2012. 29% think they

are worse off, 42% about the same.

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When we think about 2012, that is

when the impact of the reception was

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really biting, unemployment was

pretty high and this is significant

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because it is saying that five years

later, despite that, we do not feel

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better off on we can break this down

into age, let us look at how we feel

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in age groups, 61% of the younger

age groups, it is higher in the

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older age groups but 61% is

significant and we can break it down

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by social class, look, ABC ones,

they are your managerial and

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professional jobs and then your

manual, skilled and unskilled

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Labour, people from working-class

backgrounds, they are saying there

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are more likely to say that they are

not better off than they were five

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years ago. One of our other big

findings is about how much you're

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getting paid next month. Are you

worrying about how much you are

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getting paid? 28% of us said they

are not sure how much they will be

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earning from month to month, it is

not sex, that is probably a

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reflection of the fact we have more

short-term and temporary contracts

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and proportionally there are more

poor Bill -- Macklemore people on

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zero hours contracts and the rest of

the UK. It is something you have

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been talking online about. Let us go

to Louise on Facebook. She said that

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£25,000, the average earnings for

someone in Wales would be fantastic

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for her, she is not earning anywhere

near that because she is on zero

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hours contract. I want you at home

to do me favour. You probably have a

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phone close to you, I want you to

use it, get in touch and be part of

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the conversation. We are on Facebook

and Twitter, let us know what you

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think. Lots of you have already done

that, thank you to that. You are one

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of them on Facebook, she says there

is worse to come. Do we think that

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London cares about wages in Wales?

We have Natalie on Facebook going

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back to zero hours contracts, they

are taking advantage, they should

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offer people job security. Thank you

for getting in touch. You should be

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doing it as well. Lots for people to

be in the audience getting their

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teeth stuck into.

We heard that

statistic, 28% of people not knowing

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what they will learn from month to

month, what is that like? What is

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like not knowing what your wages

might be?

It is very insecure. When

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I first left the mining industry, I

went to a local employer, I was

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taken on as a temporary employee. It

became clear after about ten miles,

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if it did, you're taken on by the

company, years service was backdated

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from the time you started as a

temporary employee and you fell a

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lot more secure, getting all the

company benefits and bonuses.

Thank

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you. One thing about this room,

people are hearing quite a loud

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noise, we are in a factory. We have

also got Debbie here. I note that

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you work for the housing association

and you have a unique perspective

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over a lot of different people and

their arrangements, their work

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arrangements.

That is right. We will

have some people who are not working

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well quite a lot of our tenants are

in work we make the assumption that

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people are work they would be better

off, and sends over the last couple

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of years we have been able to get

more data about financial

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circumstances, we note that

significant amounts of them are in

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financial distress, 60% of them are

actually work.

Is it these kind of

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contracts?

Yes, absolutely, when we

did more digging, for example, we

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looked at one tenant who has been

suffering rent arrears and

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difficulty in paying rent and over

the last 18 months they have been

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insecure employment, zero hours

contracts and it makes it hard for

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people to budget on a month by month

basis.

The opposite argument to what

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we are hearing is that the gig

economy, these different contracts

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were you may not know quite what

you're going to turn allows

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flexibility. I want to come over

here. Do you have an opinion on the

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giga economy?

The vast majority of

people in the gig economy say that

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they value the flexibility, in

Cardiff there are large sum of

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students and young people that

valued the flexibility that it

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gives, they can work certain numbers

of hours and we know that in places

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like London, companies like Uber

operate, they work to the

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flexibility that there are family

lives and social lives demand. They

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can take on side projects. You

cannot speak about individual cases,

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but across the board, most people

stay on zero hours contracts that

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they value the flexibility.

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Obviously these statistics are

showing people feel inflexibility.

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I'm going to come over here.

Listening to the stories so far, are

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you worried about the state of

working Wales?

We've known for a

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long time the economy is working

pretty well for a small number but

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not for a large number. I think that

the consistent -- that is the

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consistent picture over a number of

years. The question is, how do you

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change that?

You've got a roomful of

people in here living in this

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country not feeling like it is

working for them. You've been in

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power for 18 years.

This is the

consequence of the global economy

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that we have and we've seen through

the rise of Trump and the vocal

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Brexit, people feel left out and

left behind and the economic system

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doesn't work for them. As

politicians, we've been desperate to

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find answers, and they are not

simple answers. -- the vote for

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Brexit. What we've been trying isn't

working. We've been plastering the

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wall hoping something will stick.

And it's doing the same thing over

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and again. The Welsh economy has

been bumping along the bottom for

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100 years. This is not a recent

phenomenon. The peak of Welsh

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employment was in 1910, 1911, and

since then the economy has been on a

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downward slope and we've been

desperately trying a whole range of

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things for 20 years or more to try

to change that. But let's be frank,

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we've been running to stand still.

There are successes to point out, of

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course there. This factory we are in

today is one of them. And there's a

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whole range of things I could rattle

to you to give you a politician's

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odds of things that are working, but

I'm more interested in the bigger

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picture, which tells me we are doing

the same thing over and over again

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and expecting a different result and

it's not working. We need to think

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afresh.

This is an admission that

Labour has been in power in Wales

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for 18 years and everything needs to

change.

We have been able to keep

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things stable but we are running to

stand still. Let's be brutally

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realistic - the powers we have in

Wales, we talk up our ability to

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shape the economy. The powers we

have are actually pretty limited.

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The powers the UK Government has to

shape the economy are pretty

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limited. This is a global economy.

It's a system which is leaving

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behind a bunch of people who,

frankly, don't have any other

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option.

