07/04/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


07/04/2016

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Hello. Wednesday was a day of classic springtime weather

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where we have cold air sitting on top of the UK,

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a bit of heat from the sun

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that drives the clouds,

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spectacular clouds

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and we get some vicious downpours

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with some thunder and lightning.

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Thursday is going to bring further showers,

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but not necessarily in the same place

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or the same type of showers.

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This is what it looks like round about lunchtime.

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In fact, this little mini weather front,

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if anything, is going to cause cloudier skies,

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because on Wednesday, we had sparkling blue skies,

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a brief downpour, then sparkling blue skies again.

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I think, overall,

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Thursday is just going to be a lot more cloudy

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across this southern portion of the UK and, actually,

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a bigger chance of encountering some rain.

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There will be some downpours developing during Thursday,

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probably eastern areas most likely to catch the heaviest ones,

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with some thunder and lightning,

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all the way up into eastern Scotland, in fact,

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but a lot better, I'm pleased to say, for Northern Ireland,

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which really was plagued by very heavy showers

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during the course of Wednesday.

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Let's have a look at the weather, then,

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Thursday night into Friday.

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Still some showers carrying on for a time, at least.

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The winds will fall light and with clearing skies,

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that means that the temperatures will dip away.

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In fact, there's a good chance of a bit of frost

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developing across Scotland and parts of northern England,

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possibly Northern Ireland too.

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That takes us into Friday.

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We've got yet another weather front heading our way.

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This is it here, approaching the far west of the British Isles

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during the course of Friday morning.

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Initially, actually, the weather on Friday

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isn't going to be bad at all.

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You'll be waking up to some sunshine.

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Yes, there might be still a few showers left over

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from the previous day, but on balance,

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not a bad start to the day or lunchtime.

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Then, this weather front sweeps in and brings the rain

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to places like Belfast, eventually Cardiff,

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down into Cornwall, Devon and the rest of the West Country.

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Then for the weekend,

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if you've been following our outlooks for the week ahead,

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we've been predicting that this area of low pressure

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is going to establish itself

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just to the south-west of our neighbourhood here.

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Practically, it'll get stuck here

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and that essentially means the weather will remain unsettled,

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but doesn't necessarily mean it'll rain every single day.

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Be prepared for rain, but there could be a bit of sunshine

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and perhaps even a little bit of warmth,

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because this low pressure will act to scoop up

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some of this warmth that we're seeing across the continent here

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and move it in the direction of the UK.

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Yes, we're going to be on the cusp of the colder and milder air.

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The reason why this weather pattern is stuck here

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is because of something that we were talking about yesterday,

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an omega block, so it's a pattern

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that we recognise in the atmosphere

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when the jet stream takes this omega shape

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from the Greek alphabet here.

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We have the unsettled, stuck weather across one side of the Atlantic

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and, actually, we get the same thing

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happening across North America,

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also a plunge of colder air here

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and they're getting their own unsettled weather,

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whereas Greenland and Iceland are actually getting

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a push of slightly milder air

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and these big amplitudes in the jet stream kind of get stuck

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and it takes a long time before they shift,

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so this low that we've been schematically describing

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for next week is still very much in our forecast, still features here,

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and brings spells of cloud and rain, but also, remember,

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a little bit of warmth coming in from the south as well,

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so next week stays unsettled,

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but it certainly won't be raining all the time.

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There might even be some warmth to that sunshine.

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Here's the summary for next week - sunshine and showers.

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Remember, the nights will be chilly where the sky is clear

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and just a hint of something a little bit warmer

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across southern areas of the UK.

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That's it, bye-bye.

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