08/09/2014 BBC World News

This is BBC World News. Our top stories: A new baby for Britain's

Royal family. The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge are expecting their

second child. Now the speculation" at the six of the baby, possible

names and of course Prince charge will enjoy sharing the limelight.

Iraq militants come under pressure, Baghdad claims a series of victories

while attending to agree a new government. Sierra Leone defends

plans for a three-day national lockdown as they battle to stop the

spread of deadly Ebola outbreak. Could your brothers and sisters be a

threat to your mental health? Why bullying at home could be worse than

anything children experience at home. -- experience at school.

Welcome. We begin with an announcement from the British royal

family that the Duchess of Cambridge and her husband Prince William are

expecting their second child. The couple's office, Clarence House, has

said the couple and their families are delighted with the news. The

first child, Prince George, was born in July 2013.

The new baby will have a tough act to follow. From his first photocall

outside hospital, Prince George has behaved impeccably for the cameras.

Very emotional. It is such a special time, I think any parent will

probably know what this feeling is like. Kate, how you feeling? His

mother may have been a picture of health after the birth but the early

part of the first pregnancy wasn't easy for the Duchess of Cambridge.

She was admitted to hospital with acute morning sickness. Despite the

initial concern the rest of the pregnancy appeared to go smoothly,

with public interest in the impending birthing creasing along

with the size of her figure, there was little time for her to slow

down. -- birth increasing. This was her last public engagement, a month

before the birth of George. There will be plenty of room for the new

addition. The family apartment at Kensington Palace has recently been

refurbished at a the public purse of more than ?4 million. Now the

speculation can relieve begin. The six of the baby, possible names and

of course how Prince George were like sharing the limelight. He has

proved a huge hit with the Royal family supporters around the globe.

He stole the show in the few brief appearances he made during his

parents tour of Australia and New Zealand. The new baby will be fourth

in line to the throne, but unlike his or her big brother, is not

destined to be the monarch. Their role throughout life will really be

a very secondary role, and I think, rather like Prince Harry, they will

have to find their own role. They will have to find their own

charities, their own causes. Maybe, who knows, they may decide to take a

completely different path in life altogether. Whatever role the new

baby ends up taking on, it is clear that from the moment he or she

emerges from hospital, they will have to get used to being the centre

of attention. A little earlier and Royal

correspondence Peter Hunt told me more about the pregnancy. We can

safely assume she is not passed the first key milestone of 12 weeks. For

a second time this couple have been robbed of the opportunity to get

through that first milestone and both times they have been robbed of

it because she suffers from this acute form of morning sickness. The

reason we are talking about it today is because she has it and is unable

to go to Oxford, so they have two announced the world that she is not

going and give the reason. We can safely issue and she is not 12 weeks

pregnant but the Palace will not go into figures, given how early in the

pregnancy it is. In a few weeks we will get the formal announcement

that she has passed the milestone, then we will know when the baby is

due. In India it is bad luck to talk about pregnancy too early, or in

advance of the birth at all. This couple has two deal with a lot of

speculation, the baby 's name, six, and its role, that will play out,

because there is huge global interest in the Royal family. There

is huge global interest in the Royal family and this couple and also in

baby George. There will be huge global interest in this as yet

unborn child, but the key differences there will be interest

but not the constitutional significance attached to this child

as things stand, as there is the George. We could talk endlessly

about George being a future king. This child is the spare, as is known

in British Royal circles, destined to be fourth in line to the throne,

not as things stand the future moderate. Cynics in the newsroom has

suggested, is this announcement timed to help the Scotland float? I

think the cynics need to see some sunshine and a happiness! We can

safely say this announcement is not timed to move the Queen of the front

page, but it is tremendously help. White the Royal family saying they

are absolutely delighted. We also know that Prince William wants a

much more private life and a more normal life, actually, for the

foreseeable future. What strikes me about what we will see with William

and Kate and the expanding family is that they are determined to try to

live in Norfolk when they can... We are looking at Prince Harry at the

moment. He is probably privately rather please pick a -- because he

is slipping down the pecking order of succession, so he will be bumped

down one more by the birth of first Prince George, then the subsequent

child. What we and Kate will do now is try to focus on being a family.