One of the things I've heard

many times, because we've been

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talking to people here and on social

media, saying that Wales hasn't come

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up with a big idea, that you've been

good at... Like, you've admitted

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chucking money at different project

but there's nothing that sets Wales

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apart and says, this is what we are

going to be good at in Wales, this

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is what this country will be.

I

don't think there's a magic bullet

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and I think politicians are seduced

by a transformative project. I'm fed

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up with that because it doesn't

work. The situation we're in is the

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result of a lot of very complicated

global forces, which is very

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difficult to push back against, and

I think we need to take a hard look

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about where we are at in Wales and

what has worked and hasn't and do

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things differently.

Thank you. We

also have Leanne Wood, Plaid Cymru.

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Thank you for coming. Listening to

Lee there, what is your reaction?

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Could they have done better?

I think

it's too easy to surrender

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everything to global forces. That

has an impact but we've had devolved

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government in Wales for 18 years now

and what has been tried clearly is

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not working for the majority of

people. We've got wages in Wales 10%

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behind the UK average and we've got

the largest number of people on

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minimum wage jobs, so even though

unemployment doesn't look terrible,

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given that those wages are low...

It's the quality of work?

Yes, and I

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would say we need to try something

very different now.

What, though?

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We've tried the overheating of the

cities, the M4 corridor. But we've

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not really given proper investment

to other parts of the country and I

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think we need to start at the

grassroots of the community level

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and not try to get everybody to go

to work in Cardiff for Newport or

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Swansea.

APPLAUSE

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And there has been success in other

areas. Edinburgh, Sheffield, there

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were places -- they were places

where they previously had a coal

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industry and then they had a

regeneration of infrastructure and

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they've done much better

economically than we have here, so

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there has been a failure to invest

in skills and infrastructure.

But

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we've heard that before. We need

more skills, better infrastructure -

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what does it mean?

It took four and

a half hours last week to get to

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Cardiff from Caernarvon. We are a

relatively small country

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geographically speaking. We should

be able to travel within our country

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much quicker. That investment hasn't

happened and that's why I think it's

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time for a new government, but we

won't go there!

Who would you blame

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for that, that lack of investment?

Labour has to take some blame, being

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in power for 18 years, but the

Tories in Westminster haven't helped

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because the austerity they've been

pursuing has allowed the rich to get

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richer and the poor to get poorer.

APPLAUSE

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Thank you for coming, Jane Pratt.

Taking a lot of flak in the room

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already tonight expect we just heard

austerity mentioned, a lack of

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infrastructure. Do you think that

the people who really need help in

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Wales are getting it? Listening to

the room?

I would like to see

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everybody here, not under contract

the gentleman is describing over

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there, but in order to do that you

need to have investment and

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enterprise, and perhaps the most

significant thing that has happened

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this year has been our Secretary of

State getting rid of the bridge

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tolls, which is a fantastic

opportunity. And what do the Welsh

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Government go and do, they bring in

a tourist tax! So we've heard from a

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lady over there who works in a pub.

What you are going to do is create a

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very difficult situation for people

in restaurants, pubs and have got

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accommodation. If you're a parent

and you are going to take your

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family on holiday and it's cheaper

to go to Yorkshire water Sussex

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rather than come to Wales, that's

what they are going to do. -- to

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Yorkshire ought to Sussex. You have

had your say, perhaps you would like

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to let me have my know. I would also

like to say to Leanne, we've

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introduced the living wage, which

has taken 300,000 people in the

0:20:420:20:46

United Kingdom out of very low

wages.

It's not a real living wage,

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though, is it?

They are also £1000

better off because of the tax breaks

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people have had, and here in Ebbw

Vale, unemployment has gone down by

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20%. We have the lowest unemployment

rates in the United Kingdom and the

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greatest investment and an economy

that is strong since 1975. So our

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policies are working. But what we

need to see is a Welsh Government

0:21:160:21:19

with ambition that is going to grasp

the nettle and look outwardly,

0:21:190:21:26

because I've only read just today

that exports to countries like

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America and Japan are falling

behind. The Welsh Government needs

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to get its act together and needs to

get out there with their envoys and

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sell Wales.

APPLAUSE

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Can we have some people to the

audience?

She's entitled to her

0:21:420:21:48

opinion, not to her own fax. --

facts. Welsh exports are up and

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there is no tax on tourism. The

Tories have been hammering for years

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what they have called embassies,

overseas. Cutting tolls will

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increase traffic by 20%. These are

disjointed policies and that was

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just a greatest hits of political

cliches! Will need to do better than

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this.

Thank you, Lee. Let's go over

here.

I firstly wanted to talk about

0:22:180:22:27

what was said about zero contract. I

study in London, I'm from this area,

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so I've seen both sides of the coin.

The thing with zero hours contracts,

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I'm from this area, so I've seen

both sides of the coin. The thing

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with zero hours contracts, and more

than happy to take on one of those

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if it means the people who are

struggling on these contracts can

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have those opportunities to budget,

to be able to have that job

0:22:450:22:47

stability, to know what they've got

coming in every month, every week,

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so they don't have to make these

really difficult choices we are

0:22:500:22:54

seeing people make, but then I also

just wanted to add, you know, I

0:22:540:22:58

agree with what Leanne says. We've

tried these big ideas. It's got to

0:22:580:23:03

be on a community level. We've got

things like co-operatives and

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community cohesion projects that are

shown to have worked and I think

0:23:080:23:13

until all three major parties start

investing in those, we won't see any

0:23:130:23:17

progress.

So take it smaller?

Yes,

and put the power to the people.

