02/11/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead

The second part of the weekend got off to a very slow start

for large parts of the United Kingdom,

with some dense and quite persistent fog.

For some areas, that fog lasted well on into the afternoon.

But for some other areas, there was a good deal of sunshine.

In that sunshine, in the west of Wales,

we saw a new November temperature record - yes, we got to 22.4 degrees.

That was recorded in Trawsgoed.

How does that compare with the seasonal average?

Normally in this part of the world, early November,

you expect temperatures round about 12 Celsius.

So, 10.4 degrees above the average.

The fog set to return overnight tonight, thickening up all the while.

And through Monday morning's rush hour,

I suspect we've got further disruption.

It'll be slow on the roads

and there'll be further delays and cancellations,

I suspect, at some of the airports.

The fog dense in places, slow to clear,

but I think it will do for many.

Some eastern parts of England may well keep that fog into the afternoon

and you may well do the same across southern Scotland,

maybe, too, into Northern Ireland.

Across the south-west, I think we'll see

a good deal of sunshine into the afternoon,

and we're going to get into the middle to upper teens quite easily.

Could go a few degrees higher than that in one or two spots.

Where the low cloud and fog lingers

across some eastern parts of England, temperatures will struggle.

Could be only nine or ten degrees for some places.

It could be pretty grey into the afternoon for southern Scotland,

maybe some parts of Northern Ireland.

Western Scotland, more breeze, a bit more cloud.

A bit of rain here, but the north-east of Scotland

is a favoured spot for some sunshine into the afternoon.

But once the sun goes down,

that fog is going to thicken up again quite quickly.

Maybe not too much for southernmost counties of England.

It's probably Mid Wales, the Midlands, northwards,

where we're going to see the fog,

and some of that could be quite dense.

No real problems with those temperatures

as we get onto dawn on Tuesday.

But a slow start from the Midlands northwards with that fog.

Some rain pushing its way across the south-west of England

up into Wales, through the day, bit of a breeze to go with that.

The further south-east you are, should be essentially fine and dry.

15, 16 degrees. And the north-east of Scotland, again,

a favoured spot for some spells of sunshine.

Into Wednesday, and it looks like it's going to turn

a bit more unsettled across the southern half of the UK.

Cloud and outbreaks of rain, a bit of a breeze.

In between those showers, 15, 16 degrees, not so bad.

It's double figures further north,

where it's that bit drier, except in the north of Scotland.

Wednesday night, into Thursday, breezy from the south-west.

That'll keep it quite mild.

We have this weather system coming in on Thursday from the west,

bringing cloud and outbreaks of rain, a bit of a breeze.

The rain starts off initially quite heavy,

but it'll turn light and patchy

as you get on into the latter part of the afternoon

and on into the evening.

Bonfire Night, it looks like it'll be cloudy and breezy.

The cloud may well still contain a little bit of light rain and drizzle,

but it's not too heavy and not too widespread.

Still breezy Thursday night into Friday.

From the south-west, so again, it's quite mild overnight.

Further weather systems coming in from the south-west on Friday.

Question marks about the timing, but at the moment,

it looks like we'll see rain across the south-west of England.

Then it'll move its way across Wales, through the Midlands

and up into northern England.

And then on into next weekend.

Take a look at the jet stream

and it looks like it'll be well to the north of the UK,

keeping that cold polar air a long way from us.

We're on the warm side of the jet stream, so staying relatively mild.

The pressure pattern looks something like this,

with low pressure systems moving their way up towards Iceland.

High pressure still across central Europe.

The resulting south-westerly winds will keep things on the mild side.

But it's also going to bring some rain at times.

And that south-westerly wind could be quite strong.

But the south-east of England look like it's favoured

for some much drier weather, and staying mild with that wind coming in

from the south and west.