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Today on The Big Questions... | 0:00:04 | 0:00:06 | |
President Trump's first year
in office - good or bad? | 0:00:06 | 0:00:10 | |
And inequality - a scourge
or a useful incentive? | 0:00:10 | 0:00:17 | |
Good morning, I'm Nicky Campbell. | 0:00:29 | 0:00:31 | |
Welcome to the 11th series
of The Big Questions. | 0:00:31 | 0:00:33 | |
Today we're live from
Netherhall School in Cambridge. | 0:00:33 | 0:00:35 | |
Welcome, everyone,
to The Big Questions. | 0:00:35 | 0:00:38 | |
APPLAUSE | 0:00:38 | 0:00:43 | |
Yesterday marked the first
anniversary of Donald Trump's | 0:00:44 | 0:00:46 | |
inauguration as the 45th President
of the United States of America. | 0:00:46 | 0:00:50 | |
And it also saw a complete shutdown
of the American government | 0:00:50 | 0:00:53 | |
after President Trump failed
to reach a deal with Democrats in | 0:00:53 | 0:00:55 | |
the Senate over the spending bill. | 0:00:55 | 0:00:59 | |
It is a presidency that has been
surrounded in controversy | 0:00:59 | 0:01:01 | |
since his election. | 0:01:01 | 0:01:02 | |
Critics have disparaged his
abilities and contested his stance | 0:01:02 | 0:01:04 | |
on immigration, health care,
climate change, North Korea, | 0:01:04 | 0:01:06 | |
Israel - the list goes on and on. | 0:01:06 | 0:01:12 | |
Yet the American stock market
is booming, unemployment is falling, | 0:01:12 | 0:01:19 | |
growth is on the up and business
confidence is buoyant - | 0:01:19 | 0:01:22 | |
maybe because one of the few
policies he has got through Congress | 0:01:22 | 0:01:24 | |
was to reduce corporate tax
rates from 35% to 21%. | 0:01:24 | 0:01:27 | |
Yet the uneasiness remains,
stirred daily by the output | 0:01:27 | 0:01:29 | |
from his Twitter finger. | 0:01:29 | 0:01:33 | |
Has President Trump been
good for the world? | 0:01:33 | 0:01:39 | |
Let's see what the achievements are.
Jan Halper Davies -- Jan | 0:01:39 | 0:01:54 | |
Jan Halper Davies -- Jan Halper
Hayes, I said Davies because I'm | 0:01:54 | 0:01:56 | |
speaking about Stormy Daniels, I had
the D where do my head. Never mind | 0:01:56 | 0:02:04 | |
all the gossip, Fire Interviewee,
the book, what has he achieved? We | 0:02:04 | 0:02:11 | |
have over 2.1 million jobs he has
brought, we are at a seven-year high | 0:02:11 | 0:02:16 | |
in economic confidence and a 17 year
low in unemployment. GDP was not | 0:02:16 | 0:02:20 | |
supposed to hit 3% until 2019, that
is where we were in the last three | 0:02:20 | 0:02:26 | |
quarters. The tax reform has done an
enormous amount for bringing | 0:02:26 | 0:02:30 | |
businesses back and increasing
wages, as well as some of the | 0:02:30 | 0:02:37 | |
savings being passed on to
customers. An energy company is | 0:02:37 | 0:02:41 | |
lowering their electric bill by 5%.
But the great deal-maker could not | 0:02:41 | 0:02:46 | |
make this deal on the budget, we
have a government shutdown. The | 0:02:46 | 0:02:50 | |
statue of Liberty is shut. What a
piece of symbolism? There is a | 0:02:50 | 0:02:57 | |
misnomer that the great deal-maker
could not make a deal. The fact of | 0:02:57 | 0:03:01 | |
the matter is that it takes when you
have a spending bill 60 senators to | 0:03:01 | 0:03:06 | |
pass it. That means that even though
we have the majority of the House | 0:03:06 | 0:03:12 | |
and the Senate and we have the White
House, you need to have a bipartisan | 0:03:12 | 0:03:17 | |
reaction. There was nothing in the
bill that either side disagreed | 0:03:17 | 0:03:24 | |
with, but the Democrats are
frightened of another positive thing | 0:03:24 | 0:03:26 | |
happening. They thought the tax
reform was Armageddon, and they | 0:03:26 | 0:03:32 | |
Trump fail. It is very strategic
what they are doing. On his | 0:03:32 | 0:03:37 | |
achievements, taking away from the
depressed Democrats and Stormy | 0:03:37 | 0:03:42 | |
Daniels or Stormy Davies or
whatever, Alan Mendoza, what has | 0:03:42 | 0:03:47 | |
Trump achieved? You need to look at
where the world was at the time | 0:03:47 | 0:03:50 | |
Trump came into office. We have just
had eight years of the Obama | 0:03:50 | 0:03:56 | |
administration which run down
America plasma prestige and power in | 0:03:56 | 0:03:58 | |
the world and through its actions
emboldened some of the worst regimes | 0:03:58 | 0:04:02 | |
in the world to do activities we
would want as he stopped. Iran was | 0:04:02 | 0:04:07 | |
rampant in the Middle East, it had
helped Assad fight his war in Syria, | 0:04:07 | 0:04:13 | |
it had extended terrorism across the
area. Russia has marched into | 0:04:13 | 0:04:17 | |
Ukraine, nothing happened as a
response. China flouted | 0:04:17 | 0:04:21 | |
international law in the South China
Sea and East China Sea and very | 0:04:21 | 0:04:25 | |
little response again.
Starting with that position and | 0:04:25 | 0:04:27 | |
looking at where we are now in terms
of one year into Trump, it is very | 0:04:27 | 0:04:33 | |
early but you had to look at the
successes. He called out the | 0:04:33 | 0:04:36 | |
Iranians for their brutality, he has
had various relations with China, | 0:04:36 | 0:04:43 | |
pushed one way and pull the other,
but it seems to be in a different | 0:04:43 | 0:04:47 | |
place, that relationship, than under
Obama. He demanded European military | 0:04:47 | 0:04:51 | |
spend more, which we knew was
necessary, and they have been | 0:04:51 | 0:04:54 | |
responding. North Korea is sitting
at the table for the first time in | 0:04:54 | 0:04:58 | |
two and a half years, speaking to
South Korea. There are achievements. | 0:04:58 | 0:05:02 | |
It is unorthodox and he may be
aggressive and even unpleasant in | 0:05:02 | 0:05:05 | |
how it works, but when you | 0:05:05 | 0:05:11 | |
how it works, but when you look at
the world, and enforcement of red | 0:05:13 | 0:05:15 | |
lines and international status, it
is any much better place than when | 0:05:15 | 0:05:17 | |
he came into office.
Jan, you love that? I did. I feel | 0:05:17 | 0:05:21 | |
Leslie might want to pick up on some
points? We have heard about the | 0:05:21 | 0:05:27 | |
achievements, an unconventional
approach, but paying dividends? | 0:05:27 | 0:05:30 | |
Very difficult for me to listen and
give it any credibility. None at | 0:05:30 | 0:05:38 | |
all? Given how strong the economy
is, isn't it extraordinary that a | 0:05:38 | 0:05:41 | |
president who controls both houses
of Congress has such extraordinarily | 0:05:41 | 0:05:46 | |
low approval rating is not only at
home, for a president only one year | 0:05:46 | 0:05:49 | |
in, but abroad. The Gallup
leadership polls put his global | 0:05:49 | 0:05:59 | |
approval rating at only 30%, very
dramatic drop. Are you embarrassed | 0:05:59 | 0:06:04 | |
by him? I find many of the policies
he has pursued, and especially the | 0:06:04 | 0:06:08 | |
style with which he has engaged not
only with many of his own people, | 0:06:08 | 0:06:13 | |
many of his Cabinet and the White
House and many foreign leaders, to | 0:06:13 | 0:06:17 | |
be far below the bar of what we
should expect from the leader of the | 0:06:17 | 0:06:21 | |
United States.
APPLAUSE | 0:06:21 | 0:06:25 | |
The problem with this debate always
is... | 0:06:25 | 0:06:28 | |
There is nothing wrong with this
debate! The blow people get sucked | 0:06:28 | 0:06:32 | |
in straightaway to the character of
Donald Trump and his activities, | 0:06:32 | 0:06:35 | |
that is what the media has focused
on people have focused on. We need | 0:06:35 | 0:06:40 | |
to strip away the server stuff,
which can be debated, by all means, | 0:06:40 | 0:06:43 | |
and look at results. He has got
them. That is what we are | 0:06:43 | 0:06:48 | |
forgetting.
