09/02/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


09/02/2016

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Come the weekend, some of us may be experiencing

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a different side to winter.

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Over the last 24 hours or so,

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it's the wild and windy weather, courtesy of Storm Imogen,

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which has dominated the weather story.

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You weather watchers have sent in

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your pictures - dramatic seas

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crashing onto the coastline.

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Inland, some significant damage -

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felled trees and power cuts.

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Compare that with tranquil conditions

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across the heart of Scotland,

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this picture taken from the Trossachs.

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That's because the heart of Scotland

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was in the eye of the storm.

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The strongest winds were to the south.

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Imogen is now moving out of the way,

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taking the strongest of the winds with her,

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still quite blustery as we go through Tuesday,

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especially across some south-western areas,

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but not the really strong, damaging winds

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you saw on Monday - good news, isn't it?

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Some sunshine to be had

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with a wetter zone in the middle,

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and some mountain snow.

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Some wintry showers

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across the Highlands of Scotland, too,

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but through the central belt,

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plenty of sunshine, nice day.

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Temperatures 6 or 7 degrees.

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This is 3 o'clock in the afternoon.

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Rain across Northern Ireland and southern Scotland

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will drift its way southwards,

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through parts of north-west England and Wales.

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Some snow over high ground,

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but shouldn't cause too many issues.

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Some sunshine further south -

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as I said, the winds nothing like

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as strong as they were on Monday.

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Still quite blustery,

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and those winds will carry some showers

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into south-western areas in particular.

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Cold in that wind,

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temperatures just 4, 5, 6 degrees.

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Chilly start to Wednesday, some frost, some ice around

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across northern areas in particular.

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Wednesday actually looks like a nice day.

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Many of us will be dry and bright, with some sunshine.

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Some wintry showers across the far north-east

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and some showers across the far south-west,

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but in-between, as I say, mostly fine and dry.

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As we look towards the end of the week,

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we look to the west, the next area of low pressure.

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This is no Imogen,

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not the damaging winds which we've seen,

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but still the prospect of a wet end to the week,

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initially across the more south-western areas,

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how quickly that rain progresses across other areas

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is still quite uncertain, but it looks like Friday

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will be a cloudy day with a greater prospect of rain

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compared with Thursday.

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Here's a snapshot for Friday -

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don't take its position too literally.

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It could be further north, it could be further south,

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but it looks like the best chance of staying dry

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is across northern parts of the UK.

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None too warm, mind you -

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a nagging easterly wind developing

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and that will be a theme as we hit the weekend.

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No sooner do we lose one area of low pressure

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that another one looks like coming

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to take its place - again,

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it's the more southern parts of the UK

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most likely to see the persistent rain,

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whereas further north again will be drier

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but once more, that chilly wind.

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That is really the set-up through this weekend.

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We will have low pressure, bringing outbreaks of rain,

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most likely to the southern areas,

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whereas further north will have relatively higher pressure

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and lengthier dry spells.

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It's also the dividing line

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between relatively cold air to the north,

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relatively mild air to the south.

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Now, that's important, because at the dividing line,

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we have got a bit of a knife edge.

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Inject moisture into that

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and there is the potential for rain to turn to snow.

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There's a very real possibility

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through this weekend of some snow.

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The question is, where?

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The location of the highest snow risk

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is still unclear, because the computer models

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are toing and froing with this

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and they won't firm up for another couple of days,

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but watch this space.

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As we look into early next week,

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it does look as if cold air will dominate,

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deflecting the jet stream to the south

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and that means taking most of the rain

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and snow-bearing weather systems with it.

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So probably a largely dry start next week,

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some fine, crisp weather,

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some frost around.

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How long it lasts before the jet stream powers through

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and brings a return to mild, wet and windy weather

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from the west is still uncertain.

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I'll hope to shed some more light

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as I see you again tomorrow.

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