20/01/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


20/01/2017

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Hello. If you were watching yesterday evening,

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I was telling you about how quiet

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the weather picture is at the moment.

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We've got high pressure sat across the country and that

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will stay with us, certainly for the next six days and for some,

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beyond that as well.

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Of course, we've got that harsh,

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winter cold weather across continental Europe and that

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has been creeping into the UK and that process will continue

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in the coming few days.

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But with it,

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we've seen some lovely sunshine.

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Crisp weather as you saw there in London.

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However, we've got a weak weather front across the country

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so we're seeing some quite significant contrast as you

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saw there in Derbyshire.

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Of course, the cloud does mean that it will be a mild night for many,

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but where the cloud breaks, perhaps the Vale of York, the north and east

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and particularly across the southern half of the country,

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there will be a harsh frost.

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-6 again, -7.

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Plus we'll have some fog.

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But once it does clear,

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the sunshine looks more abundant as we head into Friday morning.

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Do watch out for some freezing fog across central areas first thing

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and perhaps the north-east.

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But there is a better chance of brighter weather for

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Northern Ireland, for Wales,

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the north Midlands, Lincolnshire compared with recent days.

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But it won't be warm, 5 or 6 degrees generally.

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Over the weekend, those temperatures will lower.

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As I mentioned, we're pulling in that colder, continental air.

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So, again, Friday night into Saturday looks cold and again

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there's a risk of some freezing,

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patchy freezing fog as we head into Saturday morning.

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Again, there's little wind to clear it,

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but it should eventually clear, then we will see some sunshine.

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But there is a weak weather front.

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That weak weather front still with us throughout the weekend.

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Actually, through the weekend,

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it might give us a little bit of sleet and snow.

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Just a few flurries, just letting us know winter is still with us,

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but no significant amounts, we don't feel.

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Still, only 4 or 5 degrees. It will be a cold weekend.

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But a usable weekend because it should be mainly dry

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with some sunshine.

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But chilly by day and chilly by night.

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And that's the way we start the new week.

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But we're moistening up the air somewhat through the weekend

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and the early part of the week.

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So fog is likely to become more of an issue and just in time

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for the return to work on Monday, for the rush hour.

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There could be some quite dense and fairly widespread patches

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of fog Monday morning.

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Freezing fog, of course, because we'll have those frosts by night.

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These are daytime temperatures - 4s and 5s. Still pretty nippy.

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Tuesday, still the same across the bulk of the UK, but towards

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the north and west, we're dragging in the south-westerly wind.

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More cloud, milder Atlantic air and some rain,

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but it doesn't really amount to anything.

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But it's the first go, if you like,

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it's the first low pressure and weather system to have a go at

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clearing out this dominant area of high pressure which

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has been with us all this week.

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That cold air across the continent really has established itself.

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It's got a lot of inertia.

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We've got to really work to move that high pressure out the way.

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You can see what an area it covers.

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But, as we go through the early part of the week,

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we will find that these low pressures are starting to push in.

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Their momentum starting to move the rain and the stronger winds

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into the north-west of the UK.

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So there's still high pressure and still that cold, continental feel.

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But gradually, we'll get the milder Atlantic winds,

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at least into the north and west and it's how quickly those start

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to erode that area of high pressure which will determine

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how quickly we see our weather change from this cold, crisp,

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sunny weather to the rainy, wet weather in the north and west.

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It will take quite a significant area of low pressure to move

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it out the way and it does look like later next week we will have

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some gales or severe gales moving in with some rain.

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But, for the meantime,

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fog particularly becoming a problem, more frosty nights.

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