He has made nuclear war thinkable | 0:06:48 | 0:06:51 | |
again, that is the | 0:06:51 | 0:06:58 | |
again, that is the substance of
relationship with North Korea and | 0:06:59 | 0:07:01 | |
their willingness to do certain
things, but at the cost of making | 0:07:01 | 0:07:05 | |
people think that a nuclear conflict
could happen. | 0:07:05 | 0:07:11 | |
That is not fair. The reason there
is a conceivable nuclear | 0:07:11 | 0:07:15 | |
conflagration is North Korea has
been unable to develop a nuclear | 0:07:15 | 0:07:19 | |
programme under the preceding
president. | 0:07:19 | 0:07:25 | |
His comments after nuclear war came
after a golfing event, Trump has no | 0:07:25 | 0:07:30 | |
discipline.
Nuclear capabilities hands of North | 0:07:30 | 0:07:33 | |
Korea, it is due to the policies
pursued by Obama and Bush before | 0:07:33 | 0:07:38 | |
him, not the previous five months of
Trump. You don't just get a nuclear | 0:07:38 | 0:07:43 | |
weapon because you have a vulgar
halfwits in the White House. You | 0:07:43 | 0:07:47 | |
have to spend years doing that. But
chatter -- that should been | 0:07:47 | 0:07:50 | |
suppressed under the previous
administration, you cannot lay that | 0:07:50 | 0:07:54 | |
at Trump's door.
Trump is a gift to -- that should | 0:07:54 | 0:07:58 | |
have been suppressed under the
previous administration, you cannot | 0:07:58 | 0:08:00 | |
lay that at Trump's door. Trump is a
gifted keeps on giving, not only to | 0:08:00 | 0:08:04 | |
journalists but to Kim Jong Un.
Anti-Americanism is so important for | 0:08:04 | 0:08:06 | |
keeping the support of the North
Koreans and respecting and loving | 0:08:06 | 0:08:09 | |
their leader.
But I have heard some people make | 0:08:09 | 0:08:13 | |
the argument that this is an
extraordinary achievement by Donald | 0:08:13 | 0:08:16 | |
Trump, he has made Kim Jong Un look
sane. | 0:08:16 | 0:08:22 | |
Actually I think they are both not
as stupid as people like to say they | 0:08:22 | 0:08:25 | |
are. I think you need to look at
their actions and see the way they | 0:08:25 | 0:08:32 | |
are playing with one another, and I
would not call either one a fool. | 0:08:32 | 0:08:40 | |
Daniel, a Labour MP, you do not want
him to come here? No, I think he is | 0:08:40 | 0:08:46 | |
lewd, crude, a disgusting man, the
antithesis of everything that this | 0:08:46 | 0:08:50 | |
great city here... His attitude to
women? Not like Bill Clinton? | 0:08:50 | 0:08:55 | |
Politics is a complicated business
of trying to manage conflicting | 0:08:55 | 0:09:01 | |
demands, and you do that through
diplomacy and the grace and the | 0:09:01 | 0:09:06 | |
skill that Obama showed was an
inspiration to many people across | 0:09:06 | 0:09:09 | |
the world, and I think it is one of
the tragedies that we have had Obama | 0:09:09 | 0:09:14 | |
replaced by the most pantomime
villain. I suspect he does not know | 0:09:14 | 0:09:17 | |
what he's doing in many ways, his
example to young people and his | 0:09:17 | 0:09:20 | |
example to the is appalling.
Just on the point about his morals, | 0:09:20 | 0:09:28 | |
if morals are important, what did
you think of Bill Clinton? What you | 0:09:28 | 0:09:34 | |
think, retrospectively, of JFK?
Those are perfectly reasonable | 0:09:34 | 0:09:38 | |
points to make, but they did not
engage in this foul-mouthed | 0:09:38 | 0:09:42 | |
insulting of people all the time.
Behind-the-scenes, maybe? We try to | 0:09:42 | 0:09:50 | |
teach our children... Is there not
an honesty, what you see is what you | 0:09:50 | 0:09:55 | |
get, it is unvarnished? Dustup about
his economic achievements, what he | 0:09:55 | 0:09:59 | |
is about is trying to line his
pockets and the pockets of his | 0:09:59 | 0:10:06 | |
cronies, the American economy will
not survive through this. Anyone can | 0:10:06 | 0:10:10 | |
splurge a load of money, let's see
where we are in a few years. It will | 0:10:10 | 0:10:13 | |
not work. We have seen it before.
We were told that the American | 0:10:13 | 0:10:20 | |
economy would be in ruins by the end
of his first year, it has never been | 0:10:20 | 0:10:24 | |
in better health. Wait-and-see. We
are waiting and seeing. You are | 0:10:24 | 0:10:30 | |
delineating a disaster before it
happens. He made all these promises, | 0:10:30 | 0:10:35 | |
where are his steel factories? He
has not built an inch of the wall. | 0:10:35 | 0:10:40 | |
So just because he say something it
should exist the next day?! What is | 0:10:40 | 0:10:45 | |
happening is Apple is bringing back
$350 billion, they will employ | 0:10:45 | 0:10:49 | |
20,000 people. They will be spending
over $20 billion in building a | 0:10:49 | 0:10:55 | |
factory and taking it away from
China. There is your first step of | 0:10:55 | 0:11:00 | |
example of it working. By building
protectionism you might get some | 0:11:00 | 0:11:05 | |
short-term gains, but it will make
us all poorer in the long term, that | 0:11:05 | 0:11:09 | |
is the issue. You can all be
protectionist up your own areas, but | 0:11:09 | 0:11:13 | |
it leads to less wealth in the
future. He is not a protectionist, | 0:11:13 | 0:11:20 | |
he is not an isolationist. It is
America first, with the goal of | 0:11:20 | 0:11:25 | |
bilateral agreements. He does not
believe in multilateral agreements. | 0:11:25 | 0:11:29 | |
It is having your cake and eating
it, it does not work. You might | 0:11:29 | 0:11:33 | |
think that, but just because people
develop these deals, these | 0:11:33 | 0:11:36 | |
agreements for simplification, some
of these deals are wrong. Business | 0:11:36 | 0:11:42 | |
loves the deregulation and the tax
cuts. Is he a racist? I think he is, | 0:11:42 | 0:11:50 | |
essentially, with what he is saying.
He is not a racist, he has said | 0:11:50 | 0:11:56 | |
offensive things, no doubt, he is
not a racist. Let's just look for | 0:11:56 | 0:12:02 | |
one second at what Daniel is trying
to say... Do you agree with him not | 0:12:02 | 0:12:06 | |
being welcomed here? He should be
welcome here. He is not welcome | 0:12:06 | 0:12:11 | |
here. It is embarrassing for a
country that the President of our | 0:12:11 | 0:12:15 | |
close to -- our closest ally does
not feel welcome. President Macron | 0:12:15 | 0:12:18 | |
has rolled out the red carpet, other
European leaders have. It is | 0:12:18 | 0:12:23 | |
shameful that this country cannot
welcome him. He is a close ally of | 0:12:23 | 0:12:28 | |
ours, we should be working more
closely with him, particularly in | 0:12:28 | 0:12:32 | |
the context of Brexit. We have let
in some rum people in the past. What | 0:12:32 | 0:12:40 | |
about President Xi of China, we even
suppress dissent in the streets of | 0:12:40 | 0:12:45 | |
London to let him come. But
President Trump is re-tweeting | 0:12:45 | 0:12:50 | |
Nazis. I was a disgraceful episode.
He claims he did not know what was | 0:12:50 | 0:12:55 | |
happening. He probably did not, to
be honest. But he should still come | 0:12:55 | 0:12:59 | |
to Britain to meet us in that way.
I think it is disgusting that you | 0:12:59 | 0:13:04 | |
can say somebody who is re-tweeting
Nazi tweets might not know what he | 0:13:04 | 0:13:07 | |
was doing | 0:13:07 | 0:13:17 | |
was doing when he is meant to be the
leader of the United States. How | 0:13:17 | 0:13:19 | |
much longer do we had to excuse
these men, they do not know they are | 0:13:19 | 0:13:22 | |
sexist or racist?! I think it is
disgraceful. | 0:13:22 | 0:13:24 | |
APPLAUSE
Audience? Hang fire. Hold fire. | 0:13:24 | 0:13:32 | |
Hello, audience. Donald Trump. OK,
madam? One of the panellists was | 0:13:32 | 0:13:38 | |
saying that the media are always
focusing on his character. The | 0:13:38 | 0:13:43 | |
things he is tweeting about, it is
absolutely absurd. He is a racist, | 0:13:43 | 0:13:49 | |
he is a misogynist. He is targeting
communities, splitting families by | 0:13:49 | 0:13:52 | |
signing orders from the White House.
If he did not mean what he said, why | 0:13:52 | 0:13:57 | |
did he tweets these kind of things?
