16/10/2016 BBC Wales Today


16/10/2016

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Dafydd Elis-Thomas has told BBC Wales he hopes Plaid Cymru

:00:00.:00:18.

will consider its future as a political party,

:00:19.:00:20.

after he decided to sit as an independent AM.

:00:21.:00:23.

Lord Elis-Thomas accused the party of not reacting

:00:24.:00:26.

well enough to changes in Wales since devolution.

:00:27.:00:28.

It comes as former First Minister Rhodri Morgan says the party's power

:00:29.:00:30.

will be much weaker now in the Assembly.

:00:31.:00:32.

Here's our political correspondent, Arwyn Jones.

:00:33.:00:38.

For over 40 years, he's represented Plaid Cymru

:00:39.:00:40.

But he now finds himself as an independent AM.

:00:41.:00:45.

And he has insisted he will not serve in Carwyn Jones' cabinet.

:00:46.:00:48.

And won't be triggering a by-election.

:00:49.:00:52.

I am stating, quite clearly, that I want to be able to serve

:00:53.:00:55.

my constituency and serve the interests of Wales.

:00:56.:01:01.

Do you carry out that role best then as an independent AM?

:01:02.:01:04.

I carry out the role of representing my constituents

:01:05.:01:07.

The question of membership of the Welsh government does not arise.

:01:08.:01:13.

Lord Elis-Thomas had a few parting shots at his old party.

:01:14.:01:16.

He said Plaid hadn't responded to the challenges of devolution

:01:17.:01:18.

And it needed to think again about its future.

:01:19.:01:22.

The party chose not to comment.

:01:23.:01:25.

But his departure will also cause a headache

:01:26.:01:28.

for Plaid in the Assembly. Why?

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Well, with only 29 AMs, Labour depends on Kirsty Williams

:01:31.:01:32.

It also needed help from Plaid to pass next week's Budget.

:01:33.:01:40.

The two parties have been in talks for months over the content.

:01:41.:01:43.

But today, a former First Minister told BBC Wales'

:01:44.:01:47.

Sunday Politics Wales programme that Labour is

:01:48.:01:51.

because Plaid have lost their leverage.

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It is amazing how - in a small body like the Assembly,

:01:56.:01:59.

with just 60 seats, and Labour having 30 of them -

:02:00.:02:01.

just how much difference that one person can make.

:02:02.:02:07.

Because Labour are one vote short of being to get a budget through.

:02:08.:02:10.

Because, if the other 30... You know, they can block things.

:02:11.:02:13.

Because level pegging, 30/30, is not enough.

:02:14.:02:19.

Over the next two days, it'll become clear whether or not

:02:20.:02:21.

Lord Elis-Thomas will lend his support to the government.

:02:22.:02:23.

But, after such a long and high-profile career

:02:24.:02:27.

in the party, Lord Elis-Thomas' departure was always

:02:28.:02:29.

The author of a report for the Welsh Government

:02:30.:02:37.

on free childcare says the policy could cost

:02:38.:02:39.

considerably more than Labour has estimated.

:02:40.:02:40.

During the election campaign, the party said 30 hours of

:02:41.:02:42.

free childcare for working parents - for 48 weeks of the year -

:02:43.:02:46.

would cost an extra ?84 million a year.

:02:47.:02:50.

Gillian Paull told Sunday Politics Wales

:02:51.:02:52.

it could actually cost as much as ?200 million.

:02:53.:02:54.

And there are broader concerns about the viability of the plan.

:02:55.:03:00.

There are several parameters that feed into that estimate.

:03:01.:03:03.

All of which have large degrees of uncertainty around them.

:03:04.:03:05.

First of all, we do need to know the hourly cost of delivery,

:03:06.:03:09.

which can vary enormously across regions

:03:10.:03:10.

We also need to know, most importantly, how parents

:03:11.:03:13.

In particular, whether they will change their work behaviour

:03:14.:03:19.

in response to the policy, which is hard to estimate.

:03:20.:03:22.

We are starting from a very low base of childcare provision.

:03:23.:03:24.

So, one of the big problems we have, in delivering this extra childcare,

:03:25.:03:28.

is that there isn't much childcare to offer in the first place.

:03:29.:03:31.

Well, the Welsh government acknowledges there are

:03:32.:03:33.

And they say it's working with the sector.

:03:34.:03:36.

It's also undertaking "complex modelling" of costs.

:03:37.:03:40.

The oil company responsible for a pipeline which ruptured,

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leaking 140,000 litres of Kerosene near Carmarthen,

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has completed the work ahead of time.

:03:52.:03:53.

Over the weekend, traffic along the A48 has been

:03:54.:03:55.

Valero had expected the work to be completed tomorrow morning.

:03:56.:03:58.

But police were able to reopen the route

:03:59.:04:00.

Welsh councils who invested money in Icelandic banks before

:04:01.:04:04.

they collapsed eight years ago, have now recovered

:04:05.:04:06.

Powys Council says it's recouped all of the ?4 million it deposited.

:04:07.:04:10.

It's one of eight councils, three universities,

:04:11.:04:11.

and three former police authorities that had

:04:12.:04:13.

It'll be windy tonight, with more showers.

:04:14.:04:24.

And some heavy downpours in the north and west.

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Tomorrow will be breezy, with plenty of sunshine.

:04:27.:04:28.

There will be one or two heavy showers.

:04:29.:04:30.

Even feeling quite warm in sheltered spots.

:04:31.:04:33.

A reminder that, all week on Wales Today,

:04:34.:04:40.

we'll be marking events, as Wales remembers Aberfan.

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It's 50 years since a coal tip collapsed, submerging a school,

:04:43.:04:45.

We'll have a number of special reports.

:04:46.:04:52.

From all of us on the weekend team, goodnight.

:04:53.:05:10.

Hello, I hope you have had a nice weekend, you probably saw some

:05:11.:05:17.

sunshine and rain. This evening you probably saw a

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