Episode 17 Sunday Morning Live


Episode 17

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Speaking on the drawn mar show this morning, the Harriet Harman said

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that their needed to be a single judgment-led inquiry. -- speaking

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on the Andrew Marr Show. There are a multiplicity of enquiries. We

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need one over-arching inquiry. Stoke Mandeville is looking into

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what happened there and the Department of health looking into

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how he was able to run a task force. And they are looking into why files

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were presented to the police and there were no charges and the Leeds

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General Infirmary. We need one over-arching inquiry. Should this

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be independent? It should be. There are big lessons to be learned here.

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What is it about politicians that barely a week goes by now without

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one of them calling for another inquiry? It is the easy thing to

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say, isn't it, really? I think the BBC seems to have entered into a

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kind of compulsive self-flannelling racial mode at this point on this

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story. -- self--flagalation. But there is a point that not

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everything is a conspiracy. The decision to drop that Newsnight

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programme was possibly more of a cockup rather than a conspiracy.

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They do happen, even in the BBC. But it is a feeding frenzy for

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everybody Rowenna. If you look at the Sunday Times this morning, they

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are having a go at the outgoing DG, Mark Thompson, going to the New

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York Times where Mr Murdoch is locked in a biter battle with the

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Wall Street Journal. We have the Tory press baegt up on Chris Patten,

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they never liked him as a Tory and you have everybody beating up on

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The inquiries are not called for fun. We need accountability. On the

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point of the public -- BBC liability, it is in a dangerous

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position. The right-wing press will jump on them, if we have these

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inquiries one by one. There are vested interests who what to see

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the licence fee ended. We need George Entwistle to come out with

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some strong action. He needs to come out and say why and never

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again. How can anybody say that? We employ a 22,000 people, something

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else will happen. Not as endemic as this. A lot of the calls for

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enquiry have been frivolous. The call for an enquiry into banking as

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a whole. But this scandal is officially sprawling and has

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ensnared so many institutions, the NHS, social services, that you need

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one overarching. To take Leah's -- take years, keep liars in well-paid

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jobs. It does not guarantee it will never happen again but if it

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reduces the chances... Who is investigated? Who is investigating

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Brogborough, Stoke Mandeville, Leeds General Infirmary? They all

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gave Jimmy Savile run of the institution. You would hope they

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are doing investigations themselves, but having said that, this was a

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very long time ago, and I don't think this would happen today. We

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are talking about several decades ago. It has been happening in

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Rochdale right now, for the past couple of years. We're not talking

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about a celebrity. Young girls being systemically, regularly

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abused. It is happening now. That is very different to what we're

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talking about now in terms of the one big celebrity. That interview

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was not pulled long ago and that is what makes it relevant. I agree

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that child abuse and a cemetery of power, the problems of confronting

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the authority remains, and one good thing that could come out of this

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is we could address that better in the future. There is a danger this

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country suffers from too many inquiries and to many resignations.

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We have already seen Peter Ripon go. He was the editor of Newsnight.

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is unlikely he will come back. There is now the question of George

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Entwistle bowling. Mark Thompson's job is now under question in New

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York, such as the brand damage to be associated with the BBC. Who is

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vulnerable? Is there a demand for a scalp, and who is likely to have

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their head on the guillotine? think we're getting a bit

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hysterical. David Cameron was quoted as saying the BBC could be

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fatally damaged and I just think that is totally over-the-top.

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Fatally damaged, that means the end of the BBC. I don't think so.

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not fatally damaged, it is a bad time, I live through the Patten

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report, the Iraq investigation. That was a bad time. His problem is

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much bigger than the BBC, it is also about why the tabloids did not

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investigated and the police. Which public institution is left that

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commands trust? The BBC take it, the tabloids, Parliament, is that

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the judiciary? Trust levels in judges are quite high, other than

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that, I can think of a British public institution not morally

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tainted. This programme! The one bit of the BBC that works. After

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omnishambles, U turns, policy on the hoof and a protracted

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resignation, finally some good news for the Government. The double-dip

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is history. Britain is out of recession. Good economic news

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landed on the desk of the chief secretary. The economy grew by 1%

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over the last three months, helped by the Olympics and no bank

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holidays, but positive news nonetheless. But with inflation at

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its lowest level for three years, the government says we are on the

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right track. To many of us feel any better off? Analysts say the

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average Briton 18,000 is �1,800 worse off than the recession. With

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everyone and rising energy prices, inflation could increase. The

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eurozone cast a shadow over the economy, as do domestic spending

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cuts. The Chief Secretary to the Welcome. The economy has barely

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grown in the 2.5 years you have been in power, are you claiming

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this flat lining has nothing to do with the austerity measures you

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introduced? What I'm saying is this country has a number of very deep-

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rooted economic problems, the legacy of the financial crisis, the

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mistakes made in the public finances by the Labour predecessors,

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that was a mess we needed clear-up. The pressures from the eurozone, a

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high inflation, that means growth has been slower than we would have

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liked. Have the austerity measures played a part? The judgment you

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have got to make is going back to 2010, if we let things as they were,

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did not put in a plan for austerity, I think the impact would have been

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worse. You can look at other countries around the world and see

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what happened to countries that did not have a plan, the question is,

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be putting in place the plan that we have put in place and we are

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seeing through, which does involve difficult choices, is that giving a

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stronger foundation for growth? That was not a question I asked.

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Are you saying the austerity measures played no part in the flat

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lining? I'm saying if we had not gone for the programme we did, the

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spending reductions, the economy would be in a worse position. One

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of the benefits of that is the lower interest rate. That is not

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the question I am asking. I think the way you need to look this is

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whether any policy has had an effect, but is the choice we make

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the right one for the economy? I think it is, it is keeping interest

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rates low, helping people with the cost of their mortgages, businesses

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with the cost of finance. If you make decisions about their reducing

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benefits, increasing VAT, these things have an effect on the

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economy, but the net effect of having chosen a path of credibility

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and confidence is the right answer. You play the eurozone crisis, that

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was one reason, commodity prices have also been blamed. But they

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affect every economy in the West. Why has the UK recovery been weaker

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than almost every other economy? you look around Europe you will see

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a number of countries that are in a worse position than us more. One of

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the biggest mistake that was made in the run-up to the crisis is to

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do with the failures of regulation of the financial sector, the

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banking system. The weight of those mistakes and the weight of the

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broken banking system is holding the economy back more than other

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countries, the Kazakh banking system is larger as a share of the

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economy than in other countries. -- because our banking system. If you

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look at the year's coming out of the banking crisis, the economy was

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on a similar path to recovery, the same as countries like Germany. It

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only fell behind when he took over the public finances in 2010 and

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began austerity. What you had in that period was people scrutinising

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Britain's public finances, the people from whom we are still

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borrowing tens of billions of pounds every year, questioning the

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credibility of the government's economic strategy, that meant that

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when we came into office, the long- term interest rates were at the

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same level as countries like Spain and Italy. We have seen at the path

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they have taken. That is why I believe we made the right decisions.

