21/01/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


21/01/2017

Detailed weather forecast.


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Hello. It's been a very settled week of weather with very little rain,

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and the outlook for the next five or six days is very similar.

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But eventually, by the end of the period,

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we may start to see a change.

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So, yes, for this weekend, in the short term,

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it looks set to stay mainly dry and cold, but there should be

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some good sunshine, as we saw through the day on Friday.

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This was Dolwyddelan, in Conwy, in the foothills of Snowdonia.

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But although the sunshine was more abundant, there was still a zone

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of cloudy weather, and here in East Lothian, we had that cloud.

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But the cloud is gradually continuing to break, so it

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looks as if the frost will be much more widespread on Saturday morning.

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These countryside figures, you can see, denote quite a harsh frost.

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There could also be some fog in eastern England,

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parts of Northern Ireland and northern Scotland.

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That'll be a continuing trend, more fog through the coming few nights.

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Otherwise, it looks much sunnier for the likes of southern Scotland,

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more sunshine for Northern Ireland.

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A bit more cloud coming into the south and west

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and for eastern parts of England, where there could be the odd

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drizzly shower, a little bit of snow for the Pennines. So it's not warm.

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Temperatures, in fact, will be lower than those we've seen this week.

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That trend continues into Sunday,

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which on balance looks a little cloudier than Saturday because,

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again, you've got this weak weather front near to eastern areas,

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so a few wintry flurries here.

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And also, a bit of cloud just pestering western parts of

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England and Wales to bring the odd drizzly shower.

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But it's still dry and, for most, still bright. But just cold.

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Little changes on Monday.

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If anything, Monday and Tuesday morning will suffer more with

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some thick fog - patches of thick fog, that is.

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So, again, it'll be cold and that fog will be slow to clear.

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But just the sign of a bit more breeze towards the north and west,

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and on Tuesday this weather front does make an attempt to come

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into the north-west of the UK, the first one, if you like,

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to try and break down our static high pressure.

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So, yes, we could see some patchy rain, stronger winds,

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milder air into the north and west, but of course it's coming

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into the cold air so still expect some snow over the hills.

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And then that really fizzles out as we go into Wednesday and

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we're back to the high pressure, still, but just more isobars, so

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that means more wind, more tightly packed isobars.

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So probably from midweek on not as many fog problems for most.

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But still cold in central and eastern areas,

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particularly if we have the cloud,

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and always the threat of stronger winds,

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gales or severe gales into the north-west, and rain,

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because again those weather fronts are advancing in on Thursday, too.

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So we're always going to have to have that risk, I think,

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for the west of Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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of some rain as the week progresses.

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But temperatures are recovering - a little! -

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at seven or eight degrees Celsius.

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So throughout this week, we've had the static high pressure,

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that harsh Continental air. We've felt the effect a little bit.

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Nowhere near as cold as it has been across Continental Europe,

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but gradually this weekend it does dip down, the temperature.

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Now, that high pressure has got a lot of inertia.

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It doesn't want to move away,

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so it's going to take a succession of low pressures through the

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coming week to start to move it eastwards and allow those

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weather fronts to cross the UK.

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As I say, it's going to take time,

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because that high pressure's quite established, and it will stay

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established through most of next week,

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particularly in the south and the east.

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But as eventually the Atlantic winds start to push in one after

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the other, just nibbling away at that area of high pressure,

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temperatures, as we saw, will start to recover, so that by next weekend,

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that's when it looks as if it may well be windier for all of us,

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with some rain pushing its way southwards and eastwards.

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But again, there's still a question mark.

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The south and east may stay

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under high pressure and may stay quite dry and settled.

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