28/03/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


28/03/2017

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Hello there, some rain for all of us later on this week, but, you know,

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we really can't complain. Time perhaps for a reality check,

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let's head down under,

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where Severe Tropical Cyclone Debbie is making landfall on

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the Queensland coast, bringing violent winds and flooding rains.

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And although it will no longer be a cyclone as it heads in the

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direction of Brisbane, it's going to bring some major impacts,

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all that rainfall has got to go somewhere.

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We'll keep an eye on Debbie over the next few days.

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Closer to home, we've got our own game-changer,

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a huge area of low pressure dominating the Atlantic.

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Nothing as extreme as Debbie,

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but just watch how it ambles its way across the Atlantic in our

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direction and in fact, come the start of the weekend,

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it will be slap bang on top of us.

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No major impacts, but, yes,

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there will be some rain around by then.

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At the moment, it's dry out there just about everywhere,

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some showers getting into parts of Wales and

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western England in the morning,

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the odd one reaching further east but the main oomph will be pushing

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up through Northern Ireland into south-west Scotland.

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A lot more cloud across Scotland than we've seen recently,

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and so it will be cooler.

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But further south, in any sunshine, I think it will feel pleasantly

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warm, mid to high teens with fairly light winds.

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As we head into the evening,

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another front pushes into western areas,

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some damp, dreary weather overnight followed by yet another one,

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bringing some heavier rain to many northern and western areas through

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Wednesday, on a strengthening wind.

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Whereas further south and east,

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despite a lot of cloud on Wednesday, it will stay

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mostly dry and pretty mild again, mid teens quite widely.

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Though it will be cooler along that eastern Scottish coast.

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And over the following few days, we'll see further fronts coming

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in, as that area of low pressure I mentioned begins to arrive.

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But the focus of the rain for the time being,

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will be across the more northern and western areas.

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At the same time, we start to drag in some pretty warm air

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from the near Continent, just watch how the map turns increasingly

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orange across parts of East Anglia and the south-east and that

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is indicative of temperatures nudging 20 degrees here in

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the sunshine, whereas further north and west with more cloud,

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more rain, more breeze, it won't be anything like as warm.

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We end the week with a cold front pushing that warm air away,

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so a fresher feel for all of us, and circulating around that area

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of low pressure we will see some showers.

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Difficult to get the detail right at this range,

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but expect a rather showery end to the week,

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quite blustery winds. There will be some sunshine but we'll have

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lost the high teens, low to mid teens at this stage.

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And we start the weekend on a showery note,

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as that low pressure sits on top of us,

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some more prolonged rain in some places, and it will be cooler

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by then as well, so low teens probably typical, 12 or 13 at best.

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So we are under that area of low pressure which, as you recall,

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has travelled all the way across the Atlantic to arrive on top

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of us just in time for the weekend.

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And that low pressure is formed in a dip in the jet stream.

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The jet stream is to the south of us at this stage,

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we are on the cool side of things.

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But it does look as if, as we head into next week,

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the jet stream is going to start to shift its way back

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northwards again, although there might be some rain across the far

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north-west, with most of us clear of the jet,

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and on the southern side of it, things look like warming up again.

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So some changes once more as we head into next week,

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it does look as if that after that rather showery start to the

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weekend as the jet heads north,

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it will turn drier again from the south and it will begin to

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warm up again.

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So, some changes ahead and I'll update you again,

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once more, tomorrow. Goodnight.

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