Six Nations Preview Scrum V Sunday


Six Nations Preview

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The language of rugby should prepare us for the storm surges of their

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politics. The choke and hold, the chop tackle, the Blitz. Pain. The

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game in Wales is as battered as the coastline of Wales. How different

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this language of commissioners from the tales of resurrection.

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So, what are we about to hear next? The soaring Symphony of the six

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Nations. Over a jackhammer self-destruction.

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It's sweet music prevails, and fevered brows can be sued, --

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soothed, who will play most sweetly? COMMENTATOR: Sam Robertson storms

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away! The best genes tend to be French but

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the Irish of a score to settle. -- have a score to settle. And England

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have a score to settle. That score. What made Wales saw made England

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score. Those that wear blue must come to the land of the red. But

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which read? Paint the town red or the red-faced read of indignation,

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road rage red, missed red of the gaming crisis. The simple read of

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Wales, though, for this, three in succession, taken as read.

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APPLAUSE Good evening and welcome to Scrum V.

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So can Wales make history and become the first ever side to win three Six

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Nations titles in a row? Here to help answer that, would you please

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welcome, Jonathan Davies. Jeremy Guscott. Paul Wallace. And Martyn

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Williams. APPLAUSE

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We'll hear from all the guys in a moment.

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But first a taste of what's coming up. After months of speculation, Sam

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Robertson commit his future to Wales. He becomes the first player

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here to sign a central contract. He will lead Wales as they defend their

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six Nations title, the champions are in no mood to a link which their

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crime. It's nice to be able to come into a campaign with a single focus,

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to do something potentially special. Eddie Butler Cross of the

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Irish Sea to get up close and personal with our Celtic cousins.

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And they're expecting fireworks. Because of Warren Gatland dropping

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Rina Duffer commits a fixture every fan will be looking at. And 11

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months on from the Millennium massacre, the Raging Bull assesses

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Anglo-Welsh relations. You look across the Welsh team and look at

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the ability... You know, it's mind blowing, really.

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History beckons for this Welsh side. The theatre awaits. Let battle

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commence. It's not about the position in the

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tournament. It's the way we're going to play in these five matches, but

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definitely am confident and I think we have the weapons, and are good

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enough to beat all the teams in this tournament. It's a bit up for grabs.

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We think we have a side which can win. It's a massive tournament, so

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while you're excited beyond the cusp of getting started, at the same

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time, there's nervousness about getting started and how you continue

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through it. You live it and the more you realise the size of it and how

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it grows, and the psychology of the nation, all nations, really, but

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certainly, for England, it's a big tournament for us.

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Wales, carved themselves. -- can look after themselves. The Welsh,

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the size and strength and speed of their team, they have won the last

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26 Nations on merit and they are a big team. -- six Nations. Everyone

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is motivated to get that three in a row. It's very special. Enormously

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exciting times. Jonathan, is there anything better to get us through

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the long cold winter than the six Nations? I'm looking forward to it.

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A lot of politics in the last few months, so unless they're talking

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about rugby... We will talk about that in a moment. It's still the

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greatest tournament in world rugby, isn't it? Yes, it's going to be.

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Everybody loves it. You get to travel to great places. Sometimes,

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the skill level of the games aren't where we would like them in

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comparison to the southern hemisphere. But you can't beat the

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passion and emotion of the six Nations. The crowd and passion is

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what makes it both is the envy of the rugby world, isn't it? In the

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southern hemisphere, you have 95% of the crowd there. The Scots are

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coming next weekend, a great chance to rub it into your neighbours. When

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you have the crowds there and two society is coming together for the

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bits more than just competition. I'm looking forward to it. Wish you were

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still playing? Yes, as a player, these are the moments you miss. You

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always want to get your pick fitness for the six Nations. Before we go

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into the rugby, some big news yesterday. Wales and Lions captain

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Sam Warburton has signed a central contract with the WRU. It sparked an

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a lot of debate on social media. It's a good news story, isn't it?

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Yes, it's good to Welsh rugby. It's opened a can of worms, really,

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because the region is about to be in agreement for who the centrally

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contracted player will play? Where will he play? Where will he train?

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I'm not sure they have talked about that. That's going to be one thing.

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Because of the relationship between the regions and the union, they

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should maybe gone, a dual contract, if one player each to each region,

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maybe Jones, Jonathan Davies, and Sam Robertson, something like that.

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At the moment, I don't know what to expect, because he's the first one.

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Who knows what's going to happen? The WRU statement said they intend

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he will play for the Cardiff blues. The regions of signed an agreement

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committing themselves. They won't play any centrally contracted

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players. Where will that leave Sam Robertson? That's my major concern.

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Like Jonathan said, it's great he to stay in Wales, but what competition

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will he be in? The Aviva, and then public and the Welsh premiership.