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In a sense, what we inherited was not just a mess in public finances,

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it was a deficit in competitiveness. That is why we are investing in

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infrastructure and skills, deregulating, things that will lift

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the growth potential of the economy. I believe in the end, the previous

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Labour government was to focus on financial services and the City of

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London. The only way to get back to sustainable growth is having a more

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balanced approach to the economy. Since the coalition came to office,

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the economy has grown by only 0.6% in 2.5 years. You pays your

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spending cuts on official projections that the economy would

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have grown by almost 6% by now. It has grown by 0.6%. You were 10 out.

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If you had known then what he knew now, would you have agreed to cut

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so much? I would. In fact, it is the projections from the Office for

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Budget Responsibility. That is wrong. They published an evaluation

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of why the focus has gone wrong. They focused on a high commodity

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prices, the eurozone, the financial system. They did not place great

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weight on posterity as having a negative effect. If we had not

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taken the decisions we did, the dangers for the economy, we were on

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the verge, the judgment we made was the right one, but it was difficult.

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Even if you had known the economy was going to flat line for 2.5

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years, you would still have gone ahead with all the cuts and tax

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increases? Of course, you need to base your judgment on what you know

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at the time. We can ask hypothetical questions, we could

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have been given any set of numbers, but the basic challenge we face in

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2010 was a country that did not have a plan to deal with financial

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problems, to reform the economy, left the growth potential. We put

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in place those things and as a result there is greater confidence

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and credibility in a United Kingdom than would have been otherwise.

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Let's look at what would have been The growth hasn't happen and

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productivity is falling now.. 7 it wasn't sufficiently strong to

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outweigh the negative effects. The economy hasn't grown. You cannot

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still stand by that statement. will go back to what I have said.

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If you look at the OBR, who are responsible for the forecasts, we

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have quite rightly taken the forecasts out of the hands of

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politicians, so they are done independently. They publish why the

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forecasts were out. They have cited the problems in the eurozone, which

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have had an effect on business confidence here and exports and

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high commodity prices. They are stronger headwinds, if you like,

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than we'd expected where things have been more difficult than we

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expected. We knew they were going to be difficult when we came into

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office but I don't think the path we set is wrong. You can look at

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other countries who haven't had plans in place to deal with their

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financial problems. When we came in the you UK had one of the largest

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budget deficits in the world. If you look in countries in southern

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Europe, they are growing a great deal more slowly. Which major

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economy has grown more slowly than us? If you look at countries if in

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southern Europe, litly and Spain. But in the past two years they

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haven't grown more slowly. If you look at the forecasts for those,

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they are a great deal slower than us. Forecasts. But the judgment we

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have to make is given the circumstances we face, when

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Britain's economic credibility was on the line and when there was no

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plan, did we make the right judgments? My answer is yes.

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Although I have not asked you tkha question, you have answered the

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three times. Probably a record for the Sunday Politics It is the

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central point. I have got that point all right. Look at this chart

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here. What this show, the yellow, the 23%, shows less than one-

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quarter of the cuts to current quarter of the cuts to current

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spending have yet to be introduced. 77% of your cuts have still to be

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done. Will the effect of the 77% that we have still to go threw,

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what effect will that have on the economy? Will it be positive,

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economy? Will it be positive, negative or neutral? I don't

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recognise the figures. Current spending, Institute of Fiscal

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Studies. We have set out in our Spending Review, plans to reduce

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spending progressively year on year spending progressively year on year

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over four years in the Parliament. We have half way through delivering

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the plans. By the end of the year, 48% of the spending cuts will have

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been delivered as well as various tax increases you know Bwe are

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entering into a process of setting out plans for the first year of the

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next Parliament. And, look, part of what we have to do is to Mick sure

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we make the reductions in a way that minimises impact on the

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economy. -- make sure. Will they be positive, negative or neutral?

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me carry on. Which is for example, if you look at capital spending

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which has a big impact on the economy and where we are spending

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more than the previous Government set out. We have been through the

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process to spend that on the things that will have the biggest impact

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on the economy. We are spending more on the transport

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infrastructure than our predecessors. You are coming on to

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what I want to talk about, Mr Alexander. Because the Liberal

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Democrats are particularly fond of state investment, in what is called

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- you have euphemistically, infrastructure spending to boost

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growth. Nick Clegg told in September, 2011,

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he promised a ger-shift in Government to unblock the system,

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get the money out of the door. -- gear-shift. Everybody cheered. How

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much extra infrastructure spending has there been? Has gone out the

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door in the 13 months since he said that. I don't know the precise

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answer. I would say two things: in our Spending Review we increased

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the amount of capital spending by �2 billion a year, compared to the

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plans set out by Labour. In the autumn statement we allocated an

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extra �5 billion to capital investment. But getting our

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infrastructure going is not just about the public sector. So, for

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example, we've announced UK guarantee scheme. We've had more

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than 50 expressions of interest from private sector infrastructure

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projects where a Government guarantee can get them going.

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Tomorrow morning I'm getting with 40 chief executives of major extra

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providers. We are sitting down with the industry to work with them to

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deliver the infrastructure plans faster and more effectively than

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have been set out. I'm glad you have said that. The Director-

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General of the CBI said "Businesses looking for action (on what you are

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talking about and we haven't seen it yet) we are critical of the

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execution and delivery. The pace needs to pick up." I agree. That's

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why I asked John Cridland after he said that, to come along to the

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infrastructure committee in Government which I chair. This is

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the message from Treasury I'm giving to other departments in

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Government. He said he supports the pact that infrastructure is a big

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focus for this Government and a big focus for the Liberal Democrats and

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it is vitally important to lifting the growth potential of this

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country. We have done big things, we are investing more in railways,

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for example, since the Victorian times. Let's look at the overall

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picture. Since you make a big deal. Let's look at the figures up here.

