17/02/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


17/02/2017

Detailed weather forecast.


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Hello, in a moment I'll take you somewhere which is about to

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get more rain than perhaps it can handle.

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Now, some of us had a wet day on Thursday,

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there were showers in Scotland.

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Here's a view though of a rainbow looking out over Perth.

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Now, parts of south-west Scotland have been wetter than normal

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so far in February. But for the bulk of the UK,

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it has been another rather dry month in a dry winter.

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And in fact the Met Office says with average rainfall for the rest

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of February, winter could well end up for England and Wales in

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the top-10 driest in on record.

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For Northern Ireland, it could end up

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with one of the top-five driest winters on record.

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Northern Ireland last winter had its wettest winter on record,

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that is an incredible transformation.

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It just shows how our weather goes from one extreme to another.

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And how about another incredible transformation?

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Here is a view of Friday's weather in California.

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As another really wet weather system piles in,

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another in a really wet winter.

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Los Angeles could end up with 50 to 100 millimetres of rain

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in a 12-hour period,

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there are flash-flood watches in effect.

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All the rain in California so far this winter's made

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a significant dent in the drought.

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Though there are still areas in drought.

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North-east USA, Eastern Canada have seen winter storm after

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winter storm this week, another one pulling away on Friday

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and these areas of low pressure are tracking across the Atlantic,

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but just missing us to the north.

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We're getting some weather fronts just draping down from them.

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Looks like some of these low-pressure systems will get closer

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to us next week as our weather turns more active

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as we'll see in a moment.

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Now, this is Friday's weather.

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Bit of damp, drizzly weather from south-east England

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through the Midlands,

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north-west England, into the west of Scotland to begin with.

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That tending to ease,

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most of us with a dry afternoon, still mild.

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Some outbreaks of rain reaching towards the west of Wales

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and the far south-west of England at the end of the day.

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Looks quite wet in Western Scotland as Saturday begins.

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Windier, too.

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This weather system just starting to push its way southwards

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late Saturday into Sunday.

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Not much rain left on it across southern parts before it

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clears away.

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Breezier for us all for part two of the weekend on Sunday

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and another wet weather system

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approaching north-west Scotland here.

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Elsewhere though, it will be mainly dry, variable clouds, sunny spells.

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It's still mild.

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Now, on Monday,

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again quite a bit of rain coming to parts of north-west Scotland,

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especially to the hills, breezy across-the-board,

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but even milder on Monday.

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Especially down the eastern side of the UK.

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Why? Because we're in between a warm front and a cold front.

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This is called the warm sector and this is where we get this

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very mild air.

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It doesn't necessarily come with a huge amount of sunshine and

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maybe drizzly on some western hills,

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but there's certainly a mild feel to things as we start the week.

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And that's why maybe across some spots in the east

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we could get to 16 or 17 Celsius.

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But behind a warm front, there follows a cold front.

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Temperatures will eventually come down.

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They may rise again as the week goes on,

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then come down again as another cold front moves through.

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This is all part and parcel of our active weather.

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As the jet stream just nudges a little bit further south across us,

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taking more of these weather systems right across us.

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And so our weather turns more unsettled and more active.

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And there are bigger variations between mild days and colder days.

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So spells of rain in the forecast,

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maybe making a bit of a dent in our dry winter so far.

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Windier weather for us all, with gales in places.

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And colder, certainly compared with the start of the week.

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And behind cold fronts, you may see a frost,

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you may get some wintry showers across northern hills.

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Winter will eventually lose the war of course to spring,

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but clearly there are still some battles still to be had.

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