23/05/2016 BBC News at Six


23/05/2016

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Voting to leave the EU would trigger a year long recession -

:00:00.:00:00.

A warning from both David Cameron and George Osborne -

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at least half a million jobs could go.

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This could be, for the first time in history,

:00:18.:00:19.

As I stand here in B, it would be a DIY recession.

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The Leave campaign hit back - they're calling it propaganda.

:00:29.:00:33.

There could have been economic catastrophe for this country if we

:00:34.:00:36.

left the European exchange rate mechanism, that's what the Treasury

:00:37.:00:38.

It was a liberation for this economy.

:00:39.:00:43.

Paul Wilson died of a nut allergy just minutes

:00:44.:00:50.

Restaurant owner Mohammed Zaman is jailed - a legal first.

:00:51.:01:12.

Just not special enough, Louis Van Gaal gets the sack -

:01:13.:01:15.

The health campaigners who say eating fatty food

:01:16.:01:19.

does not make you fat - they're facing a backlash.

:01:20.:01:21.

And the Chelsea Flower Show is in full bloom, but why

:01:22.:01:23.

are the young shrinking violets when it comes to gardening?

:01:24.:01:26.

Coming up in the sport on BBC News:

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Rory McIlroy says his concerns over the Zika virus

:01:29.:01:30.

out of competing at the Olympic Games in Rio.

:01:31.:01:49.

Good evening and welcome to the BBC News at Six.

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With exactly a month to go to the EU referendum, the Remain campaign has

:01:53.:01:55.

warned that leaving the EU could trigger an "immediate

:01:56.:01:57.

Using analysis produced by the Treasury, George Osborne warned

:01:58.:02:06.

that at least half 1 million jobs could be lost,

:02:07.:02:09.

The Chancellor also said real incomes and wages could be cut.

:02:10.:02:14.

But many campaigning for Britain to leave said that was a "deeply

:02:15.:02:17.

biased view of the future," ignoring all the advantages of leaving.

:02:18.:02:21.

Here's our Economics Editor, Kamal Ahmed.

:02:22.:02:30.

One month to go until the referendum on David Cameron and George Osborne

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are on the road again, warning voters against what they call a leap

:02:37.:02:41.

in the dark. They chose the head office of B in Hampshire to

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deliver a joint message - leaving the EU would hit growth. The shock

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to our economy after leaving Europe would tip the country into

:02:51.:02:54.

recession. This could be, for the first time in history, a recession

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brought on ourselves. As I stand here in B, it would be

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a DIY recession. This is the latest in a long line of gloomy assessment

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from the Treasury, the IMF and the Bank of England. Aren't you simply

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trying to scare people into voting to remain? I think if you look at

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this forecast and take it together with other forecasts, you can see it

:03:28.:03:30.

is far from being the most pessimistic. Indeed we are assuming

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in this document a deal is done in two years between Britain and the

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European Union after we have left which I think is very optimistic. So

:03:36.:03:40.

what does the Treasury's shock scenario look like? Let's start with

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GDP, our national income. The document suggests that could fall by

:03:46.:03:50.

6%. It also talks about real incomes, saying they could fall by

:03:51.:03:56.

4% and George Osborne suggested that could be ?800 for someone on average

:03:57.:04:00.

income. It also talks about unemployment and says that could

:04:01.:04:08.

rise by 820,000 in the next two years if Britain decides to leave

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the European Union. Why? If trade slows and economic uncertainty

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increases, many believe the whole economy will slow. They try to look

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at the effects of increased uncertainty which would arise if we

:04:24.:04:27.

were to vote for leaving the European Union. That very likely

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does reduce economic output, reduces income relative to what they would

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have been. They come up with a set of forecasts which are not

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dissimilar to those that a lot of other people have come up with so on

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the whole this looks robust. Boris Johnson, also out on the stump. For

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Leave campaigners, they say that forecasts can be wrong. They said