0:23:170:23:26

Co-operatives are all about letting

people make their own decisions

0:23:260:23:30

about their working environment, and

it should be across the country and

0:23:300:23:34

the world to work and investment in

those projects would have a massive

0:23:340:23:39

impact, especially post-Brexit.

Thank you. Thank you for being

0:23:390:23:44

patient. This lady.

If you go back

20, 30 years ago, when the heavy

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industry we had here, go back 100

years, the people in our area will

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use to their brawn and not their

brains. They weren't encouraged to

0:23:550:24:00

actually better themselves. So you

had a workforce there that was just

0:24:000:24:03

happy to go out to work. What

happened when the coal industry

0:24:030:24:08

disappeared? What of the Welsh

office do? What did the Welsh

0:24:080:24:15

Assembly do? Did they give forward

thinking of what was going to be the

0:24:150:24:20

next type of employment that could

come to these valleys? Such as

0:24:200:24:25

technology? No. There was no

forward-thinking by what was the

0:24:250:24:29

Welsh Office and the Welsh Assembly.

You had thousands of people between

0:24:290:24:34

the ages of 30 and 60 who were put

on a scrapheap.

0:24:340:24:39

APPLAUSE

Bigger ideas. Bigger ideas? We are

0:24:390:24:44

hearing a lot of that. Let me come

over here. A lot of strong views in

0:24:440:24:48

the room and conflicting views as

well. As we always have in these

0:24:480:24:51

debates. Thank you for coming in. An

economist at Swansea University.

0:24:510:24:58

David, we want to make sense a bit

of what's going on in the room.

0:24:580:25:03

Unemployment is down, people don't

feel any better than five years ago.

0:25:030:25:07

What's going down?

This is not just

across Wales, it's across the UK, so

0:25:070:25:13

what we've seen is that earnings

haven't kept pace with inflation

0:25:130:25:17

over the last ten years, so we've

seen the inflation figures at 3%, a

0:25:170:25:21

lot of workers won't be getting that

3%. Across the UK we've seen zero

0:25:210:25:26

hours contracts go upfront just over

100,000 -- go up from just over 1000

0:25:260:25:38

to 90,000. Some are happy to take

those but zero contract workers are

0:25:380:25:44

more likely to be young, female and

minorities, and a significant

0:25:440:25:50

proportion want to work full-time.

So we have seen a quarter of a

0:25:500:25:54

million new jobs in Wales since the

beginning of this century, so that

0:25:540:25:58

is a story. The unemployment only

tells part of the story because the

0:25:580:26:02

employment rates in Wales are much

lower than in England, so we have

0:26:020:26:07

what we call high levels of economic

inactivity, and as the lady over

0:26:070:26:11

there said, we have what economists

call discourage workers. Those who

0:26:110:26:17

opted out of the market and are no

longer looking for jobs. The

0:26:170:26:22

politicians are partly right and

partly wrong. It is not that one

0:26:220:26:25

side has got it right. What we do

need is an investment in skills of

0:26:250:26:28

people. Whether we've done that

correctly in the past, I'm not sure.

0:26:280:26:34

There's a lot of people saying it

has been got wrong. What do you

0:26:340:26:38

think the right plan is?

We know you

have to start at school level.

0:26:380:26:42

That's not great for politicians

because they don't vote! But we have

0:26:420:26:45

to get it right in our schools and

it feeds through. We have seen

0:26:450:26:52

funding money from Europe and over a

quarter of a million people get

0:26:520:26:55

skills, but the question is, did

they get the right skills for the

0:26:550:26:59

labour market? Somebody else said,

they are right, there is only so

0:26:590:27:03

much the government can do. They

cannot transform the economy but bad

0:27:030:27:07

policy can make a big difference.

Thank you very much.

0:27:070:27:10

APPLAUSE

OK, so let's turn to some more

0:27:100:27:17

results of our poll. We got some

really interesting insight about

0:27:170:27:23

what work is doing to our health.

We have indeed. Let's move on and

0:27:230:27:29

look at some of those poor results

in detail. We've had some really

0:27:290:27:34

striking ideas here about the human

cost of the pressures about the way

0:27:340:27:39

Wales is working at the moment and

how jobs make us feel.

0:27:390:27:42

The main want to come out is that

74% of us are worrying about work

0:27:450:27:51

and money and it is affecting our

health. That's nearly three quarters

0:27:510:27:54

of us saying our mental health is

being affected by worrying about

0:27:540:27:58

money or work. We can break that

down by age as well, and we can see

0:27:580:28:03

it is affecting younger people.

Younger people more than people in

0:28:030:28:08

the older age bracket. 80% of them

say worrying about work or money is

0:28:080:28:13

affecting their mental health. It

might be that there is less stigma

0:28:130:28:17

of people in that age category

talking about mental health issues,

0:28:170:28:20

it could be that they have unique

challenges facing them. Whatever it

0:28:200:28:24

is, it is a significant figure and

is really quite striking. If this is

0:28:240:28:28

something that has affected you or

somebody you love or care about at

0:28:280:28:32

home, get in touch with us. We are

on Facebook and Twitter. It's

0:28:320:28:37

something that can have a big impact

on people'slives, as we are about to

0:28:370:28:41

see.

0:28:410:28:42

I am a designer of closing. I feel

like I could get more support

0:28:530:28:58

because I am is trying to start my

own business, I am trying to make

0:28:580:29:02

something of myself as well as

creating jobs for other people. From

0:29:020:29:08

starting off until now, I'm still

funding at myself in trying to get

0:29:080:29:12

there. That is how passionate I am.

