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Here we are at the middle of the week, and a lot of you want to know | 0:00:02 | 0:00:05 | |
what the weather's going to be like this weekend. | 0:00:05 | 0:00:07 | |
I wish I could give you a definitive answer, | 0:00:07 | 0:00:09 | |
but sometimes, the atmospherics just are not that clear cut. | 0:00:09 | 0:00:12 | |
The atmospherics haven't been clear cut in the last 24 hours or so. | 0:00:12 | 0:00:15 | |
We've seen huge contrasts. | 0:00:15 | 0:00:16 | |
Lots of lovely sunshine here in Cornwall on Tuesday. | 0:00:16 | 0:00:19 | |
Torrential rain further east, and across England, | 0:00:19 | 0:00:22 | |
deluges across East Anglia and the south-east. | 0:00:22 | 0:00:25 | |
But I want to journey to the other side of the Atlantic, | 0:00:25 | 0:00:27 | |
and point out one of the pieces of the jigsaw | 0:00:27 | 0:00:30 | |
which is causing us problems here in the Weather Centre. | 0:00:30 | 0:00:32 | |
It's the behaviour of this area of low pressure | 0:00:32 | 0:00:35 | |
which will dictate how things prevail come the weekend. | 0:00:35 | 0:00:39 | |
As we'll see in a moment. | 0:00:39 | 0:00:41 | |
Ahead of that, another day of sunshine and showers on Wednesday. | 0:00:41 | 0:00:45 | |
The distribution of showers not the same as it was on Tuesday, | 0:00:45 | 0:00:48 | |
so some places will see rather more rain | 0:00:48 | 0:00:51 | |
and others will see rather less rain than we saw on Tuesday. | 0:00:51 | 0:00:53 | |
Across Northern Ireland and Scotland, | 0:00:53 | 0:00:55 | |
rather more in the way of showers around, | 0:00:55 | 0:00:57 | |
some of them quite heavy through the afternoon. | 0:00:57 | 0:00:59 | |
They'll rattle through on the breeze | 0:00:59 | 0:01:01 | |
and there will be some sunshine in between. | 0:01:01 | 0:01:03 | |
Cool, though. Temperatures still struggling across the country. | 0:01:03 | 0:01:06 | |
Stuck in the mid- to high teens for the most part. | 0:01:06 | 0:01:09 | |
There'll be a few showers across northern England. | 0:01:09 | 0:01:11 | |
Western parts of England and Wales by the afternoon | 0:01:11 | 0:01:13 | |
doing pretty well for sunshine. | 0:01:13 | 0:01:15 | |
If you're heading to the coast, you'll see some blue sky here. | 0:01:15 | 0:01:17 | |
But another crop of sharp showers across parts of the south-east, | 0:01:17 | 0:01:20 | |
though not the intense disruptive downpours | 0:01:20 | 0:01:23 | |
which some of us have seen recently. | 0:01:23 | 0:01:24 | |
On into Thursday. I've mentioned this troublemaker behind me. | 0:01:24 | 0:01:28 | |
But ahead of that, we've got a ridge of high pressure building in, | 0:01:28 | 0:01:32 | |
so I'm pretty optimistic for Thursday. | 0:01:32 | 0:01:34 | |
Most of us will be dry. Showers very isolated. Plenty of blue sky. | 0:01:34 | 0:01:37 | |
Winds fairly light, which will feel very nice indeed. | 0:01:37 | 0:01:40 | |
And, of course, Thursday marks, firstly, | 0:01:40 | 0:01:42 | |
the first day of the Lord's Test, England taking on Pakistan, | 0:01:42 | 0:01:46 | |
where we should see, hopefully, a full day's play. | 0:01:46 | 0:01:48 | |
We also have the first day of the Open golf up there in Troon. | 0:01:48 | 0:01:52 | |
And although Thursday, I think, will be dry, | 0:01:52 | 0:01:54 | |
it's a different story for Friday. | 0:01:54 | 0:01:56 | |
The rain will be arriving, we think, | 0:01:56 | 0:01:58 | |
across the west of Scotland and, indeed, Northern Ireland, | 0:01:58 | 0:02:02 | |
as this set of weather fronts duly arrives. | 0:02:02 | 0:02:04 | |
Now, further south and east across the country on Friday, | 0:02:04 | 0:02:07 | |
I think it will stay dry. | 0:02:07 | 0:02:09 | |
It might turn increasingly cloudy, | 0:02:09 | 0:02:11 | |
but we'll hold on to the fine weather. | 0:02:11 | 0:02:13 | |
In any brightness, it'll feel pleasant enough | 0:02:13 | 0:02:15 | |
closest to that high pressure, whereas further north and west, | 0:02:15 | 0:02:18 | |
an increasing breeze, and we'll have the cloud and outbreaks of rain, | 0:02:18 | 0:02:21 | |
so not feeling all that summer-like. | 0:02:21 | 0:02:23 | |
And then what happens next? Well, it's a good question. | 0:02:23 | 0:02:27 | |
If you were watching yesterday, | 0:02:27 | 0:02:28 | |
you'll know a lot hinges on the progress of this weather front, | 0:02:28 | 0:02:31 | |
that weather system out in the Atlantic, | 0:02:31 | 0:02:33 | |
and how quickly it spreads its way down towards the south-east. | 0:02:33 | 0:02:36 | |
It's the dividing line between humid air across the south-east | 0:02:36 | 0:02:38 | |
and cooler air to the north-west. | 0:02:38 | 0:02:40 | |
It could stay further north, | 0:02:40 | 0:02:42 | |
which means that many places will enjoy warm, humid conditions, | 0:02:42 | 0:02:45 | |
temperatures up into the mid-20s, potentially, in any sunshine. | 0:02:45 | 0:02:48 | |
However, it could find its way further down towards the south, | 0:02:48 | 0:02:52 | |
which means that most places will see cooler conditions | 0:02:52 | 0:02:55 | |
come the weekend. | 0:02:55 | 0:02:56 | |
And it does look as if, eventually, come what may, | 0:02:56 | 0:02:59 | |
the cooler air will win. | 0:02:59 | 0:03:01 | |
So any heat will not last all that long | 0:03:01 | 0:03:03 | |
as the jet stream gets going again | 0:03:03 | 0:03:05 | |
and pushes that frontal system out of the way. | 0:03:05 | 0:03:08 | |
Now, given that we've seen twisting and turning | 0:03:08 | 0:03:10 | |
in the story over the last 24, 48 hours, | 0:03:10 | 0:03:12 | |
my advice would be to watch this space | 0:03:12 | 0:03:14 | |
and watch this broadcast again tomorrow. | 0:03:14 | 0:03:16 | |
But at this stage, that's how we see things panning out, | 0:03:16 | 0:03:19 | |
and by early next week, I think wettest in the north-west, | 0:03:19 | 0:03:21 | |
the driest conditions across the south-east, | 0:03:21 | 0:03:24 | |
but no real sign of any prolonged heat at this stage. | 0:03:24 | 0:03:27 | |
Helen will update you again tomorrow. | 0:03:27 | 0:03:29 | |
You're in cold water, you're not going to last long. | 0:03:31 | 0:03:34 |