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that we couldn't leave the European exchange-rate mechanism, they said

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it would be a disaster, they said interest rates would rise, they said

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it would be an economic catastrophe for this country if we left the

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European exchange rate mechanism. That's what the Treasury said, and

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it was a liberation for this economy. Even they -- for the

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Allies, there was a warning not to overcook it. It can have a negative

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effect. I don't have complete control over how George Osborne

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chooses to campaign, I hope you will choose to campaign positively in the

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weeks to come. The Government is warning voters to the cautious, but

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for Leave this is about a brighter future, free from the shackles as

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they see them of the EU. I have lost count of the number of

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forts there have been, what's different about this one? There

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seems to be a direct relationship between the importance that the

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Government puts on the economic arguments related to the European

:06:06.:06:10.

Union referendum and the amount of pages produced by the Treasury on

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the subject. Last month was the long-term economic impact, 200 pages

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of pretty grim news. Today the short-term economic impact, 100

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pages of pretty grim news. Why is this so important to the Government?

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They believe the economy is the issue that will sway undecided

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voters as they approach June the 23rd. When you get in the booth with

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your pencil, if you are worried about the economy you are more

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likely, the Government hopes, to vote for Remain than Leave. For

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Leave, their big counterargument is that forecasts can be wrong, and

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also that if we left the European Union that would be a huge boost to

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us. Freed from the shackles of the European Union single market, as

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they see it. This is ultimately for the voters to decide. This will be

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the last attempt by the Treasury to convince them, it is whether the

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public thinks this will sway my vote. Thank you.

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The BBC's Reality Check team has been examining the claims

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in the Treasury document, and many others from both sides

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You can find their assessments at bbc.co.uk/realitycheck.

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In a legal first, a restaurant owner has been jailed for six years

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after ignoring a customer's request for a nut-free meal.

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Paul Wilson died within minutes of eating a takeaway he bought

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at the Indian Garden restaurant in Easingwold

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Mohammed Zaman, who owned the restaurant, was found

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This is Paul Wilson, about to order a meal

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He knows he has a severe nut allergy and tells the waiter.

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It is even written on the chit - "No Nuts".

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But the meal that 38-year-old walked out with did have nuts in.

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Just before he ate it, he called his mum.

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He was home, he'd got his curry and his last words were, "I love

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The restaurant owner, Mohammed Zaman, was today convicted

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With large business debts, he'd cut corners and swapped

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expensive almond powder for cheaper ground nut powder

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And it wasn't the first time a customer with a nut allergy had

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As soon as I tasted it, I could feel my lips swelling up

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Student Ruby Scott ordered a supposedly nut-free meal from one

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of Zaman's other restaurants a few weeks earlier, but it

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I don't know whether they just don't know how severe a peanut allergy is.

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I think a lot of people think it is just a stomach ache,

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but it is actually very life-threatening.

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On the night Paul Wilson died, police were quickly round here

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Zaman's food had again caused a severe allergic reaction.

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Then, astonishingly, the day afterwards,

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Trading Standards came here to buy a meal which apparently had no nuts

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in it, but when they tested it they found it had enough peanuts

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to potentially kill someone with the allergy.

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Police say the case sends out a warning.

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The message goes out that if anybody else operates their business

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in a similar sort of way, they could possibly face prosecution

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Paul Wilson's parents say their only son was their whole world.

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His dad says Paul was his best friend.

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The restaurant owner responsible for his death repeatedly lied

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during his trial and was utterly indifferent to the health

:09:56.:09:57.

More than 80 people have been killed in a series of explosions

:09:58.:10:07.

on Syria's Mediterranean coast in government-held areas

:10:08.:10:11.

that had so far escaped the worst of the conflict.

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Four blasts have been heard in the city of Jableh and a further

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The monitoring group the Syrian Observatory

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for Human Rights also says 200 people were wounded in the attack.

:10:24.:10:27.

