16/11/2017 Breakfast

Hello - this is Breakfast,

with Naga Munchetty

and Charlie Stayt.

Doubt surrounds the future

of Zimbabwe's long time leader,

Robert Mugabe, after he was placed

under house arrest by

the country's military.

Envoys from neighbouring

South Africa arrive in the country

to clarify the situation

amid international calls for calm

and greater democracy.

Good morning.

It's Thursday 16 November.

Also this morning:

Scientists will warn world leaders

that the effects of climate change

are inevitable, even if major cuts

are made to carbon dioxide

emissions.

Salvator Mundi selling here.

The piece is sold!

A painting by Leonardo da Vinci,

which sold for £45 pounds

in the '50s, goes under the hammer

in New York for £340 million.

Tickets for top-flight football

are getting cheaper thanks

to big-money TV deals -

but why is the game still struggling

to attract younger fans?

I'll have the details.

In sport,

Sir Bradley Wiggins says his life's

been a living hell as it's revealed

he'll face no charges

following an investigation

into the contents of a mystery

package delivered to him at the end

of a race in 2011.

And Matt has the weather:

Your Thursday start, fairly mild but

there is colder air on the way to

the next few days. A bit more

sunshine as well. Your full forecast

in 15 minutes.

First, our main story.

The future of Zimbabwe's long time

leader, Robert Mugabe remains

unclear this morning,

after he was placed under house

arrest by the country's military.

Two envoys from South Africa have

arrived in the capital,

Harare, to try to hold talks

with the 93-year-old

and with the country's generals -

who deny there's been a coup.

It's been seen by many as a move

to prevent Mr Mugabe's wife Grace

from succeeding him in power.

Laura Westbrook reports.

What would have been unthinkable

only a few weeks ago has happened:

Robert Mugabe, the world's oldest

leader, has lost control

of the country he has

ruled for 37 years.

The military denied staging a coup,

but it is clear that Robert Mugabe

is no longer calling the shots.

Zimbabwe's ruling party,

the ZANU-PF, were emphatic.

President Mugabe is still in power.

He's the man in charge of Zimbabwe,

officially, right now.

A lot has happened.

But what has happened is a not coup.

The language is important,

and key regional block,

the African Union, has

given its full support

to the country's legal situations.

TRANSLATION:

The military has

assured asked that this is not

This ball is down to an external

struggle within the governing party.

On one side, Robert Mugabe's wife,

Grace, one of the most powerful

politicians in the country. It is

believed her being groomed to

succeed Robert Mugabe has inspired

this takeover. There has to be a

transition away from Robert Mugabe

but it needs to be credible.

Zimbabwe is waking up to a country

that has changed dramatically.

But whether it is the change

they had been hoping

for is far from clear.

Laura Westbrook, BBC News.

We can speak now to our Southern

Africa Correspondent Andrew Harding,

who's on the line from Zimbabwe.

Andrew, what is the atmosphere

like there this morning?

It feels like this is a situation

that is moving to a certain point.

It's calm and quiet and very

strange. It is amazing that the

force did not go any further than

that. This coup was over very

quickly. Now we have people, many

Zimbabweans would like to celebrate

the fact that Robert Mugabe is gone.

There was huge frustration here that

he was trying to engineer a dynasty

and push his wife, an

extraordinarily unpopular woman,

into power and yet now nobody really

knows what has happened and what

will happen next. Many are claiming

this is not a clue. I think that --a

coup d'etat. President Mugabe is

locked up in house arrest but he

still holds a very powerful card

because the generals, the military

who seized power, they want him to

basically give them a seal of

approval to say what he had done,

that it was not a coup. They feel

that very, very strongly. He will

either be impeached, he will

reshuffle the Cabinet or will try to

carry on.

Andrew, -- Andrew, good to

talk to you.

In the next half an hour we'll speak

to Sue Onslow from the Institute

of Commonwealth Studies

at the University of London,

who has written a biography

of Robert Mugabe.

That's at 6.40.

The impacts of climate change

are already inevitable,

even if the world immediately

and radically cuts its carbon

An international research programme

called HELIX says sea

levels will rise by as much as 50

centimetres by the end

of the century.

Its findings are being presented

at the UN climate talks

in the Germany city of Bonn,

as Andy Moore reports.

This latest report has been

presented to an international

conference on climate change

in Bonn, where world leaders have

already begun to gather.

Whatever they can do to restrict

carbon, restrict carbon dioxide

restriction, climate

change cannot be avoided.

Carbon dioxide molecules

will warm the atmosphere

for hundreds of years.

That extra heat means

the water steadily expands.

So the researchers can say with some

confidence that half a million

people in low-lying Bangladesh will

be affected by rising sea levels.

In a worst-case scenario,

with rising emissions,

that figure could reach 12 million

by the end of the century.

Some tropical areas already suffer

levels of heat bringing a very high

risk of human harm -

the so-called heat stress.

The researchers say that

with two degrees warming,

most of of the Indian subcontinent

and large areas of Africa

would get these conditions.

Rainfall and river levels

are hard to predict,

but scientists say they are

confident they will be increased

flooding on some major

rivers, even if emissions

are strictly reduced.

And there is no sign of that

happening at the moment.

The conference has already been told

that global emissions of carbon

dioxide, are forecast to rise

for the first time in four

years in 2017.

That is largely due to the use

of coal in China's booming economy.

Plans to encourage housing

associations to borrow money

to invest in new homes are being

announced by the government.

It comes after Theresa May

pledged to kickstart

a new generation of council house

building last month.

Labour says there is no

coherent plan to address

the "housing crisis".

Let's get more on this

with our political correspondent

Leila Nathoo.

Take us through what is being

outlined by the government. What we

have is a specific announcement that

the housing associations will no

longer be considered on the public

books.

Borrowing more to invest in

building. And being pushed on

housing in the Budget. Theresa May

today will say she is identifying

this area as one that she thinks

will be popular. Especially those

where the government will push on in

the Budget. Labour is saying this

goes nowhere near far enough.

Actually, the Shadow Chancellor is

himself including a large-scale

public house programme in a list of

five demands ahead of the Budget

next week.

The number of guns, drugs and fake

goods being smuggled into the UK

could rise after Brexit,

unless a "significant" number

of extra border staff are recruited.