I wish I received a grant, it would

0:29:120:29:18

make my life easier. My husband has

worked for the Council as a housing

0:29:180:29:24

benefit officer for three years, I

think. He was told he would be made

0:29:240:29:29

redundant. That was awful. The

thing, what went wrong because he

0:29:290:29:33

was doing so well. He said it was

because of cutbacks. He found

0:29:330:29:40

another job with the council, this

time it was security, night work,

0:29:400:29:43

which was held. Again, he was made

redundant. I am pregnant and now he

0:29:430:29:50

is redundant and we are panicking,

we have our second baby on the way,

0:29:500:29:55

what will we do? There is only so

much you can borrow from family. The

0:29:550:30:01

only thing we can do is go onto

benefits. I hate having to do that.

0:30:010:30:14

It is not like we are lazy people or

that we wanted this. It has caused a

0:30:140:30:21

lot of issues, strain on the

relationship on finances and the

0:30:210:30:26

baby is now eight months old and

having to do with my own issues like

0:30:260:30:31

postnatal depression, it makes it

ten times worse. When you think

0:30:310:30:36

about it,... Yeah. I do not want to

cry, really. To just have a small

0:30:360:30:47

house with a garden, not having to

worry, of how we will pay this bill

0:30:470:30:53

are what meal we will have tomorrow,

that is what makes the -- makes me

0:30:530:30:59

happy, it does not sound very

dreamy, but that is what makes me

0:30:590:31:02

happy.

She is here tonight. Thank

you very much for making that film

0:31:020:31:12

for us, very personal film. Can I

ask you first, who do you think is

0:31:120:31:18

responsible for your situation?

The

system, I think. Obviously, being

0:31:180:31:26

made redundant twice, my husband,

not myself, yes.

And you talked a

0:31:260:31:35

bit in the film about the impact on

your life more broadly, what is like

0:31:350:31:40

finding yourself in that situation,

because you did not want to claim

0:31:400:31:44

benefits?

We never wanted to claim

benefits and that is why we borrowed

0:31:440:31:52

from friends and family first rather

than straightaway claim. We were

0:31:520:32:00

made redundant for the second time

and I was pregnant with our second

0:32:000:32:04

baby and we had to do that. I think

at the time, we thought, we need to

0:32:040:32:10

do what we need to do, just to make

the best out of the situation and

0:32:100:32:18

think, we will work ten times harder

and trying get another job. We don't

0:32:180:32:24

even want to work for anyone now, we

want to be self-employed and that

0:32:240:32:29

has motivated us more to be

self-employed rather than work for

0:32:290:32:33

anyone else.

He said the impact was

more than just your finances, it had

0:32:330:32:37

an impact on your health and mental

health.

It was such a strain. I

0:32:370:32:43

suffered with postnatal depression

the first time and I suffered with

0:32:430:32:47

it the second time and it was much

worse and I think a lot of that is

0:32:470:32:50

to do with finances, because of

bills on top of bills and thinking

0:32:500:32:56

how are we going to pay for this and

that and a second child on the way,

0:32:560:33:01

I think that added to the stress and

the mental health and the issue I

0:33:010:33:06

was dealing with. It did not really

help the situation.

OK, we have got

0:33:060:33:16

Julian En from their mental health

charity Mind. That statistic, three

0:33:160:33:24

quarters of people saying that work

and worrying about money is

0:33:240:33:27

affecting their mental health, that

is staggering.

Definitely. Protect

0:33:270:33:32

their the valleys, we are seeing

people not being employed, it having

0:33:320:33:41

an impact on their mental health and

well-being and Mind recently

0:33:410:33:47

launched and report on thriving at

work, looking at how employers can

0:33:470:33:50

support and assist people who are

experiencing mental health and

0:33:500:33:57

emotional well-being needs in the

workplace and we are calling on

0:33:570:33:59

government to develop a mental

health action plan to support people

0:33:590:34:06

at work and changing cultures across

the employment sector and having

0:34:060:34:10

conversations about mental health

and supporting their later work.

0:34:100:34:13

Thank you. We will come to this

gentleman.

You have got the access

0:34:130:34:19

to work, it is fantastic, if an

employer wants to employ a disabled

0:34:190:34:25

person, they can apply for a grant

for that person, but because that is

0:34:250:34:32

being taken away, employers can no

longer apply for that, which means

0:34:320:34:36

employers are less likely to employ

disabled people. Disabled

0:34:360:34:43

politicians say they are doing more

to help the disabled get into work,

0:34:430:34:47

but they are doing all it can to

stop them, from my opinion, more

0:34:470:34:52

people are in employment than years

ago, that may in the case, but lots

0:34:520:34:56

of people are employment are using

food banks. There are lots of

0:34:560:35:02

disabled people using food banks,

you can have a whole debate just on

0:35:020:35:06

that topic.

Thank you very much.

APPLAUSE. Going around the room this

0:35:060:35:17

evening we are hearing a lot of

evidence of distress. And I wonder

0:35:170:35:24

if the promise that if you work hard

you will do better and your kids

0:35:240:35:29

will do better and your life will be

better has been somewhat broken. You

0:35:290:35:35

are from Ukip, how do you feel about

that?

Personally, I believe that the

0:35:350:35:42

greatest asset any nation has is his

people and if you listen to the

0:35:420:35:46

audience here today, what we are

learning is that everybody has

0:35:460:35:50

worked and everybody has to feel

worth and if we are not in

0:35:500:35:55

meaningful employment then it is

affecting mental health, two thirds

0:35:550:35:58

of the population say it is going to

affect them, that is a terrible

0:35:580:36:04

statistic. What we need to do, Lee

Waters mentioned about the fact

0:36:040:36:09

there is not this one big thing,

this one big issue, because they

0:36:090:36:13

have tried and tried to find that as

a government, what I want is for the

0:36:130:36:18

government to stop throwing sticking

plasters that things but actually to

0:36:180:36:22

grasp and have faith in the Welsh

people. What is wrong with having

0:36:220:36:26

ambition?