Five employees of the private security firm G4S working

:10:28.:10:29.

in the control room of Lincolnshire Police have been

:10:30.:10:31.

suspended after an investigation by its anti-corruption unit.

:10:32.:10:37.

It's claimed the G4S staff were making 999 calls themselves

:10:38.:10:39.

in an attempt to make sure they met targets on response times.

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Our correspondent Daniel Sandford is here.

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What exactly were these people doing? When Lincolnshire Police

:10:53.:10:59.

privatised their 999 call service, it set a target and that was that

:11:00.:11:05.

92% of calls should be answered within ten seconds. The staff now

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working for G4S started getting behind on those targets towards the

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end of last year so they started dialling 999 themselves so they

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could answer it very quickly and improve the ratio of calls being

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answered within ten seconds. They made around 700 extra calls to 999

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themselves and five staff have now been suspended. This is important

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because this contract was supposed to be paving the way for

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privatisation of other police jobs. G4S was hoping to get many more

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contracts but now its reputation is very badly damaged. If it wasn't bad

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enough, after allegations that staff had assaulted people in Medway

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training centre and that G4S was pulling the Ministry of Justice for

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monitoring people on tykes who were either dead or had already been

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returned to prison. It's been the worst-kept

:12:02.:12:02.

secret in football - today Manchester United confirmed

:12:03.:12:04.

that manager Leading the club to FA Cup glory

:12:05.:12:05.

at Wembley over the weekend Now all eyes are on the man who's

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likely to replace him - former Katie Gornall is at Old Trafford

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for us this evening. We have still had no confirmation

:12:15.:12:24.

from the club, but we know the players are aware that Louis van

:12:25.:12:27.

Gaal has been sacked and has paid the price for two underwhelming

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seasons at Old Trafford, despite arriving with such promise and being

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given more than ?250 million to spend on new players. He arrived

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with a big reputation and a record that boasted success, but even

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adding the FA Cup to that resonate was not enough to save Louis van

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Gaal. This morning he arrived alone at the training ground, not to plan

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for the future but to discuss his departure. How different his mood

:12:56.:13:00.

was just 36 hours earlier. Manchester United have taken the

:13:01.:13:05.

lead in extra time in the cup final. He celebrated as United won their

:13:06.:13:08.

first FA Cup in 12 years but his fate had already been decided. For

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the majority of clubs, winning the FA Cup would be the springboard to

:13:15.:13:18.

the next season, fourth us it has been the finale. Treat Louis van

:13:19.:13:25.

Gaal right, he has had a great career and I'm only sorry it has

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ended this way for him. It all started to seriously unravel for

:13:32.:13:37.

Louis van Gaal when United suffered their worst run of form for 26

:13:38.:13:42.

years. They failed to qualify for the Champions League, missing out on

:13:43.:13:47.

goal difference. Now they will turn to former Chelsea manager Jose

:13:48.:13:51.

Mourinho. Today in London he gave no hint he was about to step into one

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of the biggest jobs in world football. He is a very intelligent

:13:55.:14:00.

manager and tactically he's very good. He manages to get the best out

:14:01.:14:06.

of every player. Jose Mourinho can be controversial but his methods

:14:07.:14:10.

brings excess. This time Manchester United hope they have a manager who

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is the right fit. The Prime Minister

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and the Chancellor warn of a self-inflicted year long

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recession if we vote And I am at the Chelsea Flower Show

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which has been wishing one of its regular visitors, the Queen, very

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happy 90th birthday. Brendan Rodgers says he plans

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to continue Celtic's domination of Scottish Football,

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as he's appointed as Over the last few weeks we've

:14:43.:14:44.

reported on how people are making up their minds about the EU

:14:45.:14:58.

