04/03/2018 Weather for the Week Ahead


04/03/2018

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Hello. I can't offer you spring -

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I can't even really offer you average temperatures

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for this time of year.

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Figures will still be slightly below in the week ahead,

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but what I can tell you is that the weather

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will not be as severe as the week just gone.

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Gradually, the temperature's creeping up,

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the snow is starting to thaw,

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but it's still going to stay quite unsettled.

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That could add complications, though.

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There'll be rain moving across England and Wales

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in the form of some pretty potent showers on Sunday.

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Those could result in some quite rapid thawing

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and some issues with flooding.

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Snow becoming increasingly confined to higher ground

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across northern England and Northern Ireland.

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Still in the cold air, however,

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Scotland picking up wintry showers,

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especially in the north and east.

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The easterly wind keeping things feeling pretty raw here.

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Further south, we're looking at highs of 8 or 9.

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We're still fetching air into the north of the UK from the east,

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but now we're circulating it round an area of low pressure,

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as opposed to blasting it round that high

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that brought us the Beast from the East,

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and what that circulating does is feed the air

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across the milder waters of the Atlantic, modifying it slightly

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so it's just not as cold as the cold air we had last week -

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hence the pale blues rather than those rather intenser colours.

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From Monday, still cold enough in the north, though,

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for us to see more snow across Scotland.

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To the south-west, chance of some heavy, thundery rain.

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Elsewhere, a relatively quiet story, hopefully with some brightness.

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Look out, though, for some early patches of morning mist and fog.

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Temperatures up to 10 degrees in London and Norwich.

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Here's Tuesday - again, the continued threat of some snowfall

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across northern Scotland -

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the wintry weather is not over, here, sadly.

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Some strong winds in the north, as well.

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Further south, and it's showers for England and Wales,

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and for Northern Ireland,

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and some of those could turn out to be quite potent,

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but there should be some sunshine in between times, as well,

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and temperatures are 7 to 10 -

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very much different to the week just gone.

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Low-pressure still with us overnight, Tuesday into Wednesday.

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It looks like the snow to the far north

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could be quite a persistent feature for Scotland

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through into the middle part of the week.

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So, still the chance for some disruption here,

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particular to the far north of the country,

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where we'll have strong winds, as well.

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Elsewhere, the low becoming quite flabby.

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There could be some slow-moving showers around,

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some of them could be quite intense -

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but, in some brightness,

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I think it will feel, well, so different

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to the way it's felt the last week,

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with temperatures, as I said, in double figures.

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Bit more unsettled come Thursday,

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risk of some heavy rain into the south and east,

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and some showers coming in from the west -

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and notice the white showing its hand once again.

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Looks like they could turn wintry,

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particularly on higher ground.

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The reason we're not entirely out of the woods, of course,

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is that we're still sitting in a comparatively colder air.

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Mild air is a good way to the south of us in Europe at the moment.

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We sit to the north of the jet stream,

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and until that jet stream buckles north,

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we're not going to bring any of the milder air our way.

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Later on in the period, though,

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it does look like the jet will move to the north -

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end of next week, on into next weekend,

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briefly bringing some average temperatures,

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or if not a little above, to the far south of the British Isles -

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but then the jet starts to push away eastwards again,

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and the cold air will dig down back behind it,

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and the jet also buckles,

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and that will mean a big area of low pressure

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sitting across the British Isles.

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So, next weekend, a very wet and windy period,

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particularly, I think, the chance, again,

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of something a little bit wintry

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digging further south behind the low, as well -

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but I must stress, nothing near as severe

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or as extensive as the weather we've had of late.

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So, further ahead, not as cold,

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it stays unsettled,

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but potentially some very wet and windy weather

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affecting many parts of the British Isles

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as we look on into next weekend.

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