That's according to

a cross-party group of MPs.

A spokesman for the

Government said it

will ensure that resources

were available to run an effective

customs system once

Britain leaves the EU,

but the Home Affairs Select

Committee says ministers must draw

but the Home Affairs Select

Committee says ministers must draw

up contingency plans to prevent long

delays at ports and airports.

The Greek Prime Minister Alexis

Tsipras has declared a period

of national mourning after flash

floods killed at least 15 people

and caused widespread

destruction in central Greece.

Heavy rain brought torrents of mud

flowing through three

towns near Athens.

More than a thousand homes

and businesses have been inundated

and roads totally destroyed.

A 500-year-old painting of Christ,

believed to have been created

by Leonardo da Vinci,

has been sold in New York

for a record 300 million pounds.

The price for Salvator Mundi -

or "Saviour of the World" -

is the highest ever

paid for a painting.

Here's our arts

correspondent, Vincent Dowd.

Many thought the painting would sell

the $100 million, around £76

million. That was likely to be

exceeded comfortably, but nobody

could guess how comfortable it.

Dating from around 1506,

the image of Jesus Christ is thought

to have been created

for the French royal family.

Disastrously restored in 1958,

it was auctioned in London

than for a mere £45,

at a time most experts thought

it was by a student of Leonardo,

not by the man himself.

Let's open this at 70, 75...

Last night, the tension was obvious

as Christie's auctioneer kept

the bids flowing.

$100 million was reached

quickly, than $200 million.

$190 million is bid.

$200 million is bid.

That broke the previous record,

held by Picasso's Women of Algiers,

sold for $179 million in 2015.

I am selling at $240 million.

Can you give me $290 million Alex?

300.

I thought so.

$300 million.

It seemed that bidding had reached

its climax.

Until the buyer, who was

on the phone, was tempted

to the extraordinary

final amount.

$400 million is the bid,

and the pieces sold.

It is not known who the buyer was.

The sale shows the importance

of rarity - this could be the last

Leonardo to ever reach auction,

and was half a millennium

after his death, he showed us

he is still the greatest star

in the art world.

it is an

Astronomers say they've discovered

a planet about the size of Earth,

of Earth,

with a mild climate

which could harbour life.

It's called Ross 128b and it's

11 light years away.

Researchers believe the planet's

temperature could range

from -60 to 20 celcius,

making it a promising place

to search for life.

Ross 128B, that is catchy. I don't

know why it is called that. I

imagine it came after Ross 127.

Exactly that. How are we doing?

A

bit of a sorry end. We are talking

Bradley Wiggins. You might remember

this long investigation into the

context -- the contents of this

mysterious package which was

delivered him at the end of the race

in 2011. A year - long

investigation. They found they can't

prove what is in it.

It is the first

time we have heard from about it?

He

spoke at the start when the

investigation began. He was very

outspoken on social media, saying

the whole process felt like a

witch-hunt. Essentially, he hasn't

got that unqualified proof of

innocence. They can't say what was

in it. After a year-long

investigation, a long time to get to

this.

Britain's most decorated Olympian

did not hold back in his assesment

saying on social media at times

the situation"felt nothing

less than a malicious witch hunt"

and was disappointed that the result

of the UK anti doping investigation

was anot an unqualified

proof of innocence.

The bad week for Irish sport

continues after failing to reach

the football World Cup.

They miss out on hosting

the 2023 Rugby showpiece.

France are the surprise choice

to host the tournament.

And things could get even worse

for Northern Ireland as Scotland

make manager Michael O'Neill

their top choice to be their next

boss.

And with just a week to go

until the start of the Ashes,

Mark Stoneman scores a century

as he aims to cement his place

in the side.

And I guess that's what you need.

Somebody scoring runs ahead of the

Ashes. We have got Chris works

taking wickets.

That's amazing. See

you later. Will you do the papers

for us? And let us find a -- find

out what is happening with the

weather.

You will notice something chilly. A

mild start. Double figures. Not in

Scotland. Dropping down. Clear

spells and showers the morning. This

weather front is coming through. The

spells and showers the morning. This

weather front is coming through. The

rain will spread in across parts of

the north and north-east of England

and into north-west Wales by the end

of rush-hour. To the south, a bit of

patchy drizzle and light rain. Skies

will brighten. Especially mild after

the mild start. The weather front

makes a move further south across

Wales and the Midlands by early

afternoon. By the end of the

afternoon, it will sit in parts of

southern England and East Anglia.

Temperatures, 13-14. Further north,

sunshine coming out to be a bright

afternoon. Showers. Temperatures in

single figures for the afternoon.

Cold air in place through the night.

Frequent showers. Gusty winds in the

north. City centre temperatures

here. It will be back to the

scraping the frost off of the car

for Friday. Blustery in Scotland for

Friday. Frequent showers in the

north and west. Hail with sleet and

snow. Much of England and Wales and

Northern Ireland, dry through

tomorrow. A sunny day. Rather

chilly, especially out of the sun.

The tussle between cold and mild and

continues for the weekend. A cloudy

day for many. Outbreaks of rain

going south. Sunshine coming out

again in Scotland and north-east

England. Single figure temperatures

here. Double figures towards the

south. It continues to try to push

in for Sunday. Cold air around this

area of low pressure pushing on for

Sunday. The east of the country, a

chilly breeze and bright weather

with sunshine. Uncertainty about how

quickly the mild and tries to push

in. Parts of south-west England and

Northern Ireland at the moment but

we will keep you updated. That is

it. Back to you. Thank you.

we will keep you updated. That is

it. Back to you. Thank you.

Everyone is back in the room for the

papers. The front pages. Daily

Telegraph. Focusing on events in

Zimbabwe to be reports suggesting

everything is calm with a very

unusual atmosphere. -- Zimbabwe. We

will talk about that later. People

do not know where Robert Mugabe is.

That is on the Times as well. He is

under house arrest. People are

wondering how will he go. Will he

say he is stepping down? The feeling

is he has been humiliated with this

coup that is being called not a

coup.

And what is going on in BBC

newsrooms overnight. Pictures of

staff slumbering at their desk.

Interesting, taken by other staff.

That was the night shift. We assume

they were on a break to be The

Mirror. Schools begging parents to

pay for pens and glue. £190 per year

has been asked of parents in Theresa

May's constituency.

