22/12/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


22/12/2016

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Hello. The weather in the run-up to Christmas and after Christmas

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is going to be like Jekyll and Hyde.

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For the next few days, some really bad weather across northern parts

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of the UK, in particular.

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We'll see spells of rain interspersed with showers,

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they could be wintry over the hills, but it will be very windy.

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Why so windy?

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We look to the other side of the Atlantic

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and the temperature contrast here

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has strengthened the jet

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and that really fast-moving strong jet

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moves across the Atlantic

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and picks up areas of low pressure, deepens them

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and steers them to the northwest of the UK,

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where the jet stream is stronger.

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We've got strong winds at the moment,

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gales and frequent wintry showers,

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some pretty nasty weather.

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Showers coming into Northern Ireland,

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rain clears from the southeast,

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then we get patchy fog,

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and it will turn quite chilly.

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There could be some icy conditions,

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especially high-level routes,

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in Scotland. There'll be more wintry showers

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here on Thursday. Quite a few showers

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coming into other western areas

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for a while, but for many eastern parts

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it'll be dry and sunny,

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once we clear that fog and mist.

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More atrocious weather for the Scottish mountains.

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It's easy to forget this,

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given that we're all in for windy weather.

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A lot of snow to come over the Scottish mountains.

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Could get snow over the hills in Northern Ireland.

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There'll be some showers

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in northwest England, Wales and the southwest.

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For much of the day,

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the Midlands and eastern England

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will be dry and sunny but feel a bit chillier.

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Then the winds really start to pick up,

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our second named storm of the season,

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Barbara, taking a tract to the northwest of Scotland.

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These fronts will bring a spell of rain,

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but it's the strength of the wind

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that's the major concern.

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We still have this amber wind warning from the Met Office,

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the winds picking up throughout Friday

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and into Friday night.

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The strongest winds across the northwest of Scotland,

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gusts of 80, 90mph. Elsewhere in Scotland,

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Northern Ireland, northern England,

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perhaps North Wales, gusts of 60 or 70,

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and the strongest of the winds later in the day,

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probably into the evening period,

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as Barbara, that deep area of low pressure,

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then tends to pull away.

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Things calm down slowly

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as we head into Christmas Eve morning.

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It won't be as windy,

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there'll still be blustery showers,

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maybe a bit of snow over the hills.

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Further south, not as windy.

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Drier, brighter,

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increasing amounts of cloud, mind you,

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and that sets us up for Christmas Day.

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It's going to be very mild.

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If we get temperatures of 15, 16,

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it could be a

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record-breaking mild Christmas Day.

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It's not going to come without some rain,

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this front taking rain down from the northwest,

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and add to that, the winds are mild

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but they're also going to be very strong and gusty,

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especially close to that area of low pressure,

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this one not as intense as Barbara, perhaps.

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After Christmas, all change.

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High pressure starts to build up

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from the southwest on Boxing Day

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and the days after that,

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some stronger winds in the northwest

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for a while, but things really

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settling down. It could be cold,

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it could be clear, frosty

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and then probably cloud amounts

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increasing within that area

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of high pressure.

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Uncertainty about the cloud amounts

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but we will see a significant change

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in the weather pattern. Goodbye.

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