27/06/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead

Hello. This time last week, we were talking about record-breaking

temperatures possibly across the UK.

And, in fact, we saw the hottest day since 1976 -

the middle of last week we had 35 Celsius.

This week, temperatures will be down considerably. A

maximum high expected this week of around 25 Celsius

and, guess what, we have had it already on Monday.

In fact, the rest of the week looks pretty changeable.

Some spells of heavy rain moving in.

It will be quite breezy if not windy at times

and it will feel noticeably fresher.

The first culprit - an area of low pressure

moving in as we speak, will gradually move its way

steadily north and east across Scotland through the early morning.

In fact, it could bring some pretty heavy rain through the central belt

during the early morning rush-hour.

Behind, some sharp, heavy, thundery downpours into Northern Ireland

and a plume of thundery downpours into the south-east.

It will be quite humid, I suspect, here through the course of Tuesday.

22 degrees the high, but already something that little bit fresher,

11 to 17 degrees likely further north.

As we move out of Tuesday into Wednesday, we see a rash of showers.

Plenty of water to keep the gardeners and growers happy

or breathe a sigh of relief at least.

As we see rain pushing across England, Wales and into

Northern Ireland.

It stays predominantly dry during the night-time period into

the far north of Scotland.

So we start off on Wednesday then again

with a pretty unsettled picture as low pressure sits close to the UK

in the North Sea and it will continue to push this rain across

England and Wales in particular.

That is where the heaviest of the rain is likely to be.

Maybe fringing Northern Ireland.

Scotland seeing the best of the dry weather, but the winds starting

to swing round to a north-easterly.

Fresher here - 12,13 degrees on the east coast,

highest values of 20 in the south-east corner.

As we move through Wednesday towards Thursday,

the low pressure sits in the North Sea still influencing the story.

This weather front is going to be with us for quite some time.

Again, the wind direction noticeable,

making it feel quite cooler coming from the north.

We'll see a band of cloud and rain through Scotland

and Northern Ireland.

To the south, some showers, some sunshine,

highs of 21 degrees.

But that whether front sinks its way south again and the wind

direction changes subtly,

but that could play its part during the day on Friday

as the rain continues to drift its way steadily south.

We could see temperatures start to climb in sheltered areas

of Scotland. Known as the fern effect.

If you want more details of that, you can find it on our website

but we could see 19 here and maybe 19 in the south-east corner.

But that front finally clears away Friday into Saturday.

We see more of north-westerly flow.

A brief ridge for a time before the next area of low pressure pushes in.

So you can get the general theme,

the pattern I'm afraid for the rest of this week.

Not a bad day, potentially, on Saturday.

Before more wet weather moves in from the west.

So, what is happening?

Well, the jet stream has taken quite a kink,

quite a dive to the south of the UK and that is allowing more of

a northerly flow - cooler, fresher feel across the UK and it is

also allowing for these low pressures

to move in from the Atlantic.

As we move towards the weekend, it evens out a little.

We see the lows of into the north and maybe a return to

something a little bit warmer, a little bit drier into the south.

But, for the longer-term period,

it does look likely to stay pretty changeable for the early half

of July with some rain at times and temperatures about average

for where they should be for this time of year.

More from me same time tomorrow.

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