Talking about

sleep. The Telegraph. The UK is

known for working long hours to be

more than 12% work more than 50

hours per week because of high

housing costs. Working longer just

to afford the mortgage.

Longer than

the Japanese?

No. Japan is at the

top. 32.8% working more than 50

hours. Mexico and New Zealand are

above us. The UK is in sixth place.

A great picture. This is in Cambria.

It was taken yesterday. It is not

business-related. Apparently they

are notorious for low cloud.

What is

that?

It is a house. You can see it.

Oh! So tiny. Well, not tiny, just

far away.

And millennials are

finding a new interest in retro

food, including this, Angel Delight.

Did you ever liked it?

No.

You are

pulling a face. -- like.

Butterscotch.

If he did not like

before, you certainly will not now.

Is it making a comeback?

Yes. Sales

up 30% in the last six months.

People have been enjoying it.

Obviously, not you two.

The rugby

internationals continuing. New

Zealand against Australia. And this

boxer says he likes to punch himself

in the face to get ready for a

match. He says he always gives

himself three short jabs to the

face. Can you imagine Charlie doing

that before the morning shift?

I

would love to see it.

People would

offer that service, I am sure. He

has a beard. Picking up on that

theme, it seems the secret to

training a puppy is to let a bond

with a dear -- bearded man.

Apparently it helps acclimatise

them. Keep that in mind. This is

what the Guide Dogs for the Blind

say. They also say you should jangle

keys near it. That gets them used to

things.

Hmm, beard awareness for

dogs.

Thank you.

The main stories this morning:

More than half a million Rohingya

refugees are now thought to have

fled Myanmar into neighbouring

Bangladesh because of what's been

described by the UN

as "textbook ethnic cleansing."

The US Secretary of State Rex

Tillerson has called for a "credible

and independent" investigation

into the crisis.

Our correspondent, Justin Rowlatt,

has been to see what's rapidly

becoming the world's

biggest refugee camp,

in Bangladesh's port

city of Cox's Bazar.

A Bangladeshi army speedboat patrols

the river marking the border with

Myanmar. From the boat, you can see

tens and hundreds of people trapped

on the beaches. They are desperate

to escape. So desperate, they will

take incredible risks. Some 60

people are right on this raft made

of plastic containers lashed

together with rope. -- arrived. One

big wave could have broken it apart.

Yet babies and grandparents made the

journey. They tell the same now

familiar stories of violence and

horror. TRANSLATION:

They kept us on

that beach for a month and a half.

We had so little food. The army shot

my husband, blinding him in 19.

Like

many of the newer rivals, they are

in terrible shape -- in one eye.

This boy is 2.5 -month-old. And he

is severely malnourished. If he does

not receive nutritious food soon, it

could affect his development for

life.

One in four children are

malnourished. We expect the

situation to deteriorate before it

improves. We have a nutrition crisis

here now.

12,000 people will be

given food at this one feeding

station here today. It is basic

nutrition, just rice, lentils, and a

bit of oil, but it is enough to keep

you alive. There are now more than

800,000 range of refugees here. No

wonder they are calling this place

the mega camp. -- Rohingya. Just

look at that. There are now more

people living here than in Leeds,

Glasgow, or Liverpool. And every

day, it grows and grows. Things are

getting more orderly. The mega camp

is getting roads and bridges.

Thousands of toilets have been died

in just the last few weeks. And

geophysicists use drones to help

find aquifers deep underground. --

dug.

The red is aquifers, clean

water.

It is telling you where the

drill. How important is clean water

in a situation like this?

It is

fundamental. Without it, you will

have diseases within days.

But the

truth is this is still basically a

giant open-air prison. Soldiers

guard the roads. Refugees are not

allowed to leave the camp, and they

cannot go back to Myanmar. Despite

all of the evidence of atrocities,

earlier this week, the Myanmar

government issued a report that

exonerated its army from any blame.

Justin Rowlatt, BBC News.

Still to come on Breakfast:

Ticket prices for top flight

football matches have frozen

or fallen for a third year in a row,

but clubs are still struggling

to attract younger fans,

despite offering them discounts.

Ben will explain why.

Time now

sunshine on Sunday. But staying dry.

I am back with the latest in half an

hour. Plenty more on the website of

the usual address. We will see you

soon. Goodbye.

Hello this is Breakfast

with Naga Munchetty and Charlie

Stayt.

It's 6:30am.

We'll bring you all the latest news

and sport in a moment,

but also on Breakfast this morning:

How survivors of the Grenfell Tower

fire are making new,

happier memories in Cornwall,

after one mum began arranging

holidays for them, after watching

the disaster unfold on TV.

Lucy Alexander's son

Felix took his own life

after being tormented online.

Now she's teamed up

with the Duke Of Cambridge

for a campaign to

tackle cyberbullying.

We'll hear from her before 8am.

And we'll be joined by Howard's End

star Hayley Atwell, who plays

the feisty Margaret Schlegel,

in the latest adaptation of EM

Forsters' classic novel.

Good morning.

Here's a summary of this morning's

main stories from BBC News:

The future of Zimbabwe's long time

leader, Robert Mugabe,

remains unclear this morning,

after he was placed under house

arrest by the country's military.

Two envoys from South Africa have

arrived in the capital,

Harare, to try to hold talks

with the 93-year-old

and with the country's generals,

who deny there's been a coup.

The impacts of climate change

are already inevitable,

even if the world immediately

and radically cuts its carbon

dioxide emissions, a new study

claims. An international research

programme called HELIX says sea

levels will rise by as much as 50

centimetres by the end

of the century.

Its findings are being presented

at the UN climate talks in Germany,

where world leaders will discuss

the future of the Paris accord,

the climate change treaty

that the United States says it wants

to withdraw from.

Plans to encourage housing

associations to borrow money

to invest in new homes

will be announced later.

The government is to wipe about £70

billion worth of debt from housing

associations' balance sheets,

allowing them to raise

money more cheaply.

It comes after Theresa May pledged

to kickstart a new generation

of council house

building last month.

But Labour said there was no

coherent plan to address

the housing crisis.

The number of guns, drugs and fake

goods being smuggled into the UK

could rise after Brexit,

unless a "significant number"

of extra border staff are recruited

- that's according to a cross-party

group of MPs.

