19/09/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. So far the month of September has been quite a showstopper.

Before we take a look at the close of the month,

let's look back at last week.

In fact, we were breaking records.

Just shy of 35 Celsius was recorded at Gravesend, Kent.

That is 94 Fahrenheit.

We haven't seen temperatures like that in September

for over 100 years.

We also had three consecutive days of 30 degrees and we haven't

seen temperatures like that in September since 1929.

Now, it all came to a bang on Thursday and Friday with heavy,

torrential, thundery downpours.

Rainfall totals like this in Suffolk,

that is a month's rain in just 24 hours.

By the time got to the weekend,

we did have some clearer skies and weather watchers could send in

some amazing photographs

of the harvest moon,

the last full moon before the autumn equinox.

That takes place on Thursday.

Pleased to say we are heading for a slightly quieter week.

There will be some sunshine, a bit of rain around

and temperatures near normal for the time of year.

Now, the rain could be quite heavy for a time across

Northern Ireland and north-west England over the next few days.

The weather fronts skirting in

across the Atlantic but bumping into

high pressure which weakens that weather front considerably

and then the rain will ease off.

The jet stream is fairly active,

so it is driving these weather fronts in from the Atlantic.

You can see quite a significant kick in the jet stream.

An omega block, this high pressure killing off the weather fronts

and not allowing too much rain to push south and east.

The first signs of that is on Monday.

Sitting across Lincolnshire, East Midlands down into the

south-west, a weakening band of cloud.

Underneath that it is going to feel cool and disappointing.

To the south and east,

we should get some sunshine and feel quite pleasant.

To the north-west, a bit fresher -

15 to 19 degrees the high on Monday.

As we push out of Monday into Tuesday,

that weather front not moving far very fast and it will still

be a band of cloud, the odd spot of light rain and drizzle.

A bit of a nuisance really.

If we get some sunshine coming through, again we could see

temperatures quite promising with highs of 20 degrees.

As we move out of Tuesday into Wednesday,

another fairly active weather front pushes into the north-west.

Again, it could bring some heavy pulses of rain across

Northern Ireland and western Scotland and winds will strengthen.

But further south and east, we're not expecting too much

in the way of wet weather.

15 in the cloud and the rain, 20 degrees the high but those

clearer skies could bring some early mists and fog patches.

Similar story to Thursday, but I suspect we could see

the potential for some sharper showers around on Thursday.

We need to keep a close eye on that.

But again, 15 to 20 degrees the overall highs across the UK.

As we move out of Thursday into Friday,

it looks likely to see more significant winds,

perhaps gales up into the far north-west

and, again, the potential for some rain.

But further south,

high pressure blocking those weather fronts from making an impression.

It seems there's a good deal of dry weather in the story.

Mist and fog could be an issue, but again,

once the sunshine comes through, it will felt relatively pleasant.

So looking further ahead,

there is little sign of any significant change.

We keep that high pressure blocking the weather fronts,

pushing the low pressures further north

and so that means there's always the potential for some wetter and

windier weather into the far north-west.

Further south, early morning mist and fog could be an issue.

That will lift away to some decent spells of sunshine.

A quieter theme to come over the next few days.