It is unacceptable, he is | 0:13:57 | 0:14:02 | |
normalising hate and bigotry and it
is totally unacceptable. | 0:14:02 | 0:14:05 | |
APPLAUSE
You are not in? | 0:14:05 | 0:14:12 | |
When he came into office, quite a
few people thought it would be OK, | 0:14:12 | 0:14:17 | |
the hyper polarisation will reduce,
everyone will be united in their | 0:14:17 | 0:14:22 | |
hatred towards him almost, but that
has not happened, with the | 0:14:22 | 0:14:27 | |
Government shut down. They only
needed ten Democrats to votes in | 0:14:27 | 0:14:31 | |
favour, that did not happen. I think
that overrides some of his | 0:14:31 | 0:14:37 | |
characteristics, the fact that there
can't be that push forward for the | 0:14:37 | 0:14:41 | |
betterment of the nation when there
is the claim it is America first. | 0:14:41 | 0:14:45 | |
It is interesting, is anybody in the
audience who would describe | 0:14:45 | 0:14:50 | |
themselves as somebody sympathetic
in any way to what he has achieved? | 0:14:50 | 0:14:54 | |
Put your hand up. If you are in any
way on Trump's side. Oh, dear. No | 0:14:54 | 0:15:03 | |
one? This is interesting. Did I see
one over year? | 0:15:03 | 0:15:12 | |
Both sides of the argument are
actually correct, I think. He is | 0:15:12 | 0:15:17 | |
appalling in what he says, but the
other side of the argument is | 0:15:17 | 0:15:21 | |
correct as well. I think he's
achieved quite a lot. He's shaken | 0:15:21 | 0:15:26 | |
things up. I doubt North and South
Korea would have got together | 0:15:26 | 0:15:30 | |
without him shaking stuff up.
Interesting point. This is an | 0:15:30 | 0:15:35 | |
audience who applied to come to The
Big Questions. We do not skew it in | 0:15:35 | 0:15:41 | |
anyway. But I have done phone-ins
where there are quite a lot of | 0:15:41 | 0:15:45 | |
people in this country who are fed
up of being lectured to about what | 0:15:45 | 0:15:50 | |
they should think about Donald
Trump. They see it as a liberal, | 0:15:50 | 0:15:55 | |
intelligentsia media bubble, and
they come on the phone and say, shut | 0:15:55 | 0:16:00 | |
up and don't tell me what to think.
You have to go back to the reasons | 0:16:00 | 0:16:04 | |
why Trump won the election. He
appealed to people who were going to | 0:16:04 | 0:16:10 | |
work every day, working hard and not
seeing their efforts rewarded. He | 0:16:10 | 0:16:14 | |
was very clever. He looked to people
who voted for the Republican party. | 0:16:14 | 0:16:22 | |
He is a democratically elected
leader of the most powerful nation | 0:16:22 | 0:16:26 | |
in the world, and a key trading
partner of the UK. I don't agree | 0:16:26 | 0:16:32 | |
with Daniel that we shouldn't invite
him to the UK. We should respect the | 0:16:32 | 0:16:36 | |
views of the American people and we
should talk to Mr Trump. Clearly | 0:16:36 | 0:16:41 | |
there is no one in this room who
would back what he says on Twitter | 0:16:41 | 0:16:44 | |
or agree with his points, but
ultimately, he is a businessman who | 0:16:44 | 0:16:50 | |
has increased business opportunities
for the US, and we should be taking | 0:16:50 | 0:16:54 | |
advantage of that. I want to pick up
on what you said, about people being | 0:16:54 | 0:16:59 | |
told what to think about Donald
Trump. Simon, you were on the News | 0:16:59 | 0:17:06 | |
quiz on Radio 4, and you said at one
point a couple of things that | 0:17:06 | 0:17:11 | |
perhaps Donald Trump had achieved
and positive about him, and there | 0:17:11 | 0:17:14 | |
was a bit of stunned silence. People
not used a hearing that on a Radio 4 | 0:17:14 | 0:17:22 | |
comedy programme! I find it hard to
defend him in conventional terms. Is | 0:17:22 | 0:17:28 | |
very snobbery about this?
Absolutely, but it wouldn't matter | 0:17:28 | 0:17:31 | |
if there was a snobbery if these
people hadn't been let down by | 0:17:31 | 0:17:37 | |
generations of politicians, and the
Republican party taking a huge | 0:17:37 | 0:17:41 | |
amount of Republican voters for
granted, in the same way that a huge | 0:17:41 | 0:17:46 | |
number of Brexit voters were taken
for granted. You could make a nod in | 0:17:46 | 0:17:53 | |
the direction of abortion law and
gun control and people would vote | 0:17:53 | 0:17:56 | |
for them whatever. There was no
future for their young people. They | 0:17:56 | 0:18:04 | |
were promised again and again by
mealy-mouthed politicians who | 0:18:04 | 0:18:08 | |
delivered nothing for them.
Obviously, sooner or later, they | 0:18:08 | 0:18:13 | |
would turn to this old-fashioned...
He is like a Burt Lancaster | 0:18:13 | 0:18:19 | |
character in a 1950s movie. He a two
fisted American Bulgaria, but there | 0:18:19 | 0:18:27 | |
is part of that in the American
psyche, and so far he is delivering. | 0:18:27 | 0:18:33 | |
Yes, the Democrats in the US need to
take responsibility for allowing the | 0:18:33 | 0:18:38 | |
situation to get so bad for
working-class people, but he has | 0:18:38 | 0:18:43 | |
filled up jobs in the White House
with cronies from big business, and | 0:18:43 | 0:18:47 | |
he likes to point the finger at
migrants and other people to blame | 0:18:47 | 0:18:51 | |
for American problems, but wages are
not increasing significantly for | 0:18:51 | 0:18:58 | |
American people. His policies are
not going to deliver for American | 0:18:58 | 0:19:03 | |
working people. Is there, on the
subject of what people think what | 0:19:03 | 0:19:12 | |
they think people should think, is
there an Brexit aspect for that? Is | 0:19:12 | 0:19:18 | |
it the same with Trump? Can you
understand the historical forces | 0:19:18 | 0:19:26 | |
that have led him to be there? Did
to our similar phenomena. Brexit and | 0:19:26 | 0:19:35 | |
Trump both gave voices to the
people. I am anti-trump-macro, but I | 0:19:35 | 0:19:39 | |
am going to say something positive
for him. He has been a brilliant | 0:19:39 | 0:19:44 | |
politician. One of the politicians
who can keep his face in the news on | 0:19:44 | 0:19:51 | |
the front page for two and a half
years, as he has, and there is many | 0:19:51 | 0:19:59 | |
respect in many quarters for his
ability to drain a swamp that seems | 0:19:59 | 0:20:03 | |
undrivable. But my question is, is
he a man who can be trusted to | 0:20:03 | 0:20:10 | |
rebuild? Here is where nuclear
weapons become crucial. I understand | 0:20:10 | 0:20:15 | |
his force as a disruption. He has
opened up possibilities for | 0:20:15 | 0:20:20 | |
discussing certain things that have
not been on the table before, but I | 0:20:20 | 0:20:24 | |
don't have confidence that he can
leave us to a better place. His | 0:20:24 | 0:20:30 | |
inauguration speech, American
carnage, is probably the first | 0:20:30 | 0:20:35 | |
inauguration speech in American
history not to refer once to the | 0:20:35 | 0:20:40 | |
declaration of Independence, not to
refer once to the Constitution, not | 0:20:40 | 0:20:44 | |
to refer wants to the ideals of
liberty and the better angels of | 0:20:44 | 0:20:49 | |
America. It is like Lindsay Graham
saying, after a meeting with Trump | 0:20:49 | 0:20:57 | |
about immigration, he said, Mr
Trump, America is about ideals. He's | 0:20:57 | 0:21:02 | |
interested in power, advancement and
disruption, but can he fulfil | 0:21:02 | 0:21:08 | |
American ideals? My answer to that
is no. And there we have it. I'm not | 0:21:08 | 0:21:17 | |
sure the world wants American ideals
from the US president. I think the | 0:21:17 | 0:21:22 | |
world has always wanted somebody who
is going to come in and stop the bad | 0:21:22 | 0:21:27 | |
guys from taking over. That has
essentially been America's role for | 0:21:27 | 0:21:31 | |
the last 70 years. Obama effectively
abdicated that role from his | 0:21:31 | 0:21:39 | |
weakness internationally. Serie A, I
direct comparison between Obama and | 0:21:39 | 0:21:43 | |
Trump. Assad uses chemical weapons.
Obama runs away from it and Assad | 0:21:43 | 0:21:51 | |
continues murdering and killing.