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This is public sector net investment from the office of

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investment from the office of Budget responsibility.

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Everry year you are cutting public sector net investment.

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Infrastructure spending. You started at 38 billion by 2015 you

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will be down to �22 bill yob. River year it falls If you look --

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billion. If you look at the plans we inherited. They were sharper

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than that. I cannot conjure money up out of thin air. We have the

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biggest deficit we've had in our country's history. We are trying to

:21:34.:21:38.

deal with those problems by getting better value for that money by

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using Government guarantees to offer guarantees for up to �50

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billion of projects funded in the private sector, knotted public

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sector to bring the investment forward -- not the public sector.

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We are giving more to energy investors to bring infrastructure

:21:55.:21:58.

investment forward. There is lots you can do to get infrastructure

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going. You mentioned the guarantee going. You mentioned the guarantee

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scheme. But you are guaranteeing the borrowing of plieft companies

:22:04.:22:07.

and infrastructure investment. How is that give from the Government

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doing the borrowing itself, which it could do more cheaply, other

:22:12.:22:15.

than it is an accountcy sleight of hand it. Doesn't end up on the

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Government's balance sheet. But it is the same thing. It is different

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because these are private sector projects being brought forward by

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the private sector but because we are seeing difficult conditions in

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the funding markets, for many reasons you gave earlier,

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particularly around the eurozone crisis and lack of confidence, the

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big Riisek is not that the projects cannot be funded eventually - the

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big risk, but because of the delays, by offering a guarantee we can

:22:42.:22:44.

bring them forward and make sure they happen now over the next 12

:22:44.:22:47.

months and get more activity in our economy happening now. I think

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that's a wise use of the strength of this country's balance sheet

:22:50.:22:54.

that we've built up because we have taken tough economy decisions.

:22:54.:22:58.

me move on to the autumn statement it. Would be good if you could be

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concise. They are specific questions. The Chancellor has ruled

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out a mansion tax at the party conference is. That idea now dead

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nted water for the rest of the Parliament? I still -- dead in the

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water. I still believe the mansion tax is the right thing. Is it dead

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in the water as an idea? I will not enter into autumn statement s

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through the medium of this programme. We will sit down over

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the next few weeks to discuss the different ideas on the table. I'm

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not going to have the negotiations in public. Could there be a mansion

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tax? I would say to you that making sure the wealthiest in this country,

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the people who have the most, contribute the most, in the next

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round of deficit reduction is an essential principle for Liberal

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Democrats and we will not bring forward a package that doesn't meet

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that. When you were last in the show you said that tax avoidance is

:23:48.:23:51.

morally repugnant. I still believe that, absolutely. Starbucks which

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has paid �8 million in tax on �3 billion on profits. Is it morally

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repugnant? As a Treasury Minster I will not get into commenting on the

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affairs of individual tax payers. I don't have information about

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individual tax payers. They have paid almost no, eBay, Facebook,

:24:11.:24:15.

Google, Amazon. If you are serious about tax aindividualance don't you

:24:15.:24:19.

have to do something about it? are. We are taking steps across the

:24:19.:24:24.

range of tax avoidance and tax evasion on individuals, wealthy

:24:24.:24:32.

individuals and businesses. No tax on a �3 billion takeover. We are

:24:33.:24:38.

investing in the HMRC so they have to resources to go after the tax

:24:38.:24:42.

avoiders. Whether you are a big company a welty individual, we are

:24:42.:24:47.

coming to get to you make sure you pay your fair share. -- wealthy.

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That includes these companies I named? That includes anybody.

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me finish up on Scotland. Do you still think it wise, in view of the

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serious issues of trust raised by your party and others about Alex

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Salmond, last week in Scotland, do you think it wise to let him set

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the question? I'm glad we have got out of the process questions. And

:25:08.:25:13.

we are going to have the referendum. We haven't set the question One of

:25:13.:25:16.

the things we secured was the roll of the Electoral Commission in the

:25:16.:25:20.

Scottish referendum in exactly the same way as it plays in UK

:25:20.:25:22.

referendums. I think there are more immediate questions for Alex

:25:22.:25:26.

Salmond to aeb. He has to answer the question why it was that he

:25:26.:25:29.

allowed thousands of pounds of tax payers' money to be investing in

:25:29.:25:34.

paying lawyers it prepare a court case to prevent him releasing legal

:25:34.:25:39.

advice that turned out didn't exist on Scotland's EU membership. His

:25:39.:25:41.

accounting officer has questions to answer. There are rules about

:25:41.:25:47.

public finances in this country. You shouldn't just waste taxpayers'

:25:47.:25:51.

money on politicians' vanity projects. You are happy he can set

:25:51.:25:56.

the question. I think in the end, if what the -- what the Scottish

:25:56.:25:59.

people want is information, facts before them to understand what it

:26:00.:26:02.

means and I think if Alex Salmond tries to fiddle the question the

:26:02.:26:06.

Scottish people will come down on him like a tonne of bricks.

:26:06.:26:08.

shall see. Now, should parents have as many

:26:08.:26:13.

kids as they want and send the bill to the rest of us? Work and

:26:13.:26:16.

Pensions Secretary, Iain Duncan Smith thinks not, as part of his

:26:16.:26:20.

efforts to cut billions from the Welfare Bill, he says in future

:26:20.:26:23.

parents should be paid child- related benefits for a maximum of

:26:23.:26:27.

just two children. In a moment we'll go head-to-head on the rights

:26:27.:26:35.

and wrongs of such a policy. First here is Susana Mendonsa.

:26:35.:26:40.

! Children are costly. Clothes, food, toys, the list goes on. If

:26:40.:26:45.

you are a working family, you may decide only to have as many as you

:26:45.:26:49.

can afford. That's certainly the case for Danyel, a South African-

:26:50.:26:55.

born college lecturer, living in Karl shal ton, she has one child,

:26:55.:26:58.

