27/02/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello there. For the second part of the weekend,

we saw the fifth named storm of the season.

So, I thought I'd start with a quick comparison of

last season with this season, comparison of the number

of named storms, because last season was particularly active,

by the end of February we'd gotten all the way down to I

in the list and that was Storm Imogen. This season,

generally speaking, has been that bit quieter.

We've gotten down to Storm Ewan, only five named storms so far.

But the last two just happened in the last week and Doris

certainly packed a punch. But as Ewan moves away,

we start to see this colder air spreading in across most parts

of the UK, so it is going to be a chilly old start to the week,

in fact, cold enough for some patches of ice in the north and west

of the UK, and from early on, there will be some showers around,

those showers could be heavy and thundery.

There will be a real mix of rain, sleet,

hail and snow over higher ground but there will be some spells of

sunshine as well,

the best of that probably into the eastern side of Scotland.

But it's a chilly day pretty much across the board, single figures

for most places, five, six or seven quite typical,

but might just get to double figures in the centre of London.

And then through the evening, plenty more showers,

some of those quite wintry, some of that gets down to lower levels.

It'll be quite wet and windy along the south coast and another

area of wintry weather into the far north-west.

But many of the showers in between tend to fade away by

dawn on Tuesday and it will be cold and frosty,

particularly in more rural spots, but even in larger towns and cities

it's only one or two degrees to start the day.

So, there will be some patches of ice first thing on Tuesday morning,

a few patches of fog as well, and it's quite windy

into the north and west of the UK, with an area

of low pressure here, and that will bring some rain, some sleet

and some snow over higher ground. A bright start for many central areas

but cold. I think we will tend to see things clouding over

through the day, as some showers get going.

There will be still be a little bit of sunshine here and there

but most places still feeling quite chilly in that breeze -

single figures for most of us. And then through Tuesday night

into Wednesday, we see that weather front head south, it clears

away towards the near Continent, and then the isobars separate

a little bit, the winds become a little bit lighter,

but we are looking towards the south-west for this next

weather system to slowly push its way in.

But it should be a decent start for central and eastern areas,

one or two showers but a lot of drier weather. Turning increasingly

wet from the south and west and there will be a bit

of a breeze to go with that. And that area of rain continues

to journey its way ever northwards, but through the day

on Thursday, that rain across northern England becomes

very light and patchy, as the next batch of rain gets into

Northern Ireland. But I think for the southern half of the UK

through Thursday, it looks like a decent day.

It's bright, it's breezy, and we'll see temperatures in double figures,

I think, quite widely, but still in single figures further north.

But generally speaking, towards the end of the week,

we are expecting to see temperatures rise, particularly so

in the southern half of the UK. And that milder air -

question marks about just how far north it does go,

but generally speaking, particularly so in the southern half of the UK,

turning that bit milder for the end of the week.

That does come with some weather fronts and they are going

to bring some rain with them. So it does look as if it will turn

quite wet during the day on Friday, particularly so across

England and Wales. And that rain making steady progress

northwards and eastwards, and it will get up into

northern England, southern Scotland, Northern Ireland later in the day.

The far north of Scotland probably staying dry but it may well be

on the chilly side here. And then into next weekend,

well, that low-pressure system may well get a bit stuck across

that central swathe of the UK. It may well turn a

little bit more vigorous as well. But we might, equally,

see that area of high pressure to the north-east just drift

its way a little bit further south and exert its influence over us,

but generally speaking it looks like low pressure

will be in charge, even on into the following week,

which means that it will stay quite changeable.

There will be some spells of rain at times

but they will tend to move through, so there will be some

drier, brighter spells, as well, and always mildest in the south.