09/09/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead

You will have noticed we are in a spell of very changeable weather

lasting all the way through much of next week.

Low pressure, that means wet at times, windy, cool,

but there are indications that

from next weekend going into the following week,

things will turn a little more settled

but it is far from set in stone.

It is low pressure that's across us at the moment,

will be through the weekend and for much of next week,

and around that area of low pressure

it's a cool wind blowing in during Saturday,

especially across the west and south of the UK,

and there will be plenty of showers.

Quite a few from the word go through Northern Ireland

and pushing through north-west England in particular, where

it's pretty wet in the morning.

Notice the showers developing more widely,

especially across England and Wales, as we go through the afternoon,

so we'll take a look at things at 4pm.

Actually not too many showers in Scotland,

parts of south-west Scotland could well stay dry

and in the afternoon the showers begin to fade away

from Northern Ireland, so more of us right at this stage.

Late in the afternoon, going into the evening, I think

more of us in Wales and western England will see some sunshine,

rather than be getting wet,

but more of central and eastern England and into the southeast

are seeing these showers at 4pm

but as is ever the case with showers, some places will miss them

and stay dry, but catch a shower, could be heavy and thundery.

Now, the showers will fade away gradually during Saturday evening

and through Saturday night it will be mainly dry

and clear for a time, the winds turning lighter,

so it will be chilly going into Sunday morning,

well down into single figures in some spots,

and then another area of low pressure is coming in

for part two of the weekend,

so that will bring rain quite early on across Scotland,

moving through Northern Ireland, then clearing away

and then pushing south-eastwards across England and Wales.

Fairly slow process, won't be until late on before

it gets to eastern parts of England

and behind this band of rain there will be further showers,

and the wind picking up as well,

and I think especially Sunday night and into Monday

across parts of Wales and south west England,

gales and perhaps even an exposure risk of severe gales as well,

so we need to just keep an eye on that but be aware,

a spell of very windy weather, and Monday remains very blustery,

that familiar mixture of sunshine and showers,

though they may ease, especially western parts, later in the day.

As we go from Monday into Tuesday,

watching another possible weather system here,

this one has a lot of uncertainty associated with it,

the strength of wind around it,

how far north it's going to push the rain,

but southern parts of the UK could see a longer spell of rain

whereas elsewhere showers will be most frequent

towards the north-west of the UK.

In between the two weather systems you could end up mainly dry

but low pressure still very much on the scene,

then as we go into Wednesday,

so again the source of showers on Wednesday,

some longer spells of rain in places,

still the risk of that across southern parts of the UK,

who it looks like are going to see the strongest winds.

Still the potential for some gales.

That's something else to keep an eye on,

and it's still on the cool side,

but heading towards the end of the week and into the weekend,

this area of high pressure looks like becoming more established

across the Atlantic and then maybe just edging towards us,

and that's the source of potentially settling things down,

and it looks like from mid-month,

things will still be changeable

but the gaps between weather systems will be longer,

so longer, more settled spells with warmer days

but under clear skies, quite chilly nights

and the potential for some mist and fog patches,

maybe a touch of frost, but I mentioned earlier,

it's still not set in stone,

it's because all of this tropical weather activity in the Atlantic.

It breeds uncertainty into longer range forecasts,

so there is a hint of something more settled on the horizon

but it yet may not happen.