Trump sees when Assad uses chemical | 0:21:51 | 0:21:58 | |
weapons and strikes immediately. No
more chemical weapons used since | 0:21:58 | 0:22:02 | |
then. There is a red line. You cross
it, we will hit you. That wasn't | 0:22:02 | 0:22:08 | |
done under Obama. Trump has restored
that. That is such a | 0:22:08 | 0:22:13 | |
mischaracterisation. America was in
a terrible position with its | 0:22:13 | 0:22:19 | |
reputation until Obama restored it,
as a civilised leader of the world. | 0:22:19 | 0:22:26 | |
Trump is leading America back down
into the gutter. We need that | 0:22:26 | 0:22:32 | |
leadership, those ideals and values
that matter across the world. I feel | 0:22:32 | 0:22:36 | |
so sorry for the Americans. You are
an embarrassment again. I'm sorry, | 0:22:36 | 0:22:43 | |
but objectively, you look at the
power of authoritarian states at the | 0:22:43 | 0:22:47 | |
end of the Obama regime against the
start of it, but they have | 0:22:47 | 0:22:51 | |
increased. The leadership did not
deliver results. Jan Halper-Hayes, | 0:22:51 | 0:22:58 | |
let's talk about the wider world.
We've mentioned North Korea, | 0:22:58 | 0:23:04 | |
Jerusalem, the North American Free
Trade Agreement. Let's talk about | 0:23:04 | 0:23:08 | |
the wider word and the implications.
Pulling out of the Paris climate | 0:23:08 | 0:23:12 | |
change accord. He doesn't know the
difference between weather and | 0:23:12 | 0:23:17 | |
climate. I'm going with scientific
consensus here. This is an act of | 0:23:17 | 0:23:27 | |
environmental, planet tree
vandalism, and our grandchildren | 0:23:27 | 0:23:31 | |
will look back and they will say,
shame on us and shame on him. They | 0:23:31 | 0:23:40 | |
very well might, but he decided to
pull out of it because the | 0:23:40 | 0:23:45 | |
requirements that were on America's
shoulders were far greater than that | 0:23:45 | 0:23:50 | |
of China and other nations, and we
were supposed to act... What about | 0:23:50 | 0:23:55 | |
taking the lead of the free world?
Donald Trump is not interested in | 0:23:55 | 0:24:00 | |
taking believed. It is America
first. People have a hard time with | 0:24:00 | 0:24:06 | |
that. It means that other countries
that have counted on America for so | 0:24:06 | 0:24:11 | |
long... This is going to mean,
ultimately, the deaths of millions | 0:24:11 | 0:24:16 | |
of people, and it's going to mean
the extinction of species... | 0:24:16 | 0:24:24 | |
Margaret Thatcher spoke against
global warming. You are eliminating | 0:24:24 | 0:24:31 | |
the responsibility of other
politicians, George Bush, Barack | 0:24:31 | 0:24:35 | |
Obama... Don't take it out on me! I
am just asking the questions! It's | 0:24:35 | 0:24:43 | |
been going on for 40 years! It is
undoubtedly the case that President | 0:24:43 | 0:24:51 | |
Trump has taken America out of many
things that are absolutely vital for | 0:24:51 | 0:24:56 | |
the stability, prosperity of the
world. The Irani deal was very | 0:24:56 | 0:25:05 | |
important to stability, and the
Paris accords. But we have to look | 0:25:05 | 0:25:10 | |
at one thing. The United States is
not Donald Trump. Donald Trump | 0:25:10 | 0:25:14 | |
happens to be the leader for this
time, but there are a lot of things | 0:25:14 | 0:25:18 | |
going on in the US right now that
are tremendously productive. They | 0:25:18 | 0:25:23 | |
were there before and are taking
momentum on right now. To push back | 0:25:23 | 0:25:27 | |
what is seen as a president taking
negative steps on an environmental | 0:25:27 | 0:25:34 | |
front... But he is withdrawing
funding for environmental agencies. | 0:25:34 | 0:25:39 | |
But many people are on board with
Paris, trying to keep as close as | 0:25:39 | 0:25:44 | |
they can in the context of a
difficult set of politics to hit | 0:25:44 | 0:25:48 | |
those targets that were negotiated.
If you look at the courts, civil | 0:25:48 | 0:25:56 | |
society, they have been pushing back
very, very hard. That is not over | 0:25:56 | 0:26:00 | |
yet, so there is a tremendous amount
of positive engagement in the US to | 0:26:00 | 0:26:04 | |
try and keep America engage with the
world. When we come back to the | 0:26:04 | 0:26:09 | |
question of whether Donald Trump
should come to the UK for a visit, | 0:26:09 | 0:26:13 | |
it's very important not to collapse
this relationship into one that is | 0:26:13 | 0:26:18 | |
simply about Theresa May and Donald
Trump. One fifth of our trade is | 0:26:18 | 0:26:24 | |
with the US. It's not just trade. It
is a relationship grounded in | 0:26:24 | 0:26:31 | |
intelligence sharing, values and
many things. The key for the leader | 0:26:31 | 0:26:35 | |
of the UK is to frame it in a way
that says that we do not agree with | 0:26:35 | 0:26:41 | |
racist language, but we do need to
hold onto what is valuable and | 0:26:41 | 0:26:45 | |
productive in that way. He has put a
spring in the step of many a climate | 0:26:45 | 0:26:52 | |
change denier. Do you think that if
a nuclear conflagration were to | 0:26:52 | 0:27:00 | |
happen, and a million people were to
die on the Korean peninsular... At | 0:27:00 | 0:27:05 | |
least a million. Would that play on
his conscience? I don't think that's | 0:27:05 | 0:27:12 | |
the most important question. It is a
question I'm asking. It's a question | 0:27:12 | 0:27:20 | |
about responsibility
internationally. There is a very | 0:27:20 | 0:27:25 | |
serious concern by many of us who
are watching that Donald Trump | 0:27:25 | 0:27:28 | |
doesn't feel the consequences of his
actions. That he acts without taking | 0:27:28 | 0:27:33 | |
that into account. That's quite a
thing to say. But he has to stand up | 0:27:33 | 0:27:40 | |
to the threat from Korea. He can't
just let North Korea actors they | 0:27:40 | 0:27:45 | |
are, putting missiles across Japan.
That has to be the job of the United | 0:27:45 | 0:27:51 | |
States to stand up to Kim Jong-un
and say, we cannot take any more | 0:27:51 | 0:27:55 | |
this. Ultimately, the North Koreans
are sitting at the table with South | 0:27:55 | 0:28:01 | |
Koreans. Will it result in peace? We
know that when President Kennedy | 0:28:01 | 0:28:06 | |
stood up to the Russians, it created
the Cold War, guess, but eventually | 0:28:06 | 0:28:12 | |
we got to the situation where
America and Russia got rid of | 0:28:12 | 0:28:16 | |
nuclear weapons. There was an
element of logic on both sides in | 0:28:16 | 0:28:21 | |
the Cold War. Do we have that
balance to logic on both sides now? | 0:28:21 | 0:28:27 | |
There is a feeling in the Republican
party that this man can serve | 0:28:27 | 0:28:32 | |
purposes, including your purpose of
standing up to North Korea, and the | 0:28:32 | 0:28:37 | |
wager is that they can control this
unpredictable, unreliable man. The | 0:28:37 | 0:28:43 | |
conceit in Washington is that the
three generals around him each day | 0:28:43 | 0:28:48 | |
will be in charge and will feel the
consequences of going to nuclear | 0:28:48 | 0:28:51 | |
war. The wager is that these men can
control it. The bottom belongs to | 0:28:51 | 0:28:58 | |
him. He is not the first president
to try the madman theory, to make | 0:28:58 | 0:29:08 | |
someone think he is crazy to submit.
It was done in Vietnam's with the | 0:29:08 | 0:29:11 | |
North Vietnamese, but it didn't
work. In the Cuban missile crisis, | 0:29:11 | 0:29:15 | |
if the military people had been in
charge at that point, we probably | 0:29:15 | 0:29:20 | |
would have had a nuclear
conflagration with Cuba. I don't | 0:29:20 | 0:29:23 | |
feel comfortable with this decision
being in the hands of the generals. | 0:29:23 | 0:29:27 | |
I don't have confidence in this man
to make the right decision for them | 0:29:27 | 0:29:31 | |
is under that analysis, you would be
happy for Kim Jong-un when to walk | 0:29:31 | 0:29:38 | |
over South Korea or invade Japan.
You are saying there is no | 0:29:38 | 0:29:43 | |
possibility that America could
withstand and assault in that way. | 0:29:43 | 0:29:46 | |
You have to have some credibility
internationally, so that the other | 0:29:46 | 0:29:51 | |
guy thinks carefully about his
actions. Under President Obama, we | 0:29:51 | 0:29:56 | |
had no credibility. Everybody knew
he would not resist the use of | 0:29:56 | 0:30:00 | |
force, or even the threat of force.
