06/04/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


06/04/2016

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Thanks for joining me.

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It's time to get a check on the weather for the next week or so

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and the forecast hasn't actually changed,

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if you were watching yesterday.

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It will remain very unsettled for the rest of this week,

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further blustery showers on the way for tomorrow after what has been

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a brief spell of better weather

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during the course of Tuesday.

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The changes are already starting to take shape

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across the North Atlantic.

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These are showers here which are gathering.

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They are also coming in on a cold, north-westerly wind.

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That's going to be in place across the UK

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during the course of Wednesday,

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so a really chilly day on the way for some of us,

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particularly in those blustery showers.

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This is what it looks like through the course of tonight,

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so the weather front,

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which actually is the leading edge

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of this colder air coming in off the North Atlantic,

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you can see where it starts to rain

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across Northern Ireland, Scotland,

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even a bit of winteriness here.

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Does look as though it will stay dry all through the night

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across East Anglia and the south-east.

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Here's the morning - those winds keep on strengthening.

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In fact, they'll get stronger and stronger

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through the course of the day,

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up to gale-force and a real what we call rash of showers,

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so lots of them,

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hit and miss, on and off from hour to hour

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with sunshine in between.

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This is round about lunchtime -

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you can see a good chance

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of catching these showers across most of Scotland,

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plenty of them through the Lowlands,

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down into the south-west of Scotland,

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Northern Ireland catching quite a few here,

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into the north-west of England as well

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and one or two across parts of East Anglia and the south-east,

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at least at this stage.

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Notice fewer showers for Wales,

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the bulk of the Midlands

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and south-western parts of England,

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but I wouldn't be surprised

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if one or two of us get caught out

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in a heavier one even here.

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Temperatures will hover around 7 to 9 degrees but, of course,

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because it's a lot stronger,

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you don't need to be a meteorologist to figure out

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that it's certainly going to feel quite a bit colder,

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so perhaps the apparent temperature,

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the "feels like" temperature

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may be around 2 or 3 degrees above freezing.

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Thursday, copycat conditions for some of us.

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Still cold, north-westerly winds. If anything,

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it may actually be worse across the south of the country.

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There might be more cloud

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and more frequent spells of rain

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and again, it's going to feel pretty chilly

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in those strong winds.

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Come Friday, there's another weather front coming our way,

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further rain expected across western areas,

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initially reaching Northern Ireland,

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parts of Wales,

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down into the south-west early in the day, we think.

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Perhaps later in the afternoon,

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that rain will sweep across other parts of the country,

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so you're starting to get that message

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that it is going to be raining pretty much every day,

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but not everywhere for the rest of this week.

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And the weekend - low pressure parks itself across

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this portion of the country.

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Quite often, lows sweep in from west to east.

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This one is just going to meander

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across this part of the Atlantic

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and the UK and just keep sending

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weather fronts in our direction.

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One of the reasons why it's stuck across this part

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of the world is the shape of the jet stream

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and if you know your Greek alphabet,

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you might know the letter omega

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and this is exactly what we are seeing here,

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and omega shape to the jet stream.

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It actually looks a bit more like an octopus, to be honest,

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but the physics are such that when we get this sort of pattern,

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the atmosphere grinds to a halt

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and we don't get these weather systems moving

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so much from west to east.

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They kind of stay where they are,

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so this area of low pressure is going

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to hang around across this part of the Atlantic

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and the UK through the weekend into next week,

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which basically means the weather

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isn't going to change an awful lot.

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Rain showers to sunshine, back to rain showers again.

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And at night, when the sky is clear

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it is going to be pretty chilly,

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so the unsettled theme looks as though

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it is set to continue into next week

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and that's your omega block lesson.

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