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It's a dangerous precedent. I think you are on dodgy ground when you are

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cherry picking players individually. Put yourself in Justin's shoes. What

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is he thinking today when it comes out of contract next year? There

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will be a bidding war between the regions and the union, which leaves

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a difficult place. We have all played rugby to be involved in a

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team, a team environment, and that's what you miss going in and out of

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training. Will Sam have one sessions with a conditioning coach? I can't

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think of anything worse! Apparently, he was left no other option so I

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feel for him. If he has taken abuse, his integrity is second to none, and

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that's a shame. Social media allows anyone to express an opinion and he

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has copped a lot of abuse for this. People say he has betrayed the

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Cardiff blues. He has immense integrity. An extremely gifted

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player. For people to attack him, to disgrace, is it not? It's hugely

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wrong and totally out of order. As usual, these people don't set to his

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face. They hide behind social media. I'm sure, this is abuse at an

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extreme level, and I'm sure he will just kind of set and block it out.

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He is mature enough to understand what to do. It's a strange situation

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but he has done it. In Welsh rugby, it is history in the making. But I

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agree with what the other players will think if they're not chosen to

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get the central contract? Very dangerous, but we will see. From the

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outside, as a nameless man, you hope the regions and the WRU get it

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together because everybody will go, why didn't they do that in the first

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place when it's all sorted out? You are used to central contracts in

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Ireland. That's the way things work. Do you find it bizarre that the

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situation in Wales, where it seems as though the regions and the union

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are competing with each other for these players are signatures? In

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Ireland, we have the four provinces and they all fed into the RFU,

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basically representing the four provinces. I can't understand why

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the WRU isn't an amalgamation of representing all the regions, which

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should be so, for me, everybody should be working in the same way.

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It seems to be personality clashes which have gone on, and I don't have

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a real inside track on what is happening here. It should be worked

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out that what's good for the provinces should be good for the

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WRU. I know whether national side doing well, the problems it has, and

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Ireland has been opposite. You back the provinces more than the national

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side. They need to get the right personnel together in both sides.

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They have got to work something out because someone like Sam Warburton

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shouldn't be put in that situation. He's doing it for the good of Welsh

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rugby. It shows great leadership he's taken a position to make sure

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he stays in Wales. That's what's happening off the pitch. But there's

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the small matter of a Six Nations on the horizion. Let's get the view

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from inside the camp. For us, it's nice to be able to come

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into a campaign with a single focus and a single focus is to do

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something potentially special. It's nice to have that focus right from

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the start. There's a huge amount of excitement at the moment and a huge

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amount of motivation. Sean said this in a team meeting earlier this week,

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setting the scene, saying, if we did win three championships in a row, we

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would be the best six Nations team ever. We will be part of the

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greatest team ever, over 100 years of history. That's a massive thing

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to achieve. You know it is there, so you would be lying if you said it

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wasn't something you are thinking about. The focus, we have to make

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sure it's on each game and can't lose track of that. I don't care if

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we win each Game 3-0. We just want to get into the championship. We

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will make every effort to do that. Italy in Cardiff, is the best start?

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It would be great. If you can get a victory against Italy, get the ball

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rolling, the first game of the campaign, we have been slower than

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we would have liked. We want to head the round -- ground running. If we

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get caught up in what's going on behind-the-scenes, the distractions

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of the so-called dispute between the region and the unions, mentally it's

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going to not put us in a good place, so it's something we spoke about on

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the first day. And I don't anticipate as speaking about it at

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all for the remains of the tournament. One of the things I've

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always found fantastic about this Welsh players, is how motivated they

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are to put their jersey on and they want to play particularly at the

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millennium Stadium and, for me, it's always a big boost. It makes my job

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easy, as well. There's never any lack of commitment or that desire

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for the players to do well. And represent Wales and do the nation

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proud. It is certainly a confident camp. We

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have been assessing whether they can walk the walk.

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This has been one of Wales' most successful eras. Wales can boast an

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impressive record with three titles, including two grand slams.

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So why have they been so successful? The powerful threat of George North

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and the aggressive ball carrying of Mike Phillips, the injection of Alex

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Cuthbert for important tries and the goal-kicking assurance of the Lions

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man of the series, Leigh Halfpenny. But this is what has really made

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Wales successful, the pattern of play. They like to launch George

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North, Jamie Roberts and Jonathan Davies from first phase across the

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gain line. Next, they have forwards carrying

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the ball. And then it is cutting the defensive line to try and expose the

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backs. This is where the stealth comes in. Alex Cuthbert and George

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North waiting to cut through any exposed weaknesses the defence may

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have. But Wales need to be careful. In the autumn series when up against

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the big guns, there were some potential weaknesses in the pattern

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of play. Will England and France look to match the physicality Wales

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have on the gain line? The Springboks in the autumn certainly

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did. You rarely see Wales' forward carriers passing the ball. If Alun

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Wyn Jones just tips the ball onto Bradley Davies, he has a chance to

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run at the South African Number ten but he gets manhandled instead. And

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what is plan B? When the pattern does not work, Mike Phillips starts

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to carry, what do they do next? They often lose their shape. We can see

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14 Wales players in a short area and the defensive line is organised.