We need to have ambition.

Thank you very much.

0:36:260:36:31

APPLAUSE. The Liberal Democrats over

here, Alex Meredith, thank you for

0:36:310:36:36

coming. What is your opinion? One of

the things I thought was interesting

0:36:360:36:41

that you said Nathan is about having

meaningful work, what is meaningful

0:36:410:36:46

work? What kind of jobs to people

need to have to make sure they do

0:36:460:36:50

not feel like that?

Everyone will

have their own definition. It is

0:36:500:36:55

right to say that everyone has their

own story and their own journey that

0:36:550:36:58

they want to travel on we have heard

some very inspirational stories, but

0:36:580:37:02

a couple of things stand out. In a

situation where someone is suffering

0:37:020:37:08

from mental health difficulties, in

Wales there are not getting enough

0:37:080:37:10

support, it has been promised but it

is not delivered on we need to

0:37:100:37:14

invest more in that support, and I

think the postnatal depression in

0:37:140:37:19

particular is an area where we need

to do better. We see people with

0:37:190:37:24

inspiring ideas for small businesses

and I think these guys are an

0:37:240:37:29

example of this being penalised

through the Universal Credit system.

0:37:290:37:34

It is penalising the self-employed

and not encouraging them to build

0:37:340:37:38

businesses. We have got a number of

policies at government level and

0:37:380:37:44

national level that are penalising

the enterprise culture that exists

0:37:440:37:50

and the people can make this a

strong economy. There is one person

0:37:500:37:53

who I can think of who is doing

their very best to address that and

0:37:530:37:58

that is Kirsty Williams as Education

Secretary offering radical solutions

0:37:580:38:01

to the curriculum but also grounds

for people to study both as

0:38:010:38:06

undergraduates and as postgraduates

and part-time. We are the only

0:38:060:38:10

country in Europe that does that, we

have radical solutions that will

0:38:100:38:15

help us build that pro-enterprise

economy in Wales.

Thank you.

0:38:150:38:18

APPLAUSE. We have heard about the

situation in Wales now, but we are

0:38:180:38:28

in a time of quite immense change,

so what is next? First let us hear

0:38:280:38:34

from someone who firmly thinks that

his industry should be part of the

0:38:340:38:38

future and not just a memory of the

past.

My name is Andrew O'Connor, I

0:38:380:38:46

work in Tata Steel. I have been

there for almost 32 years. When

0:38:460:38:54

people mention Port Talbot they

tease about that smoke and

0:38:540:39:00

pollution, it is something we are

proud of, it is what we put up with,

0:39:000:39:04

it is part of what we do. It is a

proud tradition in our family, my

0:39:040:39:09

parents spent all their working

lives in the steelworks, it is in

0:39:090:39:14

recruitment, it tailed off a little

bit over the last 15 years, it has

0:39:140:39:19

not been that fathers and sons chain

if you like. Working 12 hour shifts

0:39:190:39:26

is tough, it takes its toll on you,

but we have got a team working

0:39:260:39:32

environment where we all work

together to produce this deal at the

0:39:320:39:35

end of the day. If we do not work

with each other and watched the

0:39:350:39:41

safety, the worst-case scenario, you

would not be going home at the end

0:39:410:39:43

of a shift. Recently the workforce

were faced with a difficult choice,

0:39:430:39:49

there was a ballot held whether to

accept the changes in our pensions

0:39:490:39:54

or run the risk of possible plant

closures so with a heavy heart, the

0:39:540:39:59

workforce voted strongly in favour

of the changes. It was a very

0:39:590:40:05

emotive time for everyone. But the

effect on the town and the area

0:40:050:40:11

would be massive if anything did

happen to the planned. If I was

0:40:110:40:17

allowed to ask a question in

Westminister, what other plans for

0:40:170:40:21

the steel industry, they say they

have an industry of strategy but we

0:40:210:40:25

would like more meat on the bone and

see whether there would be

0:40:250:40:29

investment in Port Talbot, all it

needs his faith and commitment and

0:40:290:40:33

we could secure this industry for

future generations.

Andrew's story

0:40:330:40:42

there, looking back at what has been

happening in Port Talbot and looking

0:40:420:40:46

forward to our poll which has been

asking questions about the future.

0:40:460:40:50

Let us get into the results. We

start with Brexit, would you be

0:40:500:40:55

better or worse off? Considering

Wales voted for Brexit last summer,

0:40:550:41:00

what we are seeing here is that 32%

of us think we will be worse off as

0:41:000:41:04

a result of Brexit, 54% think we

will be the same and only 14% think

0:41:040:41:11

we will be better off. That could be

because people think that they did

0:41:110:41:16

not vote for Brexit for economic

reasons or they think that they will

0:41:160:41:20

take the short-term hit for

long-term gain. Nathan Gill has

0:41:200:41:24

mentioned this, we asked about what

people, whether they were worried

0:41:240:41:32

about whether automation could take

their jobs in ten years' time and as

0:41:320:41:35

we can see, 28% of us think that we

are worried about the fact that

0:41:350:41:41

robots could be taking our jobs in

the future. We will break that down

0:41:410:41:45

by age group, 16-34 -year-olds are

more likely to be worried that their

0:41:450:41:52

jobs might be automated or taken by

robots in the future, will be think

0:41:520:41:57

about it, given that they have

longer to go on the jobs market,

0:41:570:42:00

they are further away from

retirement, that makes sense. The

0:42:000:42:04

future is something that you have

been talking about on social media.