Referendum. One factor that seems to influence

:14:59.:15:01.

the decision is age. Recent polls suggest that 70%

:15:02.:15:04.

of those aged under 25 It's very different

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for those over 65 - nearly said 60% said they'd

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vote to leave. Our home editor Mark Easton is in

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Eastbourne for us this evening. Bit of a generation game? It is

:15:18.:15:31.

indeed, welcome to Eastbourne with its view out across the Channel to

:15:32.:15:36.

our continental neighbours. How people react to that view really

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does depend on their generation. The generation which voted us into

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Europe back in 1975 now largely say they want us to leave and the

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generation which has never known anything different once asked to

:15:51.:15:53.

stay. I have been trying to find out why.

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On England's southern shore, Eastbourne is

:15:56.:15:57.

Some parts of the town are full of student digs.

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In others the average age is over 70.

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This week I would like to talk about...

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At an over 50s club, a creative writing class where every

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single member tells me they will be voting to leave the EU.

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Where you live I think 80 odd people, overwhelming

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I think basically they want to get the England that they knew

:16:17.:16:21.

We are diminishing with our say, we are just one, first

:16:22.:16:27.

of all we were one in eight or nine, now we are one in 32, we are going

:16:28.:16:32.

I think it's ridiculous that the EU are dictating

:16:33.:16:37.

to us over immigration, that we have no control

:16:38.:16:39.

So many immigrants are coming in, many of them illegally.

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Across town students dance to a different tune.

:16:48.:16:52.

Among these trainee physical education teachers every single

:16:53.:16:55.

person tells me they will be voting to stay in the EU.

:16:56.:17:00.

I think your generation appears to be more comfortable

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with diversity, people moving around?

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Times have changed from our grandad and grandmas generation,

:17:07.:17:09.

I think diversity has become more accepted.

:17:10.:17:13.

I don't do the things that my grandma used

:17:14.:17:15.

to do back in the day, I just get on with it.

:17:16.:17:18.

I'm very proud Brit, but I'm very comfortable

:17:19.:17:23.

There is an argument that huge numbers of Europeans coming

:17:24.:17:26.

to the United Kingdom will change our identity somehow.

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I can't think of one British thing that we have to lose.

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You do have immigrants who can cause problems and everyone is worried

:17:34.:17:41.

about but then again you have the immigrants who come

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in who have contributed to our country so much.

:17:45.:17:48.

With such different views on Britain's relationship

:17:49.:17:50.

with its neighbours across the water, we decided

:17:51.:17:53.

to invite representatives of both groups to meet

:17:54.:17:55.

We took the search for common ground to the pier's tearoom.

:17:56.:18:10.

These Europeans are taking thousands, billions of money, why

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I think it's a matter of accessibility for us,

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a lot of us here who are training to be teachers would like to go

:18:19.:18:22.

and teach abroad and we feel that if we do come out then our chance

:18:23.:18:25.

of that will be jeopardised and it wouldn't be as accessible.

:18:26.:18:28.

They are interfering with our way of life.

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We didn't ask them to but they are doing it.

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If everyone keeps coming over to us and you keep going over to them,

:18:36.:18:39.

I don't mean to sound rude but we are going to be here a little

:18:40.:18:43.

bit longer than you are, so therefore surely we should have

:18:44.:18:46.

more say on it because we are the ones who like to go to Europe

:18:47.:18:50.

and travel Europe and might study in Europe so therefore I believe

:18:51.:18:53.

that our views are a little bit more valid than yours.

:18:54.:18:55.

But actually older people are much more likely to vote

:18:56.:18:58.

in the referendum than the young, so their voice will be louder.

:18:59.:19:01.

Young or old it's who takes part which may well decide Britain's

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future relationship with its neighbours over the water.

:19:05.:19:07.

Mark Easton, BBC News, Eastbourne.

:19:08.:19:15.

Fat doesn't make you fat - or at least it's not as bad for us

:19:16.:19:19.

That's according to the National Obesity Forum,

:19:20.:19:22.

which has criticised official dietary guidelines.

:19:23.:19:24.