A spokesman for the Government said

it will ensure that resources

were available to run an effective

customs system once Britain leaves

the EU, but the Home Affairs Select

Committee says ministers must draw

up contingency plans to prevent long

delays at ports and airports.

Gridlock on the way to the ports.

This was the scene two years ago on

the motorway near Dover. Strikes by

ferry workers in France and the

surgeon attempts by migrants to get

to Britain led to pews and delays

over here and now the government has

been warned it could happen again

when the UK leads the EU. Our Home

Affairs Committee report says unless

Customs operations stay as they are

up to Brexit, border checks will

increase substantially because

people from the EU will need

screening. Extra capacity will be

needed to store and search items in

vehicles and it calls for

significantly more staff than the

300 extra officers promised by the

government.

What they can do, the

customs checks of the Borders, if

those cheques are going to increase,

there is a real risk that border

stork -- border Force staff will be

pulled off security or illegal

immigration checks and we can't have

failings in Brexit implementation

putting our security at risk.

This

is the second time in a week but a

cross-party group of MPs has warned

of possible border chaos after

Brexit. The Public Accounts

Committee said it would be

catastrophic if a new customs

declaration system was not ready on

time but a spokesman for the

government said it would ensure that

resources are available to run an

effective customs and immigration

system.

Thousands would have -- thousands of

women have access to new drugs which

have been approved. The National

Institute negotiated an agreement on

price with manufacturers.

The Greek Prime Minister Alexis

Tsipras has declared a period

of national mourning after flash

floods killed at least 15 people

and caused widespread

destruction in central Greece.

Heavy rain brought torrents of mud

flowing through three

towns near Athens.

More than 1000 homes

and businesses have been inundated

and roads totally destroyed.

The price for the Leonardo Da Vinci

painting auction is the highest ever

paid for a work of art. He died in

1519 and there are fewer than 20 of

his paintings in existence.

It's not often that people awarded

the freedom of a town or city take

the accolade literally,

but this is the artist Harold Riley,

who was trained by LS Lowry,

celebrating being given the Freedom

of Salford by exercising his ancient

right to drive sheep

through the city.

82-year-old Mr Riley is famous

for sketching world leaders,

including Nelson Mandela.

We understood he borrowed the sheep

from an obliging farmer.

John is here with the sport.

Bradley Wiggins. Not the outcome I

imagined he was hoping forward

regards to this investigation, this

year-long investigation into the

mystery package. Any suggestions as

to what was in their bust the UK

anti-doping investigation has found

they can't prove what was in there

which they say was an

over-the-counter decongestant. He

was hoping for a proof of innocence.

But he has not been able to get

that. And just the lack of evidence

to prove what was in there.

Sir Bradley Wiggins didn't hold

back in his assesmnet

of the

investigation, which was unable

to prove the contents

of the jiffy bag.

Wiggins and his team claimed it

contained a legal decongestant.

But UKAD say they couldn't confirm

or refute the claim,

but that no charges will be made.

Wiggins responded on social media

saying there are still questions

to be answered about the way

the investigation was handled.

Ireland's disappointing sporting

week continues as they missed out

on hosting the 2023 Rugby World Cup,

France the surprise choice

to host the event.

South Africa were the favourites

after they were recommended

by World Rugby's board.

But the French won the vote to host

a tournament they last held in 2007.

And having failed to qulaify

for the football world cup,

Ireland's bid was rejected

in the first round.

Ferry disappointed a lot of workers

come into this but when you come

third of three, you have to take

your medicine and I congratulate

France, I'm sure they will do a

great job in 2023, they are posted

some big tournaments before so is

congratulations to them and we will

go home and Macau wounds.

The BBC Price of Football study has

found that the majority of ticket

prices have been frozen or have

fallen for a third year,

yet a poll of young adult football

fans suggests the cost

is still putting them off.

There could be a three way

tussle for the services

of the Northern Ireland

manager Michael O'Neill.

The Scottish FA has made

an approach to speak to him

about the their vacancy

as head coach.

O'Neill took his country to Euro

2016 and narrowly missed out

on World Cup qualification.

The Irish FA has offered him

an improved contract.

And it's believed he's also

in the frame for the manager's

job at Sunderland.

Chelsea Ladies are through

to the quarter finals

of the Women's Champions League

after beating Rosengard

4-0 on aggregate.

Chelsea already had a three-goal

advantage from the first leg

and sealed the tie thanks

to Ji So Yun's second half strike

in Sweden.

Peterborough United thrashed

Tranmere Rovers to book their place

in round two of the FA Cup.

Posh won 5-0 in a replay

at Prenton Park, Danny Lloyd

grabbing a hat-trick.

Roger Federer has over taken

Tiger Woods as the world's highest

earning athlete as a result

of prize money alone.

His last match at the ATP

Tour Finals in London saw his career

winnings reach £84 million.

He'll add to that total this

afternoon when he plays his last

round-robin match

against Marin Cilic.

Yesterday, at the O2 Arena,

Grigor Dimitrov thrashed

David Goffin to make it

through to the last four

on his Finals debut.

The Bulgarian made it two wins out

of two with a straight sets victory

over the Belgian.

In the doubles Britain's Jamie

Murray and Brazil's Bruno Soares

kept their hopes alive

with a straight sets victory

in their second match.

Defeat would have ended

their chances of reaching

the last four.

Just a week to go now before

Joe Root and his team begin

Just a week to go now before

Joe Root and his team begin

the defence of the Ashes,

and there are still a number

of places in the starting XI up

for grabs - and a few of the batsmen

have done themselves

no harm this morning.

Alastair Cook is of course

a shoo-in - he scored 70

against a Cricket Australia XI.

But his opening partner,

Mark Stoneman, has been the start

of the show, scoring a century

as he tries to fill the problem spot

in the batting line up.

England are going well.

Yesterday, we showed you this

Peruvian Shamen helping the World

Cup bid and surprise surprise, it

went to Peru. You can see the

celebration from the fans. Try to

put up a New Zealand sign, putting a

curse on the team. They want 2- nil

overnight. New Zealand, it's fair to

say, have loads of problems. The bus

couldn't get into the stadium, their

flight had to refuel. Perhaps that

workers helped. Very weird.