We have dealt with that, if I may. | 0:30:00 | 0:30:08 | |
The credibility is that he might do
it, and that goes down to | 0:30:08 | 0:30:13 | |
rationality on both sides. The
reason we didn't have a nuclear | 0:30:13 | 0:30:16 | |
conflagration in the Cold War was
because both sides were rational | 0:30:16 | 0:30:20 | |
actors. I believe Donald club is a
rational actor, despite an | 0:30:20 | 0:30:25 | |
unorthodox approach. If Kim Jong-un
is not, we are going to have a Cold | 0:30:25 | 0:30:30 | |
War anyway. Do you feel he is a
rational actor? Put your hand up. We | 0:30:30 | 0:30:37 | |
have talked about nuclear
conflagration and climate change. | 0:30:37 | 0:30:41 | |
What about population growth? He's
changed his mind. He used to be | 0:30:41 | 0:30:48 | |
pro-choice, but he's changed his
mind on abortion, which could be | 0:30:48 | 0:30:52 | |
playing to his base support. He's
also withdrawn government funding | 0:30:52 | 0:30:59 | |
for groups working around the world
with women on contraception, which | 0:30:59 | 0:31:03 | |
is often a driver of fighting
poverty and inequality, so that our | 0:31:03 | 0:31:09 | |
potential impacts on inequality
across the globe. | 0:31:09 | 0:31:15 | |
One of the things missing from this
debate, you have said America has | 0:31:15 | 0:31:20 | |
higher GDP, higher growth, creating
more jobs, but we need to look at | 0:31:20 | 0:31:23 | |
the quality of the jobs. Poverty has
increased in America, the median | 0:31:23 | 0:31:27 | |
wage has gone down. We need to look
at the different factors there, and | 0:31:27 | 0:31:31 | |
the reality. When you say America
first, who in America? Not the 9 | 0:31:31 | 0:31:37 | |
million children who will
potentially be denied health care, | 0:31:37 | 0:31:39 | |
it is not the poorest who will have
no | 0:31:39 | 0:31:48 | |
no health care, he is putting first,
his corporate buddies. He will be at | 0:31:48 | 0:31:53 | |
Davos next week, mixing with the
billionaires who he said he | 0:31:53 | 0:31:56 | |
despised, draining the swamp. The
first thing he has done is introduce | 0:31:56 | 0:31:59 | |
a huge corporate tax rate. When you
cut corporate tax, you cut the | 0:31:59 | 0:32:04 | |
resources the state has to support
the most vulnerable people in its | 0:32:04 | 0:32:08 | |
country.
Gentleman from the audience is | 0:32:08 | 0:32:10 | |
shaking his head? I will really put
that to bed. I will be the judge | 0:32:10 | 0:32:17 | |
about! I will try. When you cut
corporate tax you create enterprise, | 0:32:17 | 0:32:22 | |
you create wealth. Not true. That a
good thing. | 0:32:22 | 0:32:30 | |
good thing. Pack of lies. That is
where you fund the National Health | 0:32:30 | 0:32:34 | |
Service and get a better, strong...
He has reduced tax rates. If you | 0:32:34 | 0:32:40 | |
look at the 1980s, there was a
reduction in taxes and the actual | 0:32:40 | 0:32:45 | |
tax take went up. In a strong
economy with a big incentive for | 0:32:45 | 0:32:50 | |
people to go out and work and earn
and create wealth, there is more | 0:32:50 | 0:32:56 | |
wealth to spend on things like the
National Health Service. 35%, down | 0:32:56 | 0:33:01 | |
to 21%, it is a pretty vertiginous
drop. Yes, but it has an effect. | 0:33:01 | 0:33:08 | |
Welcome back, Jan. I will consume,
Joseph, don't worry. I said I would | 0:33:08 | 0:33:15 | |
come to you earlier, I am a man of
my word. -- I will come to you, | 0:33:15 | 0:33:19 | |
Joseph. I would like to combine the
point about the media telling people | 0:33:19 | 0:33:24 | |
how to think, when I listen to the
liberal comments and how superficial | 0:33:24 | 0:33:30 | |
they are, and they do not show an
understanding of what it's really | 0:33:30 | 0:33:33 | |
going on. Let's take draining the
swamp, he puts his corporate cronies | 0:33:33 | 0:33:38 | |
in. He has eliminated over 1500
regulations, which has spurred on | 0:33:38 | 0:33:42 | |
business. Environmental regulations.
Let me finish my point. The fact is | 0:33:42 | 0:33:54 | |
that people go, oh, he has only done
things for his corporate buddies | 0:33:54 | 0:33:58 | |
with the tax reform. What people do
not realise is that 95% of the | 0:33:58 | 0:34:03 | |
private workforce is employed by
small and medium-sized companies. | 0:34:03 | 0:34:09 | |
They have been responsible for over
half of the jobs created in the past | 0:34:09 | 0:34:17 | |
15 years. It is not corporate
America that everyone works for. It | 0:34:17 | 0:34:24 | |
is a lot of the small and
medium-size businesses. And as a | 0:34:24 | 0:34:29 | |
result of an rating 1500
regulations, and he said for | 0:34:29 | 0:34:33 | |
everyone he introduced he would
eliminate two, it is actually 22-1. | 0:34:33 | 0:34:39 | |
Those are the kind of things about
draining the swamp that go much | 0:34:39 | 0:34:45 | |
broader than just making a
superficial comment, his cronies are | 0:34:45 | 0:34:50 | |
corporate America. Many of the
successes that Donald Trump claims | 0:34:50 | 0:34:54 | |
on deregulation were begun under
Obama, I think there is an contest | 0:34:54 | 0:34:58 | |
over the numbers. He is pushing hard
on environmental deregulation and on | 0:34:58 | 0:35:04 | |
the regulation put in place after
the financial crisis to protect from | 0:35:04 | 0:35:09 | |
happening again.
He has increased regulation and | 0:35:09 | 0:35:11 | |
trade. I think it is a much more
complicated picture than you | 0:35:11 | 0:35:15 | |
suggest. He would certainly like to
be seen as deregulating and away | 0:35:15 | 0:35:20 | |
that is looking out for all people.
It is early days. | 0:35:20 | 0:35:25 | |
Joe Sugg, early days? It is always
difficult to say whether the effects | 0:35:25 | 0:35:29 | |
are coming through from something
Obama did previously or it is | 0:35:29 | 0:35:32 | |
happening now. I think there is a
sense of the direction he is | 0:35:32 | 0:35:36 | |
travelling in. It is interesting
this job saying he will put ideas to | 0:35:36 | 0:35:41 | |
bed and the people saying you
believe in triple down, but this | 0:35:41 | 0:35:45 | |
argument has been going on since
Marx, nobody knows. But there is a | 0:35:45 | 0:35:49 | |
rate of corporate tax which raises
the level of total receipts and | 0:35:49 | 0:35:54 | |
anything above that is basically
being done on ideological grounds, | 0:35:54 | 0:35:58 | |
in order to punish people.
Regulation quite often creates jobs. | 0:35:58 | 0:36:09 | |
The most successful part of the UK
economy. But nobody wants those | 0:36:09 | 0:36:17 | |
jobs, bureaucrats! Tackling climate
change, the green economy in this | 0:36:17 | 0:36:20 | |
country, it has been the part that
has done best. This deregulation | 0:36:20 | 0:36:24 | |
myth that has taken hold has caused
a lot of problems to the UK economy. | 0:36:24 | 0:36:29 | |
We have a very successful
businessman who will have the last | 0:36:29 | 0:36:32 | |
word. I promised you a word earlier,
you will beautifully tied this all | 0:36:32 | 0:36:36 | |
up. I will put a different spin on
the Micro saga. I am hearing a lot | 0:36:36 | 0:36:42 | |
of noise from everybody and a lot of | 0:36:42 | 0:36:54 | |
disagreement, but I want to look at
a guy who said he would become | 0:36:59 | 0:37:02 | |
president, and a specific part of
that journey, and a message to the | 0:37:02 | 0:37:04 | |
people. The guy said I will become
president, he started his | 0:37:04 | 0:37:06 | |
presidential campaign and through
that whole thing he fought against | 0:37:06 | 0:37:08 | |
all odds, OK, and overcame
everything to become president. For | 0:37:08 | 0:37:10 | |
me as an entrepreneur, I don't care
about detail policy right now, I see | 0:37:10 | 0:37:13 | |
that is quite an inspirational
journey and I think people should | 0:37:13 | 0:37:15 | |
take the message, OK, from a
specific section that if you set | 0:37:15 | 0:37:18 | |
your mind to something, you say you
are going to do it against all odds, | 0:37:18 | 0:37:22 | |
actually, anything can be achieved.
Out of the whole thing and | 0:37:22 | 0:37:25 | |
everything we have spoken about,
that is one positive message for me | 0:37:25 | 0:37:28 | |
to take as an entrepreneur,
regardless of whether I agree or | 0:37:28 | 0:37:33 | |
disagree. I think that is where a
lot of people should put their focus | 0:37:33 | 0:37:37 | |
on, especially when they are trying
to create something and they are up | 0:37:37 | 0:37:41 | |
against it. I quite like that.
