21/10/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello there. So far this week, the weather pattern has been stuck in

repeat but just like a classic BBC comedy or sitcom,

if it's your favourite, just like this weather watcher's picture,

you'll be happy to watch it over and over again.

This was out to the west across Cumbria, beautiful day on Thursday.

However, it was a different story along that east coast yet again,

particularly through Norfolk,

where we had a breeze which brought some rough seas

and some rather threatening-looking skies,

a real cluster of showers through the course of the day.

We still keep the risk of some showers, perhaps the winds

not quite as strong on Friday, but still the risk of some showers

across East Anglia and down through the Kent coast.

Again, after an early-morning frost and fog lifts,

west will be best in terms of the sunshine, a scattering

of showers a bit of a nuisance up into the Western Isles.

Temperatures still a little subdued, though, for this time of the year.

Now, as we move out of Friday towards the weekend,

again we run the risk of more showers just filtering in off

North Sea coasts - under clearer skies those temperatures

will fall away to the west, so in rural spots we could see

temperatures close enough for a touch of frost in sheltered areas

and maybe even some lingering fog patches.

But as we move towards the weekend, the weather pattern not really

changing very much, so again we are stuck in repeat mode.

There will be a good deal of dry, sunny weather in the offing,

a nagging easterly breeze producing more in the way of showers

off those North Sea coasts but there will be some decent, usable

weather in the story, some decent spells of sunshine

with highs of 10 to 15 degrees. We will start to see a bit of a

subtle change for the second half of the weekend.

We're likely to see an area of low pressure moving in from the

south-west and that's going to strengthen the winds

across southern England, eventually it may well bring some rain

into the south-west but not until the end of the day.

So, stronger wind might make it feel just that little bit cooler,

maybe a little more cloud here but again a good deal of

dry weather in the story - 9 to 14 degrees the high.

By the end of Sunday into Monday, that weather front will bring

some rain to southern England and Wales for a time

but it drifts away. However, it's going to kick up some

warmer air and some wetter weather threatens into

the south-east for the start of next week. So, on Monday

outbreaks of rain towards the end of the day, drier weather, again,

the further north and west. Now,

that little area of low pressure could bring some heavy rain

for a time in the south-east corner but as that moves away

we could see a change in the weather pattern. So, yes the rain

eases away from the south-east, again a good deal of dry weather in

the western half of the country but make the most of it.

Things are set to change. We finally lose that repeat mode,

the area of low pressure will drift off into the near Continent

and just like musical chairs the high pressure sits in its seat.

Once that high pressure drifts a little bit farther south,

it allows lows to push back in from the Atlantic, we see a return

to a mobile Westerly and there's a potential for some wetter

weather to continue into the far north and west,

something we've not seen for quite some time.

So this has been the story in recent days, we've seen the best

of the weather out to the west, and further east, off those

North Sea coasts we've had quite a lot of cloud and a

scattering of nuisance showers. But the longer six to ten-day period

sees fortunes reversed - it looks as though we could see the wetter

and windier weather up into the north-west with the best of the

sunshine reserved for the far south-east.

A lot to play for - I'll update you tomorrow.