15 Monday Isobella. She would love three but can't afford them. She

:26:58.:27:03.

says it isn't fair that families on benefits chief more state cash the

:27:03.:27:06.

more children they have. Definitely unfair. My husband and I work hard.

:27:06.:27:10.

We earn good money and here we are sitting every month thinking - OK,

:27:10.:27:13.

do the figures add up for us to have another one? Then you see

:27:13.:27:18.

people that don't go to work with three, four, children and you just

:27:18.:27:21.

think - how fair is that when they are not having to think about the

:27:21.:27:25.

same things that we have to think about, when it comes to deciding

:27:25.:27:30.

how many children you want to have and if you can afford to have them.

:27:30.:27:33.

Parents who are on income support receive around �82 extra a week in

:27:33.:27:39.

benefits for their first child and around �65 a week for each

:27:39.:27:41.

subsequent child according to the Child Poverty Action Group. But

:27:41.:27:45.

Iain Duncan Smith wants to kapt benefits at child number two. --

:27:45.:27:49.

cap the benefits. It is estimated it would save around �200 million.

:27:49.:27:54.

That's only a fraction of the �10 billion the Chancellor says needs

:27:54.:27:58.

to be wiped off the welfare budget. But some say it would still be good

:27:58.:28:04.

news for tax payers. Every penny of this spending is a penny taken out

:28:04.:28:09.

of their pockets making it harder for them to afford this. Re

:28:09.:28:13.

dressing the balance so tax paying and benefit-claiming families both

:28:13.:28:16.

have to make the same tough decisions over how many children

:28:16.:28:19.

they can afford is only fair and realistic.

:28:19.:28:24.

But what about the potential impact on families that rely on benefits?

:28:24.:28:28.

Like Peter, a single dad in Brixton with two kids. Financially it is

:28:29.:28:31.

completely wrong. Because it's not the children's fault. The children

:28:31.:28:36.

need to be supported in some way. Like I have both of these, he is

:28:36.:28:39.

autistic. I cannot go out to work because he goes to school for a few

:28:39.:28:42.

hours. It is half term next week. There is not many jobs where you

:28:43.:28:47.

can have, you know every two months or so, have a week off, it doesn't

:28:47.:28:51.

exist. So, you know in the long-run it ends up costing more money.

:28:51.:28:55.

cut wouldn't come into effect until after the next general election and

:28:55.:28:59.

it isn't yet clear which benefits would be included.

:28:59.:29:04.

It with also most likely only apply to new claimants.

:29:04.:29:10.

But some charities say families in work could end up losing out, too.

:29:10.:29:14.

Six out of ten poor children live with a work parent. These are the

:29:15.:29:18.

strivers, working really hard, in low-paid jobs. They have already

:29:19.:29:22.

had cuts to tax credit, child benefit and housing benefit and so

:29:22.:29:25.

on and they claim benefits this. Policy of two children would affect

:29:25.:29:29.

people in work as much as it affects people out of work.

:29:29.:29:33.

While the ideas of a benefits cap does play well with potential

:29:33.:29:37.

voters now, it's how it works in practice that could make or break

:29:37.:29:47.
:29:47.:29:48.

Conservative MP, Philip Davis and Kate Bell from the Child Poverty

:29:48.:29:56.

Action Group are here to go head- to-head.

:29:56.:30:00.

Kate Bell evening working families are having to delay having kids

:30:00.:30:04.

because of the economic circumstances. So it s it fair to

:30:04.:30:14.
:30:14.:30:22.

It is not clear what the aim of this policy is. It does not say

:30:22.:30:25.

very much my and we do not think anyone is having children based on

:30:25.:30:30.

whether they get more benefits or not. It does not save much money,

:30:30.:30:35.

it does not affect those getting benefits already, it is politics.

:30:35.:30:38.

It will save some money by definition but it is mainly about

:30:38.:30:41.

fairness. Everybody needs to make decisions about whether they can

:30:41.:30:45.

afford to have children. Lots of people make that decision but some

:30:45.:30:49.

people are not making that decision. They are free to have as many

:30:49.:30:53.

children as they like, get more and more in benefits, pay for a bigger

:30:53.:31:03.
:31:03.:31:03.

House than they have, and other people cannot afford to decide that.

:31:03.:31:07.

Those people making those decisions are having to put their hand deeper

:31:07.:31:10.

into their pockets in taxation to pay for those who do not make those

:31:10.:31:15.

decisions. We really need to tackle some of the messier. There is a

:31:15.:31:19.

tiny proportion of families on out- of-work benefits to have more than

:31:19.:31:25.

two children. 95% of them have two children are less. The other thing

:31:25.:31:28.

is, when you have your children you do not know what will happen to you.

:31:28.:31:32.

We just came out of a double-dip recession, many people lost their

:31:32.:31:36.

jobs, they did not expect to be bringing up children on benefits,

:31:36.:31:41.

should we be penalising them on that? The point about that his

:31:41.:31:43.

people need to take responsibility for their own decisions and their

:31:43.:31:47.

own lives. They cannot expect other people do forever pick up the tab

:31:47.:31:52.

on the back of their decisions. We all know the world is not safe for

:31:52.:31:57.

people in their jobs, jobs are vulnerable, they are decisions we

:31:57.:32:01.

need to take ourselves, we need to take responsibility. We cannot

:32:01.:32:04.

expect the taxpayer to pay more in benefits to pick up the tab

:32:04.:32:09.

whatever people's circumstances, people need to make more

:32:09.:32:12.

responsible decisions. The welfare budget has grown massively over the

:32:12.:32:20.

last 10 or 15 years. We need to make decisions that make it fairer.

:32:20.:32:25.

I suppose those on the side of the argument say the welfare system is

:32:25.:32:29.

providing a perverse incentive for people on benefit to have more

:32:29.:32:33.

children. There is absolutely no evidence that is going on. The

:32:34.:32:36.

Department for Work and Pensions look into this a few years ago, it

:32:36.:32:40.

produced a report and found there was minimal or no effect of welfare

:32:40.:32:45.

on fertility, so this idea of a perverse incentive, we have no

:32:45.:32:51.

evidence. When Iain Duncan Smith speaks about at clustering of large

:32:51.:32:56.

families at the lowest incomes, he has no evidence for that? We have

:32:56.:33:05.

not seen the numbers. Whereas the evidence? We do see this happening,

:33:05.:33:10.

we read reports in the papers of families with eight or 10 kids on

:33:10.:33:16.

benefits, expecting to be housed in bigger Houses. My constituents come

:33:16.:33:20.

to me and talk about these people living down the street from them.

