23/12/2016 Weather for the Week Ahead


23/12/2016

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Hello. Either side of Christmas, we have chalk and cheese weather.

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Right up to Christmas, some very stormy conditions,

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all because we have a very strong jet stream

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that's whistling across the Atlantic,

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and initially picking up this area of cloud here.

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This is our second named storm of the season,

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Storm Barbara.

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It's tracking towards our shores

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on that very strong jet stream.

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Ahead of it, we've had some poor weather

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already across Scotland, some more snow.

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But the showers here are becoming fewer

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and less wintry.

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England and Wales - largely clear skies,

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one or two mist and fog patches, perhaps.

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Out towards the west, the wind will pick up,

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picking up the temperatures

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and blowing in more cloud.

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And some rain in the north-west -

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the first sign of that storm

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that's heading our way.

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So it's a deep area of low pressure,

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Storm Barbara,

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and it's going to track the centre,

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just to the north of Scotland.

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There'll be some strong winds everywhere.

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On that weather front,

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there'll be some heavy rain.

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Very quickly, it turns very windy

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and very wet in the morning

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across Scotland and Northern Ireland.

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Some pretty awful weather in the morning.

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That heavy rain and squally winds

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drives into western parts of England and Wales

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in the afternoon.

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East Anglia, the south-east largely dry,

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but still windy.

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We're going to find some heavy showers

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rattling into Scotland and Northern Ireland

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later on in the afternoon, after the rain.

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It's later in the afternoon, into the evening,

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that the winds really ramp up a notch or two

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in the north of Scotland.

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Gusts of 80 or possibly 90mph.

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It's because of that that we have this amber -

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be prepared - wind warning

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from the Met Office.

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There may be some travel disruption, there may be some damage as well.

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It's nothing out of the ordinary, though,

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for this time of the year.

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But, nevertheless, Storm Barbara moves away

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during Friday night.

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Still very windy across some northern areas

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into Saturday.

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Saturday, of course, is Christmas Eve.

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By the morning, it won't be as windy,

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but we'll still have some blustery showers,

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some snow over the Scottish hills again.

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Bright and breezy further south.

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Cloud amounts will increase,

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and we'll see some rain arriving in the north-west.

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That's on that weather front there.

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They're all driven by the next area

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of low pressure picked up by the jet stream,

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this one not as deep, the winds not as strong.

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However, it will be a very windy day on Christmas Day.

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We're drawing in some very mild air as well,

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the temperatures could be into the mid-teens.

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Tempered by those really strong and gusty winds,

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and there will be some rain driving southwards,

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away from Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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into England and Wales. As that clears away,

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some colder air arrives in the north-west.

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It could eventually turn into a white Christmas,

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maybe, in Scotland.

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By the time we get to Boxing Day,

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temperatures will be significantly lower.

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It will feel quite a lot colder

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across northern areas

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where it's still windy on Boxing Day.

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There's going to be some wintry showers around too,

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but for the south, across the UK,

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close to this developing area of high pressure,

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the winds will be lighter

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and there should be quite a bit of sunshine around.

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So things look very different in the run-up to New Year.

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We're going to find some frosty weather returning

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with some clearer skies, maybe some patches of fog.

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That may eventually lift into low cloud.

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As we head closer to the New Year,

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there will be a tendency to increase cloud amounts

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all the while, and lose a lot of the sunshine.

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Why is this happening? High pressure.

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High pressure is building in across the UK.

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The centre slips away towards the near continent.

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That will allow more of a southerly wind to develop.

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That will draw up some milder air, some windier conditions,

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but most places still dry,

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albeit increasingly cloudy.

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That's it from me. Goodbye.

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