22/07/2014 Weather for the Week Ahead


22/07/2014

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Hello. It's time for our daily look at what lies, weather-wise,

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for the week ahead, and indeed a hint towards the end of the month.

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We had some violent storms through the weekend,

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but those have now eased away, the weather settling down again,

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with plenty of dry weather to look forward to through Tuesday.

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After a rather grey start for most of us, things will perk up,

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with some very warm sunshine once more.

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Some rain knocking on the door of Northern Ireland,

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but for the rest of us broken cloud and sunshine

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should be a typical scenario. This is four o'clock,

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and temperatures up into the 20s quite nicely -

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mid to high 20s in the sunnier parts of the South.

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Across the Irish Sea, a different story.

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More cloud, with some outbreaks of rain in Western areas.

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Some could be quite heavy, although it won't rain all day long.

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Fringing into the Outer Hebrides, but most of Scotland will be dry,

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with some sunshine. Notably cooler, though,

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along the Eastern coastal fringe,

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and some coastal counties of Northeast England.

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That'll knock the temperatures on the head,

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but head any distance inland, with some sunshine,

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temperatures will respond, up into the mid, possibly high 20s

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across some Southern counties, not far off 30 degrees in some places.

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So another hot one to come.

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We end the day on a fine note, and hopefully

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the rain across Northern Ireland will tend to ease away.

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It will turn very murky again - high humidity out there,

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so some mist and some low cloud, particularly close to coastal areas.

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Temperatures in some spots not getting below 16 or 17 degrees.

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We keep that muggy theme going through the middle of the week.

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High pressure to the North`East, a gentle Easterly wind,

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and that's going to push these weather fronts back out Westwards

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at least for a time. So again, a lot of dry weather.

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It might once more be a rather cloudy, misty start,

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and inevitably towards some Eastern coastal counties

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it might stay that way, keeping it somewhat cooler.

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But for the vast majority

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it will be another pleasantly warm, if not hot, day,

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and any showers will be very isolated.

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So mid to high 20s, much cooler, though, where it does stay misty,

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along those North`Eastern coasts.

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Now as we head towards Thursday,

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we've got to keep our eye on this front

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which might start to head back in again from the West.

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At this stage, I think most places will stay dry,

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or at least start off dry.

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But there's an increasing chance of showers breaking out

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across Northern Ireland and some Southwestern parts of the UK.

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Hopefully not the intense storms we had at the weekend,

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but one to keep an eye on, because they will be quite slow-moving.

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And a trend through Friday will be for the pressure to continue to

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fall away, which does mean there will be scattered showers around.

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Slow-moving affairs, very difficult to get the detail right,

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but it does look as though the more Southern parts of the UK

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and some Western fringes are most prone to some downpours.

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But in any sunshine, again, it will feel warm.

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By the weekend, certainly some more prolonged outbreaks of rain

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look likely, most likely across the more Western areas,

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but once more, in any sunshine, we keep some pretty high temperatures.

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Now, beyond that, well, we've got a split decision, really.

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There's a low chance the high pressure will start to build in again

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through the early part of next week,

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settling the weather down once more

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with plenty more dry, warm, sunny weather.

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However I think what is more likely is that the high

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will retreat back Southwestwards, and that will allow

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something of a westerly flow to come in off the Atlantic.

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Closest to the high in the South, it stays mostly dry.

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Further North, cooler, more unsettled,

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with perhaps some outbreaks of rain.

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So on balance, I think that's the most likely indication

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through the early part of next week.

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It's a split decision - mixed signals in the computer models -

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but Southern areas probably driest and warmest and sunniest,

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further North rather more unsettled, with a breeze

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and some outbreaks of rain at times.

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We'll keep an eye on it here at the Weather Centre.

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