It says the promotion of low-fat food has had 'disastrous

:19:25.:19:26.

But Public Health England has accused the charity

:19:27.:19:29.

Our Health correspondent Sophie Hutchinson reports.

:19:30.:19:40.

Fat, low fat, meat, vegetarian, carbs, no carbs, there is so much

:19:41.:19:48.

advice on what not to eat it can be confusion. Today's report has blamed

:19:49.:19:52.

dietary guidelines for a rise in obesity and diabetes but said that

:19:53.:19:58.

is not the problem. So what are the existing guidelines? May recommend

:19:59.:20:02.

meals should be made up of one forward starchy carbohydrates, a

:20:03.:20:06.

smaller proportion of fat and protein and the largest proportion

:20:07.:20:11.

should be put and vegetables. But new suggested guidelines say whilst

:20:12.:20:14.

protein should remain the same, starchy carbohydrates should be

:20:15.:20:18.

banished and even more controversially low-fat product to

:20:19.:20:22.

be replaced with full fat food such as milk, butter and cheese. Eating

:20:23.:20:28.

full fat dairy whilst cutting out carbs like bread and potatoes seems

:20:29.:20:34.

to have worked for Chris, he has type two diabetes, before the diet

:20:35.:20:38.

he was on the maximum medication but his blood sugar, blood pressure and

:20:39.:20:42.

cholesterol are now down and he is off all the drugs. I have felt

:20:43.:20:48.

better than I have for many years, the bassist mac weight I have been

:20:49.:20:51.

all my adult life. People don't recognise me if they haven't seen me

:20:52.:20:57.

for a long time. I have more energy. His GP won and award because so many

:20:58.:21:01.

of his diabetic patients don't need medicine and it has meant huge

:21:02.:21:06.

savings. It should be this hard to know what to eat but scientists just

:21:07.:21:11.

can't agree. For decades they have been locked into an increasingly

:21:12.:21:15.

bitter row over what is worse, fat like this cheese or carbohydrates,

:21:16.:21:21.

and the mainstream view is that limiting fat is vital. We have very

:21:22.:21:27.

good evidence that eating too much fat contributes to an increased risk

:21:28.:21:31.

of obesity. It's also true of course that eating too much sugar, eating

:21:32.:21:37.

too much of anything will contribute to obesity. Public Health England

:21:38.:21:41.

has described recommendations for a low carb, high-fat diet as

:21:42.:21:45.

irresponsible. But with predictions of possible soaring rates of obesity

:21:46.:21:50.

in the next few decades it's clear getting our diet right is essential.

:21:51.:21:54.

Councillors in North Yorkshire will vote tonight on whether to allow

:21:55.:21:57.

fracking for shale gas to take place in England for the first

:21:58.:22:00.

The company involved, Third Energy, wants to use

:22:01.:22:02.

the controversial process at one of its existing drilling

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sites, near the village of Kirby Misperton.

:22:06.:22:07.

John Moylan is in Northallerton for us now.

:22:08.:22:13.

This has been very controversial locally? It is controversial and

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that is why councillors here for two days on Friday and today have been

:22:22.:22:24.

hearing from dozens of people, most of them speaking against but some

:22:25.:22:30.

speaking for. It is being relayed by Tannoy and a decision is due soon.

:22:31.:22:37.

Vast amounts of shale gas in rocks across the north of England, in

:22:38.:22:41.

America where they have exploited it it has led to lower prices which has

:22:42.:22:45.

helped industry but it's been controversial among people concerned

:22:46.:22:49.

about the environmental effects. Here are the government is backing

:22:50.:22:52.

franking but things are getting held up at a local level. We expect a

:22:53.:22:57.

decision very soon and if we get approval it will set an important

:22:58.:23:01.

precedent and it could mean this company Third Energy is cracking in

:23:02.:23:03.

the north Yorkshire countryside by the end of the year.

:23:04.:23:06.