0:42:040:42:09

Michael has been optimistic, he has

been in touch, he thinks Wales is

0:42:090:42:12

the best place to working, swings

and roundabouts and ups and downs.

0:42:120:42:19

He optimistic about the future. 71%

of people agreed with Michael that

0:42:190:42:25

there was optimism about future. Not

everyone agrees. Laura got in touch

0:42:250:42:31

with us and she said there is a

talent drain in Wales and it is a

0:42:310:42:36

disgrace, people will go to Bristol

and London to achieve their

0:42:360:42:41

ambitions and Charlotte agrees. She

said, I left, it is that simple,

0:42:410:42:46

there is a whole world outside South

Wales. Laura and Charlotte

0:42:460:42:51

suggesting you have to leave and get

out of Wales if you want a brighter

0:42:510:42:56

future. Pretty controversial. Do you

agree with them? Get in touch with

0:42:560:43:02

us on Facebook and Twitter.

Thank

you. I will go straight to someone

0:43:020:43:07

who I know has left Wales to further

themselves. You work in London, do

0:43:070:43:15

you agree with those people saying

you have to get out?

0:43:150:43:18

You don't have to get out. I chose

to get out because the industry I

0:43:230:43:28

wanted, those jobs are in London.

0:43:280:43:29

Hundred and 50 years ago, people

moved out because there were

0:43:340:43:40

industry is being built. The

industries of the future will be in

0:43:400:43:44

automation and you've got to seize

those opportunities. The way the

0:43:440:43:49

government can help isn't in central

planning, which we know fails, and

0:43:490:43:53

it fails everywhere it is tried, but

it is in getting out of the way,

0:43:530:44:01

bringing tax rates down so

entrepreneurs can take risks, making

0:44:010:44:05

sure there are networks being built.

Cardiff University has one of the

0:44:050:44:10

greatest research centres in the

West. Swansea does as well. But it

0:44:100:44:14

doesn't necessarily translate into

private businesses. You need those

0:44:140:44:18

private businesses to grow the new

economies that Wales will be reliant

0:44:180:44:21

on in the future.

Thank you. We've

also got Matthew. Thank you for

0:44:210:44:26

coming. You are a massive employer

in Wales. Tell us what you do.

Go

0:44:260:44:37

Compare is based in Wales. Entirely

in Wales.

How can the government

0:44:370:44:44

future proof Wales?

We need to bring

talent into the region but it needs

0:44:440:44:51

to be a 3-way piece of teamwork

between private enterprise, us,

0:44:510:44:56

investment by the government and

then into skills and talent coming

0:44:560:45:02

through schools, primarily. And

thirdly, the relationship with

0:45:020:45:05

universities and academia needs to

be strong. We see around the world,

0:45:050:45:10

everything from the west Coast in

the US to Germany, that teamwork

0:45:100:45:14

works well and you create an

environment in which business can

0:45:140:45:17

flourish, because you are taking

great people and developing them

0:45:170:45:20

further. Then you are able to work

with academia to create great ideas.

0:45:200:45:24

But you need academia to be flexible

and then you need business to invest

0:45:240:45:30

in people. I can relate to a lot of

the comments here this evening

0:45:300:45:34

because you can't just tell people

who work for you, don't worry, it'll

0:45:340:45:38

be fine. You need to invest in them.

For example, we have things like men

0:45:380:45:42

touring schemes, inclusion and

diversion -- diversity initiatives,

0:45:420:45:50

to help them develop. -- we have

development schemes. They then feel

0:45:500:45:54

better about themselves and feel

stronger as a result, developing

0:45:540:45:59

their talent, but we do need that

talent in software engineering and

0:45:590:46:02

data sides of our country.

Listening

to the other results we've had,

0:46:020:46:08

people feeling quite lukewarm about

the economic impact of Brexit. How

0:46:080:46:12

do you feel about that?

Just trying

to ignore it! Because what we need

0:46:120:46:17

to do is, we have a couple of

hundred people employed here and we

0:46:170:46:22

are very focused on making sure that

business is competitive for today

0:46:220:46:25

and tomorrow. We do not let things

like that impact our long-term

0:46:250:46:30

investment in the business and in

the people because I think the

0:46:300:46:34

business we have has a great future

and needs to keep investing now, so

0:46:340:46:38

I try not to let it way on our

minds, because I think hopefully we

0:46:380:46:43

will keep on helping people save

money anyway. That's what we do.

I'm

0:46:430:46:47

sure there are some people who are

very excited about Brexit in the

0:46:470:46:51

room. You were a Remainer, Jane

Pratt. How are you feeling now?

0:46:510:47:01

Excited?

Our Prime Minister has to

get on with it and deliver for the

0:47:010:47:04

people of the United Kingdom, and

certainly people here, the people

0:47:040:47:10

voted for Brexit. I think we've got

to make the most of the

0:47:100:47:16

opportunities it brings us,

especially here in Wales, and I

0:47:160:47:19

think we will be able to make the

most of those opportunities as the

0:47:190:47:23

United Kingdom. But I agree with

Nathan. We have got to really look

0:47:230:47:30

at... I mean, I'm the great

granddaughter of one of the stinkers

0:47:300:47:34

of the Cambrian colliery in the

Rhondda, but that was the last

0:47:340:47:41

Industrial Revolution. -- one of the

sinkers. We now have to prepare for

0:47:410:47:48

the next revolution. It is fantastic

that all the Apple phones of the

0:47:480:47:58

future will have a semiconductor

that's been made in Newport, and

0:47:580:48:01

there's been investment in that. But

we need the talent, we need the

0:48:010:48:07

young people in our technical

colleges and in our universities who

0:48:070:48:10

are going to be able to get those

good jobs, which are going to be

0:48:100:48:17

jobs that £40,000 plus, and they

will take people from the age of 16,

0:48:170:48:21

so I think there are some fantastic

opportunities and we've got to make

0:48:210:48:25

the most of them.

