26/08/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello, there. Earlier in the week we had the warmest day

of the year so far,

with temperatures just shy of 34 Celsius.

We're going to be ending the working week, though,

on a fresher note -

so, this is how Friday's shaping up, then.

After overnight heavy showers

and thunderstorms for many of us,

Friday looks like a largely dry day,

particularly across England and Wales.

Light winds, sunshine and temperatures

between around 20 to 25 degrees,

but less humid than recent days.

Northern Ireland and Scotland seeing some sunshine, too,

but one or two blustery showers.

Now, moving through into the weekend,

it looks like we'll start off

with high pressure in charge,

but it's not sticking around -

you see this frontal system, that's a warm front,

which will be heading its way northwards,

so, pushing out of the near continent -

and behind that, to the south of that,

will draw in some fairly warm air

from France, from Spain, too.

So, that means temperatures on the rise once again,

and it will feel quite warm and humid

across southern areas -

but we're going to be seeing some cloud

and some outbreaks of rain.

Now, initially, that rain will be

for southern counties of England,

pushing further north through the course of Saturday.

So, potentially, the Midlands, South Wales

will see some outbreaks of rain -

humid to the south of that, 24 degrees or so.

Fresher further north, with just a few showers -

but actually still a lot of dry weather

to be seen on Saturday.

Heading through, now, into the second half of the weekend,

we've still got the influence of this low pressure,

and a quite active front, I think, at times on Sunday.

So, some uncertainty about the timing and the detail

of any of the rain,

but it looks like we could see rain

for parts of Northern England, the Midlands, Wales, too -

either side of that frontal system,

some drier, some brighter weather,

and temperatures in the mid to the high teens in the north -

but further south, still the mid 20s for some of us,

but there could well be some fairly heavy downpours at times.

And then Monday, for many of us, is a bank holiday Monday -

not everywhere -

but it looks like we're going to be seeing

a ridge of high pressure in charge

across much of the UK.

So, Monday's shaping up to be a relatively fine, quiet day -

low pressure clearing off towards the east,

leaving us with lots of dry weather,

some sunshine,

and temperatures up to around 23, possibly 24 degrees.

Heading through into Tuesday,

we've still got the influence of that high pressure,

but it squeezes a bit further south,

allowing weather fronts to head into the north-west of the UK -

so, potentially some rain on Tuesday,

most likely for northern and western parts of Scotland.

Elsewhere across the UK,

a good deal of dry and reasonably warm weather.

Now, next week, then.

The Azores High, as it's known,

this area of high pressure,

will be in charge.

At times it will squeeze further south,

allowing weather fronts to push a little bit further southwards

and eastwards across the UK -

but the high pressure

looks like it will push further north at times, too,

and most of those weather fronts

will be confined to the far north-west of the country,

so the wettest weather really for parts of Western Scotland,

perhaps Northern Ireland, dry conditions elsewhere.

By the end of next week, though,

we turn our attention to what's happening

in the western Atlantic -

this deep area of low pressure, Tropical Storm Gaston.

It's likely to intensify for a time

into a hurricane,

before weakening as we move towards next weekend.

Now, it looks like it'll get caught up

in our jet stream,

heading eastwards across the Atlantic,

but how it's going to influence OUR weather is a little bit uncertain.

There's a chance that this ex-hurricane

could head into the north-west of the UK,

bringing some wet and windy weather here,

but it could head a little bit further north

up towards Iceland,

allowing higher pressure to take charge.

So, the outlook is fairly mixed, then -

some rain at times, mainly in the north-west,

also some sunshine, with the warmest conditions

over the next ten days or so likely towards the south-east.

I'll have more tomorrow.