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Will Ireland, France, Italy, Scotland, England have the smartness

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of the Australians? They hold up the big ball-carriers. We have seen

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Ireland doing this. And will Chris Robertshaw and cold take a leaf out

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of my Cooper 's book. Stealing the ball and creating quick ball to

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attack from. My question tonight is the Wales need to adapt style or

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will it be the seem again? Do Wales need to evolve to keep

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winning? They will be exactly the same way. We had been playing this

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-- saying this since Warren Gatland came on board. It has not changed

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since he was the coach of Wasps. It is all about physicality and

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discipline. It is all well and good knowing what is coming but unable to

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stop it is another thing. Over the last four or five years, the other

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Six Nations sides have struggled with that. It will be much the same

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players. We still have Leigh Halfpenny kicking the goals. I think

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they need to change things to beat the seven M is the size but to beat

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the Six Nations teams, I think it will be exactly the same -- southern

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hemisphere sides. Do you prefer knowing what is

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coming? Is a game plan that went all the way back to Ireland when I was

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playing under him. If you can stop Wales at the gain line, knock them

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back, windy conditions, you can stop the Welsh machine. One area they

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need to improve is some of the decision-making. But the other thing

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is up front as well. I think the front five, Adam Jones is such an

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important player. When he does not say, that is when Wales struggle

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upfront. That is an important area to target. It is the collisions that

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we have been worried about. I think Wales have an affair, enough

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firepower to steam over every team and a bit more finesse and they will

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be tough to beat. Rugby is all about winning. If you win the game playing

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a style in which you do, you are used to it, carry on doing it. Wales

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competing contestable kicks has not been great. If they do that correct,

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they will get even more territory. Leigh Halfpenny will knock them

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over. As irresistible as it is, you know what is coming, to stop it is

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very difficult. I like it, I would not change it. If you look at New

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Zealand and South Africa, they have a plan a and a plan B. Especially

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New Zealand. But is why they are the best in the world. We did the

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analysis after the South African game and I spoke to Robert Howley

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and they encourage them to play with headset. They just need a little

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pass. Attacking the stand-off. I think they can improve just buy one

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little pass again. Looking up, seeing what is in front of them.

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They do not have to bash it all the time. The World Cup is in a couple

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of years and if we are going to be G-7 hemisphere, now is the time to

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add those little things. -- if we are going to be the southern

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hemisphere. It is a golden generation of backs.

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Add to that, Jonathan Davies, he has a little bit of X factor. You know

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what is coming from Jamie Roberts. You know what Alex Cuthbert is

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doing. If you add a couple of extra passes, Leigh Halfpenny, changing

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direction, he can see everything from the back, there is a little bit

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more there. They have a lot of confidence from the Lions tour. I

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think now they are capable of playing a lot wetter by just

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adapting -- a lot better. Leigh Halfpenny can do more attacking

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wise. Using George North and Alex Cuthbert a bit more. They are

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absolutely terrible to stop. And then that little pass with the

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forwards. If they are going over the gain line. There is no plan B. Play

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to what you have got. That's where they do not have the -- that is

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where they do have the advantage over the other nations. England do

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not exactly know what they are doing. We saved every year about

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France. Bash we say it every year. The outside defence can get broken

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up quite a bit. I think that is one area they need to work on. They can

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create space, taking people out of line. A lot of Welsh players and

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Irish players on that Lions tour. Will fatigue come into this? I am

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not so sure. France have one every Six Nations post the Lions in the

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professional era. I do not think they will be tired. A lot of them

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have had breaks, some injuries, which can be a blessing in disguise.

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The conditioning staff and the management team knowing that the

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what it takes to get the boys in peak condition. The under 20s kick

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off their campaign next Friday against Italy. We will have action

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from that game and we will be following the women as well.

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The under 20s not only reached the World Cup finals after beating the

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likes of South Africa and Argentina, but won their first 46-nation

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matches before being picked up the post by series winners England. This

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year 's squad certainly have a tough act to follow. We have a lot of new

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boys coming up. It is a challenge for them also. It is a totally

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different game to underage teens. Far more intense. -- under 18 's. We

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have got to set our sights on success at the end of the day. It is

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vitally important we win our first game. It is crucial for us to build

:24:40.:24:44.

any type of momentum into the next game, which is a tough game against

:24:45.:24:49.

Ireland away. And that all-important first encounter will be played at

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Colwyn Bay against Italy. It will be the third year we have been there.

:24:57.:24:59.

Most of the games we have played, we have been successful there. The

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facilities are there are fantastic. It is a great thing. The support

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there is one of the best I have ever experienced. It is -- there is

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nothing more than I like family good singsong. I love it. -- than a good

:25:18.:25:27.

singsong. What can we expect from the women? With seven new players in

:25:28.:25:35.

the squad, is the pressure on? Last year, we came really close at home

:25:36.:25:39.

with inland and Ireland, only losing by a couple of points. Those are two

:25:40.:25:44.

games that we have a way this year. They will be massive games. We want

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to prove a point but also the home games, France at home, it will be

:25:50.:25:53.

very interesting. They are in our World Cup group later on in the

:25:54.:26:00.

year. The ladies are in Aberavon. This first match against Italy is a

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must win. The first game at home is very important. It is important to

:26:08.:26:10.

get off to a good start. They were very strong out in Italy last year.