The main stories this morning:

The effects of climate change are

now inevitable even if carbon

dioxide emissions are cut

dramatically, a warning from

scientists says. The painting by

Leonardo Da Vinci has become the

most expensive work of art ever

sold, selling for £340 million.

93-year-old Robert Mugabe

is the oldest leader in the world,

and has been in power

since Zimbabwe won independence

from the UK in 1980.

Yesterday, the army declared

on state television that it had

temporarily taken control

of the country, to target what it

called "criminals associated

with the President."

The move comes amid a bitter power

struggle within Zimbabwe's ruling

Zanu-PF party.

Mr Mugabe's wife Grace

has her husband's backing to take

over the leadership.

Her main rival is the former

vice-president Emmerson Mnangagwa,

a one-time ally of the president.

He was sacked last week

at the request of Mrs Mugabe.

It's widely thought that this week's

events mark the start

of a transition of power

ahead of next year's

elections in Zimbabwe.

We're joined now from our London

newsroom by Sue Onslow,

from the Institute of

Commonwealth Studies

at the University of London.

I understand he wrote a book about

him that you sent to the publishers.

We sent it on Tuesday midday and to

our interest, we are now having to

rewrite the end of it. We are having

chats to the publisher right now.

We

were talking to our correspondence

and he was setting the scene in

Zimbabwe, saying it was quiet,

strangely calm ahead of events that

we're not quite sure when will take

place but it seems pretty certain

that Robert Mugabe will be gone as

the head of the country. Is that

what you envisioned?

It is quite

confused picture. There is a press

conference scheduled for this

afternoon but I also read that

Twitter feed reports saying that

Robert Mugabe is refusing to step

down. We are in the endgame is

certainly the things are still

somewhat confused and it's by no

means, should we say, regular. If he

refuses to step down and hand over

power, this puts the military in a

very difficult position. They will

have stepped against the

commander-in-chief of the army. It

will be a coup d'etat which they

don't want to be labelled as such.

This is a man who was immensely

popular but the introduction or rise

of this wife Grace has caused

significant problems, particularly

with his former vice president. How

has this happened so quickly?

It

hasn't happened quickly and he

remains popular among sections of

the Zimbabwean population of the

fast-tracked land reform programme

which saw the reconfiguration of

land ownership and access. What is

going on in Zimbabwe is a power

struggle within ZANU PF but it is

also about the legacy in the

revolution of the party. Grace

Mugabe has been the toxic element.

It's precisely because they are

better rivalry with Emmerson

Mnangagwa is about which direction

to take the party going forward.

What is life like for Zimbabweans

under Robert Mugabe at the moment?

It is very, very hard indeed. The

informal economy outside the tax

system is now where people operate.

The broad picture across the

country. There is a cash shortage.

There is return inflation. It's a

tough picture for Zimbabweans.

This

is the man whose lead the country

for decades.

I think that people are

trying to persuade Robert Mugabe

that he should -- he should step

down. This be his greatest going

forward. He is also convinced in the

power of the commitment --

manipulate. And this is for Zimbabwe

and ZANU PF, the party that needs to

be done. I really following what is

going on closely indeed.

Thank you

very much.

Good morning. Hopefully today has

more sunshine breaking through the

cloud. A grey start. But pretty mild

to Thursday morning. These are the

temperatures. Double figures in many

parts of the UK. Down to single

figures in the highlands and Ireland

and Scotland. Cold air will go all

the way south across many parts of

the country. To get there, we need a

weather front. There read this.

Clear skies and showers pushing an.

-- in. Turning more wet in the next

few hours. Rain reaching Liverpool

and Manchester by rush-hour and

parts of north and west Wales. A bit

of light rain and drizzle in the

south-east corner. Cloud as well.

Temperatures will shoot up in the

sunshine. Cold air going south.

Severe gale force winds in the far

north of Scotland. Wind picking up

elsewhere. Nothing desperately

strong in the south. Patchy rain

outbreaks in southern England and

East Anglia by the time we hit mid

to late afternoon. Temperatures

13-14 in the south-east corner. This

afternoon, dropping away between

five and nine degrees. Showers in

Scotland. Rain and hail and sleet

and even snow in the mountains. Cold

air with us to finish the afternoon.

It will take us into the night. Rain

for the early part of the rush-hour

in the south-east corner. Gradually

clearing. Clear skies for many away

from northern Scotland to be it is a

cold tonight across-the-board. --

Scotland. Scraping the car first

thing tomorrow morning. A crisp and

fresh start in England and Wales and

parts of Northern Ireland. Sunshine

in Scotland punctuated by frequent

showers. A windy day. Adding to the

chill. Further south, the wind not

as strong but much more cool than in

recent days. The upside is you have

sunshine. Cold air trying to hold

on. Mild air fighting back. A look

at Saturday. Mild air pushing an.

Cloud moving from Northern Ireland

and England and Wales. Patchy rain.

Going south through the day. Bright

skies to the north. Temperatures

between six and seven degrees. Cold

air in eastern areas into Sunday. I

will have more later. Back to Jude.

Thank you. -- you.

Nothing can undo the damage done

by the terrible fire

at the Grenfell Tower,

but one mum from Cornwall has tried

to brighten the lives of some

of those caught in the tragedy.

Esme Page was so moved

by reports of the disaster,

Esme Page was so moved

by reports of the disaster,

that she started a campaign to fund

holidays for those affected.

Frankie Mcamley reports.

A birthday boy without a care in the

world. But the reality is his life

was uprooted by the fire at Grenfell

Tower. Now, thanks to a unique

project, his family are on holiday

in Cornwall. How has your day been?

Good.

Yeah? Your birthday? And how

has it been in Cornwall? Good?

Yes.

He has lost his best friend in the

fire. So young, he struggled to

understand.

I told him that she is

in the sky, she cannot see you. She

cannot forget you. Every day he

would say did you see me?

It is hard for me.

The family lived

in a block next to Grenfell Tower

and cannot go back. They have now

been staying in a hotel for more

than five months. This was their

only chance for a break thanks to

Cornish businesses offering free

holidays to those struggling to

cope.

What can we do? We can do

this. What have we got? Beautiful

surroundings. We don't have much

money, but we give what we have got.

And everyone has come together.

The

group have now helped nearly 200

people get away, as well as

sightseeing and beach trips, they

have had grief counselling as well.