He had a very fractured family life because of the deterioration of his

parents marriage, she had a normal, upper middle-class family life, he

will want to represent hers, not his, and they will try and live as

much as they can in Norfolk away from the intrusion -- replicate

hers. In the UK they have never published paparazzi pictures but

foreign magazines publish pictures of her walking her child, Prince

George, in Kensington Park. Peter Hunt, interesting to see what the

media reaction will be on that story. More on the website. Let's

move on to the rest of the day 's news, we start Iraq and the ongoing

conflict with the militant group calling itself Islamic State or ISS.

The United States says it has stepped up its campaign, striking

IFS targets around a strategic dam on the Europe -- Euphrates River.

That comes ahead speech in which the White House says resident Obama will

outline his strategy to defeat ISS. The Iraqi parliament is today

reconvening to convene a new government, likely to be a more

inclusive administration to pave the way for more international support.

The new Iraqi government will be inaugurated here in this hall of the

Iraqi parliament. As in the Iraqi population, Shi'ites form the

majority here, but both the Kurds and the Sunnis, the other two main

communities in Iraq, will be included in the government with

representation for minorities as well. Last time around, the outgoing

Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki announced his cabinet here. Back

then, it was also meant to be a national unity government based on a

power-sharing agreement. But soon after, he fell out with the Kurds

and Sunnis, who accused after, he fell out with the Kurds

authoritarianism -- authoritarian. Eventually divisions were exploited

by extremists of the militant group Islamic State, which took over large

areas in Iraq. Previously little-known politician will be the

next minister. The prime minister designate comes from this

predominantly Shi'ite neighbourhood in Baghdad. Only one day after his

appointment carbonic uploaded right here. With me now is -- car bomb

exploded. With me now is as mad. This is perceived to be more

inclusive, what you expect with all the violence the country? The

Shi'ite community want to provide more security than right now. What

has happened today is more explosions, many explosions have

happened in the area. We want him to be a very powerful man, to run all

these things. Most of the Sunni heartland in northern and western

Iraq is under the control of ISS, so I came here to a Sunni neighbourhood

in Baghdad to see what the expectations are for the new

government. The new administration should correct the mistakes of the

previous government. It should understand the militias and build a

national army for all Iraqis regardless of ethnic or sectarian

background. Iraq is about to enter a new chapter in its troubled

history. The destiny of this country and its people depends on the

success of the new government. Early trials for a vaccine to

protect against the deadly Ebola virus are showing positive signs. US

scientists say backs on it it monkeys have developed long-term

immunity to the Ebola virus, raising the prospect of success for human

trials. Similar trials of the experimental drug -- and experiment

drug found it had a 100% success rate in monkeys. The World Heath

Organisation says more than 2000 people have now died in the outbreak

in West Africa. The authorities in Sierra Leone are planning a

three-day lockdown to stop the spread of the virus, but the aid

organisation Medecins Sans Frontieres has said it will drive

people underground. Earlier I spoke to Sierra Leone's Justice Minister

and asked him how it will work. We share the concerns of MSF, but this

decision was not taken lightly, it came by way of recommendation from

the emergency operations centre, part of the structure put in place

to advise on ways to combat the disease. It is a multinational,

multidisciplinary team of mainly scientists, medical and public

health professionals. How will you enforce the fact that people stay

indoors for three days? Because there were riots in Liberia after

the government quarantine one community there last month. Well,

for a start, we now have military security firmly in gauge in the

fight against the Ebola virus. To achieve our objective this time,

governments have recruited and trained some 120,000 personnel who

would go from house to house enquiring about the health of

citizens, with a view to identification of infected persons

or persons with any symptoms of the disease. These persons can then be

isolated and treated. The Seelaar -- Sierra Leone justice minister

there. The referendum on whether Scotland should achieve independence

has taken on a new dimensional after the first time a poll indicated more

people would like to leave the union than staying. The poll gave the

Decided to point advantage, but as the tracker shows, along this year,

the Better Together or No camp enjoy the 14 point lead in the same survey

since the beginning of the year. Polls shouldn't be seen in

isolation, there is a clear trend though. As you would expect this has

caused concern among the pro-union movement, which involves all three

main parties at Westminster. Their message now is that Scotland would

get additional devolved powers if it votes to reject full independence.