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That match kicks off at 1pm. We will show you the highlights. But before

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that, next Friday, we will be in Colwyn Bay for the under 20s opening

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Six Nations encounter. Arguably Wales' biggest game this

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year is the Ireland match. There are more than a few scores to settle.

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March 13, 1914, it is the eve of Wales' last international match

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before the outbreak of the First World War. Ireland away. A Friday

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evening in Belfast, the Welsh captain takes his team for a quiet

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night out. It is showtime. The Welsh forwards are all sitting

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comfortably, unchanged throughout the championship, they are a hard

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lot. Scotland have been hammered in Cardiff, the Scottish captain has

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said the dirty team one. France have been smashed. This pack is already

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known as the terrible eight. Here they are, ready for the show, when

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into the theatre steps Belfast boy and Irish pack leader Billy Tyrrell

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and some of the Irish lads. They too have heard of the terrible eight.

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Where is this Percy Jones, says Billy Tyrrell. It is you want me for

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it tomorrow. Says Jones, I will be with you, doing the best I can. Can

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anyone join in? I will be with you. There may be a scuffle right here

:28:23.:28:26.

and now, the police may or may not have been called. But what has

:28:27.:28:30.

happened in the theatre is the stage has been set. The match takes place

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the next day, at the Balmoral Showgrounds. It is raining, the

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pitches a swamp and yet, it lives up to its billing. Jones is hit with a

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punch that licks his -- but makes his head rattle. Wales retaliate.

:28:56.:29:02.

Forward on forward. On the ball, off the ball, everybody involved. The

:29:03.:29:07.

Scottish referee just letting them get on with it. Wales scored three

:29:08.:29:17.

tries. They win 11-3. But the feud, it's immediately forgotten. Percy

:29:18.:29:25.

Jones is told, you are the finest Welshman I've ever come across, the

:29:26.:29:26.

only man ever to beat me. Alvin Davis is soon on the ward

:29:27.:29:44.

service. A doctor in the Royal Army medical Corps. Others go off to war,

:29:45.:29:50.

too. Thy Watts will be killed in action in France in 1916.

:29:51.:30:03.

37 years after the grudge match of 1914, the president of the Irish

:30:04.:30:17.

Rugby football union, sits down next to Percy Jones, now a hotelier. Two

:30:18.:30:21.

old friends watching Wales play Ireland. And so, too, today, 100

:30:22.:30:31.

years on from 1914, there is so much which is different. Ireland will

:30:32.:30:36.

play Wales not in Belfast but here in Dublin. Professional players one

:30:37.:30:39.

and all. There is still the odd doctor in the game. Not so many

:30:40.:30:43.

reverends. But there is still a grudge. A nation was scorned, they

:30:44.:30:51.

want revenge on Warren Gatland particular, and Wales. A lot of

:30:52.:30:56.

Irish people have enormous respect for Warren Gatland. That has been

:30:57.:31:00.

tarnished in recent months. Dropping Brian O'Driscoll, our Barry Jones

:31:01.:31:09.

and JP are all rolled into one, so for him to be discarded for one of

:31:10.:31:13.

the crowning glories of his career, rankles here. There's always been a

:31:14.:31:19.

frisson in this fixture and this has added to it. He's never been dropped

:31:20.:31:23.

in his career and the whole nation wanted to see him bow out, his

:31:24.:31:27.

fourth tour, on the pitch. As a winner. That rivalry between Ireland

:31:28.:31:34.

and Wales, is going to continue for a long time, and nobody is going to

:31:35.:31:38.

take one single step back and everything that has happened before,

:31:39.:31:43.

the drop goals, the grand slams, the triple Crowns, they are all going to

:31:44.:31:48.

be in their memories. No doubt about it. It's been so close, the Irish

:31:49.:31:54.

and Welsh affairs over the last few years. It comes down to a few

:31:55.:32:00.

points. The niggles are there and you have two get on with it. The

:32:01.:32:05.

Mike Phillips try, I think most of all, it's just familiarity breeds

:32:06.:32:10.

contempt as well as respect sometimes. There's still a bit of

:32:11.:32:15.

resentment in Ireland for that we love having a chip on our shoulder,

:32:16.:32:20.

and we will get every bit we can out of that. There needs to be focus and

:32:21.:32:25.

discipline as well as rage. Ireland and Wales has been an eliminator,

:32:26.:32:29.

whoever wins takes on England and France. It's been that rivalry for

:32:30.:32:36.

years. Primarily because Warren Gatland dropping Brian O'Driscoll

:32:37.:32:39.

for the third test, it's the fixture every Irish rugby fan has their eye

:32:40.:32:44.

on. The grudge match of 1914 was settled with a good old-fashioned

:32:45.:32:47.

punch-up. That can't happen now full in fact, the modern version of the

:32:48.:32:53.

game will be decided by who keeps a cool head out there, and this whole

:32:54.:32:57.

place is bouncing to the frenzy of the new feud.

:32:58.:33:04.

We have to confront this head-on. Does every Irish rugby supporter

:33:05.:33:11.

have a voodoo doll of Warren Gatland? I don't think so. I

:33:12.:33:15.

would've picked Brian at a school for his defence in the events but

:33:16.:33:21.