That is what I will finish on. | 0:37:41 | 0:37:46 | |
You're hired! Would you work for
him? I won't work there anybody but | 0:37:46 | 0:37:51 | |
myself. Thank you all very much
indeed. -- I won't work for anybody | 0:37:51 | 0:37:57 | |
but myself. | 0:37:57 | 0:37:58 | |
If you have something to say
about that debate, log on | 0:37:58 | 0:38:01 | |
to bbc.co.uk/thebigquestions,
and follow the link to where you can | 0:38:01 | 0:38:03 | |
join in the discussion online. | 0:38:03 | 0:38:04 | |
Or contribute on Twitter. | 0:38:04 | 0:38:05 | |
Next at Netherhall School
here in Cambridge, we'll be debating | 0:38:05 | 0:38:08 | |
if inequality is a vital incentive. | 0:38:08 | 0:38:09 | |
But before that, take a note
of this email address - | 0:38:09 | 0:38:12 | |
if you'd like to apply | 0:38:12 | 0:38:14 | |
to be in the audience
at a future programme. | 0:38:14 | 0:38:16 | |
We're in Newcastle upon Tyne next
Sunday, Southampton on February 4th, | 0:38:16 | 0:38:18 | |
and Oxford the week after that. | 0:38:18 | 0:38:25 | |
Cambridge, where we are today,
has been dubbed the most unequal | 0:38:25 | 0:38:27 | |
city in the whole of the UK
by the Centre for Cities. | 0:38:27 | 0:38:30 | |
It is also a very successful city,
topping the league tables on growth, | 0:38:30 | 0:38:33 | |
with its booming high tech sector. | 0:38:33 | 0:38:37 | |
More patents are published in
Cambridge than in any other UK city. | 0:38:37 | 0:38:40 | |
But while unemployment
is very low here, it's not | 0:38:40 | 0:38:43 | |
a boom town for everyone. | 0:38:43 | 0:38:46 | |
40% work in the public sector,
so have seen their real | 0:38:46 | 0:38:48 | |
incomes steadily fall. | 0:38:48 | 0:38:50 | |
And the average price of a house,
at £475,000, is 15 times the level | 0:38:50 | 0:38:54 | |
of average annual earnings here. | 0:38:54 | 0:38:57 | |
So the success has come at a price
for many Cambridge residents. | 0:38:57 | 0:39:02 | |
Is inequality a vital incentive? | 0:39:02 | 0:39:08 | |
It would be good to start with you
on this, Joseph. It is a vital | 0:39:08 | 0:39:14 | |
incentive. I came from a
working-class background, we | 0:39:14 | 0:39:18 | |
struggled growing up, my mum worked
three jobs, my father didn't work. I | 0:39:18 | 0:39:22 | |
made a decision at a very early age
that I was not going to let my | 0:39:22 | 0:39:28 | |
circumstances permit, I was going to
work hard and I was going to get | 0:39:28 | 0:39:32 | |
better and I was going to become
more successful. But I was very, | 0:39:32 | 0:39:36 | |
very lucky at an early age | 0:39:36 | 0:39:43 | |
very lucky at an early age because I
saw both scales, I saw the working | 0:39:43 | 0:39:45 | |
class and I also had an uncle that
was very close to me that was very | 0:39:45 | 0:39:48 | |
wealthy. So I was able to see that
there was another life that you | 0:39:48 | 0:39:51 | |
could live. And I used to compare my
father and my uncle. Do you think | 0:39:51 | 0:39:55 | |
young people see that, they see the
flashy and unrealistic lifestyles on | 0:39:55 | 0:39:59 | |
social media, are those kind of
images, that kind of example, a good | 0:39:59 | 0:40:04 | |
thing? I think you are on the money.
You are on the money, mate! Because | 0:40:04 | 0:40:10 | |
it was my uncle, I saw it as
realistic. But if you come from a | 0:40:10 | 0:40:14 | |
council estate and your | 0:40:14 | 0:40:22 | |
council estate and your family are
not working, people around you are | 0:40:22 | 0:40:24 | |
not successful and your neighbours
are not, you find it quite hard to | 0:40:24 | 0:40:27 | |
have a realistic vision that it is
achievable. But because he was part | 0:40:27 | 0:40:29 | |
of my family I could see that it was
there, I saw his journey and how | 0:40:29 | 0:40:32 | |
hard he worked. It made it realistic
for me, it may did achievable and | 0:40:32 | 0:40:35 | |
made me see I could work towards
that if I truly wish to. | 0:40:35 | 0:40:38 | |
Can young people see this? I know
Stewart wants to come in, but in | 0:40:38 | 0:40:44 | |
what way is a lack of good
circumstances when someone is | 0:40:44 | 0:40:47 | |
growing up and the difficulties and
even poverty, in what way is it an | 0:40:47 | 0:40:51 | |
incentive? Because why would you
want to live like that? Why would | 0:40:51 | 0:40:56 | |
you want to live poor? That is the
incentive in itself, right? If you | 0:40:56 | 0:41:01 | |
are struggling for food, you have
second-hand clothes, you have an old | 0:41:01 | 0:41:05 | |
banger car, you can't go on holiday,
you are saying that is not incentive | 0:41:05 | 0:41:09 | |
enough to want the good things in
life? About one of the issues with | 0:41:09 | 0:41:13 | |
that is that not every young people
can start a business and employ a | 0:41:13 | 0:41:16 | |
lot of other people. Why? Not | 0:41:16 | 0:41:24 | |
everybody can own a business, we
need some people to work for them. | 0:41:34 | 0:41:37 | |
Unfortunately the fastest-growing
demographic of poverty in this | 0:41:37 | 0:41:38 | |
country is people in work. People
working hard, who cannot lift | 0:41:38 | 0:41:40 | |
themselves out of poverty. Are they
working hard at the wrong thing? Can | 0:41:40 | 0:41:43 | |
you let me finish? When you have
gross inequality, like we have at | 0:41:43 | 0:41:46 | |
the moment, it damages the equality
of opportunity, because less people | 0:41:46 | 0:41:48 | |
are able to grasp those
opportunities. You need families to | 0:41:48 | 0:41:50 | |
have a minimum basic income to feed
their children, you need good health | 0:41:50 | 0:41:54 | |
and good schooling for us all, that
relies on having some level of | 0:41:54 | 0:41:57 | |
equality to begin with.
It means the level playing field. | 0:41:57 | 0:42:01 | |
APPLAUSE
There are the same disparities in | 0:42:01 | 0:42:07 | |
wealth, education and circumstances?
