07/09/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


07/09/2017

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Hello. Sometimes in weather, there are moments that take

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your breath away. They came aplenty with Hurricane Harvey in Texas,

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and they're coming again now with Hurricane Irma in the Caribbean.

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This is just breathtaking.

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This is a satellite picture from Wednesday of the eye

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of Hurricane Irma passing directly over Barbuda.

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Which means that Barbuda went from catastrophic winds one moment to

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barely a breath of wind in the eye, and then catastrophic winds again.

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Of course, Barbuda feeling the of full force of Irma,

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as did St Martin, which also had landfall.

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Now it's barrelling towards Puerto Rico during Thursday.

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Watch out, north coast Dominican Republic, Haiti, and then

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onto the Turks and Caicos Islands, Cuba and eventually Florida.

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Though there's still some uncertainty about that.

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And whilst Irma is not now having a direct impact

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on our weather, what happens with Irma after Florida,

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as remnants feed out into the Atlantic,

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does bring us some uncertainty in our longer-range forecast,

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as we'll see in just a moment.

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But let's get back to our weather and how that's

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developing during Thursday.

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Of course, it's a much quieter affair, though there is a

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weather system coming in from the Atlantic, initially bringing some

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rain at the start of the day to northwest Scotland.

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Quite heavy here, quite windy with that.

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But the rain is on the move southeast during the day

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across the rest of Scotland, Northern Ireland,

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to Wales and western England.

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Eastern parts of England, with the exception of the odd shower,

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stay driest for longest, but even here, getting into the evening,

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there should be outbreaks of rain moving in.

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Those temperatures clearly suppressed where you've got

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the heaviest rain and the strongest winds.

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Eventually, we see some outbreaks of rain reaching down towards

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southeastern parts of Britain as we go through Thursday and Friday.

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But this weather front comes a player in the weather

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across South wales, southern England on Friday.

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Still something to play for in the detail,

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but some spots could have quite a bit of rain all day long here.

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Elsewhere, some sunny spells, heavy showers to be had.

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Catch one of those, they could be thundery, perhaps with some hail.

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Now that front does clear away,

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but still low-pressure nearby as we look at the picture for Saturday.

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Strong winds to the south and west of the UK,

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lighter winds further east. Then a case of showers breaking out again.

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So some drier, sunnier moments, but some heavier showers to be had

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and still on the cool side.

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Though if you find some sunshine, may not feel too bad.

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Cool night to come, Saturday night into Sunday,

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a little ridge of high pressure, a gap between weather systems,

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but that gap isn't very big, because here comes another on Sunday.

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So again beginning to spread rain southeastwards across the UK

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and with this, the winds picking up as well.

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Particularly down towards the South and South West,

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from Sunday into Monday.

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Around this deep area of low pressure, the isobars squeezed.

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This could be a troublemaker, Sunday into Monday.

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And again, where those isobars are close together, across the South

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and South West, a risk of gales, perhaps severe gales in places,

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so could be some impact from this.

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Lighter winds further towards the North East,

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showers around again, and some heavy ones to be had.

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Going into Tuesday, that low trying to move away.

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Still in a breezy, cool flow of weather.

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But looks like a ridge of high pressure's trying to come in,

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but there are more weather systems to come next week.

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The bulk of next week is looking changeable and unsettled.

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But by the end of the week and into the following weekend,

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it looks like high pressure will try to establish itself in the Atlantic.

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That would disrupt the flow of weather, given us

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perhaps longer settled spells in between weather systems.

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But a word of caution,

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the computer forecasts are not yet taking into account what's

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left of Irma and Jose, which has followed on behind Irma,

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and how that's going to feed into to the weather across the Atlantic.

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So it is a very big "watch this space".

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You want to get rid of me.

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