:33:20.:33:26.

It builds up resentment among many working-class walkers who are going

:33:26.:33:31.

out. -- working-class voters. They see other people in the same street

:33:31.:33:35.

not making the stuff decisions. They are sitting back and expecting

:33:35.:33:41.

the taxpayer to pick up the tab. That is simply unfair. It is really

:33:41.:33:45.

important that in emotive areas we make the policy based on evidence,

:33:45.:33:51.

not rumours are a one-off story in the papers. The vast majority of

:33:51.:33:56.

families on benefits have two or less children. We also know that

:33:56.:34:01.

most people stay on Jobseeker's Allowance for less than a year, 90%

:34:01.:34:04.

arrived of work for less than a year. The idea that we have people

:34:04.:34:09.

on benefits having more and more children is just a myth. What if a

:34:09.:34:13.

moderate -- what if a mother of three subtly becomes widowed, what

:34:13.:34:19.

would happen to her? The details need to be ironed out. It is quite

:34:19.:34:23.

an important detail. People who already have a child might have

:34:23.:34:28.

twins. Those things can be dealt with by exception. Exceptions can

:34:28.:34:33.

be dealt with in the benefits system, but we should have a set

:34:33.:34:39.

policy that is the norm. We can deal with exceptions when they come

:34:40.:34:43.

along in individual cases. But I think Iain Duncan Smith is

:34:43.:34:48.

absolutely right. He has observed a problem that lots of my

:34:48.:34:50.

constituents think is undermining the welfare state and he is

:34:50.:34:56.

bringing forward a sensible policy that would restore confidence.

:34:56.:35:01.

results we have in this suggest that most people think what he says

:35:01.:35:07.

his spare. Again, we have met said there. People are mistaken? It is

:35:07.:35:13.

really important to look at the evidence. The idea that people on

:35:13.:35:20.

benefits having extra children, it is a myth. There is lots of

:35:20.:35:23.

insecurity, everyone is worried about where their money is going,

:35:23.:35:27.

but to have these policies that target people and ultimately the

:35:27.:35:31.

effect is to target children. That is not the right way to goal.

:35:31.:35:35.

of the welfare budget is spent on the elderly, so here you are

:35:35.:35:40.

targeting child related benefits but you continue to pay winter fuel

:35:40.:35:44.

payments to millionaire pensioners. That is a different issue. It is

:35:44.:35:49.

the same. It is spareness. We are trying to reward people who do the

:35:49.:35:54.

right thing and penalise people who do the wrong thing. The welfare

:35:54.:35:57.

system at the moment disincentive for people to do the wrong thing

:35:57.:36:02.

and penalises those doing the right thing. What Iain Duncan Smith has

:36:02.:36:07.

been doing, what he is proposing is to rebalance the welfare system to

:36:07.:36:12.

reward those who make responsible decisions and does not reward those

:36:12.:36:15.

who take irresponsible decisions. This will penalise children whose

:36:15.:36:25.

parents are unlucky enough to lose their jobs. Thank you. Coming up in

:36:25.:36:28.

20 minutes, I will be looking at the week ahead with the political

:36:28.:36:38.
:36:38.:36:43.

panel. Until then, the Sunday Politics across the UK.

:36:43.:36:47.

Welcome to Sunday Politics in the capital. Coming up, our

:36:47.:36:53.

redevelopment of Earls Court will bring jobs and schools to the area,

:36:53.:36:58.

but were the people living on estates due for demolition unduly

:36:58.:37:02.

pressurised into supporting the demands? They said we could be put

:37:02.:37:09.

anywhere in London, Clapham, Croydon, other places. He said we

:37:09.:37:14.

could even be put in a hotel, and that scared me. With me is the

:37:15.:37:20.

Conservative MP for Calders cream, and the Liberal Democrat former

:37:20.:37:26.

health minister. -- Golders Green. Is the NHS in London safe in the

:37:26.:37:30.

government's hands? There are plans to rationalise healthcare across

:37:30.:37:35.

the capital. It is clear there are mighty battles ahead. At a party

:37:35.:37:40.

that is the plan to have you were large centres of excellence. -- at

:37:40.:37:47.

the heart of it. Around the capital, health service chiefs are facing

:37:47.:37:53.

growing calls rethink in the face of mergers and closures. In July,

:37:53.:37:58.

the South London Healthcare Trust, which includes the Queen Mary's in

:37:58.:38:04.

Sidcup, became the first trust to be put into administration by the

:38:04.:38:10.

Government. They ran up debts of �150 million. The administrators

:38:10.:38:19.

will announce their plans on Monday. Meanwhile, NHS south-west London,

:38:19.:38:24.

they have put up a local panel that will close to local maternity unit

:38:24.:38:31.

at St Hellier us. The former health minister has attacked it. He said

:38:31.:38:36.

it is dangerous. It is north-west London where it glazers -- the

:38:36.:38:42.

scale is most dramatic. They will close four out of nine Accident and

:38:42.:38:47.

Emergency units. In Ealing, the plan comes after a year in which

:38:48.:38:57.
:38:58.:38:58.

admissions have gone up 22%. NHS chiefs argue it is about creating

:38:58.:39:06.

fewer large centres, they say this Let's doctor our political

:39:07.:39:12.

correspondent. This is clearly a minefield. What happens next?

:39:12.:39:17.

a minefield are a time bomb. We have competing demands, clinicians

:39:17.:39:23.

are saying they need change, there is an ageing population, we need to

:39:23.:39:28.

save �5 billion across London. We cannot carry on. Compare that to

:39:28.:39:32.

what local people are saying, they say they do not want the local

:39:32.:39:40.

services to disappear, it is difficult. The timebomb factor, in

:39:40.:39:46.

April, the London health authority will be abolished and replaced.

:39:46.:39:50.