It is a chance for the families to

make the ray new memories, and for

many of the children here, this is

the first time they have surfed, the

first time they have ever been in

the sea, and their parents tell me

the first time some of them have

smiled in a very long time.

This is

just amazing. People that don't even

know ours, they just come and tell

us come here and surf. -- us. The

holiday ends with a celebration.

But

like many here, his sister does not

want to go back.

It is slightly

scary. You just feel like the

building will fall and you. If

someone talks about it I just don't

want to talk about it.

Make a wish!

He just wishes he had his friend

back. Frank McCamley, BBC News, in

Cornwall.

Lovely to see some peace going to

those families. And now we will talk

about football matches. We have some

figures.

These are the findings

from the annual survey done by BBC

Sport, look at everything

from the cost of the ticket

to the pie at half-time.

The majority, 80%, of Premier League

ticket prices have been frozen

or reduced this season.

They're still not cheap though,

usually between £400 and £800.

Why?

Well, clubs are earning big money

from selling TV rights.

That raised more than £5bn from UK

broadcasters and even more

for overseas coverage.

The cheapest single day

out is at Liverpool,

where a ticket, pie,

tea and programme could cost

as little as £18.40.

But over half of young adults say

they've stopped going to matches

completely or go to fewer games

because its getting too expensive.

Kieran Maguire is a sports finance

expert at Liverpool University.

Good morning. This is good news?

It

is good news for fans. Clubs realise

they have so many sources of income

so it is unnecessary to squeeze them

for extra cash. The wages of

footballers are still going up, but

they are using football deals with

television partners to find that. --

fund.

What are the proportions?

It

varies from club to club. The

average in the Premier League is £1

in every six comes from the fan

base. The championship, the lower

leagues, that becomes more higher.

Some clubs like rooster palace in

the Premier League, they have less

than 10% of total income coming from

the fan base.

It begs the question

about whether fans are needed to

turn up.

They need them for a

variety of reasons. If you are

selling a product on television, the

atmosphere is pretty impressive.

That is very good when you try to

sell the product overseas. And if

you talk to footballers and

managers, the atmosphere of the fans

does create extra buzz and

adrenaline in the last five minutes

pushing for a goal with the fans

behind you.

There is an important

role for football tourism. It plays

a big part in revenue.

Yes. While

clubs are very reliant on season

ticket sales, they are now holding

them back for people travelling from

overseas. Clubs are now getting into

deals with travel agents, hotels,

and so on, to offer a whole package.

And if you get more money coming

once or twice a season, that will

subsidise them.

We talk about the

cost still being high. Many people

will watch this and say if you do

not like what it costs, don't go and

don't engage, would they have a

point?

They do, but they don't

understand football. It is a

religion, it is something you have

to do. You have to support your

team. I travel 500 miles round trip

to see my team every week. York Hall

fan base Dropped -- your friendship

revolves around it.

? And what about

those younger people feeling priced

out? Football is one of those things

where you need to get them at a

young age and it follows through

life. Is that damaging?

There is a

cliff edge. They are good at pricing

tickets for children. And then you

reach 18 and the discounts stop. You

still have people entering the job

market with student debt saving up

for a house. To be able to pay £40

to go to a football match on top of

that becomes prohibitive.

That is

interesting. Thank you for

explaining all of that. If you want

to look at the price of football at

your club, there are full details on

the BBC sport website.

Bbc.co.uk/sport.

You can enter your team's name

into the calculator to find just how

much you might end up spending,

and how it compares to rival teams

and so on.

I wonder if that would prompt people

to change for ball games.

He is

saying no. -- football.

I don't

understand the religion thing.

You

are one of these people that does

not get it. Thank you.

What else is coming up this morning?

Down they go.

Down they go!

How the team behind "Blue Planet"

tracked some of the world's most

elusive creatures, sperm

whales, by fitting them

with special, stick-on cameras.

When you say stick on camera, it

sounds

But staying dry.

I will be back in half an hour. More

on the website of the usual address.

Goodbye. -- at.

Hello - this is Breakfast,

with Naga Munchetty

and Charlie Stayt.

Doubt surrounds the future

of Zimbabwe's long time leader,

Robert Mugabe, after he was placed

under house arrest by

the country's military.

Envoys from neighbouring

South Africa arrive in the country

to clarify the situation

amid international calls for calm

and greater democracy.

Good morning.

It's Thursday 16 November.

Also this morning:

Scientists will warn world leaders

that the effects of climate change

are inevitable, even if major cuts

are made to carbon dioxide

emissions.

Leonardo's Salvator

Mundi selling here.

400 million is the bid.

The piece is sold!

A painting by Leonardo da Vinci,

which sold for £45 pounds

in the '50s, goes under the hammer

in New York for £340 million.

We are expecting a big fall in

profits from the Royal Mail, despite

cost cuts.

In sport,

Sir Bradley Wiggins says his life's

been a living hell as it's revealed

he'll face no charges

following an investigation

into the contents of a mystery

package delivered to him at the end

of a race in 2011.

And Matt has the weather:

Your Thursday start,

fairly mild but there is colder air

on the way to the next few days.

Bright sunny skies, though, and more

details coming up.

First, our main story.

The future of Zimbabwe's long time

leader, Robert Mugabe remains

unclear this morning,

after he was placed under house

arrest by the country's military.

Two envoys from South Africa have

arrived in the capital,

Harare, to try to hold talks

with the 93-year-old

and with the country's generals -

who deny there's been a coup.

It's been seen by many as a move

to prevent Mr Mugabe's wife Grace

from succeeding him in power.

Laura Westbrook reports.

What would have been unthinkable

only a few weeks ago has happened:

Robert Mugabe, the world's oldest

leader, has lost control

of the country he has

ruled for 37 years.

The military denied staging a coup,

but it is clear that Robert Mugabe

is no longer calling the shots.

Zimbabwe's ruling party,

the ZANU-PF, were emphatic.

He's the man in charge of Zimbabwe,

officially, right now.

A lot has happened.

But what has happened is a not coup.

The language is important,

and key regional bloc,

the African Union, has

given its full support

to the country's legal situations.

Zanu-PF.

On one side, this man,

Emmerson Mnangagwa, and on this side

Robert Mugabe's wife, Grace,

one of the most powerful

politicians in the country.