Jonathan Davies was playing better rugby, I thought, myself, and the

:33:22.:33:26.

way he played in the third test, you have got to put away what other

:33:27.:33:29.

colleges are you are, whatever nation you are once the Lions win

:33:30.:33:33.

the series. By and large, most people will have taken it with a

:33:34.:33:40.

pinch of salt. It's a great way to use it, anything we have, we will do

:33:41.:33:46.

that. The way Ireland play in November, you need some rage. You

:33:47.:33:54.

need a chip on your shoulder. It used to be England was the side we

:33:55.:33:58.

always look that, the one we want to take, but now Wales are the team.

:33:59.:34:02.

They have won the last two championships. They are the team of

:34:03.:34:05.

the tournament and these are big dogs, and this is going to the game

:34:06.:34:11.

of the tournament to win. Possibly the most measured response from an

:34:12.:34:15.

Irish man I've heard. As a player, do you pay any attention to the

:34:16.:34:24.

media? Does it rile you up? Yes, of course it does. We also the right

:34:25.:34:29.

things leading up to it, focusing on the game, what's in the past is on

:34:30.:34:33.

the past, but that's why we love sport for that we love the

:34:34.:34:38.

rivalries. When you become the greatest in the world like Brian

:34:39.:34:42.

O'Driscoll, you want to prove people wrong. Jamie he slipped feels hard

:34:43.:34:47.

done by. I know the guys off the field get on really well. The

:34:48.:34:55.

English, Irish, Welsh boys. It's built up over the last six years

:34:56.:34:59.

since Warren Gatland said the Welsh boys just like the Irish more than

:35:00.:35:03.

the English. It stirred it all up. I think it's great to have the hype

:35:04.:35:07.

going into the game. We don't need to build up any more. Ireland,

:35:08.:35:12.

fourth favourites according to the bookies. They have three provinces

:35:13.:35:16.

in the courts of Europe, came within a whisker of beating the All Blacks

:35:17.:35:19.

in the autumn. They are genuine title contenders, aren't they? You

:35:20.:35:25.

would think so. Three home games with the championship but what every

:35:26.:35:31.

coach has struggled with Ireland, is getting Ulster, Munster and Leinster

:35:32.:35:35.

to act as one. We've only seen it once in 2009. Joe Schmidt seems to

:35:36.:35:42.

be the guy to put together. I'm so there will be as much chat about the

:35:43.:35:47.

O'Driscoll game, and why he wasn't included, if another player gets in

:35:48.:35:55.

there. On Brian O'Driscoll, as last season. A legend of world rugby.

:35:56.:35:59.

What a great swansong it would be a Jonathan Davies got back fit and

:36:00.:36:02.

there was a personal deal between those two. Yes, that's what you want

:36:03.:36:09.

to see, two best players in the northern hemisphere playing against

:36:10.:36:17.

each other. The press really stirred up during that week. We will have a

:36:18.:36:21.

crack as well. We will go over on Friday night and get stuck in in

:36:22.:36:28.

Dublin. I think, if Wales win that game, they will win a championship.

:36:29.:36:33.

That game is so important. It is massive for the Welsh, going over

:36:34.:36:38.

there with all the fuss, O'Driscoll and everything going on. It's not

:36:39.:36:42.

going to be easy. LAUGHTER

:36:43.:36:48.

APPLAUSE I just think it is The game.

:36:49.:37:00.

England have got France. That's their game. France... We will talk

:37:01.:37:07.

about England in a moment. Sean O'Brien falls there's a slim chance

:37:08.:37:12.

Jonathan Davies could be back. Sean O'Brien is a big injury miss for

:37:13.:37:16.

Ireland. How much will you miss them? Who might replace him? I think

:37:17.:37:21.

of all the players in the Irish squad. The way we play, he is the

:37:22.:37:26.

one we will miss the most. O Brien, for what he does, he is a big

:37:27.:37:30.

physical ball-carrier. Jo Schmidt likes to play a wide passing game

:37:31.:37:35.

and they have got some good passes of the ball. If you don't go wide,

:37:36.:37:39.

you don't do that. That is where O Brien will be missed for the Chris

:37:40.:37:45.

Henry will come in. For me, I would go for Tommy O'Donnell, who is back

:37:46.:37:50.

to fitness. He is more dynamic and can carry the ball more. Healy

:37:51.:37:55.

coming back, as well. He will be important. We don't have enough big

:37:56.:38:00.

ball-carrier is to bring tackles close enough. We have good guys out

:38:01.:38:06.

wide and that's the big thing. As you mentioned early, winning those

:38:07.:38:11.

collisions, O Brien was our man. His abilities were very important. His

:38:12.:38:15.

size, and the way he can just stay down, very hard to move, so he will

:38:16.:38:19.

be missed. Well, before we get to Ireland, Wales will begin their

:38:20.:38:23.

campaign against Italy. It will be the first of Wales' three home games

:38:24.:38:29.

against the teams in blue. One of the things which struck me about

:38:30.:38:32.

this year 's six Nations championship is the levels of

:38:33.:38:35.

experience of the coaches. Ironically, with their current

:38:36.:38:39.

teams, they have relative inexperience. But Warren Gatland has

:38:40.:38:47.

the most experience of the maul and with unprecedented success, so what

:38:48.:38:51.

about the men at ten? It's not just Wales who have to make a decision.