These decisions come to ahead in February, when Jeremy Hunt will

:39:50.:39:57.

have all these consultations on his desk. Can this be characterised as

:39:57.:40:01.

the rational against the emotional? What would make sense for the whole

:40:01.:40:07.

of London against what people feel about their local hospital? Yes, it

:40:07.:40:12.

can. The NHS says it cannot go on, the need to make savings otherwise

:40:12.:40:18.

things will fall over. We will have accident and emergency units closed

:40:18.:40:21.

overnight because there is a lack of staff. On the other hand you

:40:21.:40:24.

have people saying if they take things away they will get worse

:40:24.:40:28.

care. It is a simple argument but for the politicians it is really

:40:28.:40:36.

difficult, because there is no good enclosing services. In north-west

:40:36.:40:43.

London, does it make sense to have so much here? If you were designing

:40:43.:40:48.

north-west London you would put three or four hospitals, not nine.

:40:48.:40:52.

London has grown up in an odd way over the years and people have got

:40:52.:40:56.

used to having major hospitals next to them. The NHS say that cannot go

:40:57.:41:06.

on. A final point on a different crisis, in south-east London.

:41:06.:41:09.

special trust administrator who went in will make his announcement

:41:09.:41:13.

on Monday. He will look at the whole of south London from what we

:41:13.:41:16.

understand, and he will suggest that another accident and emergency

:41:17.:41:20.

in Lewisham is going to have to close. That is the source of a

:41:20.:41:28.

growing campaign among MPs in all parties. Thank you. I enjoyed by

:41:28.:41:32.

daughter Spencer, part of the group that came up with the plan to close

:41:32.:41:39.

four accident and emergency units in London. That would mean an age

:41:39.:41:43.

year -- an area the size of Leeds left without an accident and

:41:43.:41:50.

emergency. That is a gross exaggeration. We have just finished

:41:50.:41:53.

consultation, we are analysing the results. If you look at our

:41:53.:41:59.

hospitals we are closing, Charing Cross is two miles from Westminster,

:41:59.:42:05.

Ealing Hospital is 3.5 miles. They do not leave the population without

:42:05.:42:11.

local services. We needed because admissions to Ealing accident and

:42:11.:42:17.

emergency are up by 20%. We are fully aware we need local services,

:42:17.:42:23.

and we are recommending urgent care centres, most of that growth is in

:42:23.:42:28.

those that go to those centres. That is people who cannot go to the

:42:28.:42:36.

GP, they are not going to major trauma. How can you convince

:42:36.:42:42.

people? Petitions are coming, you know what is happening. What we are

:42:42.:42:48.

describing is investing and making hospitals bigger and better, the

:42:48.:42:53.

services we have is variable, some of the accident and emergency units

:42:53.:42:59.

have no paediatrics, general surgery, behind the front door.

:42:59.:43:03.

People assume they have everything and that is not the case. We need a

:43:03.:43:09.

consistent, large major hospital that provides better care. How much

:43:09.:43:13.

our politicians helping or hindering? They do not want these

:43:13.:43:19.

hospital closures either. It is difficult for politicians, I hope

:43:19.:43:23.

they will get on board and explained that very rational

:43:23.:43:28.

changes we are making. We can demonstrate we're going to save

:43:28.:43:33.

lives and improve care. In the past, centralised services, we save lives

:43:33.:43:40.

every year through changes, and it was opposed by politicians.

:43:40.:43:44.

Clinicians said it was the best thing to do. I hope politicians

:43:44.:43:54.
:43:54.:44:00.

will listen to us. Kenya reassure - - can you reassure you go stages

:44:00.:44:05.

that these changes are necessary? would be prepared to make the case,

:44:05.:44:11.

but the problem is on the evidence, the case does not stand up. They

:44:11.:44:16.

say they can take 60% of people out of south-west London, I did those

:44:16.:44:23.

units, it is not deliverable. You're losing one hospital out of

:44:23.:44:31.

four. The clinicians are saying it is possible. Why do you know

:44:31.:44:36.

better? The advisory team, who are clinic team, looked at the

:44:36.:44:41.

proposals, they said that underpinning them is the idea that

:44:41.:44:45.

60% going to accident and emergency do not need to be there, that has

:44:45.:44:50.

never been achieved anywhere in the country, it is not safe. I these

:44:50.:44:56.

undeliverable? I am not across all the details but the fatal flaw in

:44:56.:44:59.

these reconfiguration of health care is the lack credible

:44:59.:45:08.

leadership and they do not offer a credible leadership vision. It is

:45:08.:45:10.

the Strategic Health Authority looking at London as a whole and

:45:11.:45:14.

you are protecting local interests. You are putting that ahead of what

:45:14.:45:19.

is best for London. I am looking at the facts and the bases of the

:45:19.:45:25.

evidence suggests they do not add up. Across London, these are not

:45:25.:45:30.

about -- these are about getting alongside community leaders, seen

:45:30.:45:34.

the case for change and making that case. Most reconfiguration has

:45:34.:45:44.
:45:44.:45:50.

You were Health Minister. Due shi it should shall torn up across

:45:50.:45:55.

London -- do you think? I can talk as a condition constituencycy MP

:45:55.:46:00.

looking in great local detail at my local were posals, and on the

:46:00.:46:06.

grounds of fact... -- proposals. So you think they should be rolled out

:46:06.:46:10.

across London You have to look at the facts and the merits on the

:46:10.:46:13.

ground. That's what NHS London is looking, at London at a whole and

:46:13.:46:18.

there will be uncomfortable decisions? In my assessment in

:46:18.:46:20.

south-west London, we have had chaos reign because of the way they

:46:20.:46:25.

have run a demerger of my local trust which has been derailed

:46:25.:46:30.

because of the of the attempt to close an A&E department Dhas knead

:46:30.:46:39.

uncertain and unclear. Morale has been undermined -- -- it has made

:46:39.:46:44.

it uncertain and unclear. Case Farm is closing, you are happy to see

:46:44.:46:48.

that happening. There is a strange conundrum. Six months ago when we

:46:48.:46:51.

were debating NHS reforms, the public say the trust the doctors.

:46:51.:46:55.

The doctors are now saying we need to consolidate health services and

:46:55.:47:00.

we are saying don't trust them. There is a conuntrum there. The

:47:00.:47:05.

starting point is, -- conundru. But you are right, NHS London has a

:47:05.:47:09.

strategic view. But they don't sell the vision or the rational. When

:47:09.:47:15.

you had Ruth Kranel a few weeks ago in a high-handed manner saying that

:47:15.:47:20.

politicians get in the way and have no role to play it, shows a high-

:47:20.:47:23.

handed manner. But we have too many hospitals. I don't say we have that,

:47:23.:47:28.