I am not saying that there would | 0:42:07 | 0:42:12 | |
ever be complete equality, but we
have a gross level of inequality in | 0:42:12 | 0:42:15 | |
our country at the moment, and in
the most unequal country in the | 0:42:15 | 0:42:20 | |
developed world, the US, you are far
less likely to be able to achieve | 0:42:20 | 0:42:24 | |
those dreams than in more equal
countries like the Scandinavian | 0:42:24 | 0:42:26 | |
countries. It is much easier to
predict your income based on the | 0:42:26 | 0:42:30 | |
income of your parents, than in more
equal countries. | 0:42:30 | 0:42:33 | |
We do not have equal chances to
begin with? There are equal chances, | 0:42:33 | 0:42:41 | |
but it is obvious we need to do more
to create opportunities for those | 0:42:41 | 0:42:43 | |
feeling left out of society. The
current education system in the UK | 0:42:43 | 0:42:46 | |
as part of the problem. It is far
too academically -based, we are | 0:42:46 | 0:42:50 | |
missing masses of people who could
be taking huge advantage of what is | 0:42:50 | 0:42:55 | |
happening here in Cambridge, for
example. Untapped potential. | 0:42:55 | 0:42:59 | |
Absolutely. There have been
improvements in apprenticeships etc, | 0:42:59 | 0:43:04 | |
but schools are not genuinely
engaged in how we can improve the | 0:43:04 | 0:43:07 | |
lives of those people who do not
meet the five A-C grade. We do not | 0:43:07 | 0:43:15 | |
need to send 50% of the population
to university, it is ridiculous. Is | 0:43:15 | 0:43:21 | |
inequality and incentive? Inequality
happens because of the lack of | 0:43:21 | 0:43:25 | |
opportunities. If we increase the
opportunities to those people who | 0:43:25 | 0:43:28 | |
are not getting them now, we will
decrease inequality. Quite frankly, | 0:43:28 | 0:43:33 | |
I disagree slightly with the fact
that you had to be earning lots of | 0:43:33 | 0:43:37 | |
money to be happy. I have not always
been a politician, I used to be a | 0:43:37 | 0:43:41 | |
milkman, I was perfectly | 0:43:41 | 0:43:51 | |
milkman, I was perfectly happy as a
milkman, I was earning a low-wage | 0:43:51 | 0:43:53 | |
but it did not make me unhappy. I
knew that I had to work hard, and I | 0:43:53 | 0:43:56 | |
did. You do not have to be wealthy
to be happy, that is completely | 0:43:56 | 0:43:58 | |
wrong. Not everybody wants to run
their own business or be a | 0:43:58 | 0:44:01 | |
politician or take on the pressure
of the senior role, some people do | 0:44:01 | 0:44:04 | |
not want to do that. But you need to
give them the opportunity at a young | 0:44:04 | 0:44:07 | |
age to make a choice, I do not
believe we are doing. Should the | 0:44:07 | 0:44:10 | |
Government be doing more? I don't
think so. Looking at the economic | 0:44:10 | 0:44:15 | |
evidence, financial inequality,
there are lots of other | 0:44:15 | 0:44:18 | |
inequalities, but financial
inequality, which | 0:44:18 | 0:44:29 | |
we are talking about, in fact... And
inequality of ambition. Apart from a | 0:44:33 | 0:44:36 | |
few strange places like Saudi
Arabia, people want to make | 0:44:36 | 0:44:38 | |
themselves better off. They do not
care about other people. I do not | 0:44:38 | 0:44:41 | |
know who the richest person in
Cambridge is, and I do not care. Nor | 0:44:41 | 0:44:43 | |
do other people. They want to make
themselves better off. The best way | 0:44:43 | 0:44:46 | |
to do that is the Government getting
out of their hair and allowing them | 0:44:46 | 0:44:49 | |
to do that. And in particular
safeguarding the quality of civil | 0:44:49 | 0:44:51 | |
and political rights but
safeguarding property, so | 0:44:51 | 0:44:53 | |
governments and others cannot
just... If you are in a public | 0:44:53 | 0:44:56 | |
sector job and a wage restraint, it
is not easy? And that is the case in | 0:44:56 | 0:45:02 | |
Cambridge, we have a silly
centralised system instead of local | 0:45:02 | 0:45:04 | |
government. | 0:45:04 | 0:45:10 | |
To say the evidence points to people
wanting to better themselves is | 0:45:10 | 0:45:15 | |
ludicrous. The evidence is
overwhelming and has been for some | 0:45:15 | 0:45:18 | |
time. In countries with a high level
of inequality, we also see higher | 0:45:18 | 0:45:24 | |
rates of mental and physical
ill-health, higher rates of obesity | 0:45:24 | 0:45:29 | |
and infant mortality. You are far
more likely to lose your child if | 0:45:29 | 0:45:35 | |
you come from a disadvantaged
background. We see higher rates of | 0:45:35 | 0:45:40 | |
incarceration, lower levels of
trust, and status anxiety. We feel | 0:45:40 | 0:45:46 | |
we must have what the person know
that there has, and that causes | 0:45:46 | 0:45:50 | |
stress. Can it be an incentive? If
inequality were an incentive, you | 0:45:50 | 0:45:56 | |
would see black people, women, LGBT
plus people, women and even, | 0:45:56 | 0:46:06 | |
storming the bastions of our private
schools, elite institutions, the | 0:46:06 | 0:46:13 | |
media and Parliament, because the
entrenched inequalities that many | 0:46:13 | 0:46:16 | |
people live with would have given
them that incentive if this were | 0:46:16 | 0:46:20 | |
true to go and do that, and that's
just not the case. We don't have | 0:46:20 | 0:46:26 | |
equality of opportunity. We don't
have equality of opportunity, but as | 0:46:26 | 0:46:31 | |
a feudal list, I'm not dismayed by
that. I think there is a natural | 0:46:31 | 0:46:36 | |
hierarchy. I think there is
inequality because people are not | 0:46:36 | 0:46:41 | |
equal, and I think delusions of
social mobility are ludicrous, which | 0:46:41 | 0:46:46 | |
is why we have upstarts like Thomas
Cromwell. The thing that no one | 0:46:46 | 0:46:50 | |
wants to admit in these discussions
is that people are unequal. Not | 0:46:50 | 0:46:56 | |
everyone can start a business. Why?
Because we need people to work for | 0:46:56 | 0:47:01 | |
businesses. Lots of people are just
not up to it. There are loads of | 0:47:01 | 0:47:08 | |
people who just don't have that
capacity. Being anxious about social | 0:47:08 | 0:47:12 | |
mobility is often a greater sign of
some kind of mental disquiet than | 0:47:12 | 0:47:17 | |
simply accept in yet. The point
made, if you had entire equality of | 0:47:17 | 0:47:30 | |
opportunity, and absolutely level
playing field, there would still be | 0:47:30 | 0:47:34 | |
inequality, wouldn't there? Yes
there would. We are saying we need | 0:47:34 | 0:47:38 | |
to reduce inequality to levels of
countries such as the Scandinavian | 0:47:38 | 0:47:43 | |
countries. Give everyone the same
chance as somewhere like that. We | 0:47:43 | 0:47:48 | |
have to make sure there is as level
a playing field as possible. In the | 0:47:48 | 0:47:54 | |
audience, good morning. A lot of the
discussion is based around the | 0:47:54 | 0:48:00 | |
question of inequality being a vital
incentive. Let's say it is. The next | 0:48:00 | 0:48:05 | |
question to me is, is the level of
inequality we are seeing in this | 0:48:05 | 0:48:09 | |
country and the US the level that we
want? In Scandinavian countries, | 0:48:09 | 0:48:17 | |
there is inequality, and that's good
for their society at the moment, | 0:48:17 | 0:48:21 | |
because they do have entrepreneurs,
businessmen like you, they get on | 0:48:21 | 0:48:25 | |
fine. There are problems, but not as
many problems as we do, so | 0:48:25 | 0:48:30 | |
inequality is good, but reduce it.
Inequality by definition is that | 0:48:30 | 0:48:35 | |
there are people at the top and
people at the bottom. The extent of | 0:48:35 | 0:48:40 | |
the inequality we have in Cambridge
at the moment, one of the richest | 0:48:40 | 0:48:44 | |
cities in the UK and therefore one
of the richest cities in the world, | 0:48:44 | 0:48:48 | |
is that Cambridge food bank said 25%
more last year than before. There is | 0:48:48 | 0:48:56 | |
extreme poverty in Cambridge, and
that's simply not acceptable. We are | 0:48:56 | 0:49:02 | |
trying to claim we are still a
civilised society. And it's getting | 0:49:02 | 0:49:06 | |
worse because of failures in the
benefits system, because of the an | 0:49:06 | 0:49:11 | |
affordability in housing, where
housing in Cambridge is particularly | 0:49:11 | 0:49:16 | |
challenging for people on low
incomes. I see it very directly why | 0:49:16 | 0:49:24 | |
it's getting worse, and it's a
consequence of political decisions | 0:49:24 | 0:49:28 | |
that this government has chosen to
make. If you cut the welfare system, | 0:49:28 | 0:49:33 | |
it's not just dreadful for the
people at the receiving end, but it | 0:49:33 | 0:49:37 | |
destroys the quality of life for
everybody in Cambridge. We don't | 0:49:37 | 0:49:40 | |
want rising numbers of people
sleeping on the streets in a city | 0:49:40 | 0:49:45 | |
like Cambridge. People are rightly
furious about it. The situation of | 0:49:45 | 0:49:51 | |
people sleeping on the streets in
Cambridge is not central | 0:49:51 | 0:49:55 | |
government's fault. It is! The
responsibility for homelessness on | 0:49:55 | 0:50:01 | |
the streets of any town or city in
the UK is the local council. When I | 0:50:01 | 0:50:10 | |
was on the council in East Cambs,
there was no homelessness and people | 0:50:10 | 0:50:15 | |
on the street, because of the
policies I put forward. I have | 0:50:15 | 0:50:17 | |
offered those policies to Cambridge
City Council, and they have not | 0:50:17 | 0:50:24 | |
taken them up, and I believe it's
because they want to blame the | 0:50:24 | 0:50:28 | |
government for something they can
solve. £17 million for housing in | 0:50:28 | 0:50:32 | |
the city, yet people are still on
the streets and houses have not been | 0:50:32 | 0:50:37 | |
built. This problem could be sold.