:38:52.:38:57.

Italy had this man, informed. They also have Alan. Last seen in a

:38:58.:39:02.

Scotland shirt for the under 20s. He could be the man to take the number

:39:03.:39:07.

ten shirt. For France, there is a freshness about the number ten

:39:08.:39:11.

selections. They have huge responsibilities on their

:39:12.:39:17.

shoulders. And for Scotland, big decision to go with the pragmatic

:39:18.:39:26.

Duncan Weir, or Rory Jackson. So let's take a closer look at the

:39:27.:39:30.

Italians. It's not quite a dad 's Army but they have an ageing squad.

:39:31.:39:38.

They have the highest average age in this year 's six Nations

:39:39.:39:42.

championship. What is their form like? Well, in the autumn

:39:43.:39:45.

internationals, they lost all three of their games, conceding on average

:39:46.:39:51.

33 points per game. Wales have won the last three encounters of the

:39:52.:39:54.

millennium Stadium, scoring ten tries in all ten of the millennium

:39:55.:39:56.

Stadium, scoring ten tries and Alltel accompanist prolific

:39:57.:39:59.

backline. And so do the French, different story. They have won five

:40:00.:40:04.

out of the last seven visits to the millennium Stadium. But they are

:40:05.:40:08.

missing a raft of key players. And the one player they're going to miss

:40:09.:40:11.

the most, their captain and callous man, Thierry Dusatoir. -- talisman.

:40:12.:40:22.

And so to Scotland. They have a disastrous record against Wales in

:40:23.:40:26.

Cardiff also losing on the last six occasions that they have travelled.

:40:27.:40:30.

But they have two very familiar faces this time. Scott Johnson and

:40:31.:40:35.

Jonathan Humphreys. They know Wales inside out. They will go this year

:40:36.:40:39.

for the big ball carrying back row with the likes of Denton, Johnnie

:40:40.:40:45.

Beattie, and Ryan Wilson. They also have one of the most important and

:40:46.:40:48.

dangerous back three in the championship. The powerful Sean

:40:49.:40:54.

Lamont and Stuart Hall, who can score from anywhere on the field. I

:40:55.:40:59.

wonder if it will be done to Scotland to spoil Wales's party?

:41:00.:41:08.

John Humphrys won't bankers for that slow motion shot of him beating a

:41:09.:41:12.

wine gum but we said we will put it in -- thank us. They came third last

:41:13.:41:18.

week. Will Scotland be a threat this year? I don't think they will win

:41:19.:41:21.

the tournament, no. They have a decent pack, good back row, good

:41:22.:41:26.

back three, and I know John O likes to play an expansive game. There

:41:27.:41:33.

halfbacks, no creativity. Wales physically dominated them at

:41:34.:41:39.

Murrayfield. They may sneak an upset in Murrayfield. But I ready can't

:41:40.:41:44.

see them as contenders. Your first opponent in Dublin. A team you would

:41:45.:41:48.

fear? The Scots and the Irish, we have slipped up many times, being

:41:49.:41:55.

favourite against Scotland. They are a side that are very difficult

:41:56.:41:58.

opponents, especially in wet conditions. They can play the old

:41:59.:42:04.

traditional gamer. Their line-out is excellent. I do think they are

:42:05.:42:08.

missing a couple of areas, control and familiarity in the backline as

:42:09.:42:15.

well, it's not there. Held is a great attacking player full stop

:42:16.:42:21.

it'll be the issue for Ireland. They need to hit the ground running

:42:22.:42:24.

because I think Scotland will think it's one they can take. In the last

:42:25.:42:29.

27 games they played away from them, they've only won two games.

:42:30.:42:34.

Brilliant statistics. LAUGHTER

:42:35.:42:40.

It's a team you're not going to fear because they can't run away from

:42:41.:42:43.

home. The thing is, they don't score enough tries. A great back three,

:42:44.:42:50.

right, that they don't create another opportunities and their

:42:51.:42:52.

basic skills, when the opportunity comes, it's not there. If they don't

:42:53.:43:01.

fix that, they won't win games. Their pack is good. The halfbacks,

:43:02.:43:06.

ball-carriers, but when the opportunities come, if they don't

:43:07.:43:10.

score enough tries, they don't put themselves in a position to win

:43:11.:43:12.

matches, and that is their problem. Their basic skills, clinical, once

:43:13.:43:17.

or twice in the game, it doesn't happen, and that's why they don't

:43:18.:43:22.

win. What about France? They always seem to cash in after a Lions tour.

:43:23.:43:29.

They are the wooden spoon holders. Nervous about that? No, the last

:43:30.:43:35.

couple of games England played against them, home and away, they

:43:36.:43:39.

have one. Good tries by Tom, Ben Foden, and Tuilagi. The England pack

:43:40.:43:49.

has the measure of most sides. They are competitive, very competitive.

:43:50.:43:53.

