28/01/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


28/01/2017

Detailed weather forecast.


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Hello. January has been dry and we've been watching for the change

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to much more unsettled weather for a some time,

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and it now looks as though it's starting to take place.

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It certainly has been changing through the day on Friday,

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the milder Atlantic air finally bringing some rain into the west.

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Temperatures have risen, and we've started to move this cold air,

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this cold continental European air away from the UK.

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It's a gradual process,

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so across northern and eastern areas we'll have freezing fog,

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we've still had some ice around,

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and we could well still have some cold weather

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through the first part of Saturday morning,

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because after all, it takes a while for the ground to warm up.

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So some of this rain that you see will fall as wintriness

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in the hills, so some sleet and snow,

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and also falling onto the frozen surfaces

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it could actually be quite icy

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for some parts of Northern Ireland in particular,

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western parts of the UK, Scotland, Northern England.

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So that's something to concern ourselves about on Saturday morning,

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but gradually through the day it will get milder.

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Still a lot of very murky weather, some fog and some hill fog around.

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Through the second half of the day, brighter weather coming in

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to Northern Ireland and western England and Wales,

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eventually Scotland as well,

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but the east of Scotland, the east of England,

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could well hang onto some rather grey conditions

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with some showers for much of the day.

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It's not particularly warm, still,

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but 5s and 6s are still better than the 2s and 3s we've seen this week.

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That area of rain finally clears through Saturday night.

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Little ridge of high pressure temporarily, but not for long,

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and this is what's giving us a headache for the weekend -

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this area of cloud and rain and how far north it's going to come.

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And the computer models have been disagreeing a little bit,

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so there's still a question mark.

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It looks at the moment, and has done quite consistently,

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like Scotland should have a dry and fine day.

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We'll get off to a dry and fine start in eastern areas.

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But now it looks as if some of the heaviest rain could

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scoot up across Northern Ireland and western parts of the country.

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Strong winds with it, as well.

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And there'll be some damp weather elsewhere across England and Wales,

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certainly a cloudier and damper day than we've had for some time,

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but at least it'll be mild in the rain.

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In the north, well, some sunshine,

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but probably 5 to 7 degrees the high.

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Then Monday. That rain, as you saw, moves away.

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We've got the next band of rain moving in.

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So it's a much more unsettled picture, really,

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through Monday and Tuesday.

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Look at the bigger picture - you can see that low pressure

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running up the western side of the UK.

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It's still taking its time to get across to the eastern side,

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so not as much rain here.

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It still looks as if the heaviest rain and the strongest winds,

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with gales or severe gales, will be in the north and west.

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Eventually those weather fronts

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do make their way across England and Wales,

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and look at the temperatures! Double figures for all.

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So there's our low pressure, there's our weather front on Tuesday

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gradually moving eastwards.

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The next low pressure is lining up for Wednesday,

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so you're seeing the pattern as we move through the week.

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That high pressure is much, much further eastwards now

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and has relinquished its grip on the UK.

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So early in the week it's still close by,

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so it's limiting how quickly the wind and rain

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gets across to the eastern half of the country.

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It will be wetter and windier in the north-west.

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But from midweek on, really, those low pressures look as if

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they will push right across the UK towards Scandinavia.

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Behind them there'll be temporary incursions of chillier air

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with showers, and they'll be wintry on the hills,

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but then there'll be another low pressure quickly following it in,

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so bringing all parts some spells of wind

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and some rain as well. As I say, early in the week

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they're blocked slightly by that high pressure,

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and there will be some chillier interludes,

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just not as cold as it's been in the past week or so.

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