You will see in the next few days plan of action to give more powers

to Scotland, more tax powers, more spending powers, more plans for

powers over welfare state, and that will be put into effect, the

timetable for delivering that, at the moment there is a No vote in the

referendum. George Osborne there. The Yes campaign say the latest

offer is nothing more than a bribe, and they are questioning why people

should settle for anything less than full independence. Nobody is

suggesting independence of the magic one but it is an opportunity to

access our own resources and be the ones in charge of the decisions that

shape the kind of country we are. Independence is also not about

turning our backs on anybody else across the British Isles. An

independent Scotland would continue to be part of the British Isles,

working of our friends in other parts of the islands but doing so on

the basis of equality. I asked James Cook how much agreement there is in

Scotland with the Mayor of London Boris Johnson, who says Britain is

on the verge of trashing its global brand. You are right to say that

Boris Johnson, the Mayor of London, isn't the most popular figure in

Scotland, but I think he does articulately concerns are quite a

number of people, not just in London but some here in Scotland as well.

For all this talk of polls narrowing, one poll puts the Yes

campaign in the Leeds, others suggest the no campaign has a narrow

lead. But Scotland is split on the issue. There is division among

families, friends and most people, and what is most remarkable is the

extent to which this subject is now being debated, that politics has

come alive in Scotland in recent weeks. Of course, the campaigners in

favour of staying in the UK are looking at these polls, on the one

hand, but on the other hand, they serve the useful purpose for that

campaign, in that for a long time, they had warned against

complacency. They perhaps hope that this moment that these polls will

jolt the silent majority, as they see it, No voters into action to

vote against independence. The other side side, campaigns for

independence, are out there at the moment, jubilant and excited and

campaigning, and saying they will indeed win.

Stay with us on BBC World News, still to come:

The stress of sibling rivalry - why being bullied at home puts children

One aspect of the conflict in Ukraine has been for a number

of former Soviet Republics to look again

Moscow will therefore have been watching carefully when the United

States promised to help Georgia fulfil its goal of joining NATO.

The American Defence Secretary, Chuck Hagel, said the plans

From Tbilisi, Rayhan Demytrie sent this report.

Kensington Palace has announced that the Duchess of Cambridge

Iraqi troops say they have cleared militants from around a key dam,

as Baghdad attempts to form a new government.

It's been six months since Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 disappeared

No trace has been found since of the aircraft despite an extensive

search operation involving planes and ships from several countries.

This report from Richard Westcott contains flash photography.

It still seems incredible that a modern airliner full of people could

just disappear. The last contact with air traffic control was

routine. Minutes later, nothing. For the families, the lack of

information was torture. After two weeks, they hadn't given up hope.

The Malaysian is said new evidence suggested the aircraft had crashed.