Owen Farrell can knock over penalties. I'm looking forward to

:43:54.:43:59.

seeing the new centre partnership. Burrell is over six foot. I don't

:44:00.:44:05.

think if I was an England team, I would be fearing too much the French

:44:06.:44:08.

because they are in turmoil themselves. The French have a

:44:09.:44:18.

chance. They have had a shocker. They have had some very young fly

:44:19.:44:31.

halves. They always have a general at number nine. At the Number ten

:44:32.:44:40.

should be the general. They will probably put the best centre in the

:44:41.:44:43.

world on the wing. If he picks the right side, they will be good. They

:44:44.:44:57.

have injuries. The best players are coming in and that will help them.

:44:58.:45:03.

It is a problem in club rugby in France, they don't have a Number

:45:04.:45:13.

ten. Thierry Dusatoir is very

:45:14.:45:21.

influential. I wanted to ask you about Italy.

:45:22.:45:35.

Yes, Parisse is unbelievable. Very physical. It is very difficult to

:45:36.:45:45.

pick him up. He is their key man. He did not play against us last year

:45:46.:45:47.

and they struggled. That is the problem. We are always focusing on

:45:48.:45:54.

Parisse. When is someone ask when to come along? We know what he does.

:45:55.:45:58.

But he cannot win the game on his own.

:45:59.:46:02.

Very briefly, Italy, should we take that as a given? Yes.

:46:03.:46:08.

We face England in round four this year. I do not need to remind you

:46:09.:46:13.

that they came down the M4 last year in search of a Grand Slam. It did

:46:14.:46:19.

not pan out as they expected. I do not need to remind Jerry that.

:46:20.:46:25.

Last year, I adopted England and as something of an expert on them, I

:46:26.:46:31.

have been sent over the border to meet an England legend and an old

:46:32.:46:44.

friend of the programme. How are we doing?

:46:45.:46:54.

Lovely to see you on home turf. Last time I saw you, you were in Cardiff.

:46:55.:47:04.

You were very generous to us in the wake of that result last year. I

:47:05.:47:10.

think I am a generous bloke anyway. But when I came down on the show, I

:47:11.:47:14.

know, what was interesting when I arrived, thank you, thank you so

:47:15.:47:21.

much for coming. Did you think I was not when to come because of the

:47:22.:47:27.

result? But genuinely, I grew up watching the Six Nations and it is

:47:28.:47:32.

such a fantastic competition. Having played in it, I had been on the end

:47:33.:47:37.

of some bad ones. I have been on the end of some good ones. But being

:47:38.:47:42.

there that day, fancy dress, you could feel the atmosphere, and as

:47:43.:47:50.

the game was building up, one of my favourite places, the greatest place

:47:51.:47:53.

for me to play, it is Cardiff, the Millennium Stadium. You get all that

:47:54.:48:00.

spirit, all that emotion just pouring out of the city centre. It

:48:01.:48:05.

comes in through the turnstiles and that stadium just comes alive. As an

:48:06.:48:16.

advert for Six Nations rugby, northern hemisphere rugby, I do not

:48:17.:48:19.

think I have ever seen or been to a better game. The Welsh National

:48:20.:48:30.

Mining firm is just phenomenal. The way it is sung. -- the Welsh anthem.

:48:31.:48:36.

It was just a privilege to have been part of it. And yes, my England were

:48:37.:48:42.

on the end of it but as a spectacle, the play, the intensity, the

:48:43.:48:47.

physicality, I remember one incident, Richard Hibbard, he hit

:48:48.:48:56.

somebody, I just remember thinking, people say, I bet you wish you were

:48:57.:49:02.

still playing, I do not. Thank you very much.

:49:03.:49:07.

After 20 or 30 minutes, you get a feeling. Things were going quiet.

:49:08.:49:15.

And quieter. And then you could see England getting smaller and you

:49:16.:49:22.

could see that Welsh Dragon. If you had two bottles something up and

:49:23.:49:27.

give a presentation to say what is rugby, there you go. Take a DVD of

:49:28.:49:38.

that. It is the highlight of the calendar. We mentioned the

:49:39.:49:41.

importance of the stadium. It is at Twickenham. Is it as big a factor,

:49:42.:49:45.

the Twickenham factor, for the English? If this Welsh team plays at

:49:46.:49:53.

the level it can, and we saw it in last year 's Six Nations against

:49:54.:49:58.

England. They can beat anybody. I am still not sure about this in an team

:49:59.:50:05.

yet. There is still a lot that I do not know. But Twickenham is waiting.

:50:06.:50:10.

If we have something to get behind, we are with them and if this England

:50:11.:50:15.

team and bottler that feeling from what happened last year, and when

:50:16.:50:24.

that whistle Blues and England get after it, swing low will be going

:50:25.:50:35.

round that stadium. What a beautiful thought.

:50:36.:50:40.

That game is a little way off but if you do believe in omens, Wales have

:50:41.:50:48.

stolen a march today. Wales death there counterparts this afternoon.

:50:49.:51:01.

Congratulations to them. -- Deaf. Phil Vickery spoke in reverent tones

:51:02.:51:06.

about Wales. It was of course 11 months ago the massacre at the

:51:07.:51:08.