Cambridge City Council gets £9.5 | 0:50:37 | 0:50:44 | |
million a year simply from car
parking in the city. It is the | 0:50:44 | 0:50:49 | |
mistake of the City Council change
the word inequality to reward. Its | 0:50:49 | 0:50:56 | |
reward a vital incentive? Everyone
here would probably say yes in that | 0:50:56 | 0:51:00 | |
context. The idea that if you work
hard and have the right | 0:51:00 | 0:51:04 | |
opportunities, you will make
progress. People want to be | 0:51:04 | 0:51:08 | |
rewarded. The issue comes with the
balance of quality and inequality, | 0:51:08 | 0:51:12 | |
where people think others are being
rewarded for not working hard or | 0:51:12 | 0:51:17 | |
doing those things. How do we run
the system so that we reward and | 0:51:17 | 0:51:23 | |
incentivise hard work? That is a
real question we are asking. People | 0:51:23 | 0:51:28 | |
in the public sector are awarded a
lot less, and they are working as | 0:51:28 | 0:51:33 | |
hard as anyone. A nurse on the wards
is working just as hard as you, | 0:51:33 | 0:51:39 | |
Joseph. You are exemplary in your
work efforts, but a nurse on the | 0:51:39 | 0:51:44 | |
ward and she or he could not work
harder but just not getting the | 0:51:44 | 0:51:52 | |
reward. I agree with that. That goes
back to providing opportunity. If | 0:51:52 | 0:51:57 | |
somebody is working hard at the same
job every day, there is a cap on | 0:51:57 | 0:52:03 | |
what they can and. So it's providing
the opportunity for them to go into | 0:52:03 | 0:52:07 | |
a different career or train or what
ever that is, and that's very, very | 0:52:07 | 0:52:12 | |
important. We are launching a Joseph
Valente Academy at the moment, which | 0:52:12 | 0:52:18 | |
is about giving back opportunity to
young people. For me, it's about | 0:52:18 | 0:52:24 | |
providing them with opportunity. If
you provide them with an opportunity | 0:52:24 | 0:52:28 | |
and that person still doesn't want
to take that a level up, or change | 0:52:28 | 0:52:35 | |
their lifestyle that they are
potentially not happy about, what | 0:52:35 | 0:52:37 | |
more can we possibly do? There is a
guy behind you who's had his hand up | 0:52:37 | 0:52:43 | |
for ages. I think it's something
that Joseph said, creating these | 0:52:43 | 0:52:49 | |
opportunities to create
entrepreneurs in society, but is it | 0:52:49 | 0:52:51 | |
not then the goal of these people to
create a more equal society? Where | 0:52:51 | 0:52:56 | |
does that cycle and? The trouble
with this debate, and here is an | 0:52:56 | 0:53:04 | |
example, is that we take a snapshot
and we say, at a snapshot in time, | 0:53:04 | 0:53:09 | |
there are some people who are very
rich and some are very poor. It's | 0:53:09 | 0:53:14 | |
like taking a snapshot of a drop of
water in midair. When I was a | 0:53:14 | 0:53:20 | |
student, I was poor. After 40 years
of working and honing my skills, and | 0:53:20 | 0:53:25 | |
saving and so on, I'm now well off.
But I'm the same person. What we | 0:53:25 | 0:53:31 | |
actually want is a system where the
poorest people can actually make | 0:53:31 | 0:53:36 | |
themselves better off, and that's
why I say that government needs to | 0:53:36 | 0:53:39 | |
get out of the way here, and for
example take people on the minimum | 0:53:39 | 0:53:46 | |
wage out of national insurance.
Let's have some building on the | 0:53:46 | 0:53:49 | |
green belt that's strangling
Cambridge so that house prices come | 0:53:49 | 0:53:52 | |
down. I make my decisions based on
evidence, so looking at evidence, | 0:53:52 | 0:54:00 | |
since we have allowed gross levels
of inequality, it has not been good | 0:54:00 | 0:54:04 | |
for the economy. The economy has
grown at a lesser rate. Since the | 0:54:04 | 0:54:10 | |
crash, Britain's millionaires have
doubled their wealth, but wages for | 0:54:10 | 0:54:15 | |
working people have stagnated. It's
the same in the UK and the US. The | 0:54:15 | 0:54:20 | |
10% who are poorest in the UK, pay a
bigger percentage of tax of their | 0:54:20 | 0:54:26 | |
incomes than the rich do. Wealth
does not trickle down. The rich hide | 0:54:26 | 0:54:32 | |
their money by making donations to
political parties, who tell the rest | 0:54:32 | 0:54:36 | |
of us... I'm getting the impression
that Cambridge is being singled out | 0:54:36 | 0:54:43 | |
from having the huge levels of
inequality, but they come from the | 0:54:43 | 0:54:46 | |
fact there is a lot of highly
earning individuals rather than a | 0:54:46 | 0:54:52 | |
high proportion of lower earning
people. The higher earning | 0:54:52 | 0:54:57 | |
individuals appear to be working in
very wordy fields. I agree with you | 0:54:57 | 0:55:03 | |
that it is preposterous that 0.1%
who are absolutely flying away with | 0:55:03 | 0:55:10 | |
trillions of dollars, it's an absurd
situation, and if anyone can solve | 0:55:10 | 0:55:16 | |
that without plunging us into
socialism, I will sign up to it. But | 0:55:16 | 0:55:21 | |
it's not fair to look at Cambridge
and say, it's disgraceful, your | 0:55:21 | 0:55:26 | |
house prices are many times the
natural... National average, because | 0:55:26 | 0:55:30 | |
you are a world centre of
excellence. People with decent jobs | 0:55:30 | 0:55:35 | |
cannot get a mortgage. It depends if
you want to centralise it or not. If | 0:55:35 | 0:55:40 | |
you have a centralised public sector
with centralised salaries, a | 0:55:40 | 0:55:44 | |
centralised welfare state and
centralised notion of national | 0:55:44 | 0:55:48 | |
Insurance, places like Cambridge
will have inequality because the | 0:55:48 | 0:55:54 | |
process of creating wealth is not
centralised, but distributing it is. | 0:55:54 | 0:56:00 | |
I would love to see Cambridge return
to a Machiavellian, walled citadel. | 0:56:00 | 0:56:07 | |
Builds that wall! There is more to
life than finance. A lot of dons in | 0:56:07 | 0:56:14 | |
Cambridge are not paid very well,
but they lived like princes. There | 0:56:14 | 0:56:18 | |
is more to life than money. I always
find it interesting that people | 0:56:18 | 0:56:23 | |
who... You have said you are
comfortable now, the people who say | 0:56:23 | 0:56:29 | |
there is more to life than money are
generally the people who have enough | 0:56:29 | 0:56:33 | |
money to put food on the table,
close their kids and are not worried | 0:56:33 | 0:56:38 | |
about that. Cambridge has topped the
league. That's what's happened. It | 0:56:38 | 0:56:43 | |
is a snapshot... The poorest people
in Cambridge are the students, who | 0:56:43 | 0:56:51 | |
have loans so have negative wealth.
But they are going to earn far more | 0:56:51 | 0:56:56 | |
than other people. On this central
question we have here. You work in | 0:56:56 | 0:57:02 | |
the world of comedy. If there is a
comedian playing in a pub every | 0:57:02 | 0:57:07 | |
night, is he or she going to be
spurred on by seeing a comedian who | 0:57:07 | 0:57:14 | |
sells out at the Apollo? It is like
acting. Around 1% of actors have a | 0:57:14 | 0:57:20 | |
lifestyle who is inspirational, and
only about 10% have a job at any one | 0:57:20 | 0:57:26 | |
time. We all accept that. The world
of comedy is overwhelmingly | 0:57:26 | 0:57:33 | |
left-wing, and they preach a lot of
socialism, but it's incredibly petty | 0:57:33 | 0:57:39 | |
bourgeois. Do they live like
socialists? In the sense that they | 0:57:39 | 0:57:46 | |
are poor, they do. But in your first
15 years of comedy... It is driven | 0:57:46 | 0:57:52 | |
by the idea that your name could be
up in lights one day. And it's fun | 0:57:52 | 0:57:58 | |
on the way as well, of course. You
have to have something to strive | 0:57:58 | 0:58:04 | |
for, but you also have to have some
reasonable chance of realising that | 0:58:04 | 0:58:09 | |
aspiration. Of course, that means
having structures in place that | 0:58:09 | 0:58:13 | |
protect you. The welfare state,
health, unemployment benefits. But | 0:58:13 | 0:58:19 | |
you also need incentives, but that's
not to say that you need a society | 0:58:19 | 0:58:24 | |
that's deeply unequal and in which
the structural constraints make it | 0:58:24 | 0:58:28 | |
impossible to achieve. When your
grandparents have come from Bulgaria | 0:58:28 | 0:58:35 | |
and the Isle of Lewis, but you made
it to the White House. That's the | 0:58:35 | 0:58:40 | |
previous debate! | 0:58:40 | 0:58:41 | |
As always, the debates will continue
online and on Twitter. | 0:58:41 | 0:58:44 | |
Next week, we're in Newcastle
upon Tyne, so do join us then. | 0:58:44 | 0:58:46 | |
But for now, it's goodbye
and have a great Sunday. | 0:58:46 | 0:58:52 |