26/12/2017 Weather for the Week Ahead


26/12/2017

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Hello. Well, after a very mild Christmas,

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things are set to turn a little bit colder from Boxing Day,

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in fact, and there's also a chance of waking up to some snow

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across the southern uplands of Scotland and the Highlands,

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and I think for all of us, it is going to turn colder on Boxing Day.

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Now, at the moment,

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we still have south-westerly winds affecting southern parts of the UK,

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a weather front approaching, bringing some rain,

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in fact Boxing Day will be very rainy, very windy in the south.

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But the colder air is starting to tuck back in again,

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and the mild air that we've had during Christmas Day itself

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is being pushed away towards the east,

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so Boxing Day starts off cold, icy in places,

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some wintry weather there across the Pennines, maybe.

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The southern uplands of Scotland

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possibly waking up to 2-5 centimetres of snow,

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and some snow further north in the Highlands, as well.

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But you can't miss this here out south-west.

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This is a weather front which is also swinging in off the Atlantic.

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A wet day for Plymouth, for Cardiff as well.

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And I want to point out what happens with this weather front

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as it slides across the UK

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during the course of the evening of Boxing Day.

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Look at that.

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Some snow develops across the hills of Wales,

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maybe the Peak District,

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possibly the bottom end of the Pennines, as well.

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I don't think there's going to be any snow in Birmingham necessarily,

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but we are going to see at least some sleet in some towns and cities,

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and most of the snow will be falling across the hills.

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And then as we head into Wednesday, the mild air is pushed away,

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and we are well and truly in that colder air mass

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coming in from the north.

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And when I say colder, it is colder compared to what we've had.

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This is not necessarily desperately cold, arctic air.

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So, first thing in the morning, a little bit of wintriness around,

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maybe across parts of the east Midlands,

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maybe even the south-east as well, but that low pressure,

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and the weather front pulls away,

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and overall, Wednesday is looking bright and cold

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after a frosty start in many northern and western areas.

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Then on Thursday, we are actually in between weather systems,

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so the low pressure there pulls away out into Scandinavia.

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Another one is knocking on our doorstep,

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but we're in between the weather systems here,

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in that colder air stream, so once again, on Thursday,

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we're waking up to chilly weather, frosty start for some of us,

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but there will be a lot of crisp sunshine around, as well.

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And this is what it looks like.

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Six degrees maybe in London, briefly touching six.

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More like three degrees across many northern cities,

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and maybe a little bit of rain later on in the day

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into the tip of Cornwall there.

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Beyond that, into Friday, as we approach the weekend,

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a very different story.

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Low pressure starts to line up out there in the Atlantic,

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being pushed by an increasingly strong jet stream.

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That means that the weather

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is starting to turn more and more turbulent.

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With that, milder air returns,

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temperatures back into double figures with rain sweeping through.

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Looks like Saturday,

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there might be brief windows of brighter weather,

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but look at those values, 13 degrees, strong winds as well,

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very gusty around the Pennines, too, and then as we head into Sunday,

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New Year's Eve, we're still in that mild Atlantic air,

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but with that, a strong rush of wind, as well,

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so a risk of gale force winds for some of us, as well.

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And the schematic really depicts

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what the start of 2018 is going to look like.

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We'll see low pressure very close to the UK

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with a powerful jet stream, and that can only mean one or two things.

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It certainly means very unsettled weather, windy weather,

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and at times, there will be spells of rain.

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So, very mild at the moment, briefly colder Boxing Day,

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and then towards 2018, milder again.

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