18/02/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


18/02/2017

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Hello, this is the forecast that looks

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a little bit further ahead than the others, and as such,

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it encompasses not one, but two weekends.

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Next weekend will be

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a little bit colder than this weekend.

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Next weekend we find ourselves

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in a spring-like mood

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after several days of mild weather,

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and that's certainly staying

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that way through this weekend.

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Temperatures in double figures,

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the breeze starting to pick up.

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Even milder weather, though, is

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on the way at the start of next week.

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For Monday, temperatures

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will be heading up. How high?

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Well, it's just possible somewhere could get to...

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Wait for it.

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..17 Celsius.

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It's a possibility on Monday,

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not a guarantee,

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but certainly very mild for

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the time of year for all of us.

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Not hugely sunny though,

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as we'll see in a moment.

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This is the big picture for Saturday.

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The reason for the mild air,

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if you follow the isobars

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coming from well to the south-west

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of the UK, the breeze picking up

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over the weekend, pumping that mild air in,

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but it's fairly moist air,

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so it's coming with a fair amount of cloud.

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We have a weather front

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moving through during Saturday,

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it means a wet start in Northern Ireland,

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parts of Scotland, brightening up

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for the afternoon, a few blustery showers

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though coming into north-west Scotland.

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Where does the rain go next?

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Into northern England, North Wales.

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South of that - misty, murky start to the day,

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but brightening up into the afternoon,

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and more especially in south-east England,

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temperatures at around 10 to 13 degrees.

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Going out on Saturday evening,

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this very weak weather front

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moving south through England and Wales,

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only very light rain associated with it.

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Still blustery showers though

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in north-west Scotland.

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On Sunday, fair amount of cloud again,

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just a few sunny breaks.

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Another system approaching western areas,

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in the hills you may encounter some light rain,

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but some outbreaks coming back

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to Northern Ireland and western Scotland,

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breezier across the board on Sunday.

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But again, this feed of really mild air,

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we're going to waft

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even milder air our way for Monday,

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perhaps even into the start of Tuesday as well.

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And it is on Monday there's the potential

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for that 16 or 17 degrees.

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But this is the map for Monday -

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plenty of cloud, patchy rain in the west,

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heavier rain in north-west Scotland,

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a few brighter breaks to the east

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of high ground, and it's that,

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along with a down-sloping Foehn effect wind

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that may in a few spots east of higher ground

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bring temperatures up to 16 or 17 Celsius.

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The vast majority will of course

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fall short of that but this is still very mild

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for the time of year.

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That's after a warm front has gone through,

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but as we go into Tuesday,

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there is a weak cold front

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spreading its way southwards,

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so temperatures are going to come down

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a bit on Tuesday. It is still breezy,

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there is plenty of cloud around.

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May just see some further outbreaks

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of rain in north-west Scotland.

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You'll notice those temperatures are a bit low,

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and we'll certainly notice that,

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especially in the breeze across

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the northern half of the UK.

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A lot of uncertainty about

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what's going to happen midweek

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with this area of low pressure -

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timing, depth of the low pressure,

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how windy it's going to be across northern parts,

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low chance of severe gales,

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need to watch that and some rain coming in.

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And for the rest of the week, well,

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with these low pressure systems going through,

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warm fronts and cold fronts, spells of wet weather,

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brighter interludes in between,

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but it will alternate

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between somewhat colder weather,

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then milder weather,

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then back to colder weather.

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But next weekend it does look -

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with low pressure close by -

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fairly unsettled,

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on the windy side and colder

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than this weekend, but not cold,

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and certainly not as cold

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as it was last weekend,

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just temperatures closer to normal

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for the time of year.

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So that's how it's looking,

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two weekends of weather,

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a little bit different,

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VERY different from last weekend.

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Congratulations, you pulled it off.

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Are you ready for the next ten years? I'm pregnant.

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You won't notice I'm gone. We've already started interviewing.

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You're irreplaceable.

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