08/02/2018 Weather for the Week Ahead


08/02/2018

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Hello. The frost on Wednesday night a lot more limited compared

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to what we had the previous night, so not quite as chilly for many

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into Thursday and the reason lies with the position

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of the jet stream. We've mentioned it all week.

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It stretches across the Atlantic.

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It's pretty strong at the moment and it's coming out at North America.

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It's important because it separates cold air to the north

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and warmer air to the south -

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the blues and the orange colours on there.

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Now little ripples of that will send slightly milder air our way

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at times and one little ripple is

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heading our way for Thursday.

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Now it's a weather front on that ripple

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which will bring cloud across

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parts of northern England, Wales,

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north-west Midlands

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and the south-west throughout the day,

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a threat of some rain or

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drizzle in the morning,

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but something heavier to end the day.

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So north of it, Scotland, Northern Ireland,

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we've still got milder air compared to what

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we're used to but a few wintry flurries possible

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in the far north-west.

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Sunny spells in between

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and the south-east after a chilly start,

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because the cloud builds and the breeze picks up,

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It's not going to warm up in any great hurry.

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But by the end of Thursday and into Thursday evening,

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some heavier rain pushes in from the west

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and that will work its way eastwards.

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The cold front which is barely a feature

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as we start Thursday becomes

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more of a one through the night into Friday.

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It'll start to clear, opens the door to north-westerly winds

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and taps back in to that pool

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of cold air I showed you earlier on.

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It turns chillier on Friday,

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early rain across East Anglia

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and the south-east clears, sunny spells.

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Showers in the morning,

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mixture of rain, hail, sleet and snow,

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turning primarily to snow

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later on, across Western Scotland,

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Northern Ireland, giving a covering in places,

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but some sunshine in between

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and more sunshine than showers

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through the second part of the day through many areas,

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but temperatures back into single figures

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and dropping away later on across the south.

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That leads us into a cold night.

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The cold air is back in its place but another ripple in the jet stream

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sends another finger of something milder towards us.

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It's going to take all day for this weather front

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to come in on Saturday fully

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and on the forward edge, of course,

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we've got that cold air in place.

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Quite a bit of snowfall on the hills of Scotland

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as this Atlantic weather front pushes its way in,

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maybe too in the northern Pennines,

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north of the Welsh hills,

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but it turns back to rain

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as south-westerly winds dominate.

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Most places will see rain during the day

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on Saturday, East Anglia

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and the south-east may stay dry

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until we get into the evening,

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bright conditions across the north later on,

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but temperatures up to 10 degrees in one or two spots,

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thanks to that south-westerly flow.

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That, then, is pushed off

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into the near continent through Sunday night.

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There's a potential on our weather fronts for quite a nasty area

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of low pressure to develop, so one to watch some Saturday night,

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we could see gales,

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or severe gales, to talk us into Sunday

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and quite a bit of snowfall

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across the Scottish mountains

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before we go back into the cold north-westerly winds.

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Sleet and snow flurries possible just about anywhere

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across the country thanks to the strength of the wind,

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most frequently in the north and west

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and the snow really accumulating

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on the Scottish mountains and the Irish hills.

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But temperatures dropping again once more.

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So a cold night follows Sunday night into Monday. The breeze will stop

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the temperatures from dropping too much but still a frost

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and some ice around into the new working week

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and of course half-term for some of you.

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It'll be a half-term to keep the woollens handy

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because still some wintry showers

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in the west to begin with.

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Best of sunshine in the east on Monday,

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but as the south-westerly winds come in later,

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some of the snow will turn back to rain and sleet

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and temperatures will slowly creep up later.

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So, into next week, then, we've still got that jet stream rushing

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out of North America, but notice we've got this bigger dip

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starting to form in it and when we get a big dip like that, we get

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an area of low pressure which becomes stubbornly sat and it

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sits next week to the north of the Atlantic

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and it will have an influence.

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Now, we could see weather fronts run around it,

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even smaller areas of low pressure at times.

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We're always on the colder side, so, overall,

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next week, it will stay cold,

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some milder and wetter spells and pretty windy at times too.

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Take care.

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