07/08/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


07/08/2017

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Hello, there. I wish I could bring you better news

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for this Week Ahead forecast,

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but I'm afraid to say it looks like summer is still on hold,

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as it's looking pretty unsettled, with outbreaks of rain for many.

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"Where's the heat gone," you wonder?

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Well, in the last week or so,

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as you probably know,

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it's been reserved for the south of Europe.

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The Mediterranean has seen

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a stifling heat wave,

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with temperatures ranging

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between 40 and 45 Celsius,

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and it's been very humid with it, too.

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It's caused all sorts of problems -

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but this is gradually on the way out,

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as well, and that's because

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the jet stream is diving south

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in towards the west

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in the Mediterranean, introducing cooler air -

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but near our shores,

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this kink in the jet stream

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could absorb an area of low pressure,

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which could be with us for quite a while.

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Things were quite unsettled

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at the weekend, as well. On Saturday,

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we saw sunshine and showers,

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some of them torrential,

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with hail and thunder across the south.

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On Sunday, we had an east-west split,

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with many southern and eastern areas

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enjoying some fine, dry weather

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with some sunshine.

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Further west,

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an area of low pressure moved in

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to bring wet and increasingly windy weather,

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initially to Scotland and Northern Ireland.

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Now, that weather front,

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bringing the wet weather across the west,

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will be straddling central parts of England

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in towards South Wales on Monday,

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maybe some heavy bursts of rain

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across the south-west,

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a little bit of brightness in the south-east,

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and, for Scotland and Northern Ireland,

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it looks like it will be a mixture of sunshine and showers.

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Now, this is the area of low pressure

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I was talking about,

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and that kink in the jet stream,

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which will move northwards into the North Sea,

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to very much influence our weather

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from Tuesday onwards.

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So, it looks like it's going to become

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very unsettled -

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in fact, active weather fronts

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could bring some very heavy rain

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to central, southern and eastern parts

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of England, in particular,

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and will start to pick up

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a north-easterly wind, as well,

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so, feeling cool along the North Sea coast.

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The further west that you are,

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the better chance of seeing

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a little bit of drier weather,

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maybe with some sunshine.

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Now, as we head on in towards Wednesday,

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this vigorous area of low pressure

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will still be with us,

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very much influencing our weather,

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bringing strong northerly winds

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and bouts of heavy rain -

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but this area of high pressure

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wants to build in,

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and it will slowly push its way eastwards

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as we head on towards the latter part of the week.

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So, for Wednesday,

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not a pretty picture again.

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It's expected to be quite cool

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in northerly winds, heavy, maybe thundery rain

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affecting central and eastern areas

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throughout the day.

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A better chance of seeing some dry weather

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further west.

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That's because we'll see this area of high pressure

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starting to topple in from the south-west,

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and it will slowly push

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the cloud and the rain eastwards -

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but it will be a slow process.

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I think, on Thursday,

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East Anglia and the South East

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might hold on to that northerly wind

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and outbreaks of rain,

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but I think, generally speaking,

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Thursday could be the best day of the week

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regards to drier, possibly brighter weather.

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Those temperatures not that impressive -

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16 to maybe 21 Celsius in the south-east.

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Now, as we head in

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towards the end of this week,

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it looks like the jet stream

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will steer some low-pressure systems

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into our direction,

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but the area of high pressure to the south,

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the Azores High,

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is likely to keep them focused

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across the north.

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So, we will have a north-south split

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as we had on in towards next weekend,

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with largely fine and dry conditions

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to the south,

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to the north, areas of low-pressure

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will bring bouts of rain

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and maybe some strong wind, at times, too.

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So, that's the summary

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to end the forecast.

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Some rain across northern areas,

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largely dry across the south,

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closest to that area of high pressure,

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but the main message is,

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no summery weather is going to occur.

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Looks like it's still going to be

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on hold for the time being.

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