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Thanks for tuning in to our outlook for the next week or so. | 8:36:30 | 8:36:32 | |
And I'm sure you've noticed | 8:36:32 | 8:36:34 | |
that in the last few days it's been quite blustery. | 8:36:34 | 8:36:36 | |
Winds have died down more recently - | 8:36:36 | 8:36:38 | |
in fact, a lovely day with light winds on the way on Friday. | 8:36:38 | 8:36:41 | |
Then, come the weekend, it looks like | 8:36:41 | 8:36:43 | |
the winds are going to pick up again. | 8:36:43 | 8:36:45 | |
So it's sort quite changeable out there right now. | 8:36:45 | 8:36:47 | |
This is the pattern for Friday. | 8:36:47 | 8:36:49 | |
High pressure will be very close to the UK on Friday, | 8:36:49 | 8:36:52 | |
driving our settled weather, | 8:36:52 | 8:36:53 | |
but then this bump in the jet stream | 8:36:53 | 8:36:55 | |
that's going to develop an area of low pressure | 8:36:55 | 8:36:58 | |
will send more windy weather in our direction. | 8:36:58 | 8:37:00 | |
So we're getting these little ripples along the jet stream, | 8:37:00 | 8:37:03 | |
which makes the weather change from day to day. | 8:37:03 | 8:37:06 | |
So, Friday we're in that window of much calmer weather. | 8:37:06 | 8:37:10 | |
Remember, this high pressure starting to build across the UK, | 8:37:10 | 8:37:13 | |
so lots of sunshine around, | 8:37:13 | 8:37:15 | |
24 Celsius, not a bad day across northern areas, | 8:37:15 | 8:37:18 | |
apart from maybe the odd shower as well. | 8:37:18 | 8:37:20 | |
And with high pressure close by, | 8:37:20 | 8:37:22 | |
the winds will be light into Friday night and Saturday, | 8:37:22 | 8:37:25 | |
so that means fairly cool conditions as well. | 8:37:25 | 8:37:28 | |
But winds are going to be increasing | 8:37:28 | 8:37:30 | |
through the course of Saturday morning. | 8:37:30 | 8:37:33 | |
We, in fact, develop gales by the time we get to the evening, | 8:37:33 | 8:37:36 | |
and the reason for it is | 8:37:36 | 8:37:37 | |
this high pressure's still kind of in charge | 8:37:37 | 8:37:39 | |
of the weather in the south, | 8:37:39 | 8:37:40 | |
but this low - quite a big nasty one - | 8:37:40 | 8:37:42 | |
is going to zip across the UK | 8:37:42 | 8:37:44 | |
during the course of the weekend, | 8:37:44 | 8:37:45 | |
bringing unseasonably windy weather. | 8:37:45 | 8:37:47 | |
So, for Saturday morning, for most of us, | 8:37:47 | 8:37:49 | |
a nice, crisp, sunny start, | 8:37:49 | 8:37:50 | |
but the winds behind me, you can see increasing here - | 8:37:50 | 8:37:53 | |
that's that low pressure in the Atlantic heading in our direction. | 8:37:53 | 8:37:56 | |
Gale-force winds, bringing weather fronts with it too, | 8:37:56 | 8:37:59 | |
so thicker cloud and some outbreaks of rain | 8:37:59 | 8:38:01 | |
to the far northwest of our neighbourhood. | 8:38:01 | 8:38:03 | |
Way to the south-east it's going to be warm. | 8:38:03 | 8:38:05 | |
And then, Saturday night into Sunday, | 8:38:05 | 8:38:07 | |
that low pressure zips to the north of the UK. | 8:38:07 | 8:38:10 | |
Lots of isobars here. | 8:38:10 | 8:38:11 | |
Quite often, when you see these little bumps in the isobars | 8:38:11 | 8:38:14 | |
it means very gusty, very buffeting winds across the UK. | 8:38:14 | 8:38:18 | |
So, from northern England northwards we could get gusts of up to 50mph. | 8:38:18 | 8:38:21 | |
That could even bring a branch down. Really blustery one. | 8:38:21 | 8:38:25 | |
To the south, it's breezy too, | 8:38:25 | 8:38:27 | |
nowhere near as windy though, | 8:38:27 | 8:38:28 | |
and temperatures still managing | 8:38:28 | 8:38:30 | |
to get up to around about 24 Celsius. | 8:38:30 | 8:38:32 | |
Now, with these ripples in the jet stream, | 8:38:32 | 8:38:34 | |
we keep getting these weather systems coming in. | 8:38:34 | 8:38:36 | |
Here's another one - not quite so windy, this one. | 8:38:36 | 8:38:39 | |
So this one arrives on Monday, bringing increasing winds, | 8:38:39 | 8:38:42 | |
a little bit of rain, | 8:38:42 | 8:38:43 | |
there'll be a weak weather front here, | 8:38:43 | 8:38:45 | |
perhaps bringing fresher conditions to Scotland. | 8:38:45 | 8:38:47 | |
But to the south of us the winds are coming in from that direction - | 8:38:47 | 8:38:50 | |
you can see the winds are almost merging here, so warmer weather. | 8:38:50 | 8:38:53 | |
Now, look at this - Monday, | 8:38:53 | 8:38:55 | |
we still have little ripples in the jet stream here and there, | 8:38:55 | 8:38:58 | |
so when that happens the weather keeps changing. | 8:38:58 | 8:39:00 | |
But as we head into Tuesday, | 8:39:00 | 8:39:02 | |
things will change out there in the Atlantic, | 8:39:02 | 8:39:05 | |
in fact the weather looks as though it will start to calm down. | 8:39:05 | 8:39:08 | |
Look at this - this is Tuesday, lots of fine, dry weather. | 8:39:08 | 8:39:11 | |
We can see very little in the way of wind here - | 8:39:11 | 8:39:14 | |
most of the arrows are to the north, | 8:39:14 | 8:39:16 | |
that's where the breezy weather is with one or two showers. | 8:39:16 | 8:39:18 | |
And the reason why things are going to calm down | 8:39:18 | 8:39:22 | |
well into next week | 8:39:22 | 8:39:23 | |
is because we get this pattern in the jet stream - | 8:39:23 | 8:39:27 | |
a big ridge developing here. | 8:39:27 | 8:39:28 | |
This is a wide, very wide ridge, big area of low pressure. | 8:39:28 | 8:39:32 | |
We're on the cool side of it, though, | 8:39:32 | 8:39:34 | |
so with high pressure bringing settled weather, | 8:39:34 | 8:39:36 | |
it's actually going to drag some cooler air in our direction too. | 8:39:36 | 8:39:39 | |
That basically means that | 8:39:39 | 8:39:40 | |
rather than the days being particularly cold, | 8:39:40 | 8:39:43 | |
it's the nights that will feel quite cool. | 8:39:43 | 8:39:45 | |
So with that changing pattern, it'll stay dry, | 8:39:45 | 8:39:47 | |
there'll be some sunshine around for sure, | 8:39:47 | 8:39:49 | |
but the nights will be fairly clear and cool. | 8:39:49 | 8:39:52 | |
So, windy, changeable weather for the next few days, | 8:39:52 | 8:39:55 | |
and then next week things will calm down. | 8:39:55 | 8:39:57 |