It's the high point of the British horticultural calendar.

:23:07.:23:09.

The Chelsea Flower Show is blooming into life today -

:23:10.:23:11.

with organisers urging what they're calling a "lost generation" of under

:23:12.:23:14.

but this evening some Royal visitors have had a sneak preview -

:23:15.:23:20.

with the Queen and Duke of Edinburgh taking a look around

:23:21.:23:22.

Our correspondent Sarah Campbell is there too.

:23:23.:23:34.

Indeed, the Queen was here just a few minutes ago and had a birds eye

:23:35.:23:42.

view of some trees and emerging hedges. Only at Chelsea or more

:23:43.:23:46.

specifically only at the show gardens. This is the show garden of

:23:47.:23:51.

Dermot Gallagher on and it has been inspired by British eccentricity.

:23:52.:23:54.

There has been more security than normal this year but there are

:23:55.:24:00.

around 30 gardens competing for medals on subjects as diverse as

:24:01.:24:04.

mathematics and modern slavery and Juliet is the designer of that. How

:24:05.:24:10.

do you reflect such a difficult subject in a garden? I wanted to

:24:11.:24:14.

concentrate on the fact that modern slavery is ahead in crime, it's

:24:15.:24:19.

behind closed doors. As we walk along the streets in our own towns

:24:20.:24:23.

we have no idea that people are being held captive and forced to

:24:24.:24:27.

work in every major town in the country. It's a beautiful garden, as

:24:28.:24:34.

a designer you meet some headlines because in its 103 year history you

:24:35.:24:39.

are the first black garden designer to ever short here. Are you

:24:40.:24:48.

surprised by that? I had no idea, it never occurred to me. It is

:24:49.:24:52.

surprising, I think work is being done to increase diversity and that

:24:53.:24:57.

cannot be anything but a good thing. Thank you. That is a theme, trying

:24:58.:25:02.

to encourage as many people as possible to get back into garden,

:25:03.:25:10.

there is a squeaky coming from the roof lifting of the garden. It's all

:25:11.:25:11.

going on here. We started off bright and sunny as

:25:12.:25:24.

the temperatures rose, the cloud bubbled up and through the day it

:25:25.:25:30.

got a bit thicker and deeper. Some showers, some thunderstorms in the

:25:31.:25:34.

south-east of England and around Northampton. Showers stretching from

:25:35.:25:37.

Scotland to the south-east which will slowly fade away. Should become

:25:38.:25:43.

dry and clear overnight, maybe a bit chilly in the countryside with mist

:25:44.:25:47.

and fog for north-east England and Northern Ireland. Tomorrow starts

:25:48.:25:52.

bright and sunny, we will see the cloud billed as temperatures rise

:25:53.:25:56.

but this time there are very few showers, most of us will have a dry

:25:57.:26:02.

day with sunny spells. For Scotland, central and eastern parts will be

:26:03.:26:07.

dry tomorrow, any showers in Scotland will be a risk in the South

:26:08.:26:11.

West, maybe coming into Northern Ireland. For many parts of England

:26:12.:26:16.

and Wales it will be dry. It will be warm when the sunshine comes

:26:17.:26:21.

through. Some isolated showers across Wales on the South West but

:26:22.:26:27.

very hit and miss. Into Wednesday we will draw in more cloud from the

:26:28.:26:31.

North Sea and maybe some white rain or drizzle. On the whole

:26:32.:26:37.

temperatures will be quite a bit lower but you will get sunshine in

:26:38.:26:42.

Scotland and Northern Ireland. Temperatures recovering by the end

:26:43.:26:45.

of the week, for Northern parts it should be fine with sunshine but in

:26:46.:26:47.

the south some heavy showers. That's all from the BBC News at Six

:26:48.:26:50.

- so it's goodbye from me - and on BBC One we now join the BBC's

:26:51.:26:53.

news teams where you are.

:26:54.:26:56.

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