Thank you. Nathan,

are you worried about the statistics

0:48:250:48:32

saying people aren't very excited

about Brexit for their jobs and

0:48:320:48:34

futures? From the study?

I think

it's likely negative from that. More

0:48:340:48:42

people are positive or agree it's

not going to have a negative impact,

0:48:420:48:47

which is a good thing...

54% of

people think it'll be the same, only

0:48:470:48:53

14% that they will be better off.

The proof of the pudding is always

0:48:530:48:59

in the eating, and once we leave and

discover we can forge those links

0:48:590:49:04

with countries all over the world

that we've been denied from doing...

0:49:040:49:07

I mean, we're never going to be

able...

You think that will be for

0:49:070:49:13

Wales?

We will never compete on

agriculture but Wales land is the

0:49:130:49:18

best in the world and we can compete

on those markets. I think the

0:49:180:49:23

problem is a lack of vision.

You

feel embarrassed when you hear those

0:49:230:49:27

sorts of comparisons with Scotland?

Scotland is a different country, and

0:49:270:49:32

if you remember when devolution

began, Scotland started with a raft

0:49:320:49:37

of extra powers that we never had,

so the criminal justice system, for

0:49:370:49:42

example, is devolved in Scotland.

They have much stronger power base.

0:49:420:49:46

So they have more tools, basically,

to try to affect things. But if I

0:49:460:49:51

can come back to this point about

Brexit. The most liberal biggest

0:49:510:49:59

question people are facing is

uncertainty, whether it is

0:49:590:50:02

agriculture or other fields. Will

encourage to hear the employer there

0:50:020:50:07

saying he won't allow it to detract

from his investment decisions. -- I

0:50:070:50:13

am very encouraged to hear the

employer saying. But many are saying

0:50:130:50:19

they won't invest in the way they

should be, so we need some kind of

0:50:190:50:23

certainty that the Brexit the

government pursues is going to be

0:50:230:50:27

good for Wales, because the one I've

seen so far doesn't give me much

0:50:270:50:30

confidence in that regard.

You've

had your hand up for quite some

0:50:300:50:34

time. What did you want to add?

The

Conservative Party has cut tax,

0:50:340:50:42

increased the personal allowance,

but Wales has had an uninterrupted

0:50:420:50:46

Labour Party government. How can we

capitalise on the great

0:50:460:50:51

opportunities provided by Brexit to

bring in high wage, high school

0:50:510:50:56

jobs? I find it almost insulting

that the representative of the

0:50:560:51:01

Liberal Democrats would point at

somebody like Kirsty Williams as an

0:51:010:51:03

ideal Education Secretary, because

exam grades are down, we're not

0:51:030:51:10

getting anywhere in terms of our

skills gaps, and we need to copy

0:51:100:51:13

some of the policy from the

Conservative Party and change the

0:51:130:51:16

fact that not all students are the

same. So let's not pursue a single

0:51:160:51:21

stream comprehensive education

system.

0:51:210:51:24

APPLAUSE

Lee Waters, a lot of people talking

0:51:240:51:30

about this skills gap from all

different levels of the audience.

0:51:300:51:33

How do you feel about what he was

saying?

I think the one thing

0:51:330:51:39

devolution has done is to do things

differently. -- is allowed us to do

0:51:390:51:46

things differently. Many schools in

massive debt have been taken over

0:51:460:51:49

and handed back to the government.

I'm not interested in point-scoring.

0:51:490:51:55

There are strengths in our education

system and weaknesses. I go around

0:51:550:51:59

schools all the time. There are

world-class schools in Wales and

0:51:590:52:03

mediocrity as well, and we need to

drill down and make sure we get good

0:52:030:52:06

quality leadership and that we

invest, and the trouble we have is

0:52:060:52:11

that after seven years of austerity

from Westminster, the pressure on

0:52:110:52:15

council budgets in particular is

intense. And the ability to invest

0:52:150:52:20

in education is being squeezed.

Do

you think people get fed up of the

0:52:200:52:24

buck being passed by the government

in Wales?

I get fed up of that on

0:52:240:52:30

all sides!

It's quite easy for

Westminster to say, that's because

0:52:300:52:35

of the Welsh Government, and you can

say, that's because of the

0:52:350:52:41

government in Westminster.

That's

the nature of politics! I'm trying

0:52:410:52:45

not to get drawn into that.

We need

to be clearer about the lack of

0:52:450:52:51

skills. Some people on clearer about

the role of devolution.

Yes, we need

0:52:510:53:04

to show a real commitment to skills.

With the finite resources we have,

0:53:040:53:12

we should be putting our focus and

change coming is rapid. Overall

0:53:120:53:20

there will be benefits but lots of

people will be displaced and put out

0:53:200:53:23

of work. 28% of people are worried

about automation and more should be

0:53:230:53:28

worried because the data shows that

a third of all jobs in Wales are

0:53:280:53:32

vulnerable to automation. It is not

a new thing...

How are you going to

0:53:320:53:38

protect people?

We can't really

protect people.

But you have to

0:53:380:53:42

think long term about the future of

the country.