I don't have a problem with consolidation as long as clinicians

:47:28.:47:33.

spend time explaining why it is good for patient health care. I got

:47:33.:47:40.

it wrong. I opposed a unit. I was wrong but they didn't explain it.

:47:40.:47:44.

I'm happy to explain it if clinicians get off their high horse.

:47:44.:47:52.

Paul bur sko is speaking of a different area. -- Paul Burscough.

:47:52.:47:56.

What do you say about to the clinicians. For north-west London,

:47:56.:47:59.

this has been led by all the GPs and medical trusts, whether they

:47:59.:48:04.

are under risk of changes or not. So we think tgs clinically-led. Our

:48:04.:48:10.

experience and analysis of urgent care and A&E attendances is that 60

:48:10.:48:14.

people are going urgent care centres and not A&E which has been

:48:14.:48:17.

put in place over the last several years. Thank you for joining us. It

:48:17.:48:22.

is one of the largest building projects in the capital, an �8

:48:22.:48:25.

billion redevelopment the Earls Court but in the determination to

:48:25.:48:28.

get this huge scheme under way, have people living on two estates,

:48:28.:48:35.

which will have to be demolished, been subjected to undue pressure to

:48:35.:48:38.

back it. Hammersmith and Fulham council launched an investigation

:48:38.:48:43.

that residents were offered priority housing in exchange for

:48:43.:48:47.

their support during the public consultation process. This is the

:48:47.:48:51.

master plan, an art igs's impression of the future of Earls

:48:51.:48:55.

Court. -- artist's impression. It is one of the capital's largest and

:48:55.:48:58.

most important building projects. But at the moment it is home to

:48:58.:49:02.

these estates, earmarked for demolition. Earlier this year Tommy,

:49:02.:49:06.

a resident, said a man in a suit knocked on his door and told him

:49:06.:49:10.

there would be consequences if he didn't put down a positive response

:49:10.:49:16.

on the council's consultation. said they were going to knock them

:49:16.:49:19.

down and you could be put anywhere in London, he mentioned Clapham and

:49:19.:49:25.

Croydon and other places. He said, "You could even be put into a

:49:25.:49:31.

hotel." That got me scared. As a result, Tommy said he said yes to

:49:31.:49:35.

demolition but looking back, he isn't sure who his visitor was?.

:49:35.:49:40.

knocked a at my neighbour's door. She told him to go away. He has

:49:40.:49:43.

been around a lot of people. There are lots of people he has been to,

:49:44.:49:47.

offering them flats. I don't know who he is. Other residents talk

:49:47.:49:53.

about the existence of an early- movers' list, a compilation of

:49:53.:49:57.

supporters of the demolition who had been promised a priority move

:49:57.:50:01.

out of the estate. This man says he was one of them. Once I found out

:50:01.:50:05.

the early movers' list was being taken seriously by the council, for

:50:05.:50:10.

a while it played in my mind, am I on it, should I be on it? I had to

:50:10.:50:14.

think about it. I said to an officer - am I on the list? And I

:50:14.:50:18.

was told by that officer - yes, of course you are, Richard. That was a

:50:18.:50:22.

council officer. Yes. He later resigned from the steering group,

:50:22.:50:26.

saying he believed the list to be immoral. It was offering residents

:50:26.:50:34.

an early move on to the Sea grove Road in exchange for support for

:50:34.:50:37.

the statutory consultation that took place. Last month the

:50:37.:50:39.

Metropolitan Police were handed this document by local campaigners,

:50:39.:50:44.

they say it is aaway based on interviews with 20 residents all of

:50:44.:50:48.

who talk about the existence of an early movers' list. The police have

:50:48.:50:51.

told us they are considering whether it merits launching an

:50:51.:50:54.

investigation. This week the council launched an investigation

:50:54.:50:57.

of their own into the allegations and it is hoped to report back

:50:57.:51:01.

before Christmas. Whatever the result it may not be enough to

:51:01.:51:04.

please some opponents of the redevelopment. We invited

:51:04.:51:07.

Hammersmith and Fulham council to come on to the programme but they

:51:07.:51:09.

said they didn't want to prejudice the outcome of the investigation

:51:09.:51:19.
:51:19.:51:31.

but provide us with a statement in I'm joined by the Labour Leader of

:51:31.:51:35.

the Labour Group at Hammersmith and Fulham, councillor Steve Cowan,

:51:35.:51:38.

welcome to you. This is a decision now, anyway this planning decision

:51:39.:51:43.

and the wider picture thau, can't overturn. I mean it's happening. --

:51:43.:51:47.

that you can't overturn. What are you trying to achieve? There is a

:51:47.:51:51.

case going through the High Court on the consultation and the bit of

:51:51.:51:55.

saw in your film, the allegations of what happened, what happened

:51:55.:51:58.

during the period of the statutory consultation. So I think there may

:51:59.:52:03.

well be way that is this can be blocked. The central issue is that

:52:03.:52:07.

the allegations that council officers were involved in and

:52:07.:52:12.

partners were involved in making homes for support offers, appeared

:52:12.:52:16.

in January of this year. And at no point in the nine months did the

:52:16.:52:20.

council take those allegations seriously, despite them being made

:52:20.:52:25.

by a former alIan partner of theirs. So your view leshes wanting to know

:52:25.:52:29.

exactly what was it that stopped the council investigating it. -- so

:52:29.:52:33.

your viewers will be wanting to know. But valid for a council to

:52:33.:52:36.

employ people, or the council officers to be going around talking

:52:36.:52:39.

about the benefits of regenerating, knocking down this estate and

:52:39.:52:44.

knocking on peep's doors. That would be valid. -- on people's

:52:44.:52:46.

doors. That would be valid. Initially that's what the council

:52:46.:52:51.

said it was doing. Then I asked if they had been involved in anyway in

:52:51.:52:55.

putting together a VVIP list or early movers' list. They said it

:52:55.:52:58.

was their partners in the scheme. Now in your film and your

:52:58.:53:02.

introduction you read out a bit that the council says it was doing

:53:02.:53:05.

