27/02/2018 Weather for the Week Ahead


27/02/2018

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It's here. One of the coldest, snowiest weeks in the UK

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in years, we think,

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and the weather really making us sit up and take notice.

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The meteorology behind it as well, really unusual.

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This is the jet stream, how we're starting this week.

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We are used to it powering from west to east across the Atlantic

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but, look, it is attacking us from the north-east to

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the south-west, a cold direction

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and something really unusual.

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We don't get to see this very often at all.

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Of course, it's the reason why it is so cold.

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Of course, it is the reason

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some of us are being hit by frequent

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snow showers, particularly in

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that north-easterly flow.

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Going into Tuesday morning -

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two amber warnings from the Met Office.

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Be prepared parts of north-east England, Yorkshire,

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the Midlands into East Anglia and south-east England,

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up to 10 centimetres of snow.

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The likelihood of some disruption.

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Of course, you need to check the situation heading out

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at any stage during Tuesday.

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Though the showers towards south-east England fading

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a bit into the afternoon.

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We'll see a spell of snow working through part of the Pennines,

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the Midlands, Wales, giving a few centimetres in some spots.

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Northern Ireland, Western Scotland could well avoid the snow

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showers for now and see sunny spells.

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Of course, it is bitterly cold,

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it feels colder in the wind.

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Now on through Tuesday night and into Wednesday,

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again the harder whites here

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are the snow showers coming in

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and notice how the core of the heavier ones starting to

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shunt a little bit further north.

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It is bitterly cold overnight,

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again it feels colder in the wind.

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There is a hard frost.

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So Wednesday's big picture, instead of the showers powering at us

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from the north-east, there's just a little tilt of the flow here

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so they're starting, these heavier snow showers, to attack

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parts of north-east England

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and eastern and northern Scotland.

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So this is where we have a

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Met Office amber warning in force.

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Be prepared Wednesday into Thursday.

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Again, you could see 10 centimetres or perhaps more

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in some spots and the likelihood of some disruption.

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As I show you the picture for Wednesday,

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again you can see these heavier

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snow showers coming in on this

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flow here which is

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less north-easterly, more easterly.

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Snow showers possible elsewhere.

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We are watching an area that could

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run in to parts of south-west

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England dumping some heavy snow.

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There will be some snow showers running into parts

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of Northern Ireland too. There will be some sunny spells around.

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These are your maximum temperatures.

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When you factor in the wind,

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of course, it is colder.

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Colder still of the wind gets stronger

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later in the week as we see an area of low pressure.

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It's been named by the Portuguese weather service as Storm Emma

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so you may hear that talked about,

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but it is going to run moisture

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northwards into the UK, into the very cold air we have across us.

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And, of course, that is a recipe for snow.

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It may not look exactly like this as

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we go from Thursday into Friday

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but I want to show you this to give you an idea.

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You could well see some heavy snow

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running in towards the south-west initially

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with blizzards in strong winds.

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Could be seriously disruptive.

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Then on through Friday,

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it all starts to move further north

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across the rest of the UK.

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So some particularly nasty,

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disruptive snow towards the end of the week.

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That is a possibility.

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Keep in touch with the forecast.

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Going through the weekend into next week, look at the jet stream,

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it is now flowing west to east but it is well to the south of us.

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We are still in the blues but we're not as cold as we've been because

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we've lost the powerful jet stream coming in from the north-east.

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What does that mean for our weather going into next week?

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It will be less cold, initially across southern parts of the UK.

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How quickly the less cold air goes north, that is open to question.

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Unsettled with areas of low pressure,

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still a risk of snow, particularly where the cold air

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hangs on for longest across the northern half of the UK.

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Of course we will keep you updated.

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Right now though we are the grip of some very serious winter weather.

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