Millennium Stadium. Have you forgotten how you felt bad they?

:51:09.:51:19.

This photograph should remind you. -- how bad you felt that day. It is

:51:20.:51:31.

good to see him smiling. I am always reminded because he has

:51:32.:51:38.

it as his picture on twitter. I spoke to Stuart Lancaster at the

:51:39.:51:42.

launch last Wednesday, E denies they are scarred by that. Are they still

:51:43.:51:46.

scarred? That was such a one-sided encounter. They were looking for a

:51:47.:51:52.

Grand Slam. The next time they come to Cardiff,

:51:53.:51:55.

they will remember it and they will feed off it and that will be the

:51:56.:51:58.

motivation. This time, it is to condemn. -- it is Twickenham.

:51:59.:52:12.

I remember the game in 191990, losing to Scotland, and that is the

:52:13.:52:15.

one game that I wanted to win for the rest of my career. I believe

:52:16.:52:20.

that the changes in the scrum rules will not allow Wales to have that

:52:21.:52:26.

dominance. And I think they are a little more confident. Stuart

:52:27.:52:28.

Lancaster has worked recently within the camp. We all know that it is the

:52:29.:52:34.

quality of player on the pitch. In that sense, Wales have a consistent

:52:35.:52:41.

side. We can pick the Wales team. We can only pick ten of England.

:52:42.:52:50.

Plenty of Lions missing, have they got the personnel to challenge

:52:51.:52:54.

Wales? They have the numbers. There is

:52:55.:52:57.

better strength in depth than all the other countries. But I do feel

:52:58.:53:01.

that international rugby is about selection. I am not sure they know

:53:02.:53:13.

what game they want to play. With England, I am not sure what

:53:14.:53:18.

they are trying to do. They are sticking with the tried and tested

:53:19.:53:22.

halfbacks. They want to build those caps up for the experience for the

:53:23.:53:26.

World Cup. But midfield, they are picking quite a quick back three.

:53:27.:53:30.

But the balance in midfield, they do not have the distribution to utilise

:53:31.:53:34.

the back three as well. They are picking Mike Brown at fullback. That

:53:35.:53:38.

is the problem. If they get that right, they will be a threat, as

:53:39.:53:42.

they showed against the all Blacks. They are capable of beating anyone.

:53:43.:53:46.

That is what is great about this tournament. If they get the

:53:47.:53:51.

selection right, they will be dangerous but can they get it right?

:53:52.:53:56.

What sort of shape are they in? England will always have a good

:53:57.:54:00.

pack, a good defence, very difficult to beat. They have tough games to

:54:01.:54:07.

start, Paris and then Scotland. If they have two victories, they will

:54:08.:54:11.

be confident and dangerous. But it could be the other way. I agree with

:54:12.:54:16.

the boys, the selection is key for them.

:54:17.:54:20.

Can we count on your support for that Wales England game? You can,

:54:21.:54:31.

indeed. Yes, England are a very hard team to

:54:32.:54:34.

beat. They always are, even when they are not laying well. And they

:54:35.:54:38.

have not played that well for a few seasons. The performance against New

:54:39.:54:45.

Zealand was good. Yes, but to beat Wales, you have to play a high tempo

:54:46.:54:49.

game and you have to play the space, they do not have the physicality,

:54:50.:54:55.

missing Corbisiero, these big guys. Andy Farrell at number ten, he needs

:54:56.:54:59.

power players around him. I do not think he has the ability of Jonathan

:55:00.:55:06.

Sexton to move a bit more quickly, take the ball to the canine, that is

:55:07.:55:10.

the area for Wales against imminent. A Welsh victory?

:55:11.:55:19.

Yes. We are running out of time. I was hoping to get predictions but

:55:20.:55:23.

that will have to wait for next time. A big thanks to everyone,

:55:24.:55:29.

Jonathan Davies, Jeremy Guscott, Paul Wallace and Martyn Williams.

:55:30.:55:37.

Just six more sleeps to go. We are all getting very excited. We will

:55:38.:55:40.

leave you with a special message from our friends at Briton Ferry

:55:41.:55:44.

RFC. When the battle scars have faded and

:55:45.:56:01.

the truth becomes a lie and the weekends smell of liniment and it

:56:02.:56:06.

has jetted into the sky. When the rocks are well behind you and the

:56:07.:56:10.

men that ran now walk, we all will come together to sit and drink and

:56:11.:56:15.

talk. As you ache from knocks and tackles, you're a thoroughbred gone

:56:16.:56:18.

lame, you ask your self a question, why on earth do you play this game?

:56:19.:56:23.

And though your weary and aching and you feel you can tackle no more, you

:56:24.:56:31.

look at the players around you and know what you are playing for. As

:56:32.:56:38.

you sit and reminisce comes the most compelling feeling, that's the thing

:56:39.:56:43.

with rugby, it'll always be the same. It is not just about the

:56:44.:56:46.

rugby. It is the friendships you make on the way. Andy Jenks and the

:56:47.:56:52.

songs and the laughter. And the banter at the end of the day.

:56:53.:56:57.

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