It is believed her being groomed

to succeed Mr Mugabe has

sparked this takeover.

There has to be a transition away

from Robert Mugabe but any

transition needs

to be credible.

Zimbabweans are waking

up to a country that

has changed dramatically.

But whether it is the change

they had been hoping

for is far from clear.

Laura Westbrook, BBC News.

Our correspondence is in Zimbabwe.

Tell us what is happening.

People

have been going back to school,

state television has been urging

civil servants to go back to work.

There is uncertainty as to who is in

charge of the country but what is

clear is the military as can -- is

in control but President Mugabe

remains in power so the next day,

the next days are going to be very

important in providing direction for

this country. The African Union as

was the United Kingdom have said

they need to return to

constitutional order so they are

very keen to see the situation in

Zimbabwe remains stable and clear

going forward.

Thank you very much.

The impacts of climate change

are already inevitable,

even if the world immediately

and radically cuts its carbon

dioxide emissions,

a new study claims.

An international research programme

called HELIX says sea

levels will rise by as much as 50

centimetres by the end

of the century.

Its findings are being presented

at the UN climate talks

in the Germany city of Bonn,

as Andy Moore reports.

This latest report has been

presented to an international

conference on climate change

in Bonn, where world leaders have

already begun to gather.

Whatever they can do to restrict

carbon, restrict carbon dioxide

restriction, climate

change cannot be avoided.

Carbon dioxide molecules

will warm the atmosphere

for hundreds of years.

That extra heat means the sea

water steadily expands.

So the researchers can say with some

confidence that half a million

people in low-lying Bangladesh will

be affected by rising sea levels.

In a worst-case scenario,

with rising emissions,

that figure could reach 12 million

by the end of the century.

Some tropical areas already suffer

levels of heat bringing a very high

risk of human harm -

the so-called heat stress.

The researchers say that

with two degrees warming,

most of of the Indian subcontinent

and large areas of Africa

would get these conditions.

Rainfall and river levels

are hard to predict,

but scientists say they are

confident they will be increased

flooding on some major

rivers, even if emissions

are strictly reduced.

And there is no sign of that

happening at the moment.

The conference has already been told

that global emissions of carbon

dioxide, are forecast to rise

for the first time in four

years in 2017.

That is largely due to the use

of coal in China's booming economy.

The number of guns, drugs and fake

goods being smuggled into the UK

could rise after Brexit,

unless a "significant" number

of extra border staff are recruited.

That's according to

a cross-party group of MPs.

A spokesman for the

Government said it

will ensure that resources

were available to run an effective

customs system once

Britain leaves the EU,

The ball as staff -- the border.

Often do customs checks of the

border. Those cheques are going to

increase, there is a real risk that

border Force staff will be pulled up

security checks and illegal

immigration checks and we cannot

have failings in Brexit

implementation putting our security

at risk.

Plans to encourage housing

associations to borrow money

to invest in new homes are being

announced by the government.

It comes after Theresa May

pledged to kickstart

a new generation of council house

building last month.

Labour says there is no

coherent plan to address

the "housing crisis".

Let's get more on this

with our political correspondent

Leila Nathoo.

Facebook and Snapchat are looking

into cyber bullying. They will

launch a new code of conduct to the

Internet later today urging young

people. Urging young people to stop,

speak and support each other on

line.

A 500-year-old painting of Christ,

believed to have been created

by Leonardo da Vinci,

has been sold in New York

for a record 300 million pounds.

The price for Salvator Mundi -

or "Saviour of the World" -

is the highest ever

paid for a painting.

Here's our arts

correspondent, Vincent Dowd.

Many thought the painting

would sell the $100 million,

around £76 million.

That was likely to be

exceeded comfortably,

but nobody could guess

how comfortable it.

Dating from around 1506,

the image of Jesus Christ is thought

to have been created

for the French royal family.

Disastrously restored in 1958,

it was auctioned in London

than for a mere £45,

at a time most experts thought

it was by a student of Leonardo,

not by the man himself.

Let's open this at 70, 75...

Last night, the tension was obvious

as Christie's auctioneer kept

the bids flowing.

$100 million was reached

quickly, than $200 million.

$190 million is bid.

$200 million is bid.

That broke the previous record,

held by Picasso's Women of Algiers,

sold for $179 million in 2015.

I am selling at $240 million.

Can you give me $290 million Alex?

300.

$300 million.

It seemed that bidding

had reached its climax.

Until the buyer, who was

on the phone, was tempted

to the extraordinary final amount.

$400 million is the bid,

and the pieces sold.

It is not known who the buyer was.

The sale shows the importance

of rarity - this could be the last

Leonardo to ever reach auction,

and almost half a millennium

after his death, he showed us

he is still the greatest star

in the art world.

Astronomers say they've discovered

a planet about the size of Earth,

with a mild climate

which could harbour life.

It's called Ross 128b and it's

11 light years away.

Researchers believe the planet's

temperature could range

from -60 to 20 celcius,

making it a promising place

to search for life.

Plans to encourage housing

associations to borrow money

to invest in new homes are being

announced by the government.

It comes after Theresa May

pledged to kickstart

a new generation of council house

building last month.

Labour says there is no

coherent plan to address

the "housing crisis".

The Shadow Chancellor joins us. If

we can focus on the Budget next

week. The reason is they want to

allow them to raise money more

cheaply.

You remember it was moved

onto the balance sheet by the ONS a

short while ago. A large-scale

investment that we need. We have a

housing crisis that we have not seen

since the Second World War. It is

below what it was in the 1920s. It

is not just me saying that. It is

government supporters and government

MPs and ministers. I don't think

this will allow anything on the

scale.

Just to be clear. If it

works, if that proposal are changing

that debt, moving from the balance

sheets, it works, it means housing

associations can build more houses,

that's good, isn't it?

But it won't

be on any scale. It will be like the

Tory conference which will not

tackle the real problem that we've

got. The real problem we got is

seven years of lack of investment in

housing. What we need is a

large-scale housing programme I

think led by local councils and if

the government can commit towards

that, we might be able to start

tackling the housing crisis that

we've got. I then thinks this --I

don't think this will go anywhere

near that.

How many houses would you

build, would a Labour government

build?

We need a million new houses

under the next period of government.