We need to get all over

0:53:420:53:48

it. We have put an awful lot of

money into infrastructure which

0:53:480:53:53

doesn't address the problems of the

future. The problem of the future

0:53:530:53:58

isn't long car journeys, it is

automation. It is the fourth

0:53:580:54:02

Industrial Revolution coming and

displacing huge amounts of work that

0:54:020:54:04

we've come to take for granted, and

in particular, women are vulnerable

0:54:040:54:09

to this. So for everyone new job

created, three jobs will be lost.

0:54:090:54:15

But for everyone new job created,

five female jobs are going to be

0:54:150:54:18

lost.

Aren't going to have to stop

you there because we have another

0:54:180:54:24

politician in the room. -- I am

going to have to stop you. Do you

0:54:240:54:28

have some better ideas in the Green

Party?

I think what we struggle to

0:54:280:54:34

do in Wales is recognise that most

of our industry is going back to

0:54:340:54:38

coal-mining, a lot of the wealth is

leaving. I'm working, many people

0:54:380:54:43

are working like ants, and is not

local -- it is not local people

0:54:430:54:49

getting the money, it is people

offshore. The fourth Industrial

0:54:490:54:54

Revolution, that will be

nano-technology and renewable

0:54:540:54:56

energy. Rather than spread ourselves

so thinly, we should look at the

0:54:560:55:02

tidal lagoons in Swansea, have all

that revenue in Wales, staying in

0:55:020:55:05

Wales. But one of the fundamental

things I'm noticing as well from the

0:55:050:55:10

stories is we have an economy that

works against people rather than for

0:55:100:55:14

them, so shouldn't we start thinking

about how we become much more...?

0:55:140:55:19

Like, civic pride. How'd we work for

other? How do make sure people who

0:55:190:55:26

end up caring for their mothers or

parents aren't penalised? -- how do

0:55:260:55:34

we work for each other? And then a

universal income. Everybody gets

0:55:340:55:40

paid a standard salary every week.

If we can stop these tax loopholes

0:55:400:55:45

and implement some really

progressive taxes so that if you

0:55:450:55:49

have a £10 million house or a £3

million house, you pay significantly

0:55:490:55:53

more tax. It is possible to do. By

doing that, we can potentially work

0:55:530:55:58

less. Maybe that can help with our

mental health crisis. We need to

0:55:580:56:02

start coming up with some big, big

solutions. Otherwise we will

0:56:020:56:07

continue to struggle.

APPLAUSE

0:56:070:56:08

Thank you. We are coming close to

the end of the show and I want to

0:56:080:56:14

hear from some use in the room. No

offence to anyone else. -- from some

0:56:140:56:20

young people. Because you are the

future. What do you want politicians

0:56:200:56:23

to do to secure your future?

It was

really interesting hearing people

0:56:230:56:30

saying about investing in young

people. In a way, we're talking

0:56:300:56:33

about quality of jobs. I think

there's something about allocation

0:56:330:56:36

of jobs as well, because I've chosen

to go to university and leave the

0:56:360:56:41

area, but there are people in my

year at school, I went to a local

0:56:410:56:45

Welsh school, who have so many

amazing skills but they are being

0:56:450:56:48

pushed to go to university. That's

not the best option for them. So we

0:56:480:56:53

really need to... And I'm seeing a

lot of this being discussed at the

0:56:530:56:56

moment. We need to invest in

apprenticeship programmes,

0:56:560:57:00

internships, different kinds of

things. And we also have a situation

0:57:000:57:04

in the UK and Wales where we have

refugees and asylum seekers coming

0:57:040:57:09

in and we are putting someone who is

an expert in agriculture in Cardiff

0:57:090:57:12

and somebody who works in the food

industry in Abergavenny. These

0:57:120:57:19

allocations don't make sense and we

need some real strategic work, not

0:57:190:57:24

just around young people but around

everyone as to how we can make sense

0:57:240:57:29

of it some more.

Thank you. OK,

another comment.

I just wanted to

0:57:290:57:35

follow up because I currently work

for the Cardiff volunteer centre,

0:57:350:57:38

which is the biggest centre, and we

get an influx of many young people

0:57:380:57:47

and the skills gap has not been

taken care of. That's the issue I

0:57:470:57:50

have with politicians in general,

because it seems the solutions are

0:57:500:57:55

not being pursued based on feedback

from the population. They are not

0:57:550:58:02

listening. So what happens is, for

people, they are looking for a way

0:58:020:58:06

to a means. They need to have a good

job, money on the table to feed

0:58:060:58:10

their family. The other way round

for politicians it -- is it as a

0:58:100:58:18

means to weigh, to make the

statistics look good. Look at

0:58:180:58:22

Silicon Valley. 75% of workers there

have been from diverse backgrounds

0:58:220:58:26

and the of money that has come. So

there are resources in the country

0:58:260:58:31

but it is not being used at optimum

level.

Thank you. We really do hope

0:58:310:58:39

that the politicians here in the

room tonight are listening. Thank

0:58:390:58:43

you so much to everyone here for

having us. To everybody that has

0:58:430:58:48

contributed this evening as well.

The very first of our debates. This

0:58:480:58:52

programme is about putting people

back at the centre of politics. I

0:58:520:58:55

hope we've started to do that.

There's so much more to say, so

0:58:550:58:59

carry on the conversations on social

media.

Yes. On Facebook and Twitter,

0:58:590:59:06

#BBCTheHour. And remember that this

debate show is on the road as well.

0:59:060:59:13

Yes, so keep a lookout because we

might be coming to somewhere near

0:59:130:59:16

you very soon. Good night.

0:59:160:59:22

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