27/12/2015 Weather for the Week Ahead


27/12/2015

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Hello. Overall the weather patterns remain pretty stuck, which means

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we can expect further problems from the weather over the next few days.

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All the problems during Boxing Day

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are caused by this area of low pressure

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and particularly this slow-moving weather front.

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It is trickling its way southwards at the moment,

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and the rain is really weakening on it as well,

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it'll bring a damp start across southern parts

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of England and Wales on Sunday.

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It will then move back further north,

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but it's a very much weaker feature

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by the time it gets back into the flooded areas

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across northern England and north Wales.

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Nevertheless it will bring some light rain on Sunday.

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Further north from that, generally dry

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and chilly, temperatures in single figures.

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Further south, well,

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it's still very, very mild indeed.

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And that weather front is out

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of the way by the time

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we get to Sunday night and into Monday.

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Follow the isobars pointing down into Iberia,

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so our air is again

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coming right up from the south.

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Quite a mild day on Monday,

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that mild air coming up from Iberia,

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across France as well.

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And generally, it's looking like

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a drier day on Monday,

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and temperatures will be well above average.

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The mild air pushing back across Scotland,

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so a much warmer day here.

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Generally dry and sunny

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across central and eastern areas.

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Further west though, we will start to see

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a weather front approaching, the winds picking up too,

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and we could see some rain

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into west Wales, south-west England

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and especially Northern Ireland

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by the end of the day.

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Again, temperatures well above average,

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13, 14, 15 degrees,

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and after a chillier feel

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on Sunday across Scotland and northern England,

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we're back in double figures here.

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However, after a really mild Monday we are again

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focusing on the rain for much of the rest of the week.

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Well out in the Atlantic,

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this mass of blue is a mass of rain,

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it's an area of low pressure,

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and just watch how it develops.

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During Monday and into Tuesday,

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the isobars really spewing out of it,

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it's intensifying as it approaches the UK.

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The low itself probably

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going to the north of the UK,

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but this will firstly move some weather fronts

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across the UK on Tuesday

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and then potentially bring a spell

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of very windy weather and more rain

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later on Tuesday and Wednesday.

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Apart from a few showers though,

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much of Tuesday dry and fine,

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it's in the west where we

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start to see that weather system

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arriving, the winds really getting

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stronger and stronger. The winds probably

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the biggest issue later on Tuesday,

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but then the rain arrives too,

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pulses of rain for Northern Ireland, Scotland,

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potentially parts of

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northwest England and Wales also.

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So that is one of the greatest causes

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for concern around the middle of the week,

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heavy rain during the course of Wednesday,

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some bright colours there,

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it could be very wet indeed and also very windy.

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But again, the winds coming up from the south

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still bringing mild air, 11 to 13 degrees Celsius.

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As we go into New Year's Eve, that weather front

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should start to move through, but it's

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only replaced by more of them.

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These ones at the moment don't look too intense,

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but there are developing areas of low pressure

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getting picked up by the jet stream,

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that fast-moving ribbon of air

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high up which is still very, very active.

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So on New Year's Eve we'll see

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spells of rain moving through,

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one potentially clearing

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from the east before another one

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arrives in the west, and again,

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the winds likely to be a feature.

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Potentially turns a little colder

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behind that cold front,

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and temperatures turning into single figures,

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but closer to average after the very mild weather of late.

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And that mild theme continues into New Year's Day and beyond.

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Often very blustery with a strong jet stream,

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there will be further spells of rain.

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Some computer models suggest it might turn a little colder

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during the first week of 2016,

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but that is just some computer models,

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most suggest it will be mild and potential for more warnings.

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I'm here surrounded by one of nature's greatest wonders,

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a living structure so enormous it can be seen from space.

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