According to this new data, flight MH370 ended in the southern Indian

Ocean. An unprecedented sea search drew a blank. They thought they had

heard the black boxes, they were wrong. So what has been happening

and what comes next? The old search area was fruitless so now there is a

new search area based on the only hard evidence they have. This arc

shows where the plane could have been and they think this yellow

patch is where it ran out of fuel. For months now, they have been

mapping the unknown seafloor and they have discovered two new

volcanoes and five cliffs. In a few weeks they will lower some of these

into the water and begin the fingertip search for wreckage. It is

attached to ship by a ten kilometre long umbilical chord, with sonars

which can pick out odd lumps and cameras that can detect whether it

is wreckage or just rocks. It also has an electronic nose that can

smell jet fuel in the water even if it is heavily dilutive, but moving

at walking pace it could take one year. We still don't track airliners

all over the globe and the cost of the equipment means it will be many

years before that changes. It is possible they will never flight --

find flight MH370. I am more or less 90% convinced that the aircraft is

in the sport they say it is. I am really quite sorry about the fact

they wasted so much time looking for the aircraft further north, but we

are where we are. With me is Dr Matthew Greaves,

head of the safety and accident investigation centre

at Cranfield University. Do you agree that they are looking

in the right place? Based on the evidence, yes, but the evidence is

very sparse. The aircraft lost communication, performed a U-turn of

180 degrees, flew back over Malaysia and then we lost radio contact with

it, so they are basing this information on a few electronic

handshakes that were done once an hour, then a final unusual handshake

that happened and they have to look at where this could possibly lead to

and try to track that back but it unusual set of circumstances. We saw

that machine tracking the surface of the ocean bed, why can't they get

more of those? They are very rare, very specific, and they need to be

towed at great depth. We also need to understand what the sea bed looks

like down there. It is six kilometres straight down so they are

mapping the ocean floor at the moment and finding things that we

didn't even know where there, like a volcano on the seafloor. What do you

think the likelihood is that we never find out what happened? There

is a chance. If we don't find any wreckage or the black boxes, we have

to accept we may never know. The information we have at the moment

double -- doesn't tell us nearly enough. Until we find some wreckage,

we will never know. Hopefully this search will turn up something and

certainly the experts seem to feel this is their best guess but there

may be still factors that we don't understand. And all of the

information has been put together? Because that in itself is a massive

task. Yes, whether we have military satellite imagery no one knows and

no one will admit to, but no one has come forward to suggest they have a

clear idea of where it is. Many organisations have put together

their best guess but we don't have any concrete information. Thank you

very much indeed. Could your brothers

and sisters be a threat to That's the suggestion

from a study carried out by the University of Oxford, which claims

that children who suffered bullying from sibilngs are far more at risk

of developing psychiatric problem. The study asked 12-year-olds

if their siblings had bullied them, either by saying mean things,

hitting, Then at age 18 the children were

asked if they had psychiatric problems including depression,

anxiety, or carrying out self-harm. Those who had been bullied

by a brother or sister were twice The survey also suggests the problem

is more marked in families where there are three or more children

and perhaps unsurprisingly, boys Let's talk now to the report's Lead

author Dr Lucy Bowes, from the department of social policy

and intervention at the University You are saying that this is a very

severe impact, childhood bullying, You are saying that this is a very

but how do you measure it? It is a good question. We simply

but how do you measure it? It is a children to talk about whether or

not they have been bullied children to talk about whether or

sibling and the majority of children said they hadn't, which is very

reassuring, but in cases where the bullying is very frequent, occurring

several times a week, we find an increased risk of self harm and

depression at 18 years. Can you tell me more about what sort of bullying

you found? Yes, it can vary. We measured different aspects including

name-calling, punching, hitting, kicking, taking their possessions or

completely excluding them. We based this on a measure that we use for

school bullying which has obviously received much more research

attention and we used the same types of actions that would be classed as

school bullying but used them in the home setting. How can you link that

directly to the people with depression and other problems? That

kind of behaviour pattern suggests a not very cohesive family structure

in the first place. As a parent, I would never tolerate anything like

that and neither would anyone I know. And we found a number of

factors in a family that makes sibling bullying more common, and

one of those is domestic violence between the parents or maltreatment.

So have you factored out all of those other social factors? We have

attempted to, but we can never talk in terms of causality. We cannot say

it is definitely sibling bullying causing self harm, but we can look

at peer factors, whether they are being bullied at school, and

individual characteristics of the child that might make them more

vulnerable to developing depression or anxiety. We need more research to

say whether this is replicable with other findings. Thank you. Of course

sibling rivalry we hope will be all loving and fun and healthy in the

new Royal family as baby number