11/07/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


11/07/2017

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Hello, there. For the time being, at least, we've lost that July heat.

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In fact, we've probably already peaked this week -

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yesterday we saw a high of 27 degrees,

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but by Tuesday temperatures will be significantly lower.

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20, 21 degrees, if we are lucky -

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and there will be, at times,

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some heavy and some persistent rain to come.

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It will start off light and showery

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across Wales and south-west England,

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but then this area of low pressure

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will move in and just enhance that rainfall

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as we go through the day.

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So, perhaps the best of the weather

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on Tuesday is likely to be

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across Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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with just a scattering of showers.

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Some patchy rain to begin with

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in the south-east,

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maybe a brief lull through lunchtime,

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before some more heavier persistent rain

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pushes into the south-west,

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and we'll see the winds strengthening.

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Just how far north that rain goes

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is still open to question -

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but look at these temperatures.

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Significantly down on what we've been used to.

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14 to 20 degrees at the very best.

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Now, as we move out of Tuesday,

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that rain still yet to clear away

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from the south-east corner -

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so, welcome news for gardeners and growers.

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Some much-needed rain

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across much of central and southern parts

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of England and Wales -

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but behind that low,

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well, we'll start to see the wind swinging round

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to a northerly or a north-easterly direction,

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making it feel just that little bit fresher

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on those exposed east coasts -

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but on Wednesday a quieter day,

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drier, with sunny spells coming through,

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temperatures at around 16 to 22 degrees,

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feeling a little better the further west

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in a little more shelter.

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As we move out of Wednesday,

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we see this ridge of high pressure building,

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so, things quieten down

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for a day, at least, again.

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We'll see this weak weather front threatening,

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so, the best of the weather on Thursday

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is likely to be across sheltered eastern areas.

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Dry, with some sunshine, a scattering of showers

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developing out to the west

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as we go through the day.

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17 to 23 degrees the high

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by the middle of the afternoon.

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Now, that weather front has yet to clear away.

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It will do so during Thursday

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into the early hours of Friday morning,

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and will bring some showers with it

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before, again, another ridge builds,

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before the next system

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waits in the wings across the north-west.

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It's going to stay pretty changeable this week.

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So, we could have some early showers

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across the south-east corner

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to clear away first thing on Friday.

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Drier, brighter weather from the west,

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before the next area of frame starts to show its hand

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into the north-west by the end of Friday.

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That will bring some wetter weather,

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weakening all the time

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as it pushes steadily east -

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but for the start of the weekend,

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stays pretty changeable.

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It stays pretty windy at times,

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and there will be some showery outbreaks of rain,

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so, it's not all straightforward

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for the start of the weekend.

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Top temperatures around 18 to 23 degrees.

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It probably won't come as a surprise to hear

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that the jet stream

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is sitting right across us at the moment,

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allowing for this mobile westerly flow,

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for the Atlantic frontal systems

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to move in from day to day -

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but, as we move out of the weekend

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into the longer-term period,

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it looks as though we'll see

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more of an amplified jet stream,

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and that's going to allow this high pressure to build

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from the south-west,

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and hopefully push a little more warmth

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back in across us.

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All the time, though,

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across the far north and east of Scotland

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and north-east England,

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you're staying on that colder side of the jet -

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but it looks as though

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further ahead will be a little less changeable,

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though the best of the drier weather

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will be in the south -

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and hopefully, fingers crossed,

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something a little warmer

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returns for many of us.

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More from me same time tomorrow.

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