the collection of the early movers' list. That does raise questions

:53:05.:53:08.

about what impression that created for people being offered the new

:53:09.:53:12.

homes and does that pollute the statutory consultation that it

:53:13.:53:17.

undertook during that period. this is a scheme that is going to

:53:17.:53:20.

bring so much economic good to this area, isn't it? If you were elected

:53:20.:53:25.

and you were running that council in 2014, would you try to stop this

:53:25.:53:28.

development? We would. This investment coming?. We would. We

:53:28.:53:31.

are not against redevelopment. Labour has developed and

:53:31.:53:35.

regenerated whole areas, Westfield was done under Labour's watch. What

:53:35.:53:42.

we are against is if you are going to develop 7,500 homes, only 760 of

:53:42.:53:46.

those are generally affordable. And of those there is no compunction on

:53:46.:53:51.

the developer to build any for the first ten years. You have to ask

:53:51.:53:54.

yourself is this coming to the strategic needs of a borough in

:53:54.:54:01.

addressing the London housing crisis or is it the benefit of a

:54:01.:54:05.

Tory ideological programme But the reality is, if there are legal

:54:05.:54:09.

challenges, there is nothing you can do about it, plans are plans.

:54:09.:54:14.

Well there are things you could do. There are legal contracts, you

:54:14.:54:17.

could be sued. We would came to do that. Contracts are contracts, we

:54:17.:54:21.

will have to see what happens with that. You have to remember that

:54:21.:54:24.

Conservative members of the council flew to the French Riviera in 2008

:54:24.:54:28.

to meet with the developer about this site. So this is a scheme long

:54:28.:54:33.

in running, it's been put together by private meetings, most of which

:54:33.:54:36.

they have denied throughout the time. I think it was on your

:54:36.:54:39.

programme in 2009 they denied it and when they come about putting

:54:39.:54:43.

together a programme, they don't give a ballot. They do a

:54:43.:54:46.

consultation where four to one of residents consulted vote against

:54:46.:54:50.

and even then they drive ahead. It doesn't sound democratic. Neither

:54:50.:54:54.

of you two are going to know the details but on the principle, what

:54:54.:54:58.

you have heard, the possibility of offering people priority housing if

:54:58.:55:04.

they agree to support it? I'm not sure about priority housing, I was

:55:04.:55:08.

leader when Brent Cross Cricklewood went through. There is nothing

:55:08.:55:11.

unusual about part of the consultation saying you will be

:55:11.:55:15.

rehoused in better or larger properties. What about getting

:55:15.:55:18.

early or priority moving I think that has yet to be proved. As far

:55:18.:55:22.

as I can tell, Deloittes have been appointed to look into this. The

:55:22.:55:25.

Leader of the Opposition on hammer Smith let the cat out of the bag,

:55:25.:55:31.

the real objective here is out of 7,000 new homes only 700, the

:55:31.:55:37.

existing ten rants being rehoused, the objective is gentification. I

:55:37.:55:42.

think that underlines the opposition. And Paul bur sko on the

:55:42.:55:46.

principle of offering an incentive It goes to the motivation behind

:55:46.:55:50.

that. I think that is a legitimate issue. If the motivation was to say

:55:50.:55:55.

- we will give you first move, would that be acceptable? I think

:55:55.:55:58.

there needs to be investigations. I don't need it hear the details.

:55:58.:56:02.

What I have heard raises questions in my mind about what the

:56:03.:56:05.

objectives where with this development. Well thank you very

:56:05.:56:08.

much for joining us today. It is your chance to review some of the

:56:08.:56:12.

other stories making the news this week, here's that week in 60

:56:12.:56:22.
:56:22.:56:23.

At 8.92 billion the Olympics reached the finishing line on time

:56:23.:56:27.

and under Budget according to the Sports Minister. It was also

:56:27.:56:32.

revealed a total of �1 billion had been giving to private company

:56:32.:56:36.

LOCOG to organise the games. Car manufacturer Ford announced it is

:56:36.:56:40.

to close a number of factories, including a plant in dagna. Unions

:56:40.:56:44.

are warning up to 1,000 jobs are on the line -- Dagenham. There has

:56:44.:56:48.

been a nearly 60% increase in people needing few handouts

:56:48.:56:53.

according to Fairshare. The charity is currently helping to feed 5,000

:56:53.:56:57.

people a day in London. It is a green light for bus on Oxford

:56:57.:57:03.

Street. Campaigners want to get rid of the wall of red double Deccers

:57:03.:57:06.

on Europe's busiest shopping route. But transport bosses say they are

:57:06.:57:12.

going nowhere. The mayor has promised �600,000 for the London

:57:12.:57:16.

annual gay pride waipbts community groups to take over its running.

:57:16.:57:21.

After financial troubles last year, the future of gay pride now looks

:57:21.:57:25.

in the pink. We are told that we finally have

:57:25.:57:28.

come out of recession in the capital and then we see what

:57:28.:57:32.

happens in Dagenham. We are not out of the woods, are we? I would

:57:32.:57:35.

always say that statistically we are out of recession but I don't

:57:35.:57:38.

think the recession will be a straightline recoverry. I think it

:57:38.:57:44.

will be a bumpy ride. Some sectors will do well. Others not so well.

:57:44.:57:47.

Retail sales doing really. Restaurants are doing well but

:57:47.:57:51.

house something still difficult. It will be bumpy and patchy. Paul,

:57:51.:57:54.

give me an example of something locally that independent kailgts to

:57:54.:57:59.

you that we are seeing those shoots -- indicates Well in my

:57:59.:58:03.

constituency we have seen unemployment fall month-by-month.

:58:03.:58:06.

We have the highest employment rate anywhere in London and Sutton is

:58:06.:58:12.

identified as one of the places people want to move to because of

:58:12.:58:16.

good employment opportunities and good education. Full-time jobs.

:58:16.:58:20.

Full-time and part-time. This is a very difficult recovery. Mervyn

:58:20.:58:23.

King the chairman of the Bank of England made it clear at the outset

:58:23.:58:26.

of this administration, that whoever was in power now, because

:58:26.:58:30.

of the mess they inherited from Labour, they had a choppy future.

:58:30.:58:34.

We are told because of the Olympics and the London effect, it's

:58:35.:58:40.

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