01/09/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead

As we step into the first day of meteorological autumn,

let's take a look back at Summer 2017.

The provisional statistics show it's been rather a mixed sort of summer.

Back in June, we saw the hottest June day in over 40 years,

in fact, lots of fairly hot

and largely dry weather for many parts of the country during June

and into the first part of July, too, but then things turned much

more unsettled during the second half of July -

wetter than average, and flash flooding,

particularly in Cornwall, where we

saw 105 millimetres of rain in just three hours.

But despite that unsettled theme,

we ended the summer on a very hot and sunny note with

one of the hottest August Bank Holidays on record.

So, how does the first day of autumn look?

Well, we're likely to start off on a largely dry note on Friday

with some sunshine.

Through the day, we'll start to see showers building,

but they'll be fewer and further between compared to Thursday.

Eastern parts of England and eastern Scotland

bearing the brunt of the showery weather.

21 degrees or so in the sunshine towards the south,

typically the high teens further north.

And then those showers ease away through Friday evening

and overnight into Saturday as higher pressure squeezes in.

So that's good news to start off your weekend. Although it will be

quite fresh first thing this Saturday morning,

we should see some sunshine from the word go.

And we've got this area of high pressure

nudging in from the south, and that is going to keep most places

dry and bright through the day, with light winds, too.

So Saturday is shaping up to be the better day of the weekend -

sunshine, a bit of cumulus cloud building up during the afternoon.

Waiting in the wings we've got this rain you can see,

and that's going to be more of a player by the time we get to

Sunday, but for Saturday it will feel pretty pleasant,

with those temperatures for most of us between around 17 to 21 degrees.

Then it changes into Saturday night

and Sunday as this frontal system approaches from the west.

Some fairly tight isobars, so a spell of wet and windy weather

on Sunday, initially across Northern Ireland, Wales,

the south-west of England, with heavy rain,

nudging its way eastwards through the day,

but I think the far east could well get away with a largely dry

story before that rain arrives later on.

And temperatures are, well, around 16 to 19 degrees,

feeling cooler with the wind and the outbreaks of rain.

Now, this frontal system tends to ease as

we head through into the new working week,

so that rainfall just dying away through the day on Monday.

But I think Monday's quite a cloudy sort of picture,

and you could see the odd remnants of some wet weather.

Some brighter weather across eastern parts of the UK again, and with

a bit more of a southerly influence,

temperatures up to around 22 degrees or so,

certainly milder overnight through into the middle part of the week.

So, for Tuesday, the next band of rain arrives from the Atlantic,

bringing another spell of wet weather from west to east,

but temperatures still up to around 22 degrees.

Now, low pressure stays fairly close by as we move through

the middle of the week, out towards the west, I think, by the

time we get to Wednesday, drawing in those winds from the Atlantic.

So a westerly influence to our weather through

the course of next week, bringing spells of rain at times,

interspersed with some sunshine and some scattered showers, too.

Now, most of the rain

and the windier conditions are more likely to be across western and

north-western parts of the country, particularly later in the week.

Further south-east, you're likely to say a bit drier, a bit warmer,

with lighter winds, too.

So as we head through into the start of autumn,

meteorologically speaking, fairly unsettled.

There'll be spells of rain at times,

often quite windy towards the north and the west,

and you're more likely to stay drier

and warmer in the south-east. Bye for now.