100,000 affordable houses. Social

housing each year. We think we can

build that on the basis of local

authorities having the powers now to

get out there and start building

again. This isn't rocket science.

This is what were done in the past.

We've allowed councils to have the

resources and build the homes that

we need. In that way, we can get

genuinely affordable homes that

people can pay.

Where is the money

come from?

In the short-term, it is

a matter of boring. It pays to

itself at the end of the day. When

you build these homes and put people

to work, that is the first thing. In

addition to that, people start

paying the rent. It is cheaper, it

is cheaper than paying out large

amounts of housing benefits to

private landlords to house people,

often in not very good conditions,

and it's also cheaper in dealing

with the real problem that come from

homelessness and drop sleeping.

Which has doubled in our cities.

Some people immediately hear what

you just said and will think, all

you are doing is borrowing more

money to solve genuine problem that

everyone recognises. Why not raise

taxes. Do both things happen at

once? What is the real answer?

For

long-term project, the government

will go out and borrow. It's not

just me saying this. The Secretary

of State, the conservative Secretary

of State, he supported our plans. He

said exactly the same as me. Now

interest rates are so low, now is

the time to build the homes that we

need. You cut the costs of the

homelessness crisis that we have got

at the moment. That so many people

are now suffering as a result of

that. It's just sensible government.

Rather than these mealymouthed

measures that the government is

bringing forward. We need something

on scale. We've done it in the past.

Both sides have done it. It's

nothing new. We need to get on with

the job. We are appealing to the

Chancellor. Austerity hasn't worked

and when it comes to investing in

something like housing, you need a

long-term plan.

Many people are talking about

Theresa May's government being weak

due to a number of factors. How does

that affect this budget?

My worry is

this budget will be more about

saving her job and the payment's job

rather than addressing the real

needs of the country. -- Philip

Hammond's. We have had many lines

about public services. 5000 head

teachers writing to the Prime

Minister to say we have to stop

cutting education. We have had

schools asking parents for

donations. We have had the NHS

mentioning the scale of their

crisis. The person responsible for

advising the government on terrorism

said we cannot combat terrorism with

this amount of police cuts. What we

are saying is we need an emergency

budget. We need an emergency budget

to tackle the very emergencies the

public services are having to

address. This must not be a budget

about stunts, something that will

just try to protect Theresa May in

her job. It has to be a serious

budget which looks at the real

issues facing the community so we

can start investing in the community

and austerity. The first way to do

that is to stop tax cuts on the

rich.

Thank you for your time, John

McDonnell. Let's find out what is

rich.

Thank you for your time, John

McDonnell. Let's find out what is

happening with the weather. Good

morning.

Good morning.

We have dried

conditions on the A14. Cloudy skies

overhead. These are the

temperatures. A mild start to

Thursday morning. The exception is

Scotland and Northern Ireland,

dropping to single figures. Colder

air pushing in. Going south. Clear

it in Scotland and Northern Ireland.

The morning rush-hour, north and

west Wales, increasing. Be prepared

for rain. Gusty winds as well.

Patchy rain in the far south-east of

England. That will clear. Elsewhere,

cloud breaks up. Sunny spells for a

time. Not always lifting

temperatures. Patchy rain to come

through here. Eventually into the

afternoon, East Anglia and the

south-west, a weather front will be

sitting there. The rest will be dry.

14 is the high. Temperatures drop

single figures for most of the

afternoon. Feeling cold in Scotland

with a mixture of strong to gale

force winds. Some of the rain will

be heavy with sleet and snow in

higher grounds. The showers will

continue through the north through

the night. A breeze will make you

feel chilly. Light winds. Clear

skies. Temperatures falling away

sharply. A night with towns and city

centres just above freezing. Friday

morning rush-hour. There could be

widespread frost to start the day.

And then a dry and sunny day on

Friday. The showers most frequent

with gusty winds in Scotland. A

mixture of rain and hail and sleet

and snow. The brightest conditions

to the east of Scotland. Single

figure temperatures for the rest.

Feeling substantially cold. You will

get more sunshine. Cold air trying

to hold on into the weekend. A

battle for the next few days. What

will wind? Mild air from the

south-west? Cloud in the North Wales

and patchy rain. It will go south

through the day. Cold air trying to

establish itself in eastern areas

with bright weather. Sunday. The

mild air tries again from the west.

Not too many inroads. Hopefully on

Sunday, reasonably bright.

Hopefully. Thank you very much.

Hopefully. You just said to me a

moment ago, some figures are easier

to work through than others. You

have been talking about the Royal

Mail.

Yeah. Very complicated. Pages

and pages have been released. I have

been through the numbers. They tell

us a familiar picture for the Royal

Mail. Profits down. Reining in

costs. We are sending fewer mail.

Profits are down 1%. They got a bit

of a boost from the general election

because of the literature. That

helps results. They are looking

towards Christmas. That is the

busiest time of the year. They will

hire another 20,000 temporary staff

and have six new sorting centres.

That is the focus. But there are

many issues. They have issues with

the unions and the pension pot and

changes to the way they work. A big

reform going on. The Royal Mail was

privatised in 2013. The latest

figures suggest they are doing OK.

Parcel figures up 4%. Post down.

I

thought the parcel figures were the

area of concern because of the

competition.

Yes. They want it back.

They have a lucrative contract with

Amazon at the moment which is

helping to boost figures. You are

correct. So much competition is

coming in from private operators.

They always talk about the universal

obligation to deliver to every house

in the UK. Private companies do not

have to do that. But if you have a

first-class stamp a letter it has to

go anywhere you want. It doesn't

matter whether it is a city centre

or remote. Yes, parcel business is

doing well. Thank you very much.

The husband of the British-Iranian

woman jailed in Tehran says he's had

positive and constructive talks

with the Foreign Secretary,

Boris Johnson, but has

expressed growing concern

for his wife's welfare.

Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe has been

held in Iran since April 2016

after being accused of spying,

charges she denies.

We can now speak to Homa Hoodfar,

who met Nazanin last summer

when she was also imprisoned in

Iran.

She's since been released, and joins

us from her home in Montreal.

Thank you very much for talking to

us on the BBC today. Can you tell

us, you saw Nazanin

Zaghari-Ratcliffe in prison. Can you

tell us the conditions of that

prison and how much interaction you

had?

In the detention centre is