29/03/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


29/03/2016

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You know, there's huge uncertainty in the evolution of our weather

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next weekend, as we'll see in a moment -

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but one thing I'm confident about, we won't see anything quite as wild

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as we've seen over the last day or so.

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Let's have a quick recap courtesy of some of our weather-watchers

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sending in their pictures - uprooted trees,

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there was disruption to power supplies, of course,

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there was flooding rains,

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and some places saw some significant snowfall -

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and perhaps you have your own tale to tell.

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Katie, of course, was the culprit.

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It tore right across the heart of the UK,

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the heavy rains delivered by this swirl in the cloud,

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the strongest winds to the south of the storm's centre -

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but Katie has whistled out into the North Sea,

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and things are returning back to normal, because in the wake of that,

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OK, we've got some fronts coming in,

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but nothing too severe,

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and although there will be breezy conditions at times,

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the winds shouldn't be too damaging, either.

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This is the way we start the day on Tuesday -

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sunshine and showers, a brisk old wind,

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and some of these could be quite heavy,

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but they shouldn't last all that long before some wetter

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weather gets into parts of Wales and western England.

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Some of the best of the sunshine actually further north -

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there will be a peppering of showers,

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wintry showers up over the Highlands of Scotland,

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but nothing too extreme,

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and there'll be some sunshine in between for Scotland

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and Northern Ireland and northern England.

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Temperatures at 6s and 7s, so, not desperately warm,

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but in the sunshine, shouldn't feel too bad.

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Some sunshine, too,

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for eastern parts of England before this arc of wetter weather

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spirals in across Wales and western England -

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its exact position a little bit uncertain,

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but there will be a bit of snow mixed in

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up over the Welsh mountains - and quite a gusty wind, too.

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So, the spell of wet and windy weather

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quickly makes it way across other parts of England and Wales

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before clearer skies follow on behind -

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it could be quite a chilly, maybe a frosty start

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in some places on Wednesday,

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but bags of sunshine, actually, on offer on Wednesday,

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and although there'll be a few showers dotted around,

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many of us will be dry.

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No heatwave, but in the sunshine, and with light winds,

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it should feel pretty pleasant, I reckon.

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That really does sum up things as we change the month.

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Lighter winds, we'll always see some sunshine,

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and there'll be a few April showers scattered around as well.

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Mind you, the nights will still be quite chilly -

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in actual fact, we'll see frost

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across more northern and central parts of the UK,

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so, gardeners take note of that -

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we will see some pretty chilly nights.

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How long does the drier weather last?

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Well, across the more southern

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and eastern areas it might last into the weekend, at least,

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but further north-west this set of fronts comes in,

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bringing a rather wet and windy end to the week

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across Northern Ireland and Scotland.

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Some heavy rain, some strong winds,

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but not damaging winds, we think.

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In contrast, further south and east it'll be drier,

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it'll be brighter, it'll be warmer, too,

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temperatures getting up into the low teens -

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and it could well be that that front kind of stalls

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across Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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and it may begin to head back northwards again,

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whereas, for England and Wales, another dry day,

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and temperatures again on the rise,

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the wind starting to come in off the near continent -

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the near continent, at this time of year,

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is beginning to warm up, so if you get those winds

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coming in from the south-east, temperatures will rise.

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How long's it going to last? Well, that all hinges on the jet stream.

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You've got this little kink in the jet stream at the weekend,

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that's delivering those warmer south-easterly winds.

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However, it does look as if the jet's going to get a move on again,

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supercharged out of the USA,

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and that's probably going to iron out that kink in the jet stream,

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which does mean that any warmth will probably be quite temporary.

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Watch this space,

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because the computer models are pretty uncertain,

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but it's unlikely to last before that jet stream brings in more rain

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from the west and temperatures will begin to ease